Iran, Lebanon sign 5-year security pact
The Jerusalem Post
(November 27, 2008) - Iran and Lebanon
have signed a security agreement, according to which Iran will supply
the Lebanese army with weapons and equipment over the next five years,
the London-based daily A-Sharq Al-Awsat reported. The agreement
between the two nations was signed during Lebanese President Michel
Suleiman's two-day visit to Teheran, which ended on Tuesday.
Iran
Urges Lebanese to Unite Against Israel
FOCUS News Agency
(November 26, 2008) - Iran, a main
backer of Lebanon's Shi'ite group Hezbollah, urged the Lebanese people
Tuesday to unite to confront Israel, the Islamic Republic's arch foe,
Reuters informed. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei made the
comments to Lebanese President Michel Suleiman during a visit to Iran
that included touring an exhibition by the Defense Ministry, Iranian
media reported. "Iran believes the capability of all Lebanese groups
should be at the service of (Lebanon's) power and unity to confront the
danger of the Zionist regime," Khamenei told Suleiman, the official IRNA
news agency reported.
Iran, Syria tauten grip on Lebanon, Tehran woos Christian president
DEBKAfile
(November 22, 2008)
- Tehran and Damascus are going all out to get their hooks
into Lebanon’s Christian politicians and wean them away from their’
traditional ties with the West. President Michel Suleiman this week
accepted an Iranian invitation to visit Tehran this month, while another
Lebanese Christian leader, Hizballah’s ally Gen. Michel Aoun, arranged
to visit Damascus.
Security forces brace as settlers arrive in droves to Hebron
YNet News
(November 21, 2008)
- Security forces deployed throughout Hebron on Thursday
evening in anticipation of another night of public disturbances in the
West Bank city by extreme-right activists. Although the High Court's
ruling on the evacuation of the disputed house near the Tomb of the
Patriarchs has not yet been carried out, tensions between Jewish
settlers and law enforcement are at a boiling point.
Has the U.N. Found the Smoking Gun in the Syrian ‘Nuclear’ Incident?
The Media Line
(November 11, 2008)
- There are widespread reports in the international media
that the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) inspectors found
traces of weapons-grade uranium at a site in Syria, which Israel is
believed to have destroyed in an air strike a year ago. The reports
suggest the uranium was discovered in June, but the story has only just
been leaked to the media. Confirmation is expected to come from the
IAEA’s head Muhammad Al-Barade’i when the United Nations’ watchdog meets
at the end of this month. Since the bombing, Syria has insisted the site
was used for agricultural purposes, but media reports have persisted
about North Korean involvement, as well as links to Iran’s nuclear
program. Russia: A Future Radical Muslim Superpower? Front Page Magazine (November 9, 2008) - Frontpage Interview's guest today is Ilshat Alsayef, one of the founding members of Muslims Against Sharia. He was born in of the Asian republics of the former Soviet Union. A military officer for most of his adult life, Mr. Alsayef started his military career as a Second Lieutenant during the Soviet-Afghan war and retired as a Lieutenant-Colonel after the First Chechen War. FP: Ilshat Alsayef, welcome to Frontpage Interview. Alsayef: Thank you very much for having me here. FP: Tell us about the state of radicalization of Muslims in Russia and other ex-Soviet republics. Alsayef: There were two waves of radicalization of the ex-Soviet Muslims. The first wave started after the break-up of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s. After the fall of communism, former Soviet Asian republics, now independent countries (Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan) as well as autonomous regions of Russia (Chechnya, Dagestan and Ingushetia), experienced a resurgence of religious freedom. Not being able to freely practice their religion for a few generations, some of the local Muslims went overboard. Salafi groups like Hizb-ut-Tahrir, and later al Qaeda, became popular among newly-minted religious zealots. While the conflicts in Asian countries were mostly religious vs. secular, the Chechen conflict also had the independence element. The second wave of radicalization started at the turn of the century. Some people claim that it was a result of the American War on Terror, which many Muslims interpret as the American War on Islam, but in reality the reason is skyrocketing oil revenues of Wahhabi states. Centuries-old local mosques are being replaced by modern, Wahhabi-built mosques. Old imams who survived the communists are being replaced by Wahhabi clerics. This is not only true for predominantly Muslim countries like Tajikistan, but also for autonomous regions inside of Russia like Bashkiria and Tatarstan, where most people consider themselves more Russian than Muslim. You can see similar developments in former Yugoslavia, where moderate imams with little financial backing are being replaced by radicals with virtually unlimited financing. If current demographic trends hold, Muslims in Russia may become a majority by the mid-century. And if current radicalization trends hold, Russia may become a war theatre comparable to Chechnya or Lebanon, but on a much larger scale. FP: Expand for us a bit please on the demographic trends in Russia. Muslims may be the majority in Russia by mid-century? What will this mean? Alsayef: The native Russian population is on the decline. About a year ago, the government started to provide a special subsidy for a second child; 250,000 rubles, which is about two average yearly salaries. Attracted by the economic opportunities, there is a steady stream of Muslims from the former Soviet republics and predominantly Muslim parts of the Russian Caucasus. Those Muslims tend to have much larger families than native Russian Muslims. Small Muslim communities of Moscow and St. Petersburg that comprised less 1% of the population 20 years ago have increased more than ten-fold. The new generation of Muslims is more religious. Unfortunately, since most of the mosques are either completely or partially funded by the Wahhabis, the new generation is also more radical. 20 years ago, Russian Muslims were completely assimilated, both culturally and linguistically. The new generation tends to create its own communities. Those "enclaves" are easier radicalized. If the trends of isolation and radicalization continue along with current demographic trends and rising oil prices, it is quite possible that by mid-century Russia will become a radical Muslim superpower. FP: How can the current radicalization trend be stopped? The key is to stop skyrocketing oil revenues for Wahhabi states, yes? But how? Alsayef: I could never understand why America spends a quarter of a trillion dollars a year on Persian Gulf oil while not using its own oil resources. Especially when some of this money goes to finance radical Islam worldwide (including in America itself) and the American economy suffers from high fuels prices. Luckily, Russia does not have oil dependency. The long-term solution to stop the flow of petro-dollars to the Wahhabis is to create a non-petroleum energy solution. It will probably not happen in our lifetime, but it doesn't mean that it shouldn't be worked on today. The short-term solution is to combat radical Islam inside every democratic country. One part is to enact legislation to criminalize the spread of radical Islam. It is not an easy task, especially in America where Freedom of Speech is the cornerstone of the Constitution. However, some of the speech could be criminalized, i.e., a death threat to an individual. Advocating Sharia is a death threat to Democratic society. If you can protect an individual, you should be able to protect the society as a whole. The other needed step is to empower moderate Muslims to combat Islamism in the public square. Unfortunately, neither the Russian nor the American government seems to distinguish between moderate Muslims and 'soft' Jihadis. In fact, Putin went so far as to condemn the publication of Prophet Mohammed cartoons. While Russia is empowering Iran, America is empowering Saudi Arabia, which is even worse. On top of that, America is legitimizing 'soft' Jihadis and advance of Sharia by putting them in charge of government and academic programs and inviting them to major political events. FP: Where exactly does Russia stand in the War on Terror? There is, for instance, much evidence that the Putin regime is in league with Islamists on many levels. (Click here to see Pavel Stroilov interview.) Alsayef: I wouldn't call this evidence. When someone portrays that "FSB blew up four apartment blocks in Russia, and then were caught red-handed attempting to blow-up the fifth" as a fact, the rest of his "facts" must be taken with a grain of salt. Did the FSB have the ability to blow up four buildings in Moscow? Absolutely. Would the FSB blow up those buildings? I find it highly improbable. Could the FSB get caught red-handed attempting to blow-up the fifth building? Absolutely not. Who would they get caught by? The cops? The cops can't touch them. By the FSB itself? Not bloody likely. The "fact" that the FSB blew up those buildings is as much of a fact as the "fact" that the CIA blew up the Twin Towers. It is nothing more than a conspiracy theory, and Mr. Stroilov should know better than present it as a fact. The claim that "The Putin-Medvedev regime is doomed" shows that Mr. Stroilov seems to prefer wishful thinking to reality. Barring an act of God, Putin will rule Russia for a long time, no matter what title he comes up with, president, prime minister, or Tzar. FP: Well, the connection between the FSB and the blow up of four buildings in Moscow appears to me to be pretty solid in terms of what I have studied, and the Twin Towers conspiracy theory analogy doesn’t match in anyway. But we’ll leave this for another forum. Pavel Stroilov is welcome to contribute to our pages on this issue if he wishes. Let’s get to Putin and the tie to Islamists. Alsayef: In terms of the tie between Putin to the Islamists, first, and pretty much the only one, is Bushehr. Everybody knows that the Iranian nuclear program, euphemistically speaking, goes beyond energy. The Russians know that. The Americans know that. Even the IAEA knows that. What the Russians don't seem to understand, or maybe simply don't care about, is that an Iranian-made nuke could be detonated in Moscow just as easily as it could be detonated in Washington. Since I'm not privy to the Russian-Iranian nuclear deal, I might not be aware of some safeguards. For example, the Russians might control the weaponized nuclear material production and would be able to match the bomb signature to the reactor. However it is unlikely for Iranians to use a nuclear weapon without plausible deniability, therefore it probably will be given to a third party. This third party most likely would be a radical Islamic group that might ignore the wishes of its masters and detonate the bomb anywhere. Second is Syria. Syria is a Muslim country and it has a fascist regime, but it is secular. However, Syria-Iranian proxy Hizballah is an Islamist group and weapons sold to Syria have been known to turn up in Hizballah arsenal. Third is Venezuela. Again, Venezuela's government is hardly Islamist, but Chavez offered Venezuelan passports to radical Muslims who want to go to the United States. As for al-Zawahiri, being the FSB secret agent, that's just another unsubstantiated and highly improbable rumor. FP: Russia’s stance on the War on Terror? Alsayef: If the terror is within Russian borders, Russia is very forcefully against it. The famous Putin's phrase about the terrorists is "budem mochit' v sortire" which roughly translates into "we'll whack them in the toilet." But if the terror is outside of Russia and it ties up American resources, then we have a different story. After all, Putin still sees America as Russia’s main rival; the fact that the feelings are not mutual, is somewhat of an insult to him. Russia doesn't mind that much. However, the biggest threat to Russia is not America, it is radicalizing Muslim population within its own borders as well as in Russia's former satellites. Putin is focusing on America while overlooking a growing Islamist threat at home. As the last decades show, radicalization of Muslims always translates into bloodshed, but Putin's government seems to think that it is immune. FP: Ilshat Alsayef, thank you for joining Frontpage Interview. Alsayef: Thank you Jamie.
Iran Challenges
Obama by Hiking Tensions on Israel’s Borders
DEBKAfile
(November 8, 2008)
- The strategy the Islamic regime has charted for the new US
president hinges on fanning tensions on Israel’s northern and
southern borders while putting a damper on the various Middle East
peace initiatives. Syria was therefore discouraged from returning to
its indirect peace track with Israel and Hamas ordered to boycott
Egypt’s bid to patch up the quarrel between the Palestinian factions
Hamas and Fatah.
Rebbetzin Esther Jungreis: Prepare for the Coming of Messiah
Israel National News (October 27, 2008)
- Internationally renowned Jewish inspirational speaker
Rebbetzin Esther Jungreis warns that we are feeling the "birth pangs
of the Mashiach," with limited time to save ourselves from dark
prophecies surrounding his arrival.
Iranian Nuke Scientist: Weekend Quake was a Nuclear Test
Israel National News
(October 30, 2008) - A weekend 5.0
Richter earthquake in Iran was actually a nuclear bomb test, says an
Iranian nuclear scientist claiming to be working on the project. The
report is an
Israel Insider exclusive. This past Saturday night, southern Iran
experienced what was reported as a significant earthquake - a seismic
event measuring 5.0 on the Richter scale. Its epicenter was just north
of the strategic Straits of Hormuz, which separates Iran from Abu Dhabi
and Oman and which is the gateway to the Persian Gulf.
Solana’s speech to Institute for Security Studies
Consilium Europa
(October 30, 2008) - Dear friends, Let
me start our "tour d'horizon" with the financial crisis. It has been the
emblematic event of 2008, putting all else into the background. It is
worth analysing, especially for its consequences for foreign policy.
Allow me to make some observations:
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Iran
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Gog/Magog
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EU/UN
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Solana
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Mideast: Putting the 'Peace Puzzle' Together
CBN News
(October 28, 2008) - As U.S.
presidential hopefuls John McCain and Barack Obama begin the last week
of campaigning before next Tuesday's election, events shaping up in
Israel, Syria and the Palestinian Authority will no doubt factor into
the winning candidate's challenges in the White House.
Obama and Ahmadinejad
Forbes
(October 26, 2008)
- Is Barack Obama the "promised warrior" coming to help the
Hidden Imam of Shiite Muslims conquer the world? The question has
made the rounds in Iran since last month, when a pro-government Web
site published a Hadith (or tradition) from a Shiite text of the
17th century. The tradition comes from Bahar al-Anvar (meaning
Oceans of Light) by Mullah Majlisi, a magnum opus in 132 volumes and
the basis of modern Shiite Islam. This is interesting in light of
my study of the
False Prophet of scripture and my belief that he will be the
12th Imam. This is also interesting in light of
past comments by Ahmadinejad regarding Jesus coming with the 12th
Imam. In a greeting to the
world's Christians for the coming new year, Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said he expects both Jesus and the Shiite
messianic figure, Imam Mahdi, to return and "wipe away
oppression." "I wish all the Christians
a very happy new year and I wish to ask them a question as
well," said Ahmadinejad, according to an Iranian Student News
Agency report cited by
YnetNews.com "My one question from the
Christians is: What would Jesus do if he were present in the
world today? What would he do before some of the oppressive
powers of the world who are in fact residing in Christian
countries? Which powers would he revive and which of them would
he destroy?" asked the Iranian leader. "If Jesus were present
today, who would be facing him and who would be following him?" According to
scripture (Revelation
13) there is
a false Christ, an antichrist, who is the man of sin. He will
present himself as the savior of humanity that should be worshipped,
although I don't think he will actually claim to be Jesus. I think
that the New Agey idea of "Christ consciousness" will be used
instead and through his policies, an appearance of peace will be
created...for those who accept him and participate. I believe that
the 12th Mahdi/Imam may be that beast from the earth (comes up from
a well) and the political head of the
Revived Roman Empire in the West is the beast from the sea. Keep
watching.
Top Iran officials recommend preemptive strike against Israel
Haaretz
(October 22, 2008) - Senior Tehran
officials are recommending a preemptive strike against Israel to
prevent an Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear reactors, a senior
Islamic Republic official told foreign diplomats two weeks ago in
London. The official, Dr. Seyed G. Safavi, said recent threats by
Israeli authorities strengthened this position, but that as of yet,
a preemptive strike has not been integrated into Iranian policy.
Post-'excellent' speech euphoria at the UN
The Jerusalem Post
(October 22, 2008) - Father Miguel
D'Escoto Brockmann, the 75-year-old Nicaraguan Catholic priest, winner
of the International Lenin Peace Prize and newly elected president since
September 16 of the UN General Assembly for the current session, is not
just a "fan of plain words," he is also a fan of heroic deeds. On
September 23, we were witnesses to a 21st-century chamber of horrors at
the 63rd session of the UN General Assembly, when he said: "On behalf of
the General Assembly, I wish to thank his excellency the president of
the Islamic Republic of Iran and request the representatives to remain
seated while I greet the president."
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Russian envoy: Tehran-Moscow ties in an unprecedented stage
Islamic Republic News
Agency
(October 16, 2008) - Russian Ambassador to Tehran
Alexander Sadonikov said here Wednesday that Iran-Russia relations
are now in an unprecedented stage and mutual cooperation in the oil
and gas sectors will get a boost in the near future. "Now, there are
good and growing cooperation between the two countries in different
economic and industrial sectors, an instance of which being Bushehr
atomic power plant," Sadonikov told IRNA on the sidelines of his
tour of the Teachers Training Center of Iran's technical and
Vocational Organization. He said Iran, Russia and Azerbaijan have
launched good cooperation in transportation sector, especially in
the Caspian Sea, which will also be in favor of Europe and the
region. He lauded Iran's progress in setting up such a big and
developed center for technical and vocational purposes.
Swords and Shields: Russia shields Syria
Space War
(October 16, 2008) - Until Russia can revitalize
its naval forces to a much larger degree, its deployments to the
Mediterranean contribute more to symbolic and diplomatic activity than
being a viable military counterweight to NATO in the region. Yet the
Black Sea Fleet in the Med is a significant show of force and a
diplomatic irritant and a potential threat to shipping in the Suez Canal
and to America's ally Israel. The increased Russian naval presence in
the region means that the Kremlin is seeking to cultivate Syria as a
close regional ally, and is looking to secure additional bases for the
Black Sea Fleet besides its current base in the Black Sea port of
Sevastopol.
Jalili's letter to Solana circulated as UN Security Council document
Tehran Times
(October 12, 2008) - Iran's letter to EU foreign
policy chief Javier Solana and foreign ministers of the 5+1 group has
been circulated as the UN Security Council's document. America bad, Europe good is
what I see here from Iran.
Iceland turns to Russia for bailout
RIA Novosti
(October 10, 2008) - Russia has agreed to bail out
Iceland by granting this small island state a huge stabilization loan at
an unbelievably low interest rate. Is it an act of wanton generosity, or
a far-sighted geopolitical step? And in general, four billion euros, is
it a lot or a little? The fate of Iceland has until recently not
concerned Russia one bit. Now only a lazy person is not discussing the
incredible sum the "island of stability" is going to inject into the
economy of a sinking island of geysers. There are several reasons why
Russia should agree to issue the loan to Iceland. The first and
overwhelming one is geo-economic. Leaders in many countries are
gradually beginning to understand that a world caught in the maelstrom
of a financial crisis could be saved only by cooperative efforts. This
was a theme running through a three-day world policy conference in
Evian; it will certainly be taken up at an annual meeting of the
International Monetary Fund and World Bank.
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| Proverbs 22:7 This principle is how I believe
the world will be forced into a global fix for the economic failures
by those who are the lenders. Perhaps the servants will be offered a
clean slate in exchange for participation in the new system. I
wouldn't be surprised because ultimately the spirit behind this is
not worried about making money, but pulling souls away from their
Creator and according to scripture, those who accept the terms of
the new cashless system that relies on a mark make not only an
immediate decision, but one that affects their eternity. Revelation 14:9-11 It seems to me the house of
cards is falling and everything that they try to do in order to prop
it back up fails to do anything to stop it. How close are we to
being indentured servants as a nation who will be offered a new
financial system as a way out? I don't know for sure, but there are
already globalization talks going on for the financial system:
Foreign economists urge 'global plan'
Syria rebuffs nuclear inspectors
BBC News
(October 3, 2008) - The head of Syria's nuclear
programme has said that the country's military sites will remain
off-limits to international nuclear inspectors. Damascus said it would
co-operate with an International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inquiry
only if it did not threaten its national security. The watchdog is
investigating claims of a secret Syrian nuclear programme. Syria's
announcement comes after it dropped a bid to win a place on the board of
the IAEA.
Hamas plotting West Bank takeover in early 2009
World Tribune
(September 24, 2008) - The Palestinian Authority has opted
for a holding pattern rather than developing a strategy to block the
opposition Hamas movement from seizing power in the West Bank. PA
security sources said PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas has refused to respond
to appeals by senior officers to implement a range of measures to
protect the Fatah-aligned regime from Hamas threats.
Syria poised to invade Lebanon
WorldNet Daily
(September 24, 2008) - New concerns are being raised by the
possibility that Syria may launch troops into Lebanon by using a pretext
of concern over assaults on a Lebanese faction sympathetic to the Syrian
leadership, according to a report from Joseph Farah's G2 Bulletin.
Confirmed reports reveal that there are some 10,000 Syrian special
forces troops massed on the northern border of Lebanon. A small Alawite
faction near the northern city of Tripoli, Lebanon, has been in repeated
gun fights with Sunni militants. The area's majority population is
Sunni. The Alawites are of the same tribe as Syrian President Bashar
Assad. Most of Syria's top security and military officials also are
Alawite.
Syrian Tripwire For WWIII
Op Ed News - Lord Stirling
(September 19, 2008) - Russian Rear Admiral Andrei Baranov
has disclosed that 10 Russian warships are already anchored at the
Syrian port of Tartus. Russian engineering crews are widening and
dredging the port to accommodate additional Russian warships. The
Russians are making clear their intentions of using the large
Russian naval presence in Tartus as a deterrent to Israeli air
strikes against Syria using the powerful anti-air missiles on-board
the Russian naval warships. These missile systems can sweep the sky
over most of Syria and knock down Israeli F-15 and F-16 fighters.
This changes the balance of power in the air over Syria. This also
places a tripwire for World War III in place in the Middle East. Any
attack on Iran will also involve a war with Syria and Lebanon. This will
now involve Russian military forces in direct support of the
Iranian/Syrian alliance. Russia is a major nuclear power with the power
to destroy every American and NATO city. George Bush has just agreed to
sell Israel 1,000 very advanced American bunker buster bombs for use in
the coming war with Iran, Syria, and Lebanon. Could these Russian warships
assist in getting men and materiel from the North through Lebanon
into the mountains of Israel? They certainly seem to be preparing
for plenty of Russian ships to be there for something. What Lord
Stirling calls WWIII, I believe will be cut short when God destroys
the attackers in the mountains of Israel. This doesn't mean that
elsewhere around the world there won't be issues. Remember that the
second seal is men killing each other and the
third is an apparent economic collapse. If you've just joined
the newsletter, you can see where I think this is leading
here
and
here. We could be seeing the unfolding of events that will lead
to Israel rebuilding the temple and the coming abomination of
desolation.
Bush Agrees to War on Iran
Op Ed News - Lord Stirling
(September 17, 2008) - The United States has agreed to sell
to Israel 1,000 of the very advanced bunker buster GBU-39 bombs. This is
a major development as the Bush Administration had denied previous
recent Israeli requests for large numbers of this weapon system. The
GBU-39 has a stand off range of 110 km and uses pop-out wings with
extremely accurate fire and forget technology. It is capable of
penetrating 90 cm of steel reinforced concrete. This indicates that the
Israeli Government has succeeded in its request that America allow it to
attack Iranian nuclear facilities. The GBU-39s will be used extensively
in attacks on Iranian targets, as well as on Syrian and Hezbollah high
value targets in both Syria and Lebanon.
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IDF intelligence: Syria strengthening ties with radical axis
YNet News
(September 15, 2008) - Head of Military Intelligence research
division tells Knesset committee Damascus simultaneously boosting
ties with West, radical countries. Adds: Hamas establishing bona
fide country in Gaza. "Syria is moving forward along the path of peace
and openness toward the West while simultaneously strengthening its ties
to the radical axis," the head of the research division of Military
Intelligence, Brigadier General Yossi Baidatz told the Knesset's Foreign
Affairs and Defense Committee Monday.
Ahmadinejad:
Iran will support Hamas until collapse of Israel
Haaretz
(September
13, 2008) - Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad vowed Friday to
keep supporting the Palestinian militant group Hamas until the "collapse
of Israel." The Iranian news agency Khabar quoted Ahmadinejad as telling
Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh that Iran views the support of the
Palestinian people as part of its religious and national duty and that
Iran will stand behind the Palestinian nation "until the big victory
feast which is the collapse of the Zionist regime." In a phone
conversation between the two leaders, the Iranian president said that
the continued Hamas resistance against Israel and the group's
achievements would always be "a source of pride for all Muslims." Iran
does not acknowledge the sovereignty of Israel and vowed to support
Hamas until what Ahmadinejad calls "deliverance from Zionists (Israel)."
Haniyeh, the leader of the Islamist Hamas movement in the Gaza Strip,
was elected Palestinian prime minister in 2006, but was dismissed in
June 2007 by Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, after Hamas violently
seized control over the Gaza Strip from Abbas' Palestinian Authority.
Nasrallah: No peace in Middle East as long as Israel exists
Haaretz
(September
11, 2008) - The Hezbollah leader went on to say that his
Lebanon-based guerilla group is stronger than ever and is prepared for
its next confrontation with Israel. "Any Israeli attack on Lebanon,
Iran, Syria or Gaza will be met with a fierce response," Nasrallah said.
He added that Hezbollah has grown logistically and militarily stronger,
claiming that all of Lebanon has united against a common enemy - Israel.
One subject Nasrallah did not broach in the interview is the
assassination last February of the group's second-in-command, Imad
Mughniyeh. Nasrallah did not discuss how or when his group would avenge
the killing. Recent Israeli intelligence reports, however, have
suggested that Hezbollah is planning to abduct Israelis abroad as
revenge for Mughniyeh's assassination.
Four dead, 26 injured in Iran quake near oil port
Hot News Turkey
(September
10, 2008) - The U.S. Geological Service said the quake's magitude
was 6.1 and it struck at 1100 GMT about 53 km (33 miles) west-southwest
of Bandar Abbas, which is home to an oil refinery and the country's main
navy base. "All our rescue groups are on alert in Bandar Abbas and
(nearby) Qeshm island. We have sent groups to the area. There is the
possibility of casualties and fatalities," Hazbavi earlier told Reuters.
Iranian reports variously described the quake as 6.0 and 7.5 on the
Richter scale. The earthquake in southern Iran was 7.5 on richter scale,
Iran's Fars News Agency said, citing Iranian official. State television
said the tremor lasted about 30 seconds but was followed by at least 10
aftershocks, the most powerful measuring 4.8 on the Richter Scale.
Iran's state-owned Press TV described the tremor as strong but said
there were no reports of casualties. "Its centre was Bandar-e Khamir. It
might have damaged old parts of the place but we still don't have any
(casualty) reports," an Interior Ministry official told Reuters.
more...
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to Return to U.S.
Fox News
(September
10, 2008) - A U.N. spokesman has confirmed to FOX News that
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will return to the U.S. to address
the U.N.'s assembly on Sept. 23. Jewish groups plan to hold a large
protest rally under the slogan "Stop Iran Now!" during Ahmadinejad's
visit, Israel National News reported. The rally will take place in Dag
Hammarskjöld Plaza, next to the U.N. building in which Ahmadinejad is
scheduled to address the General Assembly. The visit comes a year after
Ahmadinejad addressed students and faculty at Columbia University last
fall. During his last visit, Ahmadinejad ignited a media firestorm with
controversial comments in which he refuted the claim that Iran
discriminates against women, and was derided loudly by the audience when
he said there are no homosexuals in his country. Several people
contested Ahmadinejad's invitation from Columbia and criticized the
university for extending one. While Columbia President Lee Bolligner
offered a scathing introduction to Ahmadinejad's address, it offered
little comfort for those opposed to the event.
