This page is to track news related to
the growing economic crisis in America and around the world. However
I have begun to use
a different site to share the Watchman Newsletter from December
2008 and on. Some stories will be archived there, but for the most
part anything from November 2008 and before will remain here.
“Owners of capital will stimulate
the working class to buy more and more of expensive goods,
houses and technology, pushing them to take more and more
expensive credits, until their debt becomes unbearable. The
unpaid debt will lead to bankruptcy of banks, which will have to
be nationalized, and the State will have to take the road which
will eventually lead to communism.” | Karl Marx,
Das Kapital, 1867
In
order to achieve the goals of global governance, current sovereign
nations must be weakened to the point where they will need to
participate in the planned global financial system where one will
need to have a mark on their hand or forehead in order to
participate. I believe this is part of the New World Order plans to
implement their control by owning the world and giving no other
choices but participation or rejection of this new
Alliance of Civilizations. This is the
coming war
on the saints.
Revelation 13:16-18
And he causeth all, both small and great, rich and poor, free
and bond, to receive a mark in their right hand, or in their
foreheads: And that no man might buy or sell, save he that
had the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of his
name
“No one will enter the New World Order
unless he or she will make a pledge to worship Lucifer. No one will enter
the New Age unless he takes a Luciferian initiation.” |
David Spangler Director of Planetary Initiative,
Interconnections
Must-read link
Revelation 14:9-12
And the third angel followed them, saying with a loud voice, If
any man worship the beast and his image, and receive his mark in
his forehead, or in his hand, The same shall drink of the wine
of the wrath of God, which is poured out without mixture into
the cup of his indignation; and he shall be tormented with fire
and brimstone in the presence of the holy angels, and in the
presence of the Lamb: And the smoke of their torment ascendeth
up for ever and ever: and they have no rest day nor night, who
worship the beast and his image, and whosoever receiveth the
mark of his name. Here is the patience of the saints: here are
they that keep the commandments of God, and the faith of Jesus.
I also believe that this failure of the current system is one of
the final events leading to the beginning of the time of great
tribulation and the rise of the man of sin. Greed has fueled the
fire and now soon the cushion of wealth that we have known will be
changed, forcing a decision upon everyone. Let us keep the patience
of the saints, holding firm to the testimony of Yeshua (Jesus) and
looking to the coming of the Lord for
His bride.
James 5:1-8
Go to now, ye rich men, weep and howl for your miseries that
shall come upon you. Your riches are corrupted, and your
garments are motheaten. Your gold and silver is cankered; and
the rust of them shall be a witness against you, and shall eat
your flesh as it were fire. Ye have heaped treasure together for
the last days. Behold, the hire of the labourers who have reaped
down your fields, which is of you kept back by fraud, crieth:
and the cries of them which have reaped are entered into the
ears of the Lord of sabaoth. Ye have lived in pleasure on the
earth, and been wanton; ye have nourished your hearts, as in a
day of slaughter. Ye have condemned and killed the just; and he
doth not resist you. Be patient therefore, brethren, unto the
coming of the Lord. Behold, the husbandman waiteth for the
precious fruit of the earth, and hath long patience for it,
until he receive the early and latter rain. Be ye also patient;
stablish your hearts: for the coming of the Lord draweth nigh.
Glenn Beck Touching the Third
Rail:
0:09:05
Global Marshall Plan - The
Global Marshall Plan aims at a "World in Balance". To achieve this
we need a better design of globalization and the global economic
processes - a worldwide Eco-Social Market Economy. This is a matter
of an improved global structural framework, sustainable development,
the eradication of poverty, environmental protection and equity,
altogether resulting in a new global 'economic miracle'. Why do
we need a Global Marshall Plan? Because today's global situation
is scandalous, and because the current conditions of globalization
produce the complete opposite of what is constantly demanded in rosy
speeches. Poverty, the north south divide, migration, terror, wars,
cultural conflicts, and environmental catastrophes are all problems,
which can no longer be resolved nationally under the conditions of a
widely unregulated globalization process. Therefore, we need an
improved and binding global framework for the world economy, that
brings economy into harmony with society, culture, and environment.