Syria warns of 'catastrophic' effect of any Israeli strike on Iran
Breitbart.com
(September
2, 2008) - Syrian President Bashar al-Assad warned Tuesday that
an attack by Israel on Iran would have catastrophic consequences for the
entire world. "We think that Israel could try to launch attacks against
Iran, even against Lebanon or Syria," he said in an interview with
France 3 television. "Any attack by Israel or by anyone else will have
catastrophic results not only on the region but on the whole world," he
said. In recent months several Israeli politicians have talked of the
possibility of a preemptive military strike against Iranian nuclear
facilities to avoid any possibility of Tehran acquiring an atomic
weapon. Iran has responded by threatening retaliatory strikes with its
Shahab-3 missiles which have a nominal range of 2,000 kilometres (1,250
miles) -- enough to reach Israel.
Israel foils 5 attempted abductions by Hizbullah
YNet News
(September
2, 2008) - Defense establishment, with assistance of foreign
intelligence agencies, successfully hinders attempts to kidnap Israeli
businessmen in Europe, West Africa, US, South America and Asia. The
Israeli defense establishment has been able to foil five attempted
kidnappings of Israeli businessmen, operating aboard, by Hizbullah,
Yedioth Ahronoth reported Tuesday. A senior security source told the
paper that "this was a concentrated effort by Hizbullah, backed by Iran,
to carry out kidnappings in retaliation for the assassination of top
Hizbullah operative Imad Mugniyah. "Hizbullah," he said, "is scouring
for prey, and it's going country by county." Israel has reportedly been
able to intercept such attempts in Europe, West Africa, the US, South
America and Asia, where Hizbullah relies on local Shiite communities for
assistance. All the attempted were foiled with the assistance of foreign
intelligence agencies, who are acutely aware of Hizbullah and Iran's
declared vendetta. The defense establishment has apparently cautioned
several prominent businessmen, who travel extensively, of such attempts.
"We're working under the assumption that there may be an attempt to
kidnap them, but there very well may be an attempt on their lives. We're
monitoring this situation very closely," said the security source.
"Several businessmen owe their lives and their freedom to this emergency
operation; which was largely facilitated thanks to the cooperation we
received from various foreign intelligence agencies." The American media
reported recently of several attempts made by Hizbullah sleeper-cells in
the US to target Jewish institutions in the US and Canada. The Foreign
Ministry and the Shin Bet have also recalled several Israeli emissaries
from countries deemed to have a volatile security situation. Security
sources told Yedioth Ahronoth that Israel is equally concerned about
known Hamas' intentions to abduct soldiers, in at attempt to shift the
balance of power in any future negotiation for the release of
Palestinian prisoners. Hamas operates under the assumption that
kidnapping more Israeli soldiers would enable it to double, if not
triple, the price for the release if kidnapped IDF soldier Gilad Shalit,
leaving Israel virtually powerless to refuse. The Counter Terrorism
Bureau issued a rare, worldwide travel advisory for Israelis recently,
warning of possible attempts by Hizbullah to kidnap or harm Israelis
abroad.
Hizbullah-Iran-Syria-Lebanon Axis Tightens
Israel National News
(August 24, 2008) - Hizbullah leader Hassan
Nasrallah warned Sunday his terrorist army is much stronger than before
the Second Lebanon War and can destroy Israel. He issued the threat at a
Boy Scout ceremony as a response to Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's remark
last week that "if Lebanon becomes a Hizbullah state, then we won't have
any restrictions" in striking the country. The Prime Minister claimed
that during the last war, Israel did not use all of its firepower
because the enemy was Hizbullah and not its host country Lebanon.
Lebanese Prime Minister Fuad Siniora has sent United Nations
Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon a letter protesting Olmert's remarks.
Siniora, at a meeting with his Cabinet, accused Israel of "once again…
threatening to launch a new attack on Lebanon, forgetting that the
[Israeli] occupation was the core of the problem for Lebanon and the
region." The flurry of threats and warnings came two days after a report
in the Italian newspaper Corriere Della Sera that three Hizbullah
leaders visited Russia in July to clinch a deal involving the purchase
of anti-tank missiles and air-defense systems. Israel disclosed evidence
during the Second Lebanon War that Hizbullah used advanced Russian
anti-tank missiles smuggled from Syria, in violation of previous
international agreements. Nasrallah said, in a speech televised by the
Hizbullah-backed Al Manar satellite network, that his arsenal of weapons
is so great that "the Zionists will think not one thousand times but
tens of thousands of times before they attack Lebanon." The prospect of
an Israeli attack on Iran's growing nuclear threat also played a hand in
Hizbullah's latest threats. Mohammed Raad, the head of the terrorist
party's political bloc in the Lebanese government, warned, "The first
shot fired from the Zionist entity toward Iran will be met by a response
of 11,000 rockets in the direction of the Zionist entity. This is what
military leaders in the Islamic Republic [Iran] have confirmed."
Hizbullah has become a stronger political force in Lebanon since the end
of the war two summers ago, winning enough representation in the Cabinet
to veto any major decisions. Syria, which aided Hizbullah in the
Second Lebanon War, last week established diplomatic relations with
Lebanon for the first time in history, providing Syrian President Bashar
Assad with a stronger political base in Beirut's affairs after having
withdrawn its military from Lebanon before the 2006 war. Syria has
dominated Lebanese affairs for 30 years, and the West has joined
Lebanese opponents of Syrian interference in Lebanese affairs in
accusing Damascus of being behind the the 2005 assassination of
anti-Syrian former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. The new Lebanese
government that gives Hizbullah more power assures Syria that it still
can influence affairs in Lebanon, with the naming of Michel Suleiman as
president. He is close to Syria and was the Lebanese army chief for 10
years during the Syrian army's control of the country. "It's a win-win
situation," said Patrick Seale, a British expert on Syria told the
Associated Press. "The Lebanese get diplomatic recognition and the
Syrians get recognition of vital interests in Lebanon."
'Israel reaches strategic decision not to let Iran go nuclear'
The Jerusalem Post
(August
29, 2008) - Israel will not allow Iran to attain nuclear
capability and if time begins to run out, Jerusalem will not hesitate to
take whatever means necessary to prevent Iran from achieving its nuclear
goals, the government has recently decided in a special discussion.
According to the Israeli daily Ma'ariv, whether the United States
and Western countries succeed in thwarting the Islamic Republic's
nuclear ambitions diplomatically, through sanctions, or whether a US
strike on Iran is eventually decided upon, Jerusalem has begun preparing
for a separate, independent military strike. So far, Israel has not
received American authorization to use US-controlled Iraqi airspace, nor
has the defense establishment been successful in securing the purchase
of advanced US-made warplanes which could facilitate an Israeli strike.
The Americans have offered Israel permission to use a global early
warning radar system, implying that the US is pushing Israel to settle
for defensive measures only. Because of Israel's lack of strategic
depth, Jerusalem has consistently warned in recent years that it will
not settle for a 'wait and see' approach, merely retaliating to an
attack, but will rather use preemption to prevent any risk of being hit
in the first place. Ephraim Sneh a veteran Labor MK who has recently
left the party, has reportedly sent a document to both US presidential
candidates, John McCain and Barack Obama. The eight-point document
states that "there is no government in Jerusalem that would ever
reconcile itself to a nuclear Iran. When it is clear Iran is on the
verge of acquiring nuclear weapons, an Israeli military strike to
prevent this will be seriously considered." According to Ma'ariv,
Sneh offered the two candidates the "sane, cheap and the only option
that does not necessitate bloodshed." To prevent Iran's nuclear
aspirations, Sneh wrote, "real" sanctions applied by the US and Europe
were necessary. A total embargo in spare parts for the oil industry and
a total boycott of Iranian banks would promptly put an end to the
regime, which is already pressured by a sloping economy and would be
toppled by the Iranian people if they have outside assistance, he said.
The window of opportunity Sneh suggests is a year and a half to two
years, until 2010. Sneh also visited Switzerland
and Austria last week in an attempt to lobby them against the Iranian
threat. Both countries have announced massive long-term investments in
Iranian gas and oil fields for the next decade. "Talk of the Jewish
Holocaust and Israel's security doesn't impress these guys," Sneh said
wryly. Hearing his hosts speak of their future investments, Sneh replied
quietly "it's a shame, because Ido will light all this up." He was
referring to Maj. Gen. Ido Nehushtan, the recently appointed IAF
commander and the man most likely to be the one to orchestrate Israel's
attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, should this become a necessity.
"Investing in Iran in 2008," Sneh told his Austrian hosts, "is like
investing in the Krupp steelworks in 1938, it's a high risk investment."
The Austrians, according to Sneh, turned pale. In related news, a top
official said Friday that Iran had increased the number of operating
centrifuges at its uranium enrichment plant to 4,000. Deputy Foreign
Minister Ali Reza Sheikh Attar, who visited the Natanz plant last week,
said that Iran was preparing to install even more centrifuges, though he
did not offer a timeframe. "Right now, nearly 4,000 centrifuges are
operating at Natanz," Attar told the state news agency IRNA. "Currently,
3,000 other centrifuges are being installed." Meanwhile, the pan-Arabic
Al Kuds al Arabi reported Friday that Iran had equipped Hizbullah
with longer range missiles than those it possessed before the Second
Lebanon War and had also improved the guerrilla group's targeting
capabilities. According to the report, which The Jerusalem Post
could not verify independently, Hizbullah was planning a massive rocket
onslaught on targets reaching deep into Israel's civilian underbelly in
case Israel launches an attack on Iran.
'Hizbullah tightens hold on Venezuela'
The Jerusalem Post
(August
28, 2008) - Agents of Hizbullah and Iran's Revolutionary Guard
have deployed special forces in Venezuela intended to kidnap Jewish
businessmen and smuggle them to Lebanon, Israel Radio reported Thursday.
An expert on counter-terrorism warned in an interview with The Los
Angeles Times that Iranian-backed agents have managed to recruit
collaborators among Venezuelan citizens living in the capital Caracas.
The collaborators are supposed to observe traffic at the Caracas airport
and around it in order to collect information on Jewish travelers there.
Hizbullah has strengthened its grasp of Venezuela following the warm
relationship that grew between Venezuela and Iran. Experts quoted by the
Times warned that Venezuela might become a base out of which Hizbullah
could carry out terror attacks.
Iran's
Ahmadinejad, Russia's Medvedev to hold talks
Tehran Times
(August
25, 2008) - Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad will hold talks
with his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev on the sidelines the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in Dushanbe which begins on
Thursday. Ahmadinejad and Medvedev will talk about strengthening
relations between the two countries and discuss regional and
international issues, the Fars News Agency reported. This is the first
time that two presidents meet each other. The SCO’s eighth conference
will be held on August 28 and 29. It will be attended by the presidents
of China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan as
its permanent members, the heads of state from Iran, India, Mongolia
plus Pakistani foreign minister as observers, and the leaders of
Turkmenistan and Afghanistan as guests. The Shanghai Cooperation
Organization (SCO) is an intergovernmental international organization
founded in Shanghai on 15 June 2001 by six countries, China, Russia,
Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. Its member states
cover an area of about three fifths of Eurasia, with a population of
1.455 billion. Its working languages are Chinese and Russian. The
organization’s main objectives include strengthening confidence among
the members, increasing political, scientific, cultural, and educational
as well as energy, transportation, tourism cooperation between the
member states.
Iran's Ahmadinejad in New Verbal Attack on Israel
AFP
(August
23, 2008) - Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad renewed his
verbal attacks on arch-foe Israel on Saturday, accusing it of dragging
the world into turmoil and predicting its demise. "About 2,000 organised
Zionists and 7,000 to 8,000 agents of Zionism have dragged the world
into turmoil," Ahmadinejad told a rally in the central Iranian city of
Arak carried live on state television. He said that if the West does not
restrain Zionism, "the powerful hand of the nations will clean these
sources of corruption from the face of the earth," without specifying
which nations. Iran does not recognise the Jewish state and Ahmadinejad
has drawn international condemnation by repeatedly saying since his
election in 2005 that Israel is doomed to disappear. Last month Vice
President Esfandiar Rahim Mashaie triggered controversy and calls for
his resignation when he said Iranians are "friends with Israelis."
Israel, the Middle East's sole if undeclared nuclear power, accuses Iran
of seeking atomic weapons and wants tougher sanctions against the
Islamic republic to make it halt its controversial nuclear programme.
Iran insists that its nuclear ambitions are purely peaceful and aimed at
meeting the country's growing energy needs. I guess at least he's honest
about his intentions.
Fear of new Mid East 'Cold War' as Syria strengthens military alliance
with Russia Times Online
(August 21, 2008) - Syria raised the
prospect yesterday of having Russian missiles on its soil, sparking
fears of a new Cold War in the Middle East. President Assad said as he
arrived in Moscow to clinch a series of military agreements: “We are
ready to co-operate with Russia in any project that can strengthen its
security.” The Syrian leader told Russian newspapers: “I think Russia
really has to think of the response it will make when it finds itself
closed in a circle.” Mr Assad said that he would be discussing the
deployment of Russian missiles on his territory. The Syrians are also
interested in buying Russian weapons. In return Moscow is expected to
propose a revival of its Cold War era naval base at the Syrian port of
Tartus, which would give the Russian Navy its first foothold in the
Mediterranean for two decades. Damascus and Moscow were close allies
during the Cold War but the Kremlin’s influence in the region waned
after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Yesterday’s rapprochement raised
the possibility that Moscow intends to re-create a global anti-Western
alliance with former Soviet bloc allies. Many in Israel fear that the
Middle East could once again become a theatre for the two great powers
to exert their spheres of influence, militarily and politically. And
with Israel and the US providing military backing to Georgia, Russia
appears set to respond in kind by supporting Syria. Already, Israeli
observers worry that the chaos in the Caucasus may disrupt gas supplies
to Europe and Turkey from the Caspian Sea region, creating a greater
energy reliance on Iran and its vast reserves. The crisis could in turn
allow Tehran to exploit splits in the international community and use
Russia as a backer to advance its nuclear programme. Russia has wooed
Syria in recent years, as it has tried to increase its influence in the
Middle East and increase arms sales. Syria and Israel recently confirmed
they had been holding indirect talks to reach a peace deal after decades
of hostility. Part of Syria’s motivation was to break the international
isolation it has suffered for its strategic alliance with Tehran. A
closer alliance with a resurgent Russia could afford Mr Assad a way out
of any binding commitment. Some Israeli analysts even fear that it could
encourage Syria to try to take back the Golan Heights, captured by
Israel in 1967, by force. The Georgia conflict sparked a mocking speech
with Cold War rhetoric by Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, the Hezbollah leader,
over the performance of Israeli-trained Georgian troops. One of the
Israeli military advisers there was reserve Brigadier-General Gal
Hirsch, who commanded a division in Israel’s inconclusive war with
Hezbollah in 2006, and who resigned his commission afterwards. “Gal
Hirsch, who was defeated in Lebanon, went to Georgia and they too lost
because of him,” the Shia leader taunted. “Relying on Israeli experts
and weapons, Georgia learnt why the Israeli generals failed. “What
happened in Georgia is a message to all those the Americans are seeking
to entangle in dangerous adventures.” What are the chances of this
Syrian-Russian alliance and fear in Israel that the growing
instability for their nation because of the energy crisis and
threats against her could lead to a pre-emptive attack on Damascus?
And what are the chances that Russia and Iran would retaliate?
Considering Turkey's recent attempts to reconcile Syria and Israel,
would they consider Israel's action against Damascus worth declaring
war against her with Russia and Turkey as prophesied? Keep watching.
Monitor: UN peacekeepers in Lebanon co-opted by Hizbullah
World Tribune
(August 20, 2008) - A consultant to the
United Nations said its peace-keeping force in Lebanon has been
effectively paralyzed. An independent monitoring group, registered as a
consultant to the UN, said UNIFIL could not act without permission of
Hizbullah and the Lebanese government it now controls. "They [UNIFIL]
mustn't accept Hizbullah blackmailing," Toni Nissi, general coordinator
of the Lebanese Committee for UN Security Council Resolution 1559 said.
[On Aug. 19, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said Israel would lift
any limitations on military operations should Lebanon turn into what he
termed a Hizbullah state. Olmert said Israel had restrained itself
during the 2006 war with Hizbullah to avoid damage to Lebanon.] In a
briefing on Aug. 16, Nissi said UNIFIL has become a hostage of
Hizbullah. He said the government of Lebanese Prime Minister Fuad
Siniora has refused to grant permission to UN peace-keepers to halt
Hizbullah weapons smuggling or deployment south of the Litani River, a
key element of Security Council resolution 1701, which ended the
Israeli-Hizbullah war in 2006. "1701 also calls for the implementation
of [Security Council resolution] 1559, especially the disarmament of the
militias, and calls for sealing the border between Lebanon and Syria and
forbidding the entering of arms and weapons via the border, especially
to Hizbullah," Nissi said. "So Hizbullah is violating 1701 big time, and
not only by hiding its weapons in warehouses in the south. Also, we
haven't seen any weapons coming out of the south after the war of 2006.
So did Hizbullah throw its weapons used in the 2006 war into the sea?"
The monitoring group, with representatives in Lebanon and other
countries, disputed an assertion by UNIFIL commander Maj. Gen. Claudio
Graziano that Hizbullah was honoring resolution 1701. Graziano also said
UNIFIL maintained excellent relations with the militia. "Is the UNIFIL
mandate to coordinate with Hizbullah or to kick Hizbullah out south of
the Litani?" Nissi responded. Former UNIFIL adviser Timor Goksel said
the 13,500 international peace-keeping force has sought to avoid
friction with Hizbullah. Goksel told a briefing in Beirut that Hizbullah
has established a major presence in southern Lebanon. "I know they are
careful not to challenge UNIFIL and there is practically no visible
Hizbullah fighter to be seen," Goksel said. "As far as UNIFIL is
concerned, this is compliance."
Report warns of global fallout from invasion of Georgia, faults U.S.
intelligence World Tribune
(August 19, 2008) - Russia's invasion of
Georgia demonstrated Moscow's growing power and is making waves in the
Middle East, a report by a leading U.S. analyst said. The report by the
Institute for Contemporary Affairs asserted that Iran would be
emboldened by Moscow's successful military campaign. "The long-term
outcomes of the current Russian-Georgian war will be felt far and wide,
from Afghanistan to Iran, and from the Caspian to the Mediterranean,"
the report, titled "The Russian-Georgian War: Implications for the
Middle East," said. "The war is a mid-sized earthquake which indicates
that the geopolitical tectonic plates are shifting, and nations in
the Middle East, including Israel, need to take notice." Authored by
Ariel Cohen, the report said Russia's strategic goals included
increasing control of energy pipelines to Turkey. Cohen also warned
Israel not to provoke Moscow or rely on U.S. support against Iran,
Middle East Newsline reported. "U.S. expressions of support of
the kind provided to Georgia — short of an explicit mutual defense pact
— may or may not result in military assistance if/when Israel is under
attack, especially when the attacker has an effective deterrent, such as
nuclear arms deliverable against U.S. targets," the report said. "In
the future, such an attacker could be Iran or an Arab country armed with
atomic weapons. Israel can and should rely on its own deterrent — a
massive survivable second-strike capability." The report criticized
the U.S. intelligence community, which failed to detect Russian
efforts to annex Georgia's Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Cohen, who
warned that Ukraine was Moscow's next target, said the Bush
administration did not prepare the Georgian military for a Russian
attack. "This is something to remember when looking at recent American
intelligence assessments of the Iranian nuclear threat or the
unsuccessful training of Palestinian Authority security forces against
Hamas," Cohen said. Cohen said a pro-Russian regime in Georgia would
result in Moscow's full control of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline
and the Baku-Erzurum natural gas pipeline, both of which reach Turkey.
Israel has been receiving some of its oil from Ceyhan and has a "stake
in the smooth flow of oil from the Caspian." The report said Russia
financed and armed the Russian ethnic community in Georgia to foment
unrest. Cohen compared this to Iran's use of proxies to attack Israel
from Lebanon and the Gaza Strip. "This use of small, ethnically-based
proxies is similar to Iran's use of Hizbullah and Hamas to continuously
attack Israel," the report said. "Tbilisi tried for years to deal
with these militias by offering a negotiated solution, including full
autonomy within Georgia." Cohen, a senior researcher at the
Washington-based Heritage Foundation, said Russia plans to extend its
influence throughout the Middle East. He cited Russian Navy bases in the
Syrian ports of Latakia and Tartous and plans to establish a presence in
Libya. "Clearly, with the renewal of East-West tensions as a result of
Russia's moves against Georgia, it will be much more difficult to obtain
Moscow's agreement to enhance sanctions and international pressures on
Iran," the report said. "The struggle to diplomatically halt its
[Iran's] nuclear program will become far more difficult." This article really touches on
several of the aspects of the sequence of events I believe will
unfold according to Bible prophecy. The intelligence community
failed to detect Russia's intentions/actions until they were
unfolding and the "global community" didn't do anything but condemn
the use of force, which sends a signal that Russia and others can
get away with actions like this. Furthermore, Israel is told they
would pretty much be on their own. Then it also says Israel should
rely on its own deterrent, a massive second-strike capability. Is it
too far-fetched to believe that Israel could make a pre-emptive
strike given the very vocal intentions to run Israel into the sea?
Israelis: War With Hezbollah Inevitable
Newsmax
(August 18, 2008) - The Israeli army says
Hezbollah has re-armed with 40,000 rockets — triple the number it had at
the start of the Lebanon War two years ago. Therefore, many Israelis
believe another war with Hezbollah is inevitable. "The war set the stage
for a more comprehensive Middle East conflict," said Israeli analyst
Michael Oren. "It set into motion a dynamic in the Arab world, where
much of the Arab street believes that Hezbollah won that war, and there
is tremendous expectation on Hezbollah to continue the struggle."
Hezbollah fired 4,000 rockets into Israel during the 34-day conflict.
But a massive Israeli air and ground assault failed to deal a knockout
blow to 5,000 Hezbollah guerrillas in South Lebanon, prompting an
official Israeli inquiry to describe the government's and army's
handling of the war as a failure. Oren says there were failures, but
also achievements. "Israel wreaked tremendous havoc in Lebanon in 2006,"
Oren said. "We destroyed all of Hezbollah's infrastructure, much of its
civilian headquarters, we killed about a quarter of their fighters, that
is a prohibitive number of casualties for any modern fighting force, and
yet perception is everything in the Middle East and the perception was,
in the Arab world at least, that Israel was bested in that conflict."
Under the U.N. ceasefire resolution that ended the war, about 13,000
international peacekeepers have deployed in South Lebanon. But Israel
charges that they have failed to fulfill their mandate of preventing
weapons smuggling to Hezbollah from Syria and Iran. With a bristling new
arsenal of rockets, Oren believes a Hezbollah attack on Israel is just a
matter of time. "Israel would then have to reply into Lebanon, possibly
drawing in the Syrians and ultimately the Iranians," Oren said. And with
the possible involvement of regional superpowers, the next war could be
much worse than the last one. Remember the news story
regarding Israel's warning that they would hold Damascus responsible
for Hezbollah's actions?
Report: Israel threatened to target Syria if
Hezbollah attacks
Iran, Turkey fail to reach deal on new pipeline
Associated Press
(August 14, 2008) - Iran and Turkey signed
several cooperation agreements Thursday but failed to complete a deal
for building a new natural gas pipeline — a project the United States
has opposed. Washington argues an energy deal by NATO ally Turkey with
Iran would send the wrong message while the West threatens Tehran with
new economic sanctions over its refusal to halt uranium enrichment. The
West believe Iran is trying to develop nuclear weapons, which Tehran
denies. On Thursday, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Turkish
President Abdullah Gul witnessed the public signing of a series of
agreements for cooperation in anti-drug efforts, environmental matters,
transportation, tourism and culture. The two nations also issued a joint
statement stressing their determination for further cooperation in
energy but they couldn't come to agreement on construction of the
proposed gas pipeline. "There are some snags," Turkey's interior
minister, Besir Atalay, said without providing any details. Turkish
Energy Minister Hilmi Guler said that "the negotiations will continue"
on the pipeline project, which is aimed at ensuring reliable supply of
Iranian natural gas to Turkey. Turkey already receives gas through an
existing pipeline from Iran, but its flow often is sporadic during the
winter. Relations between Turkey and Iran improved since Turkey's
Islamic-rooted governing party took power in 2002. Previous Turkish
governments had accused Iran of trying to export radical Islam to
secular Turkey, which hopes to join the European Union. The United
States also opposes plans for Turkish investment in Iran's South Pars
gas fields and the possibility of the Islamic Republic selling its gas
to European markets via an existing pipeline that carries gas to Europe
through Turkey.
Ahmadinejad in new Israel tirade before Turkey trip
Reuters
(August 13, 2008) - Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad launched a fresh verbal attack on Israel on
Wednesday on the eve of a visit to Israel's close ally Turkey, saying
Western countries should not support the Jewish state. The comments
highlight the difficult path which Turkey, a member of NATO, must follow
during the two-day visit which reflects its desire to remain on good
terms with its neighbor and secure future energy needs. "Western
countries should not support them (Israel) so much. The life of this
regime has come to an end," Ahmadinejad said in comments translated into
Turkish in a live interview broadcast by Turkey's NTV and CNN Turk
channels. "Our position is clear on this issue. A referendum should take
place in Palestine. If they withdraw from invaded lands it would be a
good step," he said. Turkish President Abdullah Gul and Prime Minister
Tayyip Erdogan have come under criticism at home and abroad for inviting
Ahmadinejad. Ankara has said his visit was necessary given a standoff
between Iran and the West over Tehran's disputed nuclear enrichment
program, but analysts said the visit was more about ensuring
centuries-old ties during a period of global tensions. Ahmadinejad said
the talks on Iran's nuclear program were on a "good path". I wonder just how close of an
ally Turkey is with Israel, outside of the mainstream's presentation
of their relationship. Considering what the Bible says, Turkey will
be part of the attack on Israel. The implication is that they are
brought with hooks in their jaws to the mountains of Israel. If my
understanding of the sequence of events from Bible prophecy is
accurate, could it be that Israel's attack of Damascus will be seen
by Turkey as a betrayal considering Turkey's public image of trying
to mediate a relationship between Israel and Syria? Would that be
enough to draw the primarily Muslim nation of Turkey against Israel
with Iran and Russia from the North through Lebanon? Keep watching.
'Syria and Hizbullah gaining strength'
The Jerusalem Post
(August 12, 2008) - Defense Minister Ehud
Barak said on Tuesday that "it is not a coincidence that the IDF is
holding intensive drills in the Golan Heights," adding that UNSC
Resolution 1701 was not accomplishing what it set out to do. "Hizbullah
has gained significant strength in the last couple of years," said Barak
during an IDF Armored Corps drill in the North. "We are closely
following a possible violation [of the resolution] caused by the
transfer of advanced weapons systems from Syria to Hizbullah. The
necessary preparations have been made, and regarding all the rest - I
always prefer not to talk, rather to take action when the time comes."
Barak expressed optimism with regards to the IDF's capabilities. "The
army is regaining its strength, and coming back to the right morals,
carrying out the right exercises and it is our obligation as the
government to ensure that the proper means are available to carry out
such drills in a correct and intensive manner." Referring to a proposed
budget cut to the Defense Ministry, Barak said: "We live in a country
where security and defense consist not just of tanks and planes, but
also of fostering excellence and caring for the population through
education and social welfare." Nonetheless, Barak emphasized that
"security and defense take precedence over quality of life and in a
country such as ours, we do not have the luxury of cutting the defense
budget." The defense minister also addressed the Gaza ceasefire and the
strengthening of the group. "So far, the ceasefire has proved
promising," he said. "There have been ten instances where rockets were
launched in the past 6 weeks, compared to the hundreds of attacks that
occurred in the past. Every week that passes with the ceasefire in place
enables us to gain strength and to maximize the possibility or the
probability of bringing about the right conditions for the release of
[captured IDF soldier] Gilad Schalit. Barak added that "in the meantime,
the government must care for the social and economic infrastructure as
well as the preparation of the home front in the Gaza periphery and the
surrounding areas. more...
Exclusive: Hizbollah 'stronger than before' and ready to strike Israel
Telegraph UK
(August 2, 2008) - Hezbollah has
significantly built up its military arsenal on the Israeli border and is
ready to respond with force to any provocation, its senior commander has
told the Telegraph. The political and military group's senior commander
in southern Lebanon said in a rare interview that Hezbollah was far
stronger now than when it fought the Israeli army in a conflict in 2006.
Sheikh Nabil Kaouk, who leads Hezbollah's forces on Lebanon's border
with Israel - the crucial battlefront of any future war, was speaking in
the port city of Tyre. "The resistance is now stronger than before and
this keeps the option of war awake. If we were weak, Israel would not
hesitate to start another war," he said. "We are stronger than before
and when Hezbollah is strong, our strength stops Israel from starting a
new war... We don't seek war, but we must be ready." Hezbollah, whose
missiles killed 43 Israeli civilians during the war of 2006, is
considered a terrorist organisation by the US and Britain. Other sources
say Hezbollah has trebled its arsenal in the last two years – from
10,000 missiles to about 30,000. These new weapons have longer ranges
and heavier warheads. They include the Zelzal missile, which could
strike as far south as Tel Aviv, and the C802 anti-shipping missile,
capable of sinking Israeli warships. Any American strike on Iran, for
example, could be the trigger for a Hezbollah attack on Israel. Hassan
Nasrallah, Hezbollah's overall leader, started the 2006 conflict with
the kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers whose corpses were recently
returned to Israel. Mr Kaouk did not deny that Hezbollah was reliant on
Iran for military hardware and support. "We are proud of our friendship
with Iran and with Syria and every country which helps us to gain our
rights," he said. His remarks will be examined closely in Washington as
Iran presses ahead with its nuclear programme. Iran is currently
weighing its response to the West’s latest offer of incentives to
suspend the enrichment of uranium but has signaled that for now it is
not about to change its stance. Asked where Hezbollah's weapons came
from, Mr Kaouk said: "All parties in Lebanon are getting weapons. No one
asks from where." Iran is Hezbollah's supplier and paymaster. Tehran's
regime and Hezbollah are fellow Shias and their alliance is a crucial
power factor in the Middle East. Iran delivers the missiles to southern
Lebanon through Syria. Meanwhile, Hezbollah fighters travel to Iran for
military training. If the US attacked Iran's nuclear facilities,
Hezbollah could retaliate by firing its missiles into Israel. Hence Iran
possesses a vital interest in building this arsenal. Asked how Hezbollah
would respond to an attack on Iran, Mr Kaouk replied: "I doubt that
Israel will attack Iran because they know the consequences." Mr Kaouk
said the 2006 war, which claimed 1,100 Lebanese lives, had been a
success. "Israel didn't achieve any of its goals. The known goal of
Israel is 'death to Hezbollah'. Hezbollah is still here."
'Hizbullah received advanced launchers'
The Jerusalem Post
(August 10, 2008) - The senior aide to
Syrian President Bashar Assad who was assassinated last weekend had been
in charge of supplying Hizbullah with advanced anti-aircraft weaponry,
the Sunday Times reported. According to the report, Brig.-Gen. Muhammad
Suleiman had provided the guerrilla group with advanced Syrian SA-8
anti-aircraft missiles, Middle Eastern sources told the paper. Such
missiles could potentially challenge the IAF reconnaissance flights
which are currently conducted unhindered over Lebanon. Last week,
Lebanon's new Cabinet unanimously approved a draft policy statement
which could secure Hizbullah's existence as an armed organization and
guarantee its right to "liberate or recover occupied lands." "The
Cabinet unanimously approved the draft," Information Minister Tarek
Mitri told reporters after the five-hour meeting at the presidential
palace in a Beirut suburb last Monday. Government sources in Jerusalem
said the decision would make the government in Beirut an accomplice to
any Hizbullah aggression and give Israel the right to hold it
responsible. During the Second Lebanon War, Israel came under
international pressure not to harm Lebanon's infrastructure because it
was Hizbullah, not the Lebanese government, that killed several IDF
soldiers and kidnapped reservists Ehud Goldwasser and Eldad Regev in the
July 2006 cross border raid which sparked the conflict. Not only does this kind of
activity seem like something that Israel may react to with force,
but also that could help preserve the forces coming from the North
following Israel's response to continued arms buildup in clear
continued preparation to fulfill the promised destruction of the
state of Israel from her enemies. We know God's plans however and
while Israel will be severely diminished in the future
time of Jacob's trouble, there is a remnant that will come to
see Yeshua as the Messiah they have been longing for.
'2 US aircraft carriers headed for Gulf'
The Jerusalem Post
(August 7, 2008) - Two additional United
States naval aircraft carriers are heading to the Gulf and the Red Sea,
according to the Kuwaiti newspaper Kuwait Times. Kuwait began finalizing
its "emergency war plan" on being told the vessels were bound for the
region. The US Navy would neither confirm nor deny that carriers were en
route. US Fifth Fleet Combined Maritime Command located in Bahrain said
it could not comment due to what a spokesman termed "force-protection
policy." While the Kuwaiti daily did not name the ships it believed were
heading for the Middle East, The Media Line's defense analyst said they
could be the USS Theodore Roosevelt and the USS Ronald Reagan. Within
the last month, the Roosevelt completed an exercise along the US east
coast focusing on communication among navies of different countries. It
has since been declared ready for operational duties. The Reagan,
currently with the Seventh Fleet, had just set sail from Japan. The
Seventh Fleet area of operation stretches from the East Coast of Africa
to the International Date Line. Meanwhile, the Arabic news agency Moheet
reported at the end of July that an unnamed American destroyer,
accompanied by two Israeli naval vessels traveled through the Suez Canal
from the Mediterranean. A week earlier, a US nuclear submarine
accompanied by a destroyer and a supply ship moved into the
Mediterranean, according to Moheet. Currently there are two US naval
battle groups operating in the Gulf: one is an aircraft carrier group,
led by the USS Abraham Lincoln, which carries some 65 fighter aircraft.
The other group is headed by the USS Peleliu which maintains a variety
of planes and strike helicopters. The ship movements coincide with the
latest downturn in relations between Washington and Teheran. The US and
Iran are at odds over Iran's nuclear program, which the Bush
administration claims is aimed at producing material for nuclear
weapons; however, Teheran argues it is only for power generation.
Kuwait, like other Arab countries in the Gulf, fears it will be caught
in the middle should the US decide to launch an air strike against Iran
if negotiations fail. The Kuwaitis are finalizing details of their
security, humanitarian and vital services, the newspaper reported. The
six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) - Kuwait, Saudi
Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE and Oman - lie just across the Gulf from
Iran. Generals in the Iranian military have repeatedly warned that
American interests in the region would be targeted if Iran is subjected
to any military strike by the US or its Western allies. Bahrain hosts
the US Fifth Fleet, while there is a sizeable American base in Qatar. It
is assumed the US also has military personnel in the other Gulf states,
The Media Line's defense analyst said. Iran is thought to have
intelligence operatives working in the GCC states, according to
Dubai-based military analysts. The standoff between the US and Iran has
left the Arab nations' political leaders in something of a bind, as they
were being used as pawns by Washington and Teheran, according to The
Media Line analyst. Iran has offered them economic and industrial
sweeteners, while the US is boosting their defense capabilities. US
President George W. Bush and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad have
paid visits to the GCC states in a bid to win their support.
Energy ties deepen between Iran and Turkey
Gas And Oil
(August 7, 2008) - The United States has
maintained various sanctions against Iran since 1979, implemented in
aftermath of the seizure of the US embassy in Tehran. As relations
worsen between the US and Iran, Washington is seeking to have the United
Nations Security Council impose additional sanctions on Iran for its
nuclear enrichment activities, which Tehran insists are legal, entirely
peaceful, and intended for generating electricity. Among the sanctions
that most concern foreign energy companies and nations is the 1996
Iran-Libya Sanctions Act (ILSA), renewed in 2001, which provides for
punitive measures against entities that invest more than $20 mm (EUR 13
mm) annually in the Iranian oil and gas sectors. Many countries are
deeply ambivalent toward the US policy, none more so than Turkey, which
imports 90% of its energy needs. Now Ankara is pushing the limits by
increasing its natural gas purchases from Iran and considering possible
involvement in developing the world’s largest hydrocarbon reserves. On
July 29 Iranian Petroleum Minister Qolam Hosein Nozari said in Tehran
that Turkey and Iran were negotiating over Turkey being a transit
corridor for Iranian natural gas exports to Europe and that Iran would
provide increased amounts of natural gas to Turkey during the winter (Anadolu
Ajansi, June 30). According to Nozari, the pipeline, which would run
from Iran’s South Pars natural gas and oil fields to the border province
of Bazargan, was discussed during the OPEC summit held on June 22 in
Jeddah (Tehran Times, June 29). Even worse for administration officials
seeking to sustain and intensify the US sanctions regime, Nozari said,
“We have also spoken about the participation of Turkey in the
development of phases 14 and 23 of the South Pars field” (Hurriyet, June
30). The 3,745 sq-mile Persian Gulf South Pars-North Dome gas condensate
field, straddling Iranian and Qatari territorial waters, is the world’s
largest known gas field. Discovered by the National Iranian Oil Company
(NIOC) in 1990, Iran’s sector, known as South Pars, covers 1,428 sq
miles, with the site’s remaining 2,317 sq miles, North Dome, lying in
Qatari waters. South Pars-North Dome has estimated reserves of
approximately 51 tcm of natural gas and 50 bn barrels of condensate;
with in-place reserves equivalent to 360 bn barrels of oil. South
Pars-North Dome is the world’s biggest conventional hydrocarbon
accretion, dwarfing even Saudi Arabia’s 170 bn barrel Ghawar oil field
(Middle East Economic Survey, March 20, 2006). Phase 14, due to begin
production in 2014, is part of a $10 bn (EUR 6.5 bn) liquefied natural
gas (LNG) project, which already has foreign investors -- a partnership
of NIOC (50%), Anglo-Dutch firm Royal Dutch Shell (25%), and Spain’s
Repsol-YPF (25%). When operational, the project’s initial production
capacity will consist of two components, each capable of an annual
production of 8 mm tons of LNG. For Ankara, the choice of major natural
gas suppliers is difficult, Russia or Iran, while waiting for Azerbaijan
to ramp up production. Iran, which holds the world's second largest gas
reserves, currently provides over one-third of Turkey’s domestic demand,
while Turkey receives 63.7% of its imports from Gazprom with smaller
volumes coming from Azerbaijan. In 1996 Turkey signed a contract with
Iran for natural gas deliveries, which began in December 2001 via a
pipeline from Tabriz to Ankara. The South Caucasus pipeline, also known
as the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum natural gas pipeline, opened in December
2006 with an annual capacity of 8.8 bn cm and carries Azeri Caspian
natural gas to Turkey via Georgia. Energy imports from both nations are
critical to sustaining Turkish economic growth, even though Washington,
whose diplomatic relations are increasingly strained with Russia and
non-existent with Iran, is very unhappy about the situation. According
to Turkey’s Turkiye Istatistik Kurumu (Turkish Statistical Institute),
Turkey’s economic growth accelerated more than expected from January
through March, increasing to 6.6% from 3.4% in the fourth quarter of
2007 (www.tuik.gov.tr). The figure exceeded the market estimates by 35
to 40%, as the expected growth rate was around 4% (Milliyet, July 1). In
2007 Turkey's annual GDP growth rate was 4.5%. Rising energy costs,
however, are proving to be a significant drag on economic growth.
Earlier this year the Turkish government hiked electricity prices by
21%, and Ankara is preparing to raise natural gas prices in July by 9%
for residences and 11% for businesses (Radikal, July 1). In June,
Turkey’s Devlet Planlama Teskilati (State Planning Organization, or DPT)
prepared a comprehensive projection for Turkey’s economy from 2009
through 2011, which has been approved by the Cabinet and published in
the government’s official gazette, Resmi Gazete (http://rega.basbakanlik.gov.tr,
June 28). The plan includes measures to ensure energy supply security in
the long-term and gives top priority to decreasing the country’s
dependence on imported natural gas. At a time of record high oil prices,
when Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah said, "Consumer countries have to
adapt to the prices and the mechanisms of the market," Washington’s
efforts to compel its allies to respect its hard-line sanctions against
Tehran seem at best naïve, especially when the United States has no
alternative sources of energy to offer (Al-Siyassah, July 2). While
Washington’s threats of sanctions in June caused both Royal Dutch Shell
and Repsol-YPF to withdraw from the South Pars development, there is a
major difference between a multinational company and a sovereign
government bending to sanctions. For Turkey, displays of political
solidarity must take a back seat to financial considerations, as the
government is committed to economic growth to improve the lives of its
citizens. Ankara estimates that from Desert Storm in 1991 until the
March 2003 invasion of Iraq, it lost an estimated $80 bn in oil revenues
and increased energy costs as a result of supporting US and UN sanctions
and policies against Iraq. Washington can hardly expect Turkey to suffer
further financial losses for supporting its Middle East policies. With
no end to energy price increases in sight, Washington must acknowledge
the reality of Turkey’s pragmatic economic relations with its
energy-rich eastern neighbour, even if it does not agree with them.
Lebanese gov't: Hizbullah can use force to 'liberate' territory
The Jerusalem Post
(August 1, 2008) - In a display of
Hizbullah's extended involvement in conflicts throughout the Middle
East, Coalition Special Forces captured two members of the group during
a raid over the weekend in eastern Baghdad. According to the
Multinational Force Iraq, the raid targeted the home of an individual
suspected of serving as a member of a Hizbullah cell - called "Kata'ib
Hizbullah" or "Hizbullah Brigades" - suspected of making videos of
attacks on coalition forces. The videos are then used to raise funds and
resources for additional attacks against coalition and Iraqi forces.
According to media reports, the Hizbullah Brigades have been active for
over a year in Iraq and like Hizbullah in Lebanon, the group is trained
and financed by Iran, likely via the Hizbullah's Al Kuds force, which
was commanded by its chief operations officer Imad Mughniyeh who was
assassinated in Damascus in February. "The Hizbullah Brigades receive
support from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Command for financing,
weapons, training and guidance," the Multi-National Force in Iraq said
in a statement in response to a Jerusalem Post inquiry. "They have
claimed responsibility for attacks against coalition forces and Iraqi
Security Forces as early as late 2005." On videos that it has posted on
the Internet, the Hizbullah Brigades group uses a logo very similar to
the Lebanese Hizbullah flag, showing a raised arm holding a Kalashnikov
assault rifle, although coalition forces said they were not sure of the
nature of the relationship with the Lebanese Hizbullah. This is not the
first time that Hizbullah operatives have been captured in Iraq. In July
2007, coalition forces apprehended Ali Mussa Daqduq, a senior Hizbullah
leader and explosives expert, in Basra where he was reportedly training
forces and even participated in several deadly attacks against US
troops. Daqduq, a veteran of the Al-Kuds Force, was reportedly in Iraq
to train and evaluate the performance of anti-US Shi'ite militias. Also
Friday, Sheikh Nabil Kaouk, Hizbullah military commander in Southern
Lebanon, told the Daily Telegraph that the group was stronger today than
before the Second Lebanon War and was prepared for conflict with Israel.
"The resistance is now stronger than before and this keeps the option of
war awake," he told the paper. "If we were weak, Israel would not
hesitate to start another war... We are stronger than before and when
Hizbullah is strong, our strength stops Israel from starting a new
war... We don't seek war, but we must be ready." Israel has claimed that
since the war Hizbullah has tripled its missile arsenal and today has
more than 30,000 rockets, some of which are capable of reaching almost
anywhere within Israel and as far south as Dimona. Last week, Defense
Minister Ehud Barak met with United Nations Secretary-General Ban
Ki-Moon and warned him that Security Council Resolution 1701 had
collapsed and that UNIFIL was not effective in curbing Hizbullah's
military build-up. "To our disappointment we are witnessing that over
the past two years the number of missiles in Hizbullah's hands has
doubled and maybe even tripled," Barak told Ban. "The ranges of the
missiles have been extended and this is mainly due to close Syrian
assistance."
U.S. Intel: Iran Plans Nuclear Strike on U.S.
Newsmax
(July 29, 2008) - Iran has carried out missile tests for what
could be a plan for a nuclear strike on the United States, the head of a
national security panel has warned. In testimony before the House Armed
Services Committee and in remarks to a private conference on missile
defense over the weekend hosted by the Claremont Institute, Dr. William
Graham warned that the U.S. intelligence community “doesn’t have a
story” to explain the recent Iranian tests. One group of tests that
troubled Graham, the former White House science adviser under President
Ronald Reagan, were successful efforts to launch a Scud missile from a
platform in the Caspian Sea. “They’ve got [test] ranges in Iran which
are more than long enough to handle Scud launches and even Shahab-3
launches,” Dr. Graham said. “Why would they be launching from the
surface of the Caspian Sea? They obviously have not explained that to
us.” Another troubling group of tests involved Shahab-3 launches where
the Iranians "detonated the warhead near apogee, not over the target
area where the thing would eventually land, but at altitude,” Graham
said. “Why would they do that?” Graham chairs the Commission to Assess
the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack,
a blue-ribbon panel established by Congress in 2001. The commission
examined the Iranian tests “and without too much effort connected the
dots,” even though the U.S. intelligence community previously had failed
to do so, Graham said. “The only plausible explanation we can find is
that the Iranians are figuring out how to launch a missile from a ship
and get it up to altitude and then detonate it,” he said. “And that’s
exactly what you would do if you had a nuclear weapon on a Scud or a
Shahab-3 or other missile, and you wanted to explode it over the United
States.” The commission warned in a report issued in April that the
United States was at risk of a sneak nuclear attack by a rogue nation or
a terrorist group designed to take out our nation’s critical
infrastructure. "If even a crude nuclear weapon were detonated anywhere
between 40 kilometers to 400 kilometers above the earth, in a
split-second it would generate an electro-magnetic pulse [EMP] that
would cripple military and civilian communications, power,
transportation, water, food, and other infrastructure," the report
warned. While not causing immediate civilian casualties, the near-term
impact on U.S. society would dwarf the damage of a direct nuclear strike
on a U.S. city. “The first indication [of such an attack] would be that
the power would go out, and some, but not all, the telecommunications
would go out. We would not physically feel anything in our bodies,”
Graham said. As electric power, water and gas delivery systems failed,
there would be “truly massive traffic jams,” Graham added, since modern
automobiles and signaling systems all depend on sophisticated
electronics that would be disabled by the EMP wave. “So you would be
walking. You wouldn’t be driving at that point,” Graham said. “And it
wouldn’t do any good to call the maintenance or repair people because
they wouldn’t be able to get there, even if you could get through to
them.” The food distribution system also would grind to a halt as
cold-storage warehouses stockpiling perishables went offline. Even
warehouses equipped with backup diesel generators would fail, because
“we wouldn’t be able to pump the fuel into the trucks and get the trucks
to the warehouses,” Graham said. The United States “would quickly revert
to an early 19th century type of country.” except that we would have 10
times as many people with ten times fewer resources, he said. more... While there's nothing
Biblically that I'm aware of regarding this kind of scenario, I also
can't find concrete evidence of America either. Is this kind of
thing possible? Yes. Will it happen? I don't know, but it wouldn't
hurt for this scenario or others to prepare a little while we can.
Iran's Ahmadinejad in Turkey In Next Month
Iran Mania
(July 26, 2008) - Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is
expected to pay an official visit to Turkey at the invitation of his
Turkish counterpart Abdullah Gul, PressTV reported. The visit would take
place late in August and diplomatic sources in Ankara have declared that
a date for the visit will be set soon, Turkish Daily reported on Friday.
During the meeting agreements would be signed to further strengthen
economic ties between the two neighboring countries. In May, Ahmadinejad
in a meeting with Turkish State Minister Kursad Tuzmen said the two
countries have the potential to turn into major economic powers in the
world. The Turkish state minister said that the trade volume between the
two countries could reach USD 20b by the end of 2011.
Report: Convoy shipping arms to Hizbullah destroyed in Tehran blast
YNet News
(July 25, 2008) - London-based Daily Telegraph reports of
mysterious blast in military convoy leaving Revolutionary Guards Base
last weekend. At least 15 people killed in explosion, but Iranian
authorities seeking to silence incident. Was sabotage responsible for
disrupting a shipment of arms from Iran to Hizbullah ? The London-based
Daily Telegraph newspaper reported Friday of a mysterious explosion
which devastated an Iranian supply convoy intended to reach Hizbullah.
According to the report, the strong blast took place in one of Tehran's
suburbs as a military convoy left a Revolutionary Guards' ammunition
storehouse. At least 15 people were killed in the explosion. Western
sources reported that the blast took place on July 19 and that the
convoy was carrying military equipment for the Lebanese terror
organization. It was also reported that senior Revolutionary Guards
officials banned the Iranian media from reporting the explosion, even
though it was heard throughout the capital. The Guards launched an
investigation into the incident. An official source told the newspaper
that the strong explosion was heard across Tehran, adding that the
Revolutionary Guards were trying to silence the incident despite the
fact that many people were killed. Additional explosions and mysterious
incidents which have taken place in Iran recently are being investigated
by the Revolutionary Guards. In one of the incidents, a blast rocked a
mosque in the city of Shiraz, where weapons were being displayed,
killing 11 people. Iranian Intelligence Minister Gholam-Hossein Mohseni
Ejei said following the incident that the main suspect in the affair was
arrested. "The terrorist group had ties with the US and Britain. These
countries were informed of the arrest by the Foreign Ministry," he said,
"but the countries did nothing to prevent these terror groups'
activity." more...
Iran, Turkey discuss ways
to further cooperation, nuclear issue
Mathaba (July
19, 2008) - The Iranian minister who visited Turkey at the
invitation of his Turkish counterpart Ali Babacan left Ankara on Friday
evening. During the meeting, Mottaki and Erdogan stressed the need for
broadening Tehran-Ankara economic ties by carrying out more projects in
energy field including construction of power plants. Mottaki also
briefed Erdogan on latest developments on Iran's peaceful nuclear
program hoping that the upcoming talks between nuclear Iran and the
Group 5+1 would lead to positive outcome. Iran's top nuclear negotiator
Saeed Jalili arrived in Geneva, Austria, on July 18 to take part in the
talks due to be held on Saturday. In a major shift from a long-standing
policy, the US State Department announced on Wednesday that Under
Secretary of State William Burns, the third-highest US diplomat, would
join the 5+1 talks with Iran. The Turkish prime minister told Mottaki
that Ankara was happy that the trend of talks between Iran and the West
was progressing. Erdogan stressed that peaceful negotiations was the
only solution to Iran's nuclear standoff with the West. Mottaki also
held two rounds of talks with his Turkish counterpart and also met
Turkish President Abdullah Gul. His visit to Turkey was part of a
regional tour which had earlier took him to Oman and Syria.
Waiting
For Islam's Messiah CBN
News (July 17, 2008) - Iran's
president believes Allah has chosen him to prepare the world for the
coming of an Islamic 'savior' called the Mahdi. But before the Mahdi's
return, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad believes there must be global chaos - even
if he has to create it himself. Whether it's his belief that Israel
should be wiped off the map, denials of the Holocaust, obsession with
going nuclear, or support for radical Islamic terrorist groups, Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad is a man on a divine mission. To understand him, and that
mission, you have travel to the small dusty village of Jamkaran tucked
in a corner of Iran's holy city of Qom. On a recent Tuesday afternoon,
CBN News made that journey heading south out of Iran's capital, Tehran.
Some 95 miles, and a couple of wrong turns later, we arrived at the
Jamkaran mosque on the outskirts of Qom. Behind the Jamkaran mosque
there is a well. According to many Shiite Muslims, out of this well will
emerge one day their version of an Islamic 'savior.' They call him the
Mahdi or the 12th Imam. Ron Cantrell has written a book about the Mahdi.
He explained, "The Mahdi is a personage that is expected to come on the
scene, by Islam, as a messiah figure. He is slotted to come in the end
of time, according to their writings, very much like how we think of the
return of Jesus." Shiite Muslims believe the Mahdi, a descendent of the
Prophet Mohammed, vanished in the middle of the 9th century. Cantrell
told us, "The 12th Imam disappeared, around the age of 9, with a promise
that he would return and he would bring Islam to its total fruition as
the world's last standing religion." Enter Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Since
becoming the president of Iran in August 2005, Ahmadinejad has emerged
as the Mahdi's most influential follower. Cantrell said, "[Ahmadinejad]
has stated that his mandate is to pave the way for the coming of this
Islamic 'messiah'." In almost all his speeches, Ahmadinejad begs Allah
to hasten the return of the Mahdi. At a recent military parade attended
by CBN News in Tehran, Ahmadinejad said, "Oh, Allah, please facilitate
Imam Mahdi's early return and make us one of his supporters." He said
something similar last September just before ending a speech at the
United Nations in New York. Ahmadinejad said, "Oh mighty Lord, I pray to
you to hasten the emergence of your last repository [a reference to the
Mahdi], the promised one, that perfect and pure human being, the one
that will fill this world with justice and peace." more... I have a theory from my study
of Bible prophecy that the
12th Mahdi will reappear, but is the
false prophet of Revelation 13. The false prophet is the beast
that comes from the earth (a well?) and has two horns like a lamb
but speaks like a dragon. Could these
horns represent the sects of Shia and Sunni Islam? It seems to
me that if the Mahdi were to reappear following the destruction of
the Magog invasion, that he could unite Islam under himself and
correctly interpret the Islamic prophecies and with signs and
wonders, point all worship to the
man of sin who will be given power by the dragon to rule the
earth. Regardless of whether they accept the man of sin or not,
those who refuse are beheaded. With their Mahdi leading the way,
would they turn against him? This theory isn't definitive, I'm still
watching, but Biblical prophecy will be fulfilled regardless of what
other faiths prophecy. That is my belief and time will tell. Keep
watching!