In order to create a World in Balance a worldwide Eco-Social Market
Economy with globally binding social, ecological, and cultural
standards is required. The Global Marshall Plan combines a
functional and coherent global governance structure with appropriate
reforms and intelligent interlinking of UN, WTO, IMF, World Bank and
ILO and UNEP standards with the raising of an additional 100
billion US$ a year in order to co-finance development. The
enlargement process of the
European Union
serves as a conceptual model for combining co-financing and the
compliance with eco-social standards. This enlargement, however,
requires a better financial support than it is the case in the
current enlargement round. Funding
In addition to the creation of fair competitive
conditions in the agricultural sector and improved North-South
cooperation in this sector as well as reasonable methods of debt
relief for the less and least developed countries, the Global
Marshall Plan focuses on new financial funding sources. They are
based on global added value processes and therefore neither strain
domestic economies nor distort competition. Possible financing
mechanisms are a Terra-Tax on world-wide trade, a levy on global
financial transactions, trade with equal per capita emission rights,
a cerosine tax, or Special Drawing Rights with the IMF. (WorldShift
Network: The Club of Budapest is a founding member)
This page may take some time to load. For
size reasons I have archived topics by year: |2007|2008|
MUST WATCH!!!
- In this Brand New DVD
presentation Don and David McAlvany analyze the financial market chaos
of 2008 and its immediate impact on the real world economy of 2009 and
beyond. Order your FREE copy today at
www.mcalvany.com/request.php
Perot Charts: Charting Government Fiscal Irresponsibility
- Why this web site now? Because we are running out of time. The
American people must wake up and face the reality that promises made
in the past will soon bankrupt this nation. These problems are
explained in an easy-to-understand chart
presentation discussed further at the bottom of this page.
Comments to the charts and other material described to the right
[at originating website linked
above] are
encouraged. more...
The Truth behind the Citigroup Bank "Nationalization"
321 Gold
(November 26, 2008) - On Friday
November 21, the world came within a hair's breadth of the most colossal
financial collapse in history according to bankers on the inside of
events with whom we have contact. The trigger was the bank which only
two years ago was America's largest, Citigroup. The size of the US
Government de facto nationalization of the $2 trillion banking
institution is an indication of shocks yet to come in other major US and
perhaps European banks thought to be 'too big to fail.'
The clumsy way in which US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson - himself
not a banker but a Wall Street 'investment banker', whose experience has
been in the quite different world of buying and selling stocks or bonds
or underwriting and selling same - has handled the unfolding crisis has
been worse than incompetent. It has made a grave situation into a
globally alarming one.
'Spitting into the wind'
A case in point is the secretive manner in which Paulson has used the
$700 billion in taxpayer funds voted him by a labile Congress in
September. Early on, Paulson put $125 billion in the nine largest banks,
including $10 billion for his old firm, Goldman Sachs. However, if we
compare the value of the equity share that $125 billion bought with the
market price of those banks' stock, US taxpayers have paid $125 billion
for bank stock that a private investor could have bought for $62.5
billion, according to a detailed analysis from Ron W. Bloom, economist
with the US United Steelworkers union, whose members as well as pension
fund face devastating losses were GM to fail.
That means half of the public's money was a gift to Paulson's Wall
Street cronies. Now, only weeks later, the Treasury is forced to
intervene to de facto nationalize Citigroup. It won't be the last.
Paulson demanded, and got from a labile US Congress, Democrat as well as
Republican, sole discretion over how and where he can invest the $700
billion, to date with no effective oversight. It amounts to the Treasury
Secretary in effect 'spitting into the wind' in terms of resolving the
fundamental crisis.
It should be clear to any serious analyst by now that the September
decision by Paulson to defer to rigid financial ideology and let the
fourth largest US investment bank, Lehman Brothers fail, was the
proximate trigger for the present global crisis. Lehman Bros.' surprise
collapse triggered the current global crisis of confidence. It was
simply not clear to the rest of the banking world which US financial
institution bank might be saved and which not, after the Government had
earlier saved the far smaller Bear Stearns, while letting the larger,
far more strategic Lehman Bros. fail.
Some Citigroup details
The most alarming aspect of the crisis is the fact that we are in an
inter-regnum period when the next President has been elected but cannot
act on the situation until after January 20, 2009 when he is sworn in.
Consider the details of the latest Citigroup government de facto
nationalization (for ideological reasons Paulson and the Bush
Administration hysterically avoid admitting they are in the process of
nationalizing key banks). Citigroup has more than $2 trillion of assets,
dwarfing companies such as American International Group Inc. that got
some $150 billion in US taxpayer funds in the past two months.