We only get one strike
The Jerusalem Post (July 16, 2008) -
An Israeli attack on Iran seems inevitable. If it succeeds, it will
return to Israel its deterrent power and send a clear message to the
saber-rattling jihadists that they were too early in beginning the
countdown for the disappearance of the Jewish state. If it fails, or
fails to achieve the majority of its objectives, it could amount to an
act of national suicide. Fanatical Muslims on every side will be
encouraged by the failure and outcome of an Iranian retaliation which
would cause heavy damage to the whole center of our country. Iran would
unquestionably be joined by its proxies on our borders, Hizbullah and
Syria on the north and Hamas on the south, the PLO jihad brigades under
various names, and the Arabs of Israel. The latter have already shown
their ability to block major traffic arteries and demonstrated that
their loyalties rest with their Arab brethren, not with the Jewish
state. The repeated declarations of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that
the aim of Iran is to wipe Israel off the world map should not be taken
as the empty, fiery words of a fanatical Muslim dictator, but as a plan
of action. True, Iran does not need a pretext, but an Israeli attack on
any nuclear installation in Iran, or just an invasion of Iranian air
space could be used as an excellent reason for mounting an all-out
missile attack. Since the late ninth century, the Shi'ites have been
expecting the emergence of the hidden imam-mahdi, armed with divine
power and followed by thousands of martyrdom-seeking warriors. He is
expected to conquer the world and establish Shi'ism as its supreme
religion and system of rule. His appearance would involve terrible war
and unusual bloodshed. Ahmadinejad, as mayor of Teheran, built a
spectacular boulevard through which the mahdi would enter into the
capital. There is no question that Ahmadinejad believes he has been
chosen to be the herald of the mahdi. Shi'ite Islam differs from Sunni
Islam regarding the identity of the mahdi. The Sunni mahdi is
essentially an anonymous figure; the Shi'ite mahdi is a divinely
inspired person with a real identity. However both Shi'ites and Sunnis
share one particular detail about "the coming of the hour" and the
dawning of messianic times: The Jews must all suffer a violent death, to
the last one. Both Shi'ites and Sunnis quote the famous hadith
attributed to the Prophet Muhammad: The last hour will not come unless
the Muslims fight against the Jews, and the Muslims would kill them
until the Jews hide themselves behind a stone or a tree and the stone or
the tree would say: "Muslim! Servant of Allah! Here is a Jew behind me;
come and kill him!" Not one Friday passes without this hadith being
quoted in sermons from one side of the Islamic world to the other.
more... If it weren't for my study of
Bible prophecy, I would probably expect Israel to attack Iran. I
could very well be wrong and nothing I say should be taken without
personal study and prayer, but I'm continually brought back to
Isaiah 17 and the destruction of Damascus apparently by the
"children of Israel." This opinion piece brings home the possible
reality of this a little more. I think Israel realizes the
seriousness of their current situation and if they are going to make
a show of force, it will be big. After the loss in Lebanon during
the summer 2006 engagement, Israel can't afford to appear insincere
about her existence. If the elections in Israel change leadership to
someone like Netanyahu, we could see a government more willing to
make their intentions to remain more clear. Could it lead to the
destruction of Damascus? I can't say, but I'm watching and will keep
sharing what I see with you so you can decide for yourself and share
with those who have ears to hear.
Ahmadinejad: We'll sever enemies' hands
The Jerusalem Post
(July 13,
2008) - Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad threatened on Sunday
to "cut off the hands" of any would-be attackers of the Islamic
Republic. "Before the enemies touch the trigger, the armed forces will
cut off their hands," the state-run IRNA news agency quoted the leader
as saying. Ahmadinejad said that missile tests conducted last week
exhibited "only a small part" of Iran's defense capabilities, and that,
if necessary, further capabilities would be revealed. Ahmadinejad's
statement comes amid a report that US President George W. Bush has given
Israel the "amber light" to carry out an attack on Iran if diplomatic
efforts are unsuccessful in causing the Islamic Republic to back down
and relinquish its nuclear program. According to a senior Pentagon
official quoted by the British Sunday Times on Sunday morning, Bush has
given Israel free rein to attack Iran's nuclear sites if sanctions fail
in spite of opposition from US generals and regardless of the possible
economic and political repercussions of such a strike. "Amber means get
on with your preparations, stand by for immediate attack and tell us
when you're ready," the official said, adding however, that Israel had
been told that it could not count on the US to lend it military support.
Contradicting recent reports to the contrary, he also said that the IAF
would not be permitted to take off from American military bases in Iraq.
The Jerusalem Post could not confirm the report. Ahmadinejad's
aggressive statements contrasted strikingly with a report on Iranian
state TV Sunday, which quoted him as saying that Iran would welcome the
idea of setting up a US diplomatic office in Teheran. The report quoted
the firebrand Iranian leader as saying he would consider an American
request to set up an interests section in Iran. He said he "welcomes any
move to expand ties." But Ahmadinejad said his government hasn't
received any official request for such an office. Last month, US
officials floated the idea but no formal requests were made. more...
Iran says Solana nuclear talks July 19 in Geneva
AFP (July 11,
2008) - Iran said on Friday that its top nuclear negotiator and
EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana will hold their next talks on
ending the nuclear standoff on July 19, despite Western concern over the
test-firing of several missiles by Tehran. "They are to continue their
negotiations about the package on Saturday, July 19" in Geneva, said
Ahmad Khadem al-Melleh, spokesman for the secretariat of Iran's supreme
national security council, according to the state-run IRNA agency. World
powers -- Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States
-- last month presented Iran with a package aimed at ending the
five-year-old nuclear crisis, notably offering Tehran technological
incentives in exchange for suspending the sensitive process of uranium
enrichment. "The trip of Dr Jalili to Geneva is taking place after the
world powers welcomed the continuation of the talks on common points in
the two packages that have been proposed," the spokesman added. Iran has
proposed its own package -- a more all-embracing attempt to solve the
problems of the world including the nuclear standoff -- and has made
much of the common ground between the two proposals. The French foreign
ministry has, however, confirmed that Iran does not say in its response
that it is prepared to suspend uranium enrichment, which world powers
say they fear could be used to make a nuclear weapon. Solana's
spokeswoman Cristina Gallach declined to confirm the date, saying "we
are continuing to work on the meeting and we are in the process of
holding discussions" with Iran. But she reaffirmed that a meeting was
still scheduled by the end of this month. more...
Crossfire War - Israel Estimates Iran-Syria to Fire 250-300 Long Range
Missiles News Blaze
(July 3, 2008) - "How Many Missiles will be
Fired from Iran-Syria-Lebanon Against Israel in the Next War?" was the
subject of a lecture given by Major-General (res.) Eitan Ben Eliahu at
the Israel Missile Defense Association (IMDA) (www.imda.org.il) a new
link with Crossfire War. Haaretz reports General Eliahu headed the
Israel Air Force (IAF) from 1996-2000 and in his lecture earlier this
week he estimated Syria-Iran will launch 250-300 long range Shahab-Scud
missiles at Israel in the next war. Eliahu estimated Hezbollah in
Lebanon will be able to launch 5,000 short range missiles, an increase
from the 4,200 they fired in 2006. Hezbollah does possess some longer
range missiles which can hit Tel Aviv and no doubt they will be used as
quickly as possible since the IAF will make destroying the longer range
missiles their top priority whether they are fired from
Lebanon-Syria-Iran. Eliahu expects the full scale fighting to last 20
days. [HAARETZ]
In the course of his discussion General Eliahu mentioned Israel
operates under a security doctrine that does allow for An Initiated War
(preventive strike) as in 1967 which was so successful the war
lasted only six days and Israel was able to take the strategic Golan
Heights, a Syrian obsession ever since and Damascus' main motive for
entering the war this year. He then said if an Initiated War is not
possible then the doctrine provides for a Pre-Emptive Attack to disrupt
the enemy's preparation. The IAF attack on the Syrian nuclear
base last September was an example. Eliahu then mentioned if war
does result then Israel Defense Forces (IDF) must conduct a holding
operation during which they must achieve Aerial Superiority. He probably
realizes if/when Israel does conduct a pre-emptive attack on Iran, for
disruptive purposes, it would mean full scale war, beyond the serious
flare ups of the past two years which did not yet lead to Israel's
offensive into Gaza. Eliahu stated Israel should
expect the next war to require action on one to three fronts and in
order to achieve victory the IDF must crush the enemy on one of the
fronts, which would be either Hezbollah in Lebanon or Syria. Since the
ground area to cover is smaller in Lebanon Israel's offensive there
should not take as long as in the case with Syria. Jerusalem may also
prefer a quick victory against the hated Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah even if
it means using nuclear weapons. Concerning Palestinian units in Gaza
Eliahu recommends a war of containment which would include a ground
offensive. Against Iran he recommended long range attacks should be
continued. more...
Russia Warns Israel Against Tehran Attack
The Nation
(June 24, 2008) -
Russia, one of the world's major powers, has warned of "disasterous
consequences" if Israel attacked Iran's nuclear facilities. "If things
happen like threats of force and unilateral sanctions outside the
framework of the [UN] Security Council, it is distracting from the
negotiating process," Vitaly Churkin, Russia's ambassador to the United
Nations, said when asked to comment on a newspaper report about a large
military exercise carried out by Israel this month as a rehearsal for a
bombing attack on Iran. On Saturday, The Washington Post said senior
U.S. officials confirmed that Israel had held a massive operation that
involved the types of warplanes, distances and maneuvers required for
airstrikes on Iran, a story which was first reported by The New York
Times. "A military move would have devastating consequences for the
prospect of resolving the Iranian nuclear issue, for the region and
internationally," the Russian ambassador added. The Post said, "The mock
(Israeli) operation reflected a growing policy schism over Iran among
major international players at a time when U.S. politics may freeze
major decisions until a new administration is in place, its officials
are confirmed and a policy review is complete." more...
Israel on the Iran Brink
Wall Street Journal
(June 23, 2008) -
Israel isn't famous for welcoming public scrutiny of its most sensitive
military plans. But we doubt Jerusalem officials were dismayed to see
news of their recent air force exercises splashed over the front pages
of the Western press. Those exercises – reportedly involving about 100
fighters, tactical bombers, refueling planes and rescue helicopters –
were conducted about 900 miles west of Israel's shores in the
Mediterranean. Iran's nuclear facilities at Bushehr, Isfahan and Natanz
all fall roughly within the same radius, albeit in the opposite
direction. The point was not lost on Tehran, which promptly warned of
"strong blows" in the event of a pre-emptive Israeli attack. The more
important question is whether the meaning of Israel's exercise
registered in Western capitals. It's been six years since Iran's secret
nuclear programs were publicly exposed, and Israel has more or less
bided its time as the Bush Administration and Europe have pursued
diplomacy to induce Tehran to cease enriching uranium. It hasn't worked.
Iran has rejected repeated offers of technical and economic assistance,
most recently this month. Despite four years of pleading, the
Administration has failed to win anything but weak U.N. sanctions.
Russia plans to sell advanced antiaircraft missiles to Iran and finish
work on a nuclear reactor at Bushehr, though spent fuel from that
reactor could eventually be diverted and reprocessed into weapons-usable
plutonium. Chinese companies still invest in Iran, while the U.N.'s
chief nuclear inspector, Mohamed ElBaradei, has repeatedly downplayed
Iran's nuclear threat. As for the U.S., December's publication of a
misleading National Intelligence Estimate that claimed Iran had halted
nuclear weaponization signaled America's own lack of seriousness toward
Iranian ambitions. Barack Obama is leading in the Presidential polls and
portrays as a virtue his promise to negotiate with Iran "without
precondition" – i.e., without insisting that Tehran stop enriching
uranium. All the while Iran continues to enrich, installing thousands of
additional centrifuges of increasingly more sophisticated design while
it buries key facilities underground. No wonder Israel is concluding
that it will have to act on its own to prevent a nuclear Iran. Earlier
this month, Deputy Prime Minister Shaul Mofaz, a former army chief of
staff, warned that "if Iran continues with its program for developing
nuclear weapons, we will attack." Other officials distanced themselves
from those remarks, but September's one-shot raid on Syria's nuclear
reactor ought to be proof of Israel's determination. An Israeli strike
on Iran's nuclear sites would of course look nothing like the Syrian
operation. The distances are greater; the targets are hardened, defended
and dispersed; hundreds of sorties and several days would be required.
Iran would retaliate, with the help of Hezbollah and Hamas, possibly
sparking a regional conflict as large as the 1973 Yom Kippur war. Mr.
ElBaradei predicted this weekend that such an attack would turn the
Middle East into a "ball of fire," yet his own apologies for Iran and
the West's diplomatic failures are responsible for bringing the region
to this pass. They have convinced the mullahs that the powers
responsible for maintaining world order lack the will to stop Iran.
Israelis surely don't welcome a war in which they will suffer. Yet they
have no choice but to defend themselves against an enemy that vows to
obliterate them if Iran acquires the weapon to do so. The tragic paradox
of the past six years is that the diplomatic and intelligence evasions
offered in the name of avoiding war with Iran have done the most to
bring us close to this brink. Appeasement that ends in war is a familiar
theme of history.
Iran and Syria sign missile pact
Gulf In The Media
(June 2, 2008) - Iran's
Revolutionary Guards Corps has created an independent missile command to
be integrated with a Syrian missile program, military sources said. The
DEBKAfile news agency reported Sunday that the joint command was
formalized in a treaty signed by the Syrian Defense Minister Hassan
Turkmani in Tehran last week. Under the agreement, Syria's missile units
would come under the new Iranian missile section and their operations
would be fully coordinated with Tehran. Iranian officers are to be
attached to Syrian units, while Syrian officers are posted to the
Iranian command. Military sources told DEBKAfile that Iran's control of
four hostile missile fronts would virtually neutralize the American and
Israeli anti-missile defense systems in the region.
'Unavoidable' attack on Iran looms, says Israeli minister
Guardian UK (June
6,
2008) - An Israeli minister has said an attack on Iran's
nuclear sites will be "unavoidable" if Tehran refuses to halt its
alleged weapons programme. In the most explicit threat yet by a member
of Ehud Olmert's government, Shaul Mofaz, a deputy prime minister, said
the hardline Iranian president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, "would disappear
before Israel does". "If Iran continues with its programme for
developing nuclear weapons, we will attack it. The sanctions are
ineffective," Mofaz, who is also Israel's transport minister, said in
comments published today by the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper. "Attacking
Iran in order to stop its nuclear plans will be unavoidable."
Iranian-born Mofaz is a former army chief and defence minister. He is a
member of Olmert's security cabinet and leads regular strategic
coordination talks with the US state department. Iran denies trying to
build nuclear weapons and has defied western pressure to abandon uranium
enrichment. The leadership in Tehran has threatened that if attacked the
country will retaliate against Israel - believed to have the Middle
East's only nuclear arsenal - and American targets in the region.
Ahmadinejad has repeatedly called for Israel to be wiped off the map
since becoming president. On Monday, he said Israel was "about to die
and will soon be erased from the geographical scene". Olmert met the US
president, George Bush, on Wednesday to discuss concerns over Iran. The
Israeli prime minister, who is being pressured to resign over a
corruption scandal, has said that Iran's nuclear threat "must be stopped
by all possible means". Israeli planes bombed Syria in September,
destroying what the US administration said was a partly built nuclear
reactor using North Korean help. Syria denied having any such facility.
UN inspectors announced this week that they would be visiting Syria to
investigate the American claim. Interesting having just watched
I Will Turn Thee Back: Turkey At A Crossroads by Avi Lipkin...
Turkey, Iran Coordinating Action Against Kurdish Rebels: report
Africasia.com
(June 5,
2008) - Turkey and Iran have carried out simultaneous
military action against separatist Kurdish rebels holed up in northern
Iraq and are sharing intelligence, a Turkish general was quoted as
saying Thursday. "When they start action, we also do... They carry out
operations from the Iranian side of the border and we do so from the
Turkish side," land forces commander Ilker Basbug said, the CNN Turk
news channel reported on its web site. The general said no such
coordinated action had taken place in the past two months, but that it
could be launched again in the future. Separatist Kurdish militants of
both Turkish and Iranian origin take refuge in the mountains of northern
Iraq, where the frontiers of the three countries meet, and use camps
there as a launching pad for attacks into Turkey and Iran. "We are
working in coordination with Iran in the region... We are sharing
information," Basbug said. Turkish and Iranian forces often shell rebel
positions across the border. Since December, Turkey has also carried out
several bombing raids in northern Iraq and in February conducted a
week-long ground offensive against camps of the separatist Kurdistan
Workers' Party (PKK) there. The PKK, which has waged a bloody campaign
for Kurdish self-rule in southeast Turkey, is closely associated with
Iran's Party of Free Life of Kurdistan (PJAK), which has recently
stepped up attacks on the Iranian security forces. Turkey and Iran have
been helping each other on security matters, primarily to stop the
movement of rebels across their porous border, since they signed a
cooperation agreement in the late 1990s. Turkish media have reported
that the two neighbours hammered out a fresh deal in April involving
intelligence sharing. Following an air raid against PKK camps in
northern Iraq in May, the Turkish army said senior rebel commander Cemil
Bayik fled into a neighbouring country together with a large group of
militants, engaging in clashes with local security forces. The army did
not name the country, but it is believed to be Iran. It said that its
security forces killed many of Bayik's bodyguards, with the commander's
fate unknown. Listed as a terrorist group by Turkey and much of the
international community, the PKK has been fighting for self-rule in
Turkey's mainly Kurdish southeast since 1984. The conflict has claimed
more than 37,000 lives.
Ahmadinejad says Israel will soon disappear
Breitbart.com
(June 2,
2008) - Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad predicted on
Monday that Muslims would uproot "satanic powers" and repeated his
controversial belief that Israel will soon disappear, the Mehr news
agency reported. "I must announce that the Zionist regime (Israel), with
a 60-year record of genocide, plunder, invasion and betrayal is about to
die and will soon be erased from the geographical scene," he said.
"Today, the time for the fall of the satanic power of the United States
has come and the countdown to the annihilation of the emperor of power
and wealth has started." Since taking the presidency in August 2005,
Ahmadinejad has repeatedly provoked international outrage by predicting
Israel is doomed to disappear. "I tell you that with the unity and
awareness of all the Islamic countries all the satanic powers will soon
be destroyed," he said to a group of foreign visitors ahead of the 19th
anniversary of the death of revolutionary leader Ayatollah Ruhollah
Khomeini. Ahmadinejad also again expressed his apocalyptic vision that
tyranny in the world be abolished by the return to earth of the Mahdi,
the 12th imam of Shiite Islam, alongside great religious figures
including Jesus Christ. "With the appearance of the promised saviour...
and his companions such as Jesus Christ, tyranny will be soon be
eradicated in the world." Ahmadinejad has always been a devotee of the
Mahdi, who Shiites believe disappeared more than a thousand years ago
and who will return one day to usher in a new era of peace and harmony.
His emphasis on the Mahdi has been a cause of controversy inside Iran
with critics saying he would be better solving bread-and-butter domestic
problems rather than talking about Iran's divine responsibility.
Exclusive: Limited US attack on Iranian Revolutionary Guards bases in
sight
DEBKAfile (June 2,
2008) - Our Washington sources report that president George
W. Bush is closer than ever before to ordering a limited missile-air
bombardment of the IRGC-al Qods Brigade’s installations in Iran. It is
planned to target training camps and the munitions factories pumping
fighters, missiles and roadside bombs to the Iraqi insurgency, Lebanese
Hizballah and Palestinian terrorist groups in Gaza. Iran is geared up
for counteraction. US intelligence estimates that Tehran’s counteraction
will likewise be on a limited scale and therefore any US-Iranian
military encounter will not be allowed to explode into a major
confrontation. Because this US assault is not planned to extend to
Iran’s nuclear installations, Tehran is not expected to hit back at
distant American targets in the Persian Gulf or at Israel. DEBKAfile’s
Iranian sources report, however, that Iran’s military preparations for
countering an American attack are far broader than envisaged in
Washington. Tehran would view a US attack on the IRGC bases as a casus
belli and might react in ways and on a scale unanticipated in
Washington. Two days ago, Iran’s defense minister Gen. Mostafa Mohammad-Najjar
warned: “Iran’s Armed Forces are fully prepared to counter any military
attack with any intensity and to make the enemy regret initiating any
such incursions.” According to DEBKAfile’s Iranian and military sources,
the IRGC had by mid-May completed their preparations for a US missile,
air or commando assault on their command centers and bases in reprisal
for Iranian intervention in Iraq. These preparations encompass al Qods’
arms, most of them undercover, in Iraq, Afghanistan, Lebanon and Sudan.
At home, the Revolutionary Guards have evacuated their key bases
together with manpower and equipment to regular army sites or temporary
quarters in villages located in remote corners of eastern and northern
Iran. Their main headquarters and central training center at the Imam
Ali University in northern Tehran are deserted except for sentries on
the gates. Indoctrination seminaries and dormitories hosting fighting
strength in the holy town of Qom are empty, as is the Manzariyah
training center east of the capital. Deserted too is the main training
camp near Isfahan for insurgents and terrorists from Iraq, Afghanistan,
Baluchistan, Lebanon and the Gaza Strip. It is here that they take
courses from friendly al Qods training staff on how to sabotage
strategic targets such as routes, bridges and military installations,
and the activation of the extra-powerful roadside bombs (EFPs) which
have had such a deadly effect on American troops in Iraq. If we are indeed facing the
soon fulfillment of Ezekiel 38 & 39, it is more likely that Israel
would be the aggressor as it seems that all the Russian, Turkish and
Iranian forces are focused on Israel. Of course there could be other
areas not covered in prophecy as well that could include the reason
why America isn't a clear part of prophecy as well. Time will tell
and I'm still watching...
SYRIA: Israeli hopes for a Tehran-Damascus rift collapse
Los Angeles Times
(May 2008) - Iranian and Syrian officials poured a bucket of ice water this week
on Israeli hopes for a rupture in the long-standing Tehran-Damascus
relationship. Israeli officials had demanded Syria break ties with Iran in
exchange for returning the occupied Golan Heights to Syria. Instead, Syria this
week appeared to strengthen its ties with Iran, signing a
defense cooperation pact in a showy Tehran photo-op on Tuesday. That
same day, Syrian President Bashar Assad
told a visiting delegation of
British
lawmakers that Damascus' relationship with Tehran was not up for
negotiation. In reality, despite a lot of media attention, there was never
really much chance of a peace deal between Syria and Israel or a break in ties
between Damascus and Tehran. At least not anytime soon. Israeli and Syrian
leaders
admitted this month that the two countries were engaged in peace talks
mediated by Turkey. Almost immediately, the Israeli foreign minister said Syria
would have
to
cut ties with Iran, and its allies Hezbollah and Hamas, before Israel
would consider making peace and handing back the Golan Heights. A Western
diplomat in Damascus closely tracking the indirect Syria-Israel talks bluntly
called any hopes of dangling the Golan Heights (a hilly plateau about the size
of Los Angeles County) to drive a wedge between Damascus and Tehran "a
non-starter." A more realistic strategy might be to try to persuade Syria to
temper the behavior of Hamas and Hezbollah, which both fight Israel. "The
Syrians won't want to lose Hezbollah, but can moderate Hezbollah," said the
diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity. "Syrians don't have control over
Hamas and Hezbollah, but they have influence. Syria might have veto power." In
any case, few insiders believed a breakthrough between Israel and Syria was
imminent. The diplomat said Assad doesn't anticipate any new deals before
summer 2009, after President Bush is out of office. "Bashar has been clear that
he didn't really want to negotiate. He's preparing everything for the next
American administration. If the next American administration is ready to
guarantee a deal, then they'll be ready." But Israel may also be part of the
problem. A majority of Israelis are
reluctant to give up the Golan Heights, which has become a
463-square-mile resort destination as well as a strategic buffer, even for a
peace deal with Damascus. Over 41 years of occupation, they've grown
to love the Golan
Heights.
US: Iranian warhead blueprint 'alarming'
The Jerusalem Post
(May 29, 2008) - A ranking International Atomic Energy Agency official called
Teheran's possession of a drawing showing how to make part of an atomic warhead
"alarming" Thursday and said the onus is on Iran to prove it had not tried to
develop nuclear arms, said diplomats attending a closed briefing. The US said
the evidence detailed by IAEA Deputy Director General Olli Heinonen increased
concerns that Teheran had tried to make such weapons. "Today's briefing showed
... strong reasons to suspect that Iran was working covertly and deceitfully at
least until recently to build a bomb," Gregory L. Schulte, the chief US delegate
to the agency, told reporters. Rejecting the allegation, Ali Ashgar Soltanieh,
Schulte's Iranian counterpart, again dismissed the evidence as "baseless and
fabricated documents and papers." Separately, a senior diplomat suggested the
agency was not accepting as fact US intelligence estimates that the Islamic
Republic stopped active pursuit of nuclear weapons five years ago. Queried on
documents in the agency's possession possibly linked to research in such weapons
and bearing dates into early 2004, he told The Associated Press that the IAEA
was reserving its judgment on whether they indicated nuclear weapons work past
2003 until it finished its own investigations. The documents, outlined in an
IAEA report forwarded Monday to the UN Security Council and agency board
members, are part of evidence provided by board member nations to the agency for
its investigation into allegations that Iran used the cover of peaceful nuclear
activities to conduct research and testing on a nuclear arms program. more…
Turkey In Between: Syria-Israel & Georgia-Russia
Poli Gazette
(May 27, 2008) - Adding to its much coveted
resume as “Europe’s bridge to the Middle East”, Turkey has now been officially
recognized as the facilitator of talks between Israel and Syria. Whether or not
the Israeli media agrees with Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s motivations for
publicizing the existence of talks, Turkey can at least shine in the warm
spotlight of international recognition for a few weeks. While most Turkish
diplomatic activity in the Arab Middle East other than with Iraq follows a
mechanical approach, Turkey’s role as a mediator between Israel and Syria is
uncharacteristically complex. There exists a very clear logic behind Turkey’s
effort to mingle in the affairs of these two countries. Compared to its
relationship with neighbor Iran, Turkey’s rapport with Syria is relatively
underdeveloped. Perhaps the most significant reason for this is the incredible
backwardness of Syria’s Baathist state-controlled economy, which is also
responsible for the incredible backwardness of Syria’s regional foreign policy.
Syria’s problematic approach last affected Turkey in a dramatic way in 1998.
Syria gave refuge to PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan, much to the disgrace of Turkish
public opinion that had designated Ocalan as a terrorist. Syria would ultimately
harbor the Kurdish leader in Damascus until the threat of a Turkish invasion
successfully forced his eviction. In comparison, Turkey’s rapport with Israel
has proved quite dynamic. Successive Turkish governments and the Turkish
military have pursued a symbiotic relationship with Israel despite the risk of
alienating Turkey even further in the eyes of the Arab World. Both countries,
similarly focused on linking themselves with the West, have cooperated through
military exchanges and natural resource transfers. In addition, Turkey hopes to
court the sympathy of the Israeli lobby in Washington as a means of
counter-balancing the influence of the Armenian lobby on American foreign
policy. While no observer could claim that Turkey’s efforts will actually make a
significant difference in solving the issues that separate Israel and Syria,
Turkey’s actions will help it acquire some additional credibility with pundits
who influence EU opinion. This alone could be reason for Turkey to exert its
diplomatic energy. The highly involved nature of Turkey’s interest in affairs
south of its border stands in tremendous contrast with its attitudes concerning
the tumultuous political situation to its north-east. Turkey has chosen a
relatively silent course as Georgia struggles to deal with breakaway Abkhazia
and omnipresent Russia. (On Monday, the UN announced that a Russian jet did
indeed shoot down a Georgian unmanned surveillance drone patrolling over
Abkhazia.) Other than its relations with Armenia, which are “very well” defined,
Turkey’s diplomatic intentions in the greater Caucasus region and Central Asia
have been unclear ever since the failure of its Pan-Turkism initiative in the
1990s. While Turkish construction companies and textile producers have been keen
to acquire contracts and conduct foreign direct investment projects, Turkey’s
main interest in the region has been its role as a conduit for Central Asian
energy exports to Europe and beyond. Turkey’s energy interests in Central Asia
have understandably run counter to those of Russia, which are monopolistic by
nature. more…
Iran's Ahmadinejad wants closer Syria defence ties
Reuters
(May 26,
2008) - Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad called on Monday
for closer defence ties with Syria, the official IRNA news agency
reported, a few days after Israel urged Damascus to distance itself from
Tehran. "So far Iran's and Syria's joint and mutual relations in various
fields have been of utmost usefulness and defence relations must expand
to the extent possible," he told visiting Syrian Defence Minister Hassan
Turkmani. The IRNA report gave no further details on military
cooperation between the two Middle East countries, which the United
States accuses of sponsoring terrorism. Iranian Defence Minister Mostafa
Mohammad Najjar described Syria on Sunday as a strategic ally. Pieter
Wezeman, a researcher on conventional arms transfers at the Stockholm
International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), said Syria and Iran had
military relations but their secretive nature made it difficult to say
how substantial they were. He said Iran was believed to supply Syria
mainly with ammunition but there were reports of other kinds of military
cooperation. "It is extremely difficult to find any reliable
information," Wezeman said by telephone from Stockholm. more...
Ahmadinejad sure Syria will press struggle against Israel
AFP
(May 26,
2008) - President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Monday that he
remains confident Iran's close ally Syria will keep up the struggle
against Israel despite its announcement of renewed peace negotiations.
"I am sure that the Syrian leadership will manage the situation with
wisdom and will not abandon the front line until the complete removal of
the Zionist threats," Ahmadinejad told visiting Syrian Defence Minister
Hassan Turkmani. "So far the cooperation between Iran and Syria in
different areas has been beneficial for both sides and our defence ties
should be expanded as far as possible," the official IRNA news agency
quoted the president as saying. Turkmani's visit is the first to Iran by
a Syrian official since Syria and Israel announced last Wednesday that
they had resumed indirect peace negotiations through Turkish mediators,
ending an eight-year freeze. Turkmani held talks on Sunday with his
Iranian counterpart Mostafa Mohammad Najjar, during which the Iranian
side underlined the importance of "collective security". Ahmadinejad
stressed that Iran would continue its longstanding policy of supporting
"the oppressed Palestinian people." "Supporting the Palestinian people
means supporting regional security, as the Palestinians are in the front
line of the Zionists' aggression," he said. Iran does not recognise
Israel and has been a staunch supporter of the Palestinian cause since
the 1979 Islamic revolution. Ahmadinejad has drawn international
condemnation by calling for the Jewish state to be wiped from the map.
On Saturday, Syria rejected any preconditions to the new peace
negotiations with Israel involving either breaking its three-decade
alliance with Iran or ending its support for Lebanese and Palestinian
militant groups. Israeli officials have in the past conditioned any
peace deal with Syria on its agreement to end both. Iranian analysts saw
in Turkmani's visit proof that the three-decade-old alliance between
Tehran and Damascus remained intact despite the renewed peace
negotiations. more...
The September War
WorldNet Daily (May 23,
2008) - According to a number of sources, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
is planning to bring his first reactor on line sometime in September
2008, which is just about in line with what the Israeli Mossad had
estimated back in 2003 when the full extent of Iran's secret nuclear
program became known. The Iranian announcement came on the heels of a
surprise announcement by the government of Israel confirming it had
entered into third-party peace talks with Syria's Bashar Assad. The
surprising confirmation on Wednesday was the first acknowledged contact
between the two parties in eight years, which will be mediated by
Turkey. Equally surprising was a statement from the United States saying
it had no objection to the talks. Previously, the U.S. had rejected any
peace overtures toward Syria as long as it was sponsoring Hezbollah and
Hamas. In fact, President Bush seemed to have been blindsided by the
news. According to transcripts of an interview he granted to the
Jerusalem Post, Bush responded to the news by stammering; "I expect an
explanation, but I'm – he made a decision that he made – or no decisions
have been made, except the idea of trying to get some dialogue moving,
which is – and I know him well, and know that he is as concerned about
Israeli security as any other person that's ever been the prime minister
of Israel. And so I presume the decision is made." Despite the White
House's official welcome of the news, privately, officials were furious.
The New York Times quoted an "anonymous" (of course) "administration
official" who called Israel's unilateral move "a slap in the face."
While Damascus and Jerusalem talk peace, Iranian-backed Hezbollah
consolidated the gains it made in fighting against government forces in
the streets of Beirut and elsewhere. After six days of mediation between
Hezbollah and the Lebanese government, Hezbollah emerged a clear winner
in a settlement agreement in which Hezbollah was granted veto rights
over the government, affirming its stature as "the preponderant military
actor and the super political power in Lebanon," according to political
scientist Hilal Khashan of the American University of Beirut. Khashan
told the AFP that "it was an excellent deal for the Hezbollah-led
opposition and a major defeat for the U.S.-backed government." The deal
was brokered by the Qatari government. The Arab League played a major
part in securing the deal, with both Syria and Iran declaring their
support for Hezbollah's victory. Under the arrangement, Parliament will
elect as president the current head of the Lebanese Army, Gen. Michel
Suleiman. Gen. Suleiman will then appoint a new government – one in
which Hezbollah holds enough seats to veto any decisions it doesn't like
– such as disarming Hezbollah. Meanwhile, Israeli military sources say
that Iran is continuing to ship weapons and ammunition, via Hezbollah,
to the Hamas-occupied Gaza Strip, including rockets, missiles and rocket
launchers. According to the Mossad, these shipments have been stepped up
in recent months, reaching a peak in March-April. Using fishing boats,
Iran has successfully smuggled Iranian-made 120 mm mortars with a range
of up to six miles. The Mossad says that the smuggling operation is
overseen by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard using Syrian ports and
Hezbollah operatives. Meanwhile, back in Israel, Prime Minister Ehud
Olmert is fighting desperately to keep his job while he is under
investigation by police on charges of obtaining money by fraud, breach
of trust, money laundering and tax offenses, according to Haartez. And
fears are rampant within Israeli circles that Olmert may be considering
trading the Golan Heights in exchange for a peace deal he can trumpet to
deflect attention away from his legal problems.
If one sits down and connects the dots, one ends up with a very
different picture than the one being presented by the mainstream media
suggesting the Syrian-Israeli talks are representative of a major
breakthrough. It is worth remembering that it was the Persians who
invented chess, and Ahmadinejad seems to be controlling all the pieces.
In the first place, Ahmadinejad knows that Israel will attack its
reactor the moment that they take it on line. He's been arming and
training Hamas to serve as its proxy in the event of war, to harass the
IDF on its flanks. To the north in Lebanon, Ahmadinejad has succeeded in
rearming and re-equipping Hezbollah since the Lebanon War in 2006. The
Mossad estimates Hezbollah is stronger now than it was before Israel
invaded. Hezbollah has succeeded, for all intents and purposes, in
taking over the Lebanese government. Hamas controls all of the Gaza
Strip. Mahmoud Abbas' Palestinian Authority barely has a handle on the
West Bank – and in any event, would turn on Israel the second the
opportunity presented itself. Syria's insistence on the return of the
Golan Heights as a precondition for peace is a Trojan Horse –
particularly considering the timing. It was only last September that
Israel destroyed a Syrian nuclear reactor that was only weeks from being
operational. Syria has built one of the most formidable arsenals of
missiles and rockets in the region, all of them aimed at Israel. From
the Golan Heights, Syria would control much of northern Israel, as it
did prior to losing the Golan to Israel in the Six Days War. Israel is
therefore surrounded with Hezbollah and Syria to the north, Hamas on
both flanks, with al-Qaida sympathizers flooding in through Egypt and
Jordan. Everything is in place for war except the pretext to start
things off. Starting up a nuclear reactor will do nicely.
Let's also not forget...
Report: Israel threatened to target Syria if
Hezbollah attacks
Iran Allows Solana to Visit Tehran to Deliver Nuclear Proposals
Bloomberg (May 20,
2008) - Iran has agreed to a trip by European Union foreign
policy chief Javier Solana to deliver a package of incentives aimed at
persuading the country to suspend uranium enrichment, Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki said. Mottaki didn't say when Solana will arrive in
Tehran with the latest proposals for Iran's nuclear program from the
five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council plus
Germany, according to the state-run Fars news agency. The U.S., the
U.K., France, Russia and China, which have veto power at the UN Security
Council, were joined by Germany on May 2 in revising an incentive plan
developed in 2006. Measures in the initial package included an offer to
provide Iran with enriched uranium for power stations in exchange for
suspension of its own enrichment efforts. The enhancements to the
package haven't been made public. Iran says its nuclear program is
needed to produce fuel for power stations, while the U.S. and its allies
allege the project is being used as cover for the development of an
atomic weapon. Enriched uranium can be used to generate electricity or
to make nuclear warheads. President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on May 13
that he won't put Iran's "right'' to carry out uranium enrichment on its
own soil "up for negotiations.'' Iran is a signatory to the nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty.
Iran tells Syria must regain control of Golan
YNet News
(May 24, 2008)
- Syrian Defense
Minister Hassan Turkmani arrived in Tehran on Saturday evening as
part of Damascus' bid to reassure its Iranian ally after resuming
peace negotiations with Israel. General Turkmani is scheduled to
meet with his Iranian counterpart, Mustafa Mohammad-Najjar, and
additional key figures in Tehran. A possible meeting with President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has not yet been confirmed. In a meeting he held
earlier on Saturday with Hamas politburo chief, Khaled Mashaal,
Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki publically addressed the
renewed talks for the first time. "The Golan belongs to Syria and
must be returned to its control. The Zionist regime must withdraw
from the Golan, and we support Syrian efforts to repossess the
Heights." The Syrian defense minister's visit to Tehran follow
reports of Ahmadinejad's outrage over the contact between Israel and
Syria. Sources close to the Iranian president told the London-based
Asharq al-Awsat daily that Ahmadinejad has made his discontent over
the clandestine negotiations well known. He described the talks as a
"flagrant violation" of the mutual commitments between Syria and
Iran. Meanwhile, Damascus as reiterated its rejection of Israel's
demand that it sever ties with Iran, Hizbullah and Hamas as a key
condition of any peace agreement. During a joint press conference
Mashaal held with Mottaki after their meeting, the exiled Hamas
leader was careful not to criticize the negotiations. He did say
however that Prime Minister Ehud Olmert lacks the political might to
make the moves necessary for peace with Syria. "There is great
skepticism concerning (Israel's) seriousness to return the Golan,"
Mashaal said. "It's
maneuvering and playing all the (negotiation) tracks – this is a
well known game and besides, Olmert's weakness will not allow him to
take this step." He was referring to the current ongoing
investigation against Olmert, who has recently been suspected of
receiving money unlawfully. Mashaal said he
was sure the renewed talks would not come at the expense of the
Palestinian track. Related News:
Syria refuses to sever ties with Iran
Hezbollah in dangerous territory
BBC News
(May 16, 2008)
- Hezbollah's
lightning offensive against West Beirut and the Druze mountains
brought home violently what everybody already knew: that it is
far stronger than any other force in the land, including the
Lebanese Army. Its advances on the ground, and the
Western-backed government's humiliating capitulation over its two
rescinded decisions, were hailed in the Shia areas as glorious
victories, and celebrated with jubilation. In one way, the
Hezbollah escalation and the ensuing crisis has helped to unblock
the deadlock that has paralysed Lebanese politics for the past 18
months. It triggered an Arab League initiative, led by Qatar, to
defuse the crisis. The initiative provided the vehicle for an
agreement on the immediate start of a political dialogue, something
that has been absent for quite some time. But the full consequences
of the worst violence since the civil war in the 1970s and 1980s
have yet to be gauged. So too has the extent to which Hezbollah's
undoubted supremacy on the ground can translate into political
gains. The onslaught unleashed by the Hezbollah leader, Sayed Hassan
Nasrallah, just minutes after his televised address on 8 May, saw
his movement plunge along a bloody and dangerous course he always
vowed it would never follow. Hezbollah crushed all opposition in
West Beirut from Sunni supporters of the government in a matter of
hours on that Thursday night. On 11 May, it pounded the hills
south-east of Beirut until the Druze leader, Walid Jumblatt, agreed
to lay down arms and hand over to the Lebanese Army. But
Hezbollah had turned its guns against fellow-Lebanese, something
Hassan Nasrallah said would never happen. It also stirred up a
hornets' nest of sectarian hatreds and very real fears of another
outbreak of uncontainable civil strife. Hassan Nasrallah always
reassured those anxious about Hezbollah's growing power that he
would never allow that to happen. During the brief period when
his fighters and a motley array of allied Syrian-backed militias
left over from the civil war erupted into the streets of West
Beirut, they burned a television station and a newspaper office, and
ransacked and closed down other media outlets owned by their
adversaries, especially the Sunni leader Saad Hariri. That led to
fears among many Lebanese that what was under threat was not just
the political balance, but a way of life - the strong Lebanese
tradition of media freedom and social liberalism that somehow
survived all previous upheavals, and made Lebanon for decades a
haven for the region's political exiles. So Hezbollah and its allies
now enter the political contest hoping that the message of their
military "victories" against vastly inferior forces will mean a
greater chance of getting what they want - at least veto power in a
new national unity government, an issue that has snagged all
previous efforts to reach agreement. Hezbollah won two elements in
the current package agreement mediated by the Arab delegation:
But those immediate gains
for Hezbollah and its allies were balanced by two elements in the
Arab-mediated agreement positive for the government side, possibly
implying that Hezbollah's political position has been damaged by its use
of resistance arms in the domestic arena and the Pandora's box that
swung open as a result. These were: So the issue of
Hezbollah's weaponry, which it - unlike all other militias - was allowed
to keep at the end of the civil war on the grounds that it was a
resistance movement against Israeli occupation, is now centre-stage, as
a result of its being turned against fellow-Lebanese. After the
bloodshed, hatred and sectarian tensions of the past week, many Lebanese
are fearful that a breakdown of the dialogue now starting could see
Hezbollah and its allies back on the warpath in search of a clean
political sweep. The consequences, already foreshadowed by the
convulsions which triggered the Arab initiative, could be disastrous.
more...
Deal seeks to end Lebanon strife
BBC
(May 15, 2008) - Arab League mediators in
Lebanon say they have clinched an agreement to end the recent
fighting, which raised fears of a second civil war breaking out.
They said the opposition would end sit-in protests in Beirut and
allow the city's airport and port to reopen. Fighting between
pro-government groups and the Hezbollah-led opposition broke out
last week leaving at least 65 dead. The breakthrough came a day
after the Lebanese government withdrew plans aimed at curbing
Hezbollah. In what correspondents called a climb-down, ministers
rescinded decisions to shut down of Hezbollah's private phone system
and to remove a head of airport security. These moves last week
triggered the worst violence since Lebanon's 1975-1990 civil war.
The head of the Arab League delegation, Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh
Hamad bin Jassem bin Hamad al-Thani, announced a breakthrough on
Thursday after two days of peace talks in Beirut. The mediators said
the rival parties would go to Qatar on Friday to try to elect a
president - Lebanon has had no president since November - and form a
national unity government. The two sides have already agreed to
appoint Lebanese army commander Gen Michel Suleiman as president,
but must resolve the other issues first. Lebanon has been suspended
in political crisis since late 2006 when the Hezbollah-led
opposition left a national unity coalition cabinet, demanding more
power and a veto over government decisions. As news of a deal broke,
mechanical diggers began removing roadblocks set up last week by
militants on the route to Beirut's international airport, paving the
way for the first commercial flight to land in a week. Naim Qassam,
the deputy leader of Hezbollah, a mainly Shia political and militant
movement, earlier pledged it would return the situation in Lebanon
back "to normal". The BBC's Jim Muir in Beirut says the Lebanese
know that issues like the make-up of a new government have defied
all previous efforts to reach agreement. But they will cautiously
welcome the improved situation on the ground, while keeping their
fingers crossed that the dialogue will produce a stable political
situation, he says. Lebanon's Western-backed governing coalition
said last week's violence was a coup attempt by Hezbollah aimed at
restoring the influence of the two regional powers, Syria and Iran.
Hezbollah 'redrawing' Mideast map
Washington Times
(May 12, 2008) - Hezbollah's dramatic gains
in Lebanon last week are just part of a regional process that began last
year in the Gaza Strip and will continue in Jordan and Egypt, a Hamas
official in the West Bank told The Washington Times. Sheik Yazeeb Khader,
a Ramallah-based Hamas political activist and editor, said militant
groups across the Middle East are gaining power at the expense of
U.S.-backed regimes, just as Hamas seized control of the Gaza Strip from
forces loyal to U.S.-backed Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud
Abbas. "What happened in Gaza in 2007 is an achievement; now it is
happening in 2008 in Lebanon. It's going to happen in 2009 in Jordan and
it's going to happen in 2010 in Egypt," Sheik Khader said in an
interview. "We are seeing a redrawing of the map of the Middle East
where the forces of resistance and steadfastness are the ones moving the
things on the ground." His remarks highlight how a growing alliance
linking Hamas, Iran and Hezbollah straddles the Shi'ite-Sunni rift. The
notion of new countries falling under Islamist influence reflects a goal
of Hamas' parent group, the Muslim Brotherhood, of replacing secular
Arab regimes with Islamist governments. In the same way that Hamas'
victory over the Palestinian Authority security forces in Gaza fighting
last June profoundly disturbed neighboring Arab states, fighting in
Lebanon yesterday and last week has sent shock waves throughout the
Middle East and spurred an emergency meeting of the Arab League. The
Arab League is sending Secretary-General Amr Moussa to mediate among the
Lebanese government, Hezbollah and Sunni supporters of the government.
Sami Abu Zuhri, a spokesman for the Hamas government in Gaza, took a
different approach to the standoff in Lebanon by saying that the
fighting primarily served Israel. Mr. Abu Zuhri called on each side to
engage in dialogue instead of fighting. But several supporters of Hamas
in Gaza were comparing Hezbollah's advances into Sunni neighborhoods of
Beirut to Hamas' overrunning of security forces loyal to Mr. Abbas.
more...
Ahmadinejad: Israel to be 'swept away soon'
The Earth Times
(May 13, 2008) - Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said Tuesday that Israel would "be soon swept
away" from the Palestinian Territories by the Palestinians. It is
the second time within less than three years that the Iranian
president predicted the eradication of the Jewish state. The first
time was in 2005 when Ahmadinejad hoped that Israel would be
eradicated from the Middle East map. "This terrorist and criminal
state is backed by foreign powers, but this regime would soon be
swept away by the Palestinians," Ahmadinejad said in a press
conference in Tehran. Referring to worldwide celebrations for the
60th anniversary of Israel's foundation, he said that "it would be
futile to hold a birthday ceremony for something which is already
dead." "As far as the regional countries are concerned, this regime
does not exist," Ahmadinejad added. The Iranian president said last
week that the anniversary feasts could not save this "rotten and
stinking corpse." Ahmadinejad caused international outrage in the
past by hoping for the eradication of Israel, the relocation of the
Jewish state to Europe or Alaska and questioning the historic
dimensions of the Holocaust.
Iran's Ambassador to Syria says Israel in worst ever condition
Mathaba
(May 13, 2008) - President's Advisor
and IRI Ambassador in Syria said here Monday occupying regime of Holy
Qods is currently in its worst ever condition, getting weaker with
passage of each day, and moving towards extinction. According to IRNA
correspondent in Syria, Hojjatoleslam Seyyed Ahmad Moussavi made the
comment here on Monday night at the opening ceremony of a conference
titled "Repatriation, A Sacred And Legitimate Right", sponsored by
Damascus based Arab Writers Union. Moussavi added, "Israel has ever
since its establishment been serving the colonialist, and later on
neo-colonialist Western powers as a tool for strengthening their
hegemony in this sensitive region." The Iranian diplomat added, "The US
President assumes that the entire nations in this region are waiting for
him to issue commands and obey them, but the Americans are today
beginning to realize that not only that has been a simple minded
assumption, but also the US and Israeli plots for the region are facing
humiliating defeats in the region one after the other." Referring to the
existence of numerous conflicts and difficulties within the Islamic and
Arab worlds, he said, "Despite all those problems and challenges, the
root cause of most of which is US and Israeli plots, the victory of
Muslims in the long run is easy to predict." The Islamic Republic of
Iran's ambassador to Syria emphasized that freedom and liberation cannot
be achieved without tolerating the hardships of Jihad (sacred defensive
war), resistance, and unity. He added, "In order to achieve
independence, freedom, and competence in facing the ever increasing
challenges in today's world, the world Muslims need to get acquainted
with the culture of resistance, and to keep alight the light of hope for
embracing final victory in their hearts." Hojjatoleslam Moussavi who was
addressing the audience at the conference on the verge of the 60th
wretched anniversary of Israel's illegitimate establishment meanwhile
warned the Muslims to beware of the incessant cultural onslaught of the
West. He added, "The main objective of this onslaught is annihilation of
the Islamic and indigenous values of our nations, as well as braking the
bonds of unity within the Islamic and Arab societies." The Zionists
occupied the major part of Palestine's lands on May 15th, 1948 and in
1967 seized the entire territory of that oppressed nation. The
Palestinians refer to the latter day, when they lost their lands, became
homeless, and were broadly massacred by the Zionists as "Yaum ul-Nikba"
(The Wretched Day), remembering it as the most catastrophic day in their
history, but the illegitimate Zionist state celebrates the same day
annually. Mousavi then referred to the occupation of Palestine initially
by the British forces, and then handing it to the agents of the
International Zionism, who facilitated for the three waves of the world
Jews' migration to that holy land as the most perilous plot hatched n
the West against the Islamic World. He emphasized, "Accusing the world
Muslims of nurturing terrorists and of having terrorist tendencies
today, is a stage in continuation of the same nasty plot." Mousavi said,
"The late founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Imam Khomeini (P)
considered defending the Palestinian nation, and their ideals a top
priority of Iran's foreign policy. Iran's ambassador to Damascus added,
"A couple of signs of remaining faithful to that policy is his
announcement of the last Friday of the fasting month of Ramadan as the
International Qods Day, closure f Israel's embassy in Tehran, and
establishment of Palestine's Embassy in its place soon after the victory
of the Islamic Revolution." The two-day conference is held in the
presence of a large number of Iranian and Arab Alims and thinkers. Among
the prominent Arab personalities at the conference there are the head of
the Arab Writers Union, Hussain Jum'ah, Deputy Secretary General of
Palestine's Islamic Jihad Movement, Amal, and head of Iran-Arab
Friendship Committee, Adnan Abu-Nasser.
Hezbollah to end Beirut seizure
BBC News (May
10,
2008) - The army revoked two key government
measures that had led to four days of street fighting between the
two sides, leaving at least 37 people dead. But it has vowed to
continue civil disobedience until its demands are met. The fighting
was sparked by a government move to shut down Hezbollah's telecoms
network and the removal of the chief of security at Beirut airport for
alleged Hezbollah sympathies. Earlier, Prime Minister Fouad Siniora
called on the army to restore law and order, saying the country would
not fall to Hezbollah after four days of street battles which saw the
Shia movement drive supporters of the government out of western Beirut.
In his first response to Hezbollah's de facto takeover of the west of
the capital, Mr Siniora said his government would never declare war
against the Shia group. The latest violence amounts to a humiliating
blow to the government, which appears to have badly overplayed its hand
in moving to close Hezbollah's telecoms network on Tuesday, our
correspondent says. more...
Hezbollah gunmen seize large areas of Beirut
Associated Press
(May 9,
2008) - Shiite Hezbollah gunmen seized control
of key parts of Beirut from Sunnis loyal to the U.S.-backed government
Friday, a dramatic show-of-force certain to strengthen the
Iranian-allied group’s hand as it fights for dominance in Lebanon’s
political deadlock. An ally of Hezbollah said the group intended to pull
back, at least partially, from the areas its gunmen occupied overnight
and Friday morning — signaling Hezbollah likely does not intend a
full-scale, permanent takeover of Sunni Muslim parts of Beirut, similar
to the Hamas takeover of Gaza a year ago. The clashes eased by Friday
evening as Lebanon’s army began peacefully moving into some areas where
Hezbollah gunmen had a presence. But as Hezbollah gunmen celebrated in
the capital’s empty streets — including marching down Hamra Street, one
of its glitziest shopping lanes — it was clear that the show-of-force
would have wide implications for Lebanon and the entire Mideast.
Lebanon’s army largely stood aside as the Shiite militiamen scattered
their opponents and occupied large swaths of the capital’s Muslim sector
early Friday — a sign of how tricky Lebanon’s politics have become. In
one instance, the army stood aside as Shiite militiamen burned the
building of the newspaper of their main Sunni rival — acting only to
evacuate people and then allow firefighters later to put out the blaze.
The army has pledged to keep the peace but not take sides in the long
political deadlock — which pits Shiite Hezbollah and a handful of allies
including some Christian groups, against the U.S.-backed government,
which includes Christian and Sunni Muslims. Three days of street battles
and gunfights capped by Friday’s Hezbollah move have killed at least 14
people and wounded 20 — the country’s worst sectarian fighting since the
1975-1990 civil war. Three more people were killed in two separate
incidents on Friday after the Hezbollah takeover. Two of them were Druse
allies of Hezbollah who died in a shooting in a hilly suburb southeast
of the capital late Friday, security officials said. For Beirut
residents and those across the Mideast, it was a grim reminder of that
troubled time when Beirut was carved into enclaves ruled by rival
factions and car bombs and snipers devastated the capital. more...
Ahmadinejad: Israel a 'stinking corpse' facing annihilation
The Jerusalem Post
(May 9, 2008) - Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Thursday that the state of Israel is a
"stinking corpse" that is destined to disappear, the French news agency
AFP reported. "Those who think they can revive the stinking corpse of
the usurping and fake Israeli regime by throwing a birthday party are
seriously mistaken," the official IRNA news agency quoted Ahmadinejad as
having said. "Today the reason for the Zionist regime's existence is
questioned and this regime is on its way to annihilation." Ahmadinejad
further stated that Israel "has reached the end like a dead rat after
being slapped by the Lebanese" - referring to the Second Lebanon War in
the summer of 2006. Given Bible prophecy's stance
on Iran's future actions in
Ezekiel 38,39 I would take his
rhetoric seriously. However, Israel was already a pile of bones, but
God brought them back together again just a few chapters prior to
the foretelling of Iran's attack on Israel. Ezekiel 37:1-6; 11-14 And God has made it clear that
just as the bones coming together again was a sign to the world that
God is who He says He is and means what He says, so too will the
destruction of the Magog invaders in the mountains of Israel be a
witness to the world that He is God. Ezekiel 39:6-8 While
the future does look bleak at times for Israel even after God
intervenes on her behalf, in the end the promise that Israel will
never again be removed from the Promised Land will be true, just
like the rest of God's Word is. It is those that come against the
Lord who will be the "stinking corpses" and will not receive the
promise of eternal life through faith in Yeshua the Christ. Faith is
not blind, faith comes by hearing and hearing by the Word of God.
May your faith be strengthened in these increasingly deceptive times
as you see God's Word come to pass in this generation.
Violence
rekindles fears of Lebanese civil war
MSNBC
(May 8, 2008) - Shiite Hezbollah
supporters and the Lebanese government’s Sunni backers clashed with
machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades Thursday in battles that
spread through Beirut’s streets soon after Hezbollah’s leader vowed to
fight any attempt to disarm his men. Lebanese security officials said
two people were killed and eight wounded in the sectarian clashes. The
violence first erupted in Muslim West Beirut, where masked gunmen on
street corners opened fire along Corniche Mazraa, a major thoroughfare
that has become a demarcation line between the two sides. It spread to
Khandaq el-Ghamiq, a neighborhood adjacent to downtown, which is home to
the government’s offices. Shootings and explosions were reported by
witnesses and television stations in the Aisha Bakkar neighborhood near
the office of Lebanon’s Sunni spiritual leader, who is allied with the
government. Gunfire and explosions were also heard in a nearby district
where the opposition-aligned parliament speaker has his official
residence. Troops in armored carriers had earlier moved in to West
Beirut to separate people who were trading insults and throwing stones
at each other, but the troops did not attempt to stop the street battles
that then broke out. The army, which has been struggling to contain the
disturbances, warned of the consequences to the country and the
military. “The continuation of the situation as is is a clear loss for
all and harms the unity of the military institution,” a statement said.
The clashes have brought back memories of the devastating 1975-1990
civil war that has left lasting scars on Lebanon. Beirut residents are
now seeing fresh demarcation lines, burning tires and roadblocks. The
army has largely stayed out of the broader political struggle between
Hezbollah and the government for fear of exacerbating the situation. The
army’s commander is the two factions’ consensus candidate for president.
Gen. Michel Suleiman so far has advised the government not to declare a
state of emergency. The clashes came close on the heels of a defiant
speech by Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, who said his Iranian-backed
militant organization would respond with force to any attacks. “Those
who try to arrest us, we will arrest them,” he said. “Those who shoot at
us, we will shoot at them. The hand raised against us, we will cut it
off.” It was the second day of fighting that has turned some city
neighborhoods into battlegrounds and spilled over to other parts of the
country. more... What does this have to do with
Gog/Magog? As was reported a while back, Southern Lebanon has been a
location with
many underground bunkers storing munitions and the
Magog attack is supposed to come from the North into Israel. That
there were
Russian and
Turkish
"peacekeeping troops" sent in after the 2006
fighting with Israel and these bunkers are storing weapons, the
instability in the nation now would seem to tilt into the hands of
Hezbollah who is supported by Iran, a major player in the attack on
Israel that God prevents.
Iran clerics rebuke Ahmadinejad over 'hidden imam'
Brietbart.com
(May 7, 2008) - Clerics have told
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to stick to more worldly issues after he
was quoted as saying the "hidden imam" of Shiite Islam was directing
Iran. Ahmadinejad has always been a devotee of the Mahdi, the twelfth
imam of Shiite Islam, who Shiites believe disappeared more than a
thousand years ago and who will return one day to usher in a new era of
peace and harmony. But in a speech to theology students broadcast by
state television on Monday, Ahmadinejad went further than ever before in
emphasising his belief that the Mahdi is playing a critical role in
Iran's day-to-day politics. "The Imam Mahdi is in charge of the world
and we see his hand directing all the affairs of the country," he said
in the speech, which appears to date from last month but has only now
been broadcast. "We must solve Iran's internal problems as quickly as
possible. Time is lacking. A movement has started for us to occupy
ourselves with our global responsibilities, which are arriving with
great speed." Two leading clerics retorted that Ahmadinejad would be
better off concentrating on Iran's social problems -- most notably its
double-digit inflation -- than indulging in such mystical rhetoric. "If
Ahmadinejad wants to say that the hidden imam is supporting the
decisions of the government, it is not true," sniped Gholam Reza Mesbahi
Moghadam, the spokesman of the conservative Association of Combatant
Clerics. "For sure, the hidden imam does not approve of inflation of 20
percent, the high cost of living and numerous other errors," he said,
according to the Kargozaran daily. Ali Asghari, a member of the
conservative Hezbollah faction in parliament, told the president not to
link the management of the country to the imam. "Ahmadinejad would do
better to worry about social problems like inflation ... and other
terrestrial affairs," Etemad Melli daily quoted him as saying. Since
becoming president in 2005, Ahmadinejad has repeatedly stated that his
government is paving the way for the return of the Mahdi and chided his
foes for not believing that his return is imminent.
Germany 'business as usual' with Iran
The Jerusalem Post
(May 5, 2008) - Critics of Germany's
pro-business policy toward Iran flocked to a conference in Berlin that
for the first time brought together Germans, Iranians-in-exile and
Israelis for two days of panel discussions that concluded late Saturday.
The strong trade relations between Iran and Germany are a source of
great concern for the speakers, who argued that Germany's overly cordial
political and economic relations with Teheran are endangering the
security of Israel and stability in the Middle East. The nonprofit
Mideast Freedom Forum Berlin organized the conference. Dr. Matthias
Küntzel, a German political scientist who specializes in German-Iranian
relations, revealed that a controversial meeting between Iranian Deputy
Foreign Minister Mehdi Safari and his German counterpart, Reinhard
Silberberg, took place in April. Küntzel cited a report in the Tehran
Times from April 19 in which "Silberberg noted that the two countries
enjoy good relations and called for continuation of dialogue between
Iranian and German officials." According to an April 20 report in the
Persian Journal, Silberberg invited Safari for a three-day visit that
entailed meetings with leading German politicians and business
officials. A German Foreign Ministry spokeswoman told The Jerusalem
Post, "A meeting took place with Silberberg" and Safari in Berlin on
April 16, but the discussion did not address "economic questions."
Instead, "difficult questions involving Iran" were raised. Silberberg
reiterated Germany's two-track Iranian position emphasizing sanctions
and dialogue, she added. A lighting-rod issue at the conference was the
yawning gap between Chancellor Angela Merkel's speech to the Knesset on
March 18 declaring Israel's national security to be part of Germany's
"national interest," and her government's refusal to clamp down on
German firms supplying valuable technology for Iran's infrastructure.
According to the Iran Press TV Web site, representatives from the German
Economics Ministry and German industry met with Safari during his visit
and "the two sides discussed ways to expand economic cooperation and
agreed that a German delegation would visit Iran to follow up agreements
already signed between Teheran and Berlin." more...
Iran completely stops conducting oil transactions in US dollars
USA Today
(April 30, 2008) - A top Oil Ministry
official says Iran, OPEC's second-largest producer, has completely
stopped conducting all its oil transactions in U.S. dollars. Iran
has dramatically reduced dependence on the dollar over the past year
in the face of increasing U.S. pressure on its financial system and
the fall in the value of the American currency. Oil is priced in
U.S. dollars on the world market and the currency's depreciation has
concerned producers because it has contributed to rising crude
prices and eroded the value of their dollar reserves. Iran has
already said it was shifting its oil sales out of the dollar into
other currencies. Oil Ministry official Hojjatollah Ghanimifard said
Wednesday all oil transactions are now being carried out in euros
and yen.
Iran tells Russia of plan to solve world problems
Brietbart.com
(April 28, 2008) - Iran's top national
security official on Monday held talks with his Russian counterpart
about a new Iranian package aimed at solving world problems,
including the nuclear standoff with the West. "The package is about
the great questions of the world and the nuclear question could be
the subject of discussion," Iran's top national security official
Saeed Jalili said after talks with Russia's Valentin Sobolev. Jalili
gave no further details over the contents of the package, which
appears to be an all-embracing attempt to solve the problems of the
world rather than a specific offer to end the nuclear crisis. "Our
approach could be a good basis for negotiation between the
influential powers of the world," he said. The package appears to
emphasise what Iran sees as its growing power in the world and the
supposed decline of the great world powers such as Britain and the
United States. President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has repeatedly said in
recent weeks that Iran is the most powerful nation in the world and
capitalist superpowers are on the verge of collapse. Ahmadinejad
appointed his close ally Jalili as secretary of the Supreme National
Security Council in a surprise move last year, replacing the more
moderate Ali Larijani. "The world is no longer unilateral," Jalili
told a news conference alongside Sobolev, who is the acting head of
Russia's security council. "There are different powers in the world.
Decisions should be made taking into account these different powers
and the capacity and power of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the
world," said Jalili. He added that the package would not yet be made
public. It would be a major surprise if the package contained any
concession from Iran to break the deadlock in the nuclear standoff
as Ahmadinejad has repeatedly said Tehran will not cede an inch in
the dispute. more... According to
my understanding of scripture and the
timing of events, Iran is very close to the prophesied attack on
Israel,
Ezekiel 38,39, in which God will
intervene and destroy the attackers. Ahmadinejad's feeling of power
in seeing the decline of Western power could lead to confidence in
attacking Israel and the world not doing anything about it. There is
also the possibility that they are led to attack because of an
Israeli pre-emptive attack on Damascus,
Isaiah 17, which would give them
even more confidence to attack. Keep watching!
Israel: UNIFIL is hiding information about Hezbollah from Security
Council
Haaretz
(April 28, 2008) - The United Nations
Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) is intentionally concealing
information about Hezbollah activities south of the Litani River in
Lebanon to avoid conflict with the group, senior sources in
Jerusalem have said. In the last six months there have been at least
four cases in which UNIFIL soldiers identified armed Hezbollah
operatives, but did nothing and did not submit full reports on the
incidents to the UN Security Council. The Israel Defense Forces and
the Foreign Ministry are reportedly very angry about UNIFIL's
actions in recent months, especially about the fact that its
commander, Major General Claudio Graziano, is said to be leniently
interpreting his mission, as assigned by Security Council Resolution
1701, passed at the end of the Second Lebanon War. Senior IDF
officials said recently behind closed doors that Graziano is
"presenting half-truths so as to avoid embarrassment and conflict
with Hezbollah," and that Resolution 1701 has been increasingly
eroded in recent months. A senior government source in Jerusalem
said that, "There is an attempt by various factors in the UN to
mislead the Security Council and whitewash everything having to do
with the strengthening of Hezbollah in southern Lebanon." The source
also said, "The policy of cover-ups and whitewashing will not last
long and, hopefully, now that the concealing of information has been
revealed, things will change." Israeli anger reached boiling point
over a week ago after the release of a new report by UN
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon with regard to another Lebanon-related
Security Council resolution, 1559. The report briefly mentioned an
incident at the beginning of March in which UNIFIL soldiers
encountered unidentified armed men, and included no additional
details. Officials in Israel, familiar with the incident, reportedly
were aware that the Security Council had not been apprised of
numerous details of the incident. A day after the release of the
report, Haaretz revealed that the incident described in the report
had actually been a clash between UNIFIL and armed Hezbollah
activists. The latter, driving a truck full of explosives,
threatened the Italian UNIFIL battalion with weapons. Instead of
using force as required by their mandate, the UN soldiers abandoned
the site. A diplomatic source at the UN told Haaretz that senior
officials in UNIFIL and in the UN Secretariat brought heavy pressure
to bear to have the incident erased from the report or at least to
blur it. When the incident was made public, UNIFIL was forced to
admit that it had indeed occurred and to request Lebanon's
assistance in investigating it. UNIFIL spokeswoman Yasmina Bouziane
said that during the incident, which took place near the city of
Tyre in southern Lebanon, five armed men had threatened UNIFIL
troops. more...
Report: Hezbollah man says new attack on Israel is question of
'when, not if'
Haaretz
(April 27, 2008) - Two years after the
Second Lebanon War, the Iranian-backed Hezbollah organization has
bolstered its recruitment efforts at an unprecedented rate in
preparation for a fresh war with Israel, The Guardian reported
Sunday. The report quoted an unnamed Hezbollah fighter as saying:
"It's not a matter of if, it's a matter of when Sayyed Hassan
Nasrallah [Hezbollah chief] commands us" to attack. According to the
report, the Islamist group has of late been sending "hundreds, if
not thousands" of recruits to training camps in Lebanon, Syria and
Iran in ancticipation of conflict with Israel. "The villages in the
south are empty of men," an international official was quoted as
saying. "They are all gone, training in Bekaa, Syria and Iran."
Israel and the Hezbollah fought a 34-day war in the summer of 2006,
sparked by the militant group's cross-border raid and abduction of
two Israel Defense Forces reservists. more...
Israeli envoy to UN calls Carter 'a bigot' for meeting Meshal
Haaretz
(April 25, 2008) - Israel's ambassador
to the United Nations on Thursday called former President Jimmy
Carter "a bigot" for meeting with the leader of the militant Hamas
movement in Syria. Carter, a Nobel Peace Prize winner, "went to the
region with soiled hands and came back with bloody hands after
shaking the hand of Khaled Meshal, the leader of Hamas," Ambassador
Dan Gillerman told a luncheon briefing for reporters. The diplomat
was questioned about problems facing his country during a
wide-ranging discussion with reporters lasting more than an hour.
The briefing was sponsored by The Israel Project, a
Washington-based, media-oriented advocacy group. The ambassador's
harsh words for Carter came days after the ex-president met with
Meshal for seven hours in Damascus to negotiate a cease-fire with
Gaza's Hamas rulers. Carter then called Meshal on Monday to try to
get him to agree to a one-month truce without conditions, but the
Hamas leader rejected the idea. The ambassador called last weekend's
encounter "a very sad episode in American history." He said it was
"a shame" to see Carter, who had done "good things" as a former
president, "turn into what I believe to be a bigot." Reacting to the
ambassador's comments, former Meretz chairman MK Yossi Beilin on
Friday urged the state to recall Gillerman from his post. Telephone
calls by The Associated Press to two Atlanta numbers for Carter were
not immediately returned Thursday. During Carter's visit, Gillerman
said, Hamas "was shelling our cities and maiming and injuring and
wounding Israeli babies and Israeli children." The ambassador
noted that Hamas is armed and trained by Iran, whose president once
called for Israel to be "wiped off the map." "The real danger,
the real problem is not the Israeli-Palestinian conflict; the real
threat is Iran," he said. ... Gillerman called Syria a
"destabilizing influence" in the Middle East. "You see Syria's
hosting, very hospitably and warmly, over 10 terror organizations in
Damascus," the ambassador said, adding that the country also
supports Hezbollah, an anti-Israeli Shiite group in Lebanon with
close ties to Iran and Syria. "Basically, Syria and Iran, together
with Hamas and Hezbollah, are the main axes of terror and evil in
the world," the Israeli ambassador said. more... If Israeli intelligence warns
of a serious threat from those 10 terror organizations in Damascus,
and
Syria's nuclear reactor ambitions are laid bare,
more here and
here, could this lead to Israel preemptively attacking Damascus
as stated in
Isaiah 17? Keep in mind that
Israel's existence is at stake as far as the secular state is
concerned. Many of their neighbors are vying for their destruction,
will she react? Keep watching.
Al Qaeda No. 2: Attacks on Western nations in works
CNN
(April 22, 2008) - Al Qaeda still has
plans to target Western countries involved in the Iraq war, Osama
bin Laden's chief deputy warns in an audiotape released Tuesday to
answer questions posed by followers. The voice in the lengthy file
posted on an Islamic Web site could not be immediately confirmed as
al Qaeda No. 2 Ayman al-Zawahiri's. But it sounded like past
audiotapes from the terror leader, and the posting bore the logo of
As-Sahab, al Qaeda's official media arm. The two-hour message is
billed as the second installment of al-Zawahiri's answers to more
than 900 questions submitted on extremist Internet sites by al Qaeda
supporters, critics and journalists in December. Responding to a
question of whether the terror group had plans to attack Western
countries that participated in the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq and
subsequent war, al-Zawahiri said, "My answer is, yes. We think that
any country that joined aggression on Muslims must be deterred." Al-Zawahiri
also denied a conspiracy theory that Israel carried out the
September 11, 2001, attacks on the U.S., and he blamed Iran and
Shiite Hezbollah for spreading the idea to discredit the Sunni al
Qaeda's achievement. Al-Zawahiri accused Hezbollah's al-Manar
television of starting the rumor. "The purpose of this lie is clear
-- (to suggest) that there are no heroes among the Sunnis who can
hurt America as no else did in history. Iranian media snapped up
this lie and repeated it," he said. "Iran's aim here is also clear
-- to cover up its involvement with America in invading the homes of
Muslims in Afghanistan and Iraq," he added. "Iran's aim here is also
clear -- to cover up its involvement with America in invading the
homes of Muslims in Afghanistan and Iraq," he added. Iran cooperated
with the United States in the 2001 U.S. assault on Afghanistan that
toppled the Taliban, an al Qaeda ally. The comments reflected al-Zawahiri's
increasing criticism of Iran, which al-Zawahiri has accused in
recent messages of seeking to extend its power in the Middle East,
particularly in Iraq and through its Hezbollah allies in Lebanon.
Until recent months, he had not often mentioned the Islamic
republic. Al Qaeda has previously claimed responsibility for the
9/11 attacks. The anti-Iranian rhetoric could reflect an attempt to
exploit majority Sunnis' fears of Shiite Iran's influence in the
region and depict al Qaeda as the main force opposing it. more... I would like to add regarding
September 11, 2001 that I have some valid suspicions that more than
Al Qaeda was involved and the question arises from what we all saw
that day. Thousands of man-hours go into preparing buildings to be
brought straight down within their own footprint, with precisely
placed and timed charges in strategic areas so that the buildings
don't topple into their surrounding neighbors. How is it that three
buildings in the course of one day all fell with that same precision
without all the man-hours necessary to bring other buildings down
with that kind of precision? Keeping in mind that we don't
fight against flesh and blood, but against principalities and powers
and spiritual wickedness in high places, and given the result of the
attacks on that day in taking freedoms in the name of peace and
security and intensified global harmonization of laws toward that
same end, could it be that those pushing for a global control have
players on both sides of the field, creating the chaos then
providing the answers to that chaos through government? For Al
Qaeda, it is in their best interest to claim responsibility and
those who had to put the time into the precise bringing down of
those three buildings have it in their best interest to let them
take responsibility for it. There is
some questions I still have as to their connection to the CIA.
And the history of the CIA in things like the Iran-Contra affair
seems to have been involved in much of the foundation of current
conflicts. The Bible says that in the end times there would be a
global government headed by the man of sin
centered in Europe. We are marching toward that legal control
right now through the war on terror and other things such as
free-trade through NAFTA and the WTO.
America is ceding sovereignty to Europe while Canada and the US
have signed an agreement so that in the event of an emergency,
Canadian military forces can be deployed in America and visa-versa.
Part of the design of the current system is to unite military and
civilian authorities in the event of an emergency. I don't like what I'm seeing
and while I don't think there is anything we can do, we are told to
watch and so as a watchman I share with you what I'm seeing, pretty
or not. I have no political agenda as I trust few of them and even
then cannot be sure. I try to judge by the fruits of their labors.
BTW, I'm not saying our whole government is corrupt, but I am
saying that there are elements with great power within government
that know the ropes and how to remain hidden in the shadows of
government. Government is necessary according to the Bible, but in
the end times, that system will be handed to and headed by a
dictator who will have the destruction of mankind in mind. These are
just more signs leading to the end prophesied, now seen in greater
detail as they unfold around us. We're still in the stages that can
be dismissed by many, but I believe that will soon change. This
Biblical foundation separate from all the conspiracy information, in
combination with what is happening today, leads me to speak up about
it and encourage you to keep watching! There is hope for them that
love God, I encourage you to get to know Him if you don't already!
While we watch events unfold, remember that Yeshua is our true
focus, the rest are just signs of the times for our awareness.
Iran: We'll 'eliminate Israel' if it launches attack
The Jerusalem Post
(April 15, 2008) - Iran will eliminate
Israel if it attacks the Islamic Republic, Iran's deputy army chief
warned Tuesday in words conjuring up Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad's threats to wipe Israel off the map. "Should Israel
take any action against Iran, we will eliminate Israel from the
scene of the universe," Gen. Muhammad Reza Ashtiani said in Teheran
on Tuesday. Ashtiani's statement followed Infrastructure Minister
Binyamin Ben-Eliezer's comment last week warning Iran that any
attack on Israel would result in the "destruction of the Iranian
nation." Ashtiani claimed Israel was "very vulnerable" and dismissed
allegations that Iran was worried about Israeli maneuvers. "Due to
its special conditions, Israel is very vulnerable in the region," he
said. "The aggressors will face a crushing response." Prime Minister
Ehud Olmert's spokesman Mark Regev responded by saying "these
hateful and extreme statements from the Iranian leadership are
unfortunately routine. The sad reality is that these statements
expose the mind set and political agenda of the leadership in
Teheran. Unfortunately these hateful words are backed up by very
dangerous actions." Foreign Ministry spokesman Aryeh Mekel said that
these comments illustrate the need for the international community
to "work with more determination" and take steps to keep Iran, which
is threatening to destroy another UN member state, from obtaining
nuclear weapons. more... I believe Iran will follow
through on this threat. However, I also believe God will follow
through with His promised intervention when it takes place as well.
A Mystery in the Middle East
Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
(April 8, 2008) - The Arab-Israeli
region of the Middle East is filled with
rumors of war. That is about as unusual as the rising of the sun, so
normally it would not be worth mentioning. But like the proverbial
broken clock that is right twice a day, such rumors occasionally will be
true. In this case, we don’t know that they are true, and certainly it’s
not the rumors that are driving us. But other things — minor and readily
explicable individually — have drawn our attention to the possibility
that something is happening. The first thing that drew our attention was
a minor, routine matter. Back in February, the United States started
purchasing oil for its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The SPR is a
reserve of crude oil stored in underground salt domes. Back in February,
it stood at 96.2 percent of capacity, which is pretty full as far as we
are concerned. But the U.S. Department of Energy decided to increase its
capacity. This move came in spite of record-high oil prices and the fact
that the purchase would not help matters. It also came despite potential
political fallout, since during times like these there is generally
pressure to release reserves. Part of the step could have been the
bureaucracy cranking away, and part of it could have been the feeling
that the step didn’t make much difference. But part of it could have
been based on real fears of a disruption in oil supplies. By itself, the
move meant nothing. But it did cause us to become thoughtful. Also in
February, someone
assassinated Imad Mughniyah, a leader of Hezbollah, in a car bomb
explosion in Syria. It was assumed the Israelis had killed him, although
there were some suspicions the Syrians might have had him killed for
their own arcane reasons. In any case, Hezbollah publicly claimed the
Israelis killed Mughniyah, and therefore it was expected the militant
Shiite group would take revenge. In the past, Hezbollah responded
not by attacking Israel but by
attacking Jewish targets elsewhere, as in the Buenos Aires attacks
of 1992 and 1994. In March, the United States decided to dispatch the
USS Cole, then under Sixth Fleet command, to
Lebanese coastal waters. Washington later replaced it with two
escorts from the Nassau (LHA-4) Expeditionary Strike Group (ESG),
reportedly maintaining a minor naval presence in the area. (Most of the
ESG, on a regularly scheduled deployment, is no more than a few days
sail from the coast, as it remains in the Mediterranean Sea.) The reason
given for the American naval presence was to serve as a warning to the
Syrians not to involve themselves in Lebanese affairs. The exact mission
of the naval presence off the Levantine coast — and the exact deterrent
function it served — was not clear, but there they were. The Sixth Fleet
has gone out of its way to park and maintain U.S. warships off the
Lebanese coast. Hezbollah leaders being killed by the Israelis and the
presence of American ships off the shores of Mediterranean countries are
not news in and of themselves. These things happen. The killing of
Mughniyah is notable only to point out that as much as Israel might have
wanted him dead, the Israelis knew this fight would escalate. But anyone
would have known this. So all we know is that whoever killed Mughniyah
wanted to trigger a conflict. The U.S. naval presence off the Levantine
coast is notable in that Washington, rather busy with matters elsewhere,
found the bandwidth to get involved here as well. With the situation
becoming tense, the Israelis announced in March that they would carry
out an exercise in April called
Turning Point 2. Once again, an Israeli military exercise is hardly
interesting news. But the Syrians apparently got quite interested. After
the announcement, the Syrians
deployed three divisions — two armored, one mechanized — to the
Lebanese-Syrian border in the Bekaa Valley, the western part of which is
Hezbollah’s stronghold. The Syrians didn’t appear to be aggressive.
Rather, they deployed these forces in a defensive posture, in a way
walling off their part of the valley. The Syrians are well aware that in
the event of a conventional war with Israel, they would experience a
short but exciting life, as they say. They thus are hardly going to
attack Israel. The deployment therefore seemed intended to keep the
Israelis on the Lebanese side of the border — on the apparent assumption
the Israelis were going into the Bekaa Valley. Despite Israeli and
Syrian denials of the Syrian troop buildup along the border, Stratfor
sources maintain that the
buildup in fact happened. Normally, Israel would be jumping at the
chance to trumpet Syrian aggression in response to these troop
movements, but, instead, the Israelis downplayed the buildup. When the
Israelis kicked off Turning Point 2, which we regard as a pretty
interesting name, it turned out to be the largest exercise in Israeli
history. It involved the entire country, and was designed to test civil
defenses and the ability of the national command authority to continue
to function in the event of an attack with unconventional weapons —
chemical and nuclear, we would assume. This was a costly exercise. It
also involved calling up reserves, some of them for the exercise, and,
by some reports, others for deployment to the north against Syria.
Israel does not call up reserves casually. Reserve call-ups are
expensive and disrupt the civilian economy. These appear small, but in
the environment of Turning Point 2, it would not be difficult to
mobilize larger forces without being noticed. The Syrians already were
deeply concerned by the Israeli exercise. Eventually, the Lebanese
government got worried, too, and started to evacuate some civilians from
the South. Hezbollah, which still hadn’t retaliated for the Mughniyah
assassination, also claimed the Israelis were about to attack it, and
reportedly went on alert and mobilized its forces. The Americans, who
normally issue warnings and cautions to everyone, said nothing to try to
calm the situation. They just sat offshore on their ships. more...
Israeli intel projects a one-month war with Syria
World Tribune
(April 8, 2008) - Israel's intelligence
community has concluded that the next war would involve missiles and
Hizbullah, last at least a month and include Syria. The intelligence
community has drafted a series of scenarios for Israel's emergency
services to prepare for future war. The scenarios envisioned the next
war as including massive missile and rocket salvos, some of them
containing chemical weapons, on Israeli cities. "The scenarios are based
on Arab military capability rather than intentions," an Israeli
government source said. "The war in Lebanon was also seen as a taste of
what a full-scale war would bring." Officials said Israel's military,
police and emergency services have been on high alert for an attack by
Hizbullah, Syria or Iran, Middle East Newsline reported. They said the
current alert would last throughout April and did not rule out a
continuation of high combat-readiness for the rest of 2008. Under the
scenarios, hundreds of Israelis would be killed and thousands injured in
missile strikes on Tel Aviv. The enemy missiles would target strategic
facilities, including Israel's Ben-Gurion International Airport.
Syria was also expected to be a participant in the next war against
Israel. The intelligence community envisioned Hizbullah, Iran and
Syria coordinating strikes on northern and central Israel. The Hamas
regime and the Palestinian Authority would also fire rockets from the
West Bank and Gaza Strip. In one scenario, Iran would also attack the
Jewish state. The intelligence community did not expect Iran to fire
nuclear, biological or chemical weapons, but said such an attack
could stem from Syria. more...
Syria on Alert 'Because Hizbullah Revenge Attack is Near'
Israel National News
(April 6, 2008) - Syria has raised the
state of alert of its armed forces because it knows Hizbullah's revenge
attack against Israel for the killing of Imad Mughniyeh is near,
according to Israel's Channel 2 TV. Soon after Mughniyeh's death, Israel
warned Syria that it would hold it responsible for any revenge attack
launched by Hizbullah for the killing of Mughniyeh, its operations
officer. Syria is due to release its official findings in the probe into
Mughniyeh's death. He was killed in an explosion in Damascus in
February. The paper Al-Quds Al-Arabi, which is published in London,
reported that since Mughniyeh's death, Syria has arrested dozens of
suspects, including "Palestinians and senior Syrian army officers."
Sources in Damascus told the paper that the investigation established
that foreigners were behind the murder of Mughniyeh. Syria has accused
Israel of being behind the assassination. 'Assassination planned in
Syria' Meanwhile, former Syrian vice president Abdel Khalim Khaddam
is accusing Syria of killing Muyghniyeh. Interviewed by a Lebanese
newspaper, Khaddam said that the head of Syrian intelligence was
replaced because the investigation he conducted showed that those who
planned the assassination came from within Syria. Khaddam was forced
into exile and took up residence in Europe after he criticized the
regime of Syrian President Bashar Assad. Hizbullah's Deputy Director
Sheikh Naeem Kassem said Sunday that the Israeli Home Front exercise is
a preparation for war and part of "Israel's aggressive character."
Kassem said the exercise had three purposes: first, to boost the morale
of the Israeli people, which has been low since the Second Lebanon War;
second, to convince the Israelis that the army has overcome the failure
and is ready and has drawn all the lessons from the war; and third, he
explained, "it is part of the preparations for war, because Israel is
always on a war footing." The Al-Arabiyah television network reported
Sunday that the Lebanese military ordered residents of southern villages
to move away from the border with Israel. According to the report, the
Lebanese Army set up dirt roadblocks and inspection towers along the
border with Israel to prevent Lebanese civilians from getting too close
to the fence. Tension between Israel and Syria has been high recently,
and there were reports that Defense Minister Ehud Barak cancelled his
planned visit to Germany this week because of it. Defense Ministry
advisor Amos Gilad denied this report and said that the Defense Minister
changed his schedule because of a heavy workload. However, he also made
what reporters saw as a hinted threat at Syria, following reports that
Syrian forces were on a heightened state of alert. "Anyone who tries
to strike Israel should keep in mind that Israel is the strongest
country in the region and that its response will be hard and painful. We
are always alert and ready," Harel warned. more...
Exclusive: Barak calls off German trip next week as Damascus raises war
alarm
DEBKAfile
(April 2, 2008) - Israel’s security
cabinet convened Wednesday, April 2, to examine the homeland’s
preparedness for war. It decided to redistribute the bio/chemical
warfare masks a few months after they were called in. DEBKAfile’s
military sources disclose intelligence data indicating the possibility
that Syria may transfer to Hizballah chemical or biological warheads
known to have been developed for its war arsenal. A few hours earlier,
the London-based al Quds al-Arabi quoted Damascus officials as claiming
that Israel is preparing a big attack on Syria and Hizballah. Syria
was said to have ordered a partial call-up of its military reserves.
DEBKAfile reports that Damascus has placed its missile units on the
alert after last week deploying two armored brigades on the
Beirut-Damascus highway under the command of President Bashar Assad’s
young brother Maher Assad, chief of the presidential guard. They were
posted there to block the road in case Israeli armored columns attempted
to reach Damascus through Lebanon. Our sources also note Syria plans to
release the findings of its inquiry into the death of Hizballah leader
Imad Mughniyeh in February. Sources close to Israel’s defense minister
Ehud Barak report he called off his trip to Germany next week because he
expects Damascus to use those findings to put Hizballah on the spot
where it can no longer duck exacting revenge for his death from Israel,
which is held responsible for his death. IDF sources report Iran has
sent Syria state of the art equipment for surveillance and eavesdropping
on Israeli military command centers and bases. Israel’s home defense
command scheduled April 6-10 a nationwide exercise to improve the home
front’s readiness for emergencies. Warning sirens will be tested on
April 8. Tuesday, Barak toured Israel’s northern border and reported “a
great deal of activity on the other side.” He added: “…we are learning
the lessons of the last war, Israel is the strongest country in the
region and I would not advise anyone on the other side to test us.” In
their briefing to the Knesset foreign affairs and security committee
Tuesday morning, IDF intelligence officers confirmed intense Hizballah
activity, much of it in South Lebanon by operatives in civilian
disguise. The officers referred to the Lebanese Shiite terror group’s
rearmament with more powerful and longer-range rockets. On March 22,
DEBKAfile first revealed that Hizballah had more than trebled its
pre-war rocket arsenal. “Some of their 40,000 rockets of Syrian and
Iranian manufacture can hit Israeli targets as far south as Beersheba,
350 km. away. Not only has Tel Aviv come within range, but Hizballah and
the Palestinian Hamas in Gaza can between them now cover most of Israel
up to its southernmost tip at Eilat. The possibility is now under
consideration that these rockets may be armed with Syrian
non-conventional warheads. Damascus has also shipped to Hizballah
quantities of anti-air weapons, including shoulder-borne rockets and
scores of Russian-made anti-aircraft ZSU-100 automatic 14.4 mm caliber
cannon, which are most effective against low-flying aircraft,
helicopters and drones. Could a pre-emptive attack be a
logical move considering Israel's vulnerability and
self-preservation in light of
chemical and/or biological warheads within range of its major cities?
Could this escalation lead to Israel destroying Damascus because of
some information of an imminent attack? These kinds of escalations
have happened before and nothing came of them, but keep watching!
Iran
Gains African Foothold up to Chad through Pacts with Sudan
DEBKAfile
(April 1, 2008) - Iran jumped in with
gusto to meet Sudan president Omar al-Bashir’s application for a
military package including arms and training of his army. The
application was received after the horrendous Darfur tragedy and
Khartoum’s backing for Chad rebels finally convinced Sudan’s traditional
arms suppliers, Russia, China and Libya, to back away from arming
Sudan’s 120,000-strong army. Beijing came last, sensitized to its
international image by the approaching Olympic Games in August. Libya
has a major beef with Khartoum for backing the rebels fighting to
overthrow Chad president Idriss Debby. The pacts were signed on March 8
by Iran’s defense minister Gen. Mostafa Mohammad Majjar and his Sudanese
counterpart, Gen. Abdul Rahim Mohammad Hussein, a fighter pilot
appointed defense minister last month. For years Tehran has been
building up its military ties with Khartoum with an eye on its
geopolitical assets: a long coast on the Red Sea, a main sea lanes to
the Persian Gulf, a Muslim nation located opposite Saudi Arabia and next
door to Egypt; Sudan’s command of oil resources and the White Nile, a
major water source for an entire African region. This strategic jewel
finally dropped into Iran’s fundamentalist lap. DEBKA-Net-Weekly’s
Iranian sources disclosed its substance on March 14, 2008: 1. The Sudanese Army will gradually re-adjust from
Russian and Chinese weaponry to Iranian-made items.
The $1.8 billion White Nile River Merowe Dam hydropower project,
which includes a 174-kilometer long reservoir, is funded by China and
Arab countries. Chinese, Sudanese, German and French companies
participate in this project and in the Kajbar Dam downstream of the
Merowe Dam. The Sudanese are afraid that Egypt, which claims the Merowe
project is diverting its water supply, may attack and destroy the
project. On March 10, the UN center in Geneva published a report
compiled by a group of experts monitoring human rights in Sudan, which
had this to say about these dams: “We regret that the government did not
allow access to Kajbar, Amir, Merowe and Makabrab in the northern state.
The visit was planned to meet with local authorities and affected
communities in the Nile valley area where two hydropower dams are being
constructed. It was canceled by Sudan’s state security committee the day
before it was scheduled to travel to the area. The reasons provided by
the government did not justify their decision to prevent access.
more... Image from
Chuck
Missler research
Report: Iranian, Syrian missiles to pound Israel in next war
YNet
News
(March 24, 2008) - Hundreds of dead, thousands of injured,
missile barrages on central Israel, full paralysis at Ben-Gurion
Airport, constantly bombed roads, nationwide power outages that last for
long hours, and whole regions' water supply being cut off – this is what
the next war could look like. A secret report recently distributed among
government ministries and local municipalities details various wartime
scenarios. The report deals with very harsh possibilities, including
some that are downright horrifying, formulated as part of the lessons
drawn in the wake of the Second Lebanon War. Notably, the document does
not aim to predict future developments with certainty, but rather, only
aims to serve as a guideline for civilian war preparations. The above
assessment is characterized as a "severe reasonable scenario" – that is,
it is not the gravest scenario, but also not the most favorable.
According to this scenario, the war will last for about a month and will
include the participation of Syria (military operations on the Golan
Heights front and the firing of many Scud missiles at the home front,)
Lebanon (the firing of thousands of Hizbullah rockets at the Galilee and
Haifa as well long-range missiles at central Israel,) and the
Palestinian Authority (relatively limited conflict that would include
short-range rockets fired from Gaza and the West Bank as well as terror
attacks such as suicide bombings within Israel.) According to this
scenario, Iran will also get involved in the war, but will only fire a
limited number of missiles rather than non-conventional weapons. In
addition to missile barrages, the scenario includes aerial strikes on
military and strategic targets, attacks on infrastructure facilities,
and attempted abductions of civilians and soldiers. Such hypothetical
war, according to the assessment, will leave 100-230 civilians dead, and
1,900-3,200 Israelis wounded. However, should Israel be attacked with
chemical weapons, the number of killed and wounded Israelis would
skyrocket to 16,000. Under such circumstances, as a result of missile
damage, chemical contamination, and the razing of homes the State would
have to evacuate as many as 227,000 Israelis from their homes. According
to the assessment, about 100,000 people would seek to leave the country
should such scenario materialize.
No Lebanon Breakthrough for Arabs
BBC News
(March
30, 2008) - An annual summit of the Arab League has ended in
Syria's capital Damascus with a call for an end to the political crisis
in Lebanon. But correspondents say there were no specific proposals to
solve the crisis, which has seen Lebanon without a president since
November. Only 11 heads of states from the 22-member organisation were
present, as key pro-Western leaders stayed away. Egypt, Saudi Arabia and
Jordan sent low-level delegations. They blame Syria for the ongoing
political crisis in Lebanon - a charge denied by the government in
Damascus. The Lebanese government boycotted the summit completely. In a
final statement, the League called for a compromise candidate to be
elected president, and a national unity cabinet formed, AFP news agency
reported. But the BBC's Heba Saleh in Damascus says there were no
breakthroughs. Opening the meeting, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
denied his country was meddling in Lebanon. He was responding to
Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Siniora, who had accused Syria of
preventing the election of a consensus president in Beirut. Mr Assad
said his country was willing to join "Arab or non-Arab efforts" to end
Lebanon's political crisis "on condition that they are based on Lebanese
national consensus". But our correspondent says it will take more than
words to convince his critics, and Syria risks further isolation if
there is no immediate resolution to the Lebanon crisis. In Riyadh, the
Saudi Foreign Minister, Prince Saud al-Faisal, suggested Syria had not
abided by the Arab consensus on Lebanon. "The problem is that what was
decided unanimously in the Arab League, including by Syria, is not being
carried out," he said. The foreign minister called for
''counter-measures". Syria had billed the summit as a golden opportunity
for regional unity but there is little sign of this, BBC Middle East
correspondent Katya Adler reports from Damascus. She says the leaders of
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Lebanon are all staying at home because
they view Syria as a trouble-maker, too close to Iran and a destructive
force in Lebanon. Syria has accused them in the past of being
subservient to the US and Foreign Minister Walid Moualem has blamed
Washington for trying to "divide the Arab world". "They [the US] did
their best to prevent the summit but they failed," Mr Moualem said on
the eve of the summit. It's interesting to see the
lines being drawn in alliances that God foretold in scripture come
to pass. Syria is viewed as a troublemaker which may explain why
Damascus is destroyed while a group of Muslim nations remains
distant from them and are not mentioned in the list of Magog
attackers. Lebanon is still teetering, but I wouldn't be surprised
if it turned once Damascus is destroyed to act as a staging ground
for a Northern attack on Israel. Time will tell if these are the
developing stages or not, as for me I'm going to keep watching.
The Ahmadinejad Machine
Spiegel Online
(March
25, 2008) - The new Iranian parliament is again dominated by
loyalists to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. He stands a good chance of
being reelected next year -- despite the fact that his constituents
suffer the brunt of his mismanagement and corruption. “The president is
doing well, in fact, he is doing very well indeed.” Mohammed Ali Ramin
leans back, sips his tea, pours in a little milk, and takes another
little sip. Then he sets down his glass and folds his hands. The man
with reddish-blond hair and a pious full beard enjoys his position as
close advisor to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Ramin, 54, who once studied
engineering in the German town of Clausthal-Zellerfeld, has been a
member of the president’s inner circle of “friends and companions” for
years. The university lecturer is said to be an influential figure even
among Iran’s religious zealots, and he is proud to have stood beside the
late revolutionary leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini during his exile
in Paris. “Anyone who knows my thoughts,” he says knowingly, “also knows
what motivates the president.” And what motivates Ahmadinejad? Primarily
his “boundless love for the people, especially the disenfranchised” and
“his commitment to the Islamic principles of truth and justice.” And, of
course, “the welfare of the Iranian nation.” Ramin: “Ahmadinejad is the
standard-bearer of our people and the entire Islamic world.” Ramin’s
confidence in the government is as unshakable as his faith in the
Prophet Mohammed -- and his views are shared by millions of Iranians.
After nearly three years in office, the extremist Ahmadinejad still
enjoys widespread support among the population -- despite tightened
sanctions in the dispute over the mullahs’ nuclear program and
international outrage over the president’s Holocaust denials. Following
last week’s parliamentary elections, Ahmadinejad’s “Principlists” again
emerged as the strongest faction in the Iranian parliament, the Majlis,
in spite of fierce attacks from the ranks of the conservative camp.
Before the elections, the mullah regime had effectively neutralized the
reformist wing by preventing many of their politicians from running.
more...
Your Tax Dollars at Work in Gaza
Jewish World Review
(March
24, 2008) - Last week, the Jewish Telegraphic Agency reported
that American officials are again pressing Congress to open up the U.S.
aid pipeline to the Palestinian Authority. If the plea sounds familiar,
it ought to. Since the 1993 Oslo Accords, Americans have been
subsidizing the activities of the P.A. to the tune of hundreds of
millions of dollars per year. Today, as in the past, the arguments in
favor of this policy are urgent. We are told by both administration
officials who are friends of Israel and by some Israelis that unless we
help fund the training and the payment of Palestinian security forces,
the P.A. will have no way to cope with terrorists who want to sink any
chance of a two-state solution which would enable Israel to live
side-by-side with a peaceful Palestinian partner. THE ONLY OPTION?
With Hamas in control of Gaza, the P.A., under the current leadership of
Mahmoud Abbas, is, we are informed, the only address for creating a
moderate force that will work for peace. Given the alternative of the
Iranian-backed Hamas or the equally unpalatable choices of either Israel
reoccupying the territories or an international peacekeeping force doing
so, reinforcing the P.A. seems to make sense. But does it really?
Doubts about the wisdom of the policy have led Rep. Nita Lowey (D-N.Y.)
and Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-N.Y.) — respectively, the chair and the
ranking minority member of the House Foreign Operations Subcommittee —
to place a hold on a request of another $150 million in direct
assistance to the P.A. Thwarted on that front, the administration now
wants the committee to okay an additional $25 million in indirect
funding for the military training program. Both Lowey and Ros-Lehtinen
rightly worry about the commitment of Abbas and his Fatah Party to
peace. They cite recent statements by Abbas in which he would not rule
out a return to "armed resistance" against Israel. The support by the
P.A. media for attacks against Israelis, such as the slaughter of eight
students at a Jerusalem yeshiva this month, as well as the ongoing blitz
of southern Israel by Hamas missiles, is also reason to doubt the P.A.'s
sincerity. The P.A. also continues to honor the memory of slain
terrorists as "martyrs" and, as The Jerusalem Post reported this week,
plans to celebrate Israel's 60th birthday by having Arab refugees to
rush Israel's borders to promote a "right of return," which is
synonymous with the destruction of the Jewish State. Supporters of aid
respond that these statements do not reflect Abbas' real goals. Yet,
they ignore the fact that what the P.A. has done for the past 15 years
is to legitimize a Palestinian culture in which political plaudits are
won only by killing Jews. Indeed, via its control of broadcast outlets,
newspapers and the schools, the P.A. has solidified a mindset of hate.
more...
No One Can Separate Iran, Turkey - Ahmadinejad
Israel in cross-hairs of summer war?
World Net Daily
(March 13, 2008) - Britain's Secret Intelligence Service says
Iran's Revolutionary Guards are training hundreds of Hamas fighters to
prepare for an all-out war this summer against Israel, according to
Joseph Farah's G2
Bulletin. The Gaza-based organization's elite Izzedine al-Qassam
Brigade will form the southern front of an attack against the Jewish
state while Hezbollah will launch its simultaneous assault from southern
Lebanon, according to MI6. Analysts with the organization believe the
attack will come in the rundown of the Bush administration and closing
months of the bitter Democratic campaign. "With the Bush White House
virtually a spent force and both the Democrats and Republicans looking
inward to their conventions, there is mounting evidence that Tehran will
seize the opportunity to attack Israel through its surrogates, Hamas and
Hezbollah," said a senior intelligence source in London. MI6 analysts
have confirmed tortuous negotiations in which Egypt acted as an
intermediary between Hamas and Israel are now increasingly fragile.
Hamas, which is pledged to destroy Israel, is officially excluded by
Israel from direct negotiations with Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's
government. But with the mounting threat of a simultaneous attack on
Israel from two fronts, several members of the Israeli security services
have begun to urge Olmert to meet with Hamas leaders. However,
hardliners like the head of Mossad, Meir Dagan, and Yuval Diskin, the
director-general of Israel's internal security service, Shin Bet, are
opposed to any negotiations. Dagan has told Olmert: "To talk to Hamas is
a waste of time. Gaza is a noxious mixture of our oxidized hopes." And
Diskin added last week: "While we would be talking, Hamas would be
sending still more of its fighters to Iran to be trained." MI6
undercover agents in Tehran – operating out of a secret base on the
country's border with Iraq – have established there are three training
camps. Israel to Hizbullah: Revenge Attack Could Mean War Israel National News (March 12, 2008) - Israel has recently warned Hizbullah that it will not hesitate to retaliate with war for a large scale attack on its citizens, Channel 10 – Nana news reported Wednesday. The Hizbullah attack is expected in revenge for the killing of its operations officer Imad Mughniyeh. Iranian TV vowed that Israel would face its "third destruction" on the 40th day after Mughniyeh's death, which will occur next Saturday. Israeli intelligence is picking up extensive "chatter" between Hizbullah and Iran but still has not located specific intentions to carry out a terror attack. Israeli military attachés worldwide have been instructed to change their routine movements and retired military persons were warned to exercise caution in their travels.| Iran | Israel | Islam | Isaiah 17 | Gog/Magog |
Kuwaiti Paper: Mega-Attack on Israel in March
Israel National News
(February
26, 2008) - The Kuwaiti daily Al-Watan quoted "top Western
sources" Monday saying that, "according to reliable intelligence
information, Hizbullah has begun planning a large-scale attack on Israel
in retaliation for its [alleged] assassination of senior Hizbullah
commander Imad Mughniyah." According to the report, translated by MEMRI,
the attack is being planned in coordination with Syria and Iran, and is
to take place before the Arab summit next month. It was also reported
that there would be a simultaneous terrorist escalation by Hamas,
Islamic Jihad, and other PA groups in Gaza. Damascus Seizes on Mughniyeh Killing for Lebanon Comeback DEBKAfile (February 18, 2008) - Syria is not waiting for its official investigation to wind up and expose the party responsible for killing Hizballah commander and Tehran’s terror tactician in Damascus on Feb. 13 - any more than Hizballah, when its leaders accuse Israel. Tehran, Syria and Hizballah have all threatened revenge against Israel within or outside its borders. However, Bashar Assad’s strategists are not losing a moment to cash in on the abundant conspiracy theories surrounding the death, to plant one of its own: Mughniyeh, they say, was killed in their capital by their Lebanese enemies. Therefore, it is feared in Washington and Jerusalem that, while plotting revenge on Israel, Hizballah, backed by the Syrian commando units, will launch attacks on Lebanese national intelligence and Druze targets in Beirut and Mt. Lebanon – they point a finger at Druze leader Walid Jumblatt. Their immediate goal would be to overthrow the pro-Western, anti-Syrian government headed by Fouad Siniora and stir up a new civil war. The door would then re-open for Syria to make a comeback to the troubled country and move troops in for the first time since they were thrown out in 2005, in contravention of UN Security Council resolutions. Syria’s machinations give substance to Director of US National Intelligence Mike McConnell’s assertion to Fox TV Sunday, Feb. 17, that, while Hizballah is blaming Israel, “…there's some evidence that it may have been internal Hezbollah. It may have been Syria. We don't know yet, and we're trying to sort that out.” “It is a serious threat, and it's primarily against Israel,” said the US intelligence director. “But …let me just mention about Mughniyeh… (He was) responsible for more deaths of Americans and Israelis than any other terrorist with the exception of Osama bin Laden. So this man over time had lots of enemies. Remember, he's a Shia, and oftentimes his targets could be Sunni as well as against Israel.” Last week, the FBI placed counter-terror squads on alert in the US against attacks on synagogues and other potential Jewish targets. In July 2007, McConnell referred to Hezbollah sleeper cells in the United States waiting for orders to spring into action. Our sources report they are part of the trans-continental network which Mughniyeh himself established on behalf of Hizballah and Tehran. Meanwhile, in Beirut, DEBKAfile’s Middle East sources report sporadic clashes already erupting in Beirut in the last few days between pro-government and pro-Hizballah adherents. Sunday, Feb. 17, unidentified gunmen shot up a Lebanese army unit near the Sabra district in south Beirut, killing one person and injuring others. Barricades and manned positions have gone up ominously in the Lebanese capital and no-go zones set up between flashpoint districts. Syrian sources promise the results of their finished inquiry will cause an earthquake in the Arab world and Middle East when they are published Saturday, Feb. 22. Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah has scheduled another of his broadcast speeches for the same day - this one to mark the anniversary of his predecessor Abbas Musawi’s death in 1992, which was also attributed to Israel. The two events are feared by US and Israeli officials to have been coordinated on the same day to flash the signal for the Syrian-Hizballah plan to start unfolding. DEBKAfile outlines the case Syria has begun putting together to incriminate its Lebanese enemies: 1. A large Mossad spy-cum-terror ring was allegedly uncovered in Damascus and Beirut. Its mission was to keep tabs on Syrian commanders, Hizballah heads and Palestinian leaders before liquidating them. 2. The ring comprised Lebanese members as well as collaborators from a key Arab intelligence body, possibly Saudi or Jordanian. DEBKAfile sources report that Damascus, increasingly isolated in the mainstream Arab world over Lebanon and its ties with Tehran, has no qualms about confronting Saudi Arabia and Jordan and accusing their intelligence agencies of being in league with Israel to destroy the “Arab resistance movement.” Saudi Arabia has indicated that its chair will be empty at the forthcoming Arab League summit in Damascus at the end of March. 3. Syria claims to have found evidence that two Lebanese intelligence agencies are involved in the Mossad ring. One is the research branch of the Lebanese General Security Service, whose director, Capt. Wissam Eid, was murdered in a car bomb attack in Beirut on Jan. 25. Capt. Eid was deeply involved in gathering evidence for the Hariri assassination case and uncovering The Syrian leadership’s criminal involvement. Our intelligence sources note that success by a Syrian undercover team in immobilizing this service would not only deprive the Fouad government of its primary security shield, but also bring the investigation into the three-year old assassination of the former Lebanese prime minister to a halt – just when the international tribunal is preparing to start work in the Netherlands. The second clandestine Lebanese agency which Syria stigmatizes as part of the Mossad network is the Druze leader Walid Jumblatt’s private intelligence service. Syria claims to have exposed the personal involvement of its director, Hisham Nasser e-Din. This charge would justify the targeting of the Druze leader and his domain on Mt. Lebanon. Jumblatt, whose father was assassinated on orders of Bashar Assad’s father, is marked as the Syrian president’s most implacable Lebanese foe. 4. The Syrian investigators are seeking to prove that Mughniyeh was killed while walking on foot from the house where he was staying in Damascus to the Mitsubishi SUV and that the vehicle was in fact rigged as a bomb car which detonated on his approach. They further claim that more explosive devices were planted along his path in case the first one missed its mark. This is important to support the Syrian case, because they claim to have tracked down the vehicle’s Lebanese owner and fixed the time when he entered Syria.
5. They say the explosive was laced with 3,000 steel nails, which killed
the targeted Hizballah commander and pockmarked surrounding buildings.
Syria, Iran foresee large clash with Israel
Haaretz
(February
17, 2008) - Syrian and Iranian officials believe there will be a
serious military confrontation with Israel in the near future, according
to Al-Akhbar, a Lebanese daily affiliated with Hezbollah. Hezbollah's
response to the assassination of Imad Mughniyah, the organization's
operations chief, will force Israel to make a "difficult decision," the
newspaper stated in an editorial. Hezbollah blames Israel for
Mughniyah's assassination in Damascus last week. Ibrahim al-Amin, Al-Akhbar's
editor, said in a televised interview that Hezbollah does not intend to
accept Mughniyah's assassination quietly. Hezbollah's response "will
force Israel to make a big decision," he said. However, he insisted
that Hezbollah was not interested in a war with Israel. Meanwhile, the
defense establishment is bracing for a response from Hezbollah. It is
concerned the group may use an explosives-laden unmanned aerial vehicle
to attack a civilian or military target in northern or central Israel.
The Israel Air Force is on alert for this. To date, Hezbollah has
dispatched five Iranian-made drones against Israel, three of them during
the Second Lebanon War in August 2006. Two were shot down by the air
force, and one crashed. The drones were loaded with dozens of kilograms
of high-grade explosives and apparently had been intended to crash in
the heavily populated Dan region. The IDF also has bolstered its forces
along the northern border, anticipating Hezbollah may launch a massive
rocket attack on the area. However, the army has no specific information
about the group's intentions in this regard. Meanwhile, the Lebanese
media announced that Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah has
appointed a successor to Mughniyah, but his identity has not been
revealed. Israeli sources said Mughniyah's successor is one of three
persons: Ibrahim Akil, who is in charge of southern Lebanon; Fuad Sukur,
a senior militia figure; or Talal Hamiyah, who was Mughniyah's deputy.
Meanwhile, the Lebanese media said none of these men are being
considered. The Lebanese daily Al-Safir reported yesterday that
Hezbollah has gone on high alert in southern Lebanon and evacuated all
of its local headquarters, fearing Israeli air strikes. According to the
report, the organization has mobilized 50,000 militiamen. Meanwhile, in
Syria, the investigation into Mughniyah's assassination continues. "The
investigation is being carried out with complete secrecy because of
Mughniyah's sensitive location before the ambush," Al-Akhbar reported
yesterday. Mughniyah had emerged from a meeting shortly before he was
killed. He was killed near the offices of the chief of Syrian
intelligence, Asif Shuwekat, who is President Bashar Assad's
brother-in-law. Several Palestinians were arrested for suspected
involvement in the killing, the newspaper reported.
'Syria
and Iran anticipating serious military clash with Israel'
Jerusalem Newswire
(February 17, 2008) - Damascus and Tehran
expect to soon be caught up in a military confrontation with Israel.
According to a report in Al-Ahkbar, a Lebanese newspaper said to be
affiliated with Hizb'allah, the Syrian and Iranian-sponsored terrorist
organization does not intend to let last week's execution of top
terrorist Amad Mugniyah be left unanswered. The concensus in the region
is that Israel was behind the blowing up of Mugniyah's car, and
Hizb'allah chief Hassan Nasrallah has vowed to make Israel pay in "open
war." Defense Minister Ehud Barak told the cabinet in Jerusalem Sunday
he has put the Israeli Air Force on alert for a possible Hizb'allah
attack against Jewish communities in the north. Barak said Israel was
prepared for the possibility that an explosives-laden pilotless drone
could be sent to explode inside an Israeli community.
Bad News in Gaza? Look For Tehran
World Jewish Congress Newsletter
(February 6, 2008) - Wherever you
find bad news in Gaza or bad news in the West Bank, you will find Tehran
and its proxies, Hamas, Hezbollah, Islamic Jihad, and other terrorist
groups who receive their money and marching orders from the Iranian
regime and do its bidding. Take the case of the fence in Gaza. In these
last weeks, the fence and border between the divided city of Rafah and
Gaza was blown up by Hamas, causing a refugee flood into the Sinai for,
we were told, flour and toothpaste. In fact, the cause was a deliberate,
preplanned provocation. This process started about one to 3 months ago
as Hamas, under the electronic gaze of the Egyptians, utilized torches
to cut the base supports of the fence and cause its collapse. Sick of
incessant rocket attacks emanating from Gaza, Israel was considering
re-entering and re-taking the Philadephi route to stop the weapons
smuggling through the tunnels. Hamas then began undermining the fence to
prepare explosions to kill the Israelis who might be coming into the
area. When that did not happen, they hatched this plot of fabricated
fuel shortages. The Egyptians knew about this for weeks since they had
the surveillance pictures but did not share the information. It is
interesting to note that Mubarak and Ahmadinejad had a conversation the
day before the fence fell. Also interesting is the fact that this fall
coincided with a conference in Damascus of Arab rejectionists of the
Annapolis peace conference. Over 300 Palestinian terrorists leaders were
convened by Iran and Syria in a gathering originally slated to take
place during the Annapolis meeting but which was postponed when Syria
decided to actually go to Annapolis. So it was held precisely at the
time of the breaking down of the wall in Gaza. The tunnels were not
constructed in such a way that could convey large-sized ordinance into
Gaza. But now that the wall is destroyed, we hear of large anti-aircraft
weapons, katyushas and other arms being transferred uninterrupted. Not
transfers of fuel - that "shortage" was an excuse manufactured to
justify the breach in the wall. Hamas will now be able to increase the
striking range of its katyushas and its anti-aircraft weapons. There is
a new chilling possibility of Hamas hitting Ashkelon. One wonders if
Egypt fully anticipated what problems might be created to its own
detriment. Many of those who flooded into Egypt are going to remain
there. Now that there are terrorists in the Sinai with large amounts of
explosives and other weapons that could not fit into a tunnel, cities in
Egypt as well as in Israel may become targets. The policy of letting
Israel bleed a little in order to appease the Muslim radicals could
backfire. Allowing this to go on encourages Hamas to continue its
violent provocations, so that Israel is again forced to be on the
defensive. Another Hamastan may be born in the Sinai, which would
provide them with a base from which to operate in Egypt and expand their
influence. Iran's proxies would have an even greater leg up over Abbas.
With the transfer of katyusha rockets into Gaza, what we now have is a
baby Bek'aa, situated four miles from Ashkelon, like the baby
Hezbollahstan in the north that was created with the same technology and
money coming from Iran, through Hezbollah. This is a long-term change -
the whole paradigm of the Middle East changes in the region because of
what happened in Gaza. Now the question is what can Israel do about it?
Frankly, its options are limited. One and a half million people in Gaza
are miserably abused by their leadership, the Hamas leaders, who are
committed to following the orders of Tehran's leaders who make
apocalyptic promises to wipe Israel off the map. Now they have
established at least the possibility of a firing platform about four
miles from the electric grid in Ashkelon, within easy shot of the Jewish
residents living there. The international community must take notice:
Gaza-Hamastan is a serious threat to the comity of the region -
engineered and financed by Tehran.
World Leaders Gather To Roast Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
The Onion
**Warning sexually explicit content on link from event. (text of quotes
by attendees) You will get the jist here without reading the whole
article. You've been forewarned.
(February 6, 2008) -
In
what observers are calling an unprecedented opportunity for the
international community to express its grievances against Iran's
controversial leader, dozens of world leaders and key U.N. delegates
gathered Saturday to roast Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The
event, which took place beneath U.N. headquarters in the historic Geneva
Friars Club, brought together the heads of every G8 member state, as
well as some of today's top foreign policy makers and peace brokers.
Roastmaster and former U.N. secretary general Kofi Annan kicked off the
evening by welcoming President Ahmadinejad to "what [was] sure to be the
first and last time Mahmoud would ever be surrounded by 72 virgins."
"Ladies and gentlemen, and Tony Blair, we stand here in the presence of
one of the most vicious and destructive forces in the world today—but
enough about Bea Arthur," said Annan, gesturing with a tumbler of Makers
Mark across the long white tables of chuckling diplomats to the former
Golden Girls star. "Some people here tonight will tell you that Mahmoud
refuses to engage in diplomatic talks, that he is the most ruthless
stonewaller who has ever lived. Well, those people have obviously never
met my first wife." The black-tie affair brought together
representatives from warring nations and longtime enemies who sat in the
hallowed, oak-walled dining room and patiently awaited their turn to
lambaste Ahmadinejad. Some of the evening's most pressing topics
included the Iranian president's insistence on developing a nuclear
program, his possible involvement in the 1989 assassination of an exiled
Kurdish leader, and his excessive body hair. "You know, a lot of folks
have been criticizing Ahmadinejad for covering up one of the most
horrifying and unspeakable crimes ever perpetrated on humankind,"
Russian president Vladimir Putin told the assembled guests. "But don't
you listen to them, Mahmoud. I happen to like your beard." Ahmadinejad,
seated in a plush red armchair just to the right of the podium, seemed
in high spirits as he calmly endured countless ribs from his allies and
fellow arms-race competitors. Rolling his eyes and shaking his finger in
mock disapproval, he was taken to task for everything from his brutal
treatment of political dissidents to his recent visit to Columbia
University. more... *Be forewarned, the
crudeness in the detail of the rest of the story I left out. If you want
to see what passes as a comedy roast and are not offended, then read the
rest. -It's really not that important anyways, I just think this
gathering may have had hidden importance considering who was all there.
Obama would talk with Iran and Syria The
Jerusalem Post (January 31, 2008) -
US Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama said he would favor
holding direct talks with Iran and Syria in a bid to stabilize the
Middle East if elected president. In an interview with France's Paris
Match on Thursday, Obama said: "I want to have direct talks with
countries like Iran and Syria because I don't believe we can stabilize
the region unless not just our friends but also our enemies are involved
in these discussions." He was also quoted as saying he would also hold a
summit with leaders of Muslim states to address the growing gap between
the West and the world of Islam. The Illinois senator added that to
repair the image of the United States in the world, he would "put an end
to the war in Iraq." "Occupying the country has put the odds against us
with the world," Obama said. Meanwhile, a visiting Iranian official said
Thursday in Cairo that Iran and Egypt would work together to resolve the
Middle East's top crises such as in Iraq, Lebanon and the Palestinian
territories, and that both wanted to upgrade their diplomatic relations,
severed nearly three decades ago. But the Egyptians did not comment on
the remarks - as they hadn't on those the day before by the Iranian
parliament speaker who said Egypt and Iran would soon restore full ties.
Cairo's silence indicated that, despite the flurry of visiting Iranian
officials and an apparent thaw between the two states, Egypt expects
more than just words from Teheran. The North African Sunni state has
always maintained that normal diplomatic relations would come only after
the overwhelmingly Shi'ite Iran stopped meddling in the internal affairs
of Arab countries. Teheran cut diplomatic ties after Cairo signed a
peace agreement with Israel in 1979 and provided asylum for the deposed
Iranian Shah Muhammad Reza Pahlavi. more...
Ahmadinejad tells West: Accept Israel's 'imminent collapse'
Haaretz (January
30, 2008) - Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad called on the
West Wednesday to acknowledge Israel's "imminent collapse." Speaking to
a crowd on a visit to the southern port of Bushehr, where Iran's first
light-water nuclear power plant is being built by Russia, Ahmadinejad
further incited his listeners to "stop supporting the Zionists, as
[their] regime reached its final stage." "Accept that the life of
Zionists will sooner or later come to an end," the Iranian president
said in a televised speech. He added, "What we have right now is the
last chapter [of Israeli atrocities] which the Palestinians and regional
nations will confront and eventually turn in Palestine's favor." Iran
does not acknowledge Israel and Ahmadinejad has in the past sparked
international outcry by referring to the systematic murder of six
million Jews in World War II as a "myth" and calling for Israel to be
"wiped off the map." Iran is currently also mediating in the crisis over
the Gaza Strip, where Israel has imposed a blockade on border crossings
into the coastal territory, barring the entry of supplies into the
already impoverished area. Last week, Palestinian militants blew holes
in the barrier separating the Gaza Strip from Egypt, prompting hundreds
of thousands of Gazans to pour into Egypt in search of supplies.
Ahmadinejad also urged the Western powers to help build nuclear power
plants in his country saying it will be too late if they do not decide
to do so immediately. "If you will not come, this nation will build
nuclear plants based on its own resources and when you come some four
years later it will reject your request and not then give you any
opportunity," he said. "I am addressing leaders of two or three powers;
do you remember I sent you message and told you to stop be stubborn? If
you think that you can block the movement of Iranian nation, you are
wrong," the Iranian president continued. more... In Response to an Israeli Attack, Iran Can, With Syria's Help, Wipe Out Half of Israel MEMRI (January 23, 2008) - Following reports on Israel's January 17, 2008 test of the Jericho III missile, which has a range of 4,500 km, the Iranian website Tabnak, which is affiliated with Iranian Expediency Council secretary and former Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) commander Mohsen Rezai, wrote that the missile's addition to Israel's arsenal does not change the balance of power between Israel and Iran. The website stated that in the event of a conflict with Israel, Iran would use its strategic alliance with Syria to fire missiles at Israel from Syrian territory.[1] It also hinted that, in addition to assistance from Syria, any attack by Israel would also bring retaliation by Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and Hizbullah. [2] Further, in an interview on Al-Jazeera TV, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad dismissed the Israeli missile test, saying that "even before this missile test, the Zionist regime enjoyed this military technology, because of its support from several powers. But such measures will not improve its situation, and will not prevent its fall. The Zionist regime has lost the rationale on which its existence was based, and all nations identify it as criminal. Therefore, it will not achieve legitimacy for its existence through threats and sowing fear."[3] The following are the main points of the Tabnak article: [4]
"Therefore, it can be explicitly said that Israel's recent missile test, on January 17, changes Iran's missile defense balance [against Israel] not one whit, and does not impinge on a single one of its defense doctrines... For this reason, this missile test does not create a new situation or [new] result, in any arena of possible confrontation between Iran and Israel... "Thus [it appears that] the real idea behind this
Israeli missile test is psychological warfare [in order to affect]
public opinion in Israel, and not psychological warfare against Iran."
Global government, mankind's gravest need - Ahmadinejad
IRNA (January 22,
2008) - IRI President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said here Monday
evening at the inauguration ceremony of new head of National Center for
Globalization Studies, "mankind's gravest need today is a global
government." Appreciating the services rendered by the former head of
that center (formerly called the International Center for Dialogue among
Civilizations), Dr. Mohammad Nahavandian, the President said that
choosing Esfandiar Rahim-Masha'ie was "based on precise calculations,
and in accordance with a plan for the center." The president added, "The
Center for Globalization Studies must be a very dynamic center, able to
take long studies forward, thanks to the presence of thinkers and
intellectuals from various academic fields, able to pursue globalization
discussions throughout the world." Pointing out that God has definitely
been pursuing objectives in creation of man, he stressed, "Almighty
Allah has drawn the horizons of man's blessed life in this world and how
to achieve that objective, based on man's innate desires and in the
framework of his social relations with the others." The President
emphasized, "Man is created to be a global creature, as all divine
religions are global, and if he would be deprived of this aspect of his
personality, neither anything would remain of his humanity, nor any of
his potentials and talents would find a proper ground for
manifestation." Proposing that the rule of single law in the entire
world is a bare necessity for the mankind, he said, "The existence of a
thousand laws in the world, and then expecting that the global society
would reach a status of equilibrium, justice, and tranquility is wishing
for the impossible." He added, "It is not possible to observe global
justice under such conditions that each country is ruled based on a
different set of laws." Ahmadinejad said, "The entire monotheist
Arch-Prophets (PBUT) were leaders for the whole mankind, and
accordingly, so long as a single law would not be put to effect
globally, and a single perfect, and noble human being would not take the
charge of a global government, the God given talents of the people would
not be materialized, and there would be no sign of divine justice in the
world." He considered mankind's progress throughout history "a constant
move towards perfection", reiterating, "Today, globalization has become
an issue for daily talk of even ordinary folks, under such conditions
that signs for accelerating move of the mankind towards the peaks of
perfection are countless, and ever increasing." The IRI President
stressed that pure Mohamedan Islam has answers to modern man's entire
questions, adding, "World nations would accept Islam in large groups
if pure Islam would one day be presented to them free from all
non-Islamic attachments." Ahmadinejad said, "The entire developments
in the world are pieces of a puzzle, being fit in their place in order
to complete God's general scheme for a perfect world for the mankind,
but in the process of this completion some people achieve perfection,
while others fall in the abbeys of annihilation, and nowhere is ever
devoid of God's will and Divine Rule, nor of his Caliph on earth." He
said that the era for drawing border lines between Islam, Christianity,
and Judaism is now over, reiterating, "Unadulterated Christianity and
Judaism are the same as they are entirely manifestations of the same
Divine Truth." The President stressed, "The single and solid plan
and order that we should present for the lives of the world people
should be in a way to be acceptable by the pure innate nature of the
entire mankind, and such laws need to be based on divine teachings."
Ahmadinejad: Mideast countries will erupt like a volcano YNet
News (January 17, 2008) -
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said in response to US President
George W. Bush's recent visit to the Middle East that "the
region's countries are about to erupt like a volcano", the Islamic
Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported Thursday. Speaking at a mosque
in Tehran Wednesday evening ahead of the Day of Ashura celebrations,
the Iranian president said the region's
countries would follow the Islamic Republic's lead and "stand firm
in the face of (Israel's)
murderous operations against the oppressed Palestinian nation and
its supporters." Meanwhile, Iran's chief nuclear negotiator said the
West had failed in efforts to put pressure on the Islamic Republic
over its atomic activities. The West fears Tehran is seeking an atom
bomb and has imposed two sets of United Nations sanctions.
Iran says it aims only to generate electricity. "Those countries who so far have been
after imposing sanctions and putting pressure on Iran have not
achieved any success," chief nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili told
the official IRNA news agency at the start of a visit to Beijing.
"Today, global developments and Iran's logical behavior do not allow
anybody to do this." 'Islamic Jesus' hits Iranian movie screens Breitbart.com (January 13, 2008) - A director who shares the ideas of Iran's hardline president has produced what he says is the first film giving an Islamic view of Jesus Christ, in a bid to show the "common ground" between Muslims and Christians. Nader Talebzadeh sees his movie, "Jesus, the Spirit of God," as an Islamic answer to Western productions like Mel Gibson's 2004 blockbuster "The Passion of the Christ," which he praised as admirable but quite simply "wrong". "Gibson's film is a very good film. I mean that it is a well-crafted movie but the story is wrong -- it was not like that," he said, referring to two key differences: Islam sees Jesus as a prophet, not the son of God, and does not believe he was crucified. Talebzadeh said he even went to Gibson's mansion in Malibu, California, to show him his film. "But it was Sunday and the security at the gate received the film and the brochure and promised to deliver it," though the Iranian never heard back. Even in Iran, "Jesus, The Spirit of God" had a low-key reception, playing to moderate audiences in five Tehran cinemas during the holy month of Ramadan, in October. The film, funded by state broadcasting, faded off the billboards but is far from dead, about to be recycled in a major 20 episode spin-off to be broadcast over state-run national television this year. Talebzadeh insists it aims to bridge differences between Christianity and Islam, despite the stark divergence from Christian doctrine about Christ's final hours on earth. "It is fascinating for Christians to know that Islam gives such devotion to and has so much knowledge about Jesus," Talebzadeh told AFP. "By making this film I wanted to make a bridge between Christianity and Islam, to open the door for dialogue since there is much common ground between Islam and Christianity," he said. The director is also keen to emphasise the links between Jesus and one of the most important figures in Shiite Islam, the Imam Mahdi, said to have disappeared 12 centuries ago but whose "return" to earth has been a key tenet of the Ahmadinejad presidency. The bulk of "Jesus, the Spirit of God", which won an award at the 2007 Religion Today Film Festival in Italy, faithfully follows the traditional tale of Jesus as recounted in the New Testament Gospels, a narrative reproduced in the Koran and accepted by Muslims. But in Talebzadeh's movie, God saves Jesus, depicted as a fair-complexioned man with long hair and a beard, from crucifixion and takes him straight to heaven. "It is frankly said in the Koran that the person who was crucified was not Jesus" but Judas, one of the 12 Apostles and the one the Bible holds betrayed Jesus to the Romans, he said. In his film, it is Judas who is crucified. Islam sees Jesus as one of five great prophets -- others being Noah, Moses and Abraham -- sent to earth to announce the coming of Mohammed, the final prophet who spread the religion of Islam. It respects Jesus' followers as "people of the book". Iran has tens of thousands of its own Christians who are guaranteed religious freedoms under the constitution -- mainly Armenians, though their numbers have fallen sharply since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Every Christmas, Ahmadinejad and other officials lose no time in sending greetings to Christian leaders including the pope on what they describe as the "auspicious birthday of Jesus Christ, Peace Be Upon Him (PBUH)." In this year's message, Ahmadinejad said that "peace, friendship and justice will be attained wherever the guidelines of Jesus Christ (PBUH) are realised in the world." Shiite Muslims, the majority in Iran, believe Jesus will accompany the Imam Mahdi when he reappears in a future apocalypse to save the world. And Talebzadeh said the TV version of his film will further explore the links between Jesus and the Mahdi -- whose return Ahmadinejad has said his government, which came to power in 2005, is working to hasten. more...| Iran | Islam | Apostasy |
Turkey Firm On Boosting Ties With Iran Iran
Mania (January 10, 2008)
- Despite the US pressure, Turkey is firm on bolstering relationship
with Iran since the neighbors have not fought since 17th century,
PressTV reported. "Turkey and Iran have neither fought nor changed
border since the 1639 Treaty of Qasr-e Shirin (also known as the Treaty
of Zuhab)," Turkey's President Abdullah Gul said to remind that
Ankara-Tehran relations is older than US history. Gul's remarks at the
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars came as Ankara is under
mounting US pressure to refrain from investing billions in Iranian
energy projects, Today's Zaman reported. Turkey, the only NATO country
bordering Iran, has not buckled under US pressures to cut doing
businesses with Tehran. Earlier in November, Iran and Turkey signed an
energy deal including building power plants and improving electricity
transport infrastructure. The Turkish prime minister also reiterated in
September that his country would continue collaboration with Iran in the
oil and gas sectors. "Iran is an important trade partner for Turkey and
Turkey cannot ignore this fact," Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said.
Shiite leaders urges outreach to Sunnis Associated
Press (January 11, 2008) - One of Iraq's
most powerful Shiite political and religious figures on Friday issued a stunning
call for the government to set aside differences with Sunni Muslim politicians
and entice them back to help lead the country. The appeal by Ammar al-Hakim, the
son and heir-apparent to the head of Iraq's main Shiite political bloc, sharply
increased pressure on Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki to bring Sunni factions
back into the fold as part of Washington-backed efforts at sectarian
reconciliation. It also could push al-Maliki's government to accelerate steps to
integrate armed Sunni groups that have joined the fight against al-Qaida in Iraq
and other extremists. The United States has credited the so-called "Awakening
Councils" with helping uproot insurgents and has urged Iraq's Shiite leadership
to reward the new Sunni allies with security force posts. The Awakening Councils
have played a role in a major U.S. offensive launched this week, an operation
that included one of the most intense airstrikes of the war. A top U.S.
commander said Thursday's bombing blitz south of Baghdad destroyed extremists'
"defensive belts" and allowed American soldiers to push into areas where they
have not been in years. The United States is also counting on political support
from al-Hakim and his father, Abdul-Aziz al-Hakim, the leader of the Supreme
Islamic Iraqi Council — the country's pre-eminent Shiite political grouping. The
elder al-Hakim, who has been a close ally to the United States since the 2003
invasion, has been diagnosed with lung cancer and underwent chemotherapy last
year in Iran, where he spent years in exile during Saddam Hussein's rule.
more... Olmert: No peace unless attacks stop Associated Press (January 9, 2008) - Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said Wednesday that "there will be no peace" unless attacks are halted from all parts of the Palestinian territories, including those not controlled by his negotiating partners in the Palestinian leadership. But he said that both sides "are very seriously trying to move forward" on a deal. "Israel does not tolerate and will not tolerate the continuation of these vicious attacks," Olmert said, after two and a half hours of talks with President Bush. "We will not hesitate to take all the necessary measures. There will be no peace unless terror is stopped. And terror will have to be stopped everywhere." On the first day of his eight-day Mideast trip aimed at pushing the Israelis and Palestinians toward an agreement, Bush declared there is a "historic moment, a historic opportunity." But he also said: "I'm under no illusions. This is going to be hard work." "America cannot dictate the terms of what a state will look like," he added. "We'll help." Earlier Wednesday, an Israeli airstrike in northern Gaza killed two Palestinians and wounded four others, a move the Israeli army said was taken in response to Palestinian militants who had bombarded the rocket-scarred southern Israeli city of Sderot with rocket and mortar fire. Bush said he and Olmert also discussed Iran's nuclear weapons ambitions and an incident Sunday when Iranian boats harassed and provoked three American Navy ships in the strategic Strait of Hormuz. U.S. officials said Iran threatened to explode the vessels, but the incident ended peacefully. more...| Iran | Gog/Magog | Israel | Islam | 1st Seal | Dividing the Land | Ezekiel 38:8 Beyond the dividing of Israel and the creation of a Palestinian state, one of the prerequisites of the Magog invasion by Iran, Turkey, Russia and others is that Israel is living in safety. This works to bring about the false peace as well so I have a feeling that the rockets are going to soon stop and that will help spur the division of the land to create a situation of relative, temporary peace.
Hamas averages 8.2 missiles a day in 2007, steps up Iran-Syrian-backed
preparations for full-scale war
DEBKAfile (January 1, 2008) -
The annual report of Israel’s domestic intelligence service, ShinShin
BetBet, paints a troubling picture of a Hamas-ruled government in Gaza
expanding its efforts to build a war machine capable of taking on Israel
in full-scale military combat, with active input from Iran and Syria. In
the outgoing year, Hamas and its allies fired more than 1.300 Qassam
missiles and 1,700 mortar shells from Gaza, subjecting Israeli
communities in an expanding radius to a daily average of 8.2
projectiles. At the same time, the ShinShin BetBet and IDF were
strikingly successful in their preventive campaign. They thwarted 29
major attacks inside Israel originating in Gaza, and the number of
Israelis killed by terrorists declined from 50 in 2005 and 24 in 2006 to
13 in 2007. Nonetheless, the Palestinians mounted a total of 2,946
Palestinian terrorist attacks, 9 less than 2006, including a single
suicide bombing in Eilat and another three that were intercepted in
time. No let-up is expected next year. In 2007, Hamas smuggled into Gaza
more than 80 tons of explosives for use in the fabrication of missiles
and bombs, including roadside devices laid down against an Israeli
military incursion. Al Qaeda and its Palestinian affiliates recently
stepped up their participation in attacks, more conspicuously since
Fatah al Islam set up operations in Gaza after being thrown out of its
northern haven in Lebanon four months ago. Israeli officials said that
Osama bin Laden’s threat to “liberate every inch of Palestine” is being
taken seriously. The ShinShin BetBet reports that hundreds of Hamas
operatives were smuggled through the Sinai tunnels out to Iran and Syria
and back for special 2-6 month courses at facilities near Tehran and
Damascus in commando combat and the manufacture and launching of
missiles. Among them were officers and naval commandos. The ShinShin
BetBet report notes that Hamas’ smuggling projects spread out from Gaza
to the West Bank, where a new terror machine is taking shape. Local
terrorist elements are being taught to manufacture and use Qassam
missiles and high-trajectory weapons, thereby bringing Israel’s central
coastal cities, including Tel Aviv, within range. Scores of West Bank
Hamas activitists were also sent to Iran and Syria to study missile
manufacture. During most of 2007, Iran’s Lebanese surrogate, Hizballah,
funded the West Bank project at the rate of the equivalent of $10
million per month. The transfers slowed in recent months. The ShinShin
BetBet reports that Hizballah is diverting more funds to building its
own substantial new infrastructures in SouthSouth LebanonLebanon and
north of the LitaniLitani RiverRiver. |