Ironically, only eight weeks before, the Government had designated
Citigroup to take over the failing Wachovia Bank. Normally authorities
have an ailing bank absorbed by a stronger one. In this instance the
opposite seems to have been the case. Now it is clear that the Citigroup
was in deeper trouble than Wachovia. In a matter of hours in the week
before the US Government nationalization was announced, the stock value
of Citibank plunged to $3.77 in New York, giving the company a market
value of about $21 billion. The market value of Citigroup stock in
December 2006 had been $247 billion. Two days before the bank
nationalization the CEO, Vikram Pandit had announced a huge 52,000 job
slashing plan. It did nothing to stop the slide.
The scale of the hidden losses of perhaps the twenty largest US banks is
so enormous that if not before, the first Presidential decree of
President Barack Obama will likely have to be declaration of a US 'Bank
Holiday' and the full nationalization of the major banks, taking on the
toxic assets and losses until the economy can again function with credit
flowing to industry once more.
Citigroup and the government have identified a pool of about $306
billion in troubled assets. Citigroup will absorb the first $29 billion
in losses. After that, remaining losses will be split between Citigroup
and the government, with the bank absorbing 10% and the government
absorbing 90%. The US Treasury Department will use its $700 billion TARP
or Troubled Asset Recovery Program bailout fund, to assume up to $5
billion of losses. If necessary, the Government's Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation (FDIC) will bear the next $10 billion of losses.
Beyond that, the Federal Reserve will guarantee any additional losses.
The measures are without precedent in US financial history. It's by no
means certain they will salvage the dollar system.
The situation is so intertwined, with six US major banks holding the
vast bulk of worldwide financial derivatives exposure, that the failure
of a single major US financial institution could result in losses to the
OTC derivatives market of $300-$400 billion, a new IMF working paper
finds. What's more, since such a failure would likely cause cascading
failures of other institutions. Total global financial system losses
could exceed another $1,500 billion according to an IMF study by Singh
and Segoviano.
Read full story...
The madness over a Detroit GM rescue deal
The health of Citigroup is not the only gripping crisis that must be
dealt with. At this point, political and ideological bickering in the US
Congress has so far prevented a simple emergency $25 billion loan
extension to General Motors and other of the US Big Three
automakers-Ford and Chrysler. The absurd spectacle of US Congressmen
attacking the chairmen of the Big Three for flying to the emergency
Congressional hearings on a rescue loan in their private company jets
while largely ignoring the issue of consequences to the economy of a GM
failure underscores the utter lack of touch with reality that has
overwhelmed Washington in recent years.
For GM to go into bankruptcy risks a disaster of colossal proportions.
Although Lehman Bros., the biggest bankruptcy in US history, appears to
have had an orderly settlement of its credit defaults swaps, the
disruption occurred before-hand, as protection writers had to post
additional collateral prior to settlement. That was a major factor in
the dramatic global market selloff in October. GM is bigger by far,
meaning bigger collateral damage, and this would take place when the
financial system is even weaker than when Lehman failed.
In addition, a second, and potentially far more damaging issue, has been
largely ignored. The advocates of letting GM go bankrupt argue that it
can go into Chapter 11 just like other big companies that get themselves
in trouble. That may not happen however, and a Chapter 7 or liquidation
of GM that would then result would be a tectonic event.
The problem is that under Chapter 11 US law, it takes time for the
company to get the protection of a bankruptcy court. Until that time,
which may be weeks or months, the company would need urgently 'bridge
financing' to continue operating. This is known as 'Debtor-in-Possession
or DIP financing. DIP is essential for most Chapter 11 bankruptcies, as
it takes time to get the plan of reorganization approved by creditors
and the courts. Most companies, like GM today, go to bankruptcy court
when they are at the end of their liquidity.
DIP is specifically for companies in, or on the verge of bankruptcy, and
the debt is generally senior to other outstanding creditor claims. So it
is actually very low risk, as the amount spent is usually not large,
relatively speaking. But DIP lending is being severely curtailed right
now, just when it is most needed, as healthier banks drastically cut
loans in the severe credit crunch situation.
Without access to DIP bridge financing, GM would be forced into a
partial, or even a full liquidation. The ramifications are horrendous.
Aside from loss of 100,000 jobs at GM itself, GM is critical to keep
many US auto suppliers in business. If GM failed soon most, possibly
even all of the US and even foreign auto suppliers will go under. Those
parts suppliers are important to other auto makers. Many foreign car
factories would be forced to close due to loss of suppliers. Some
analysts put 2009 job losses from a GM failure as high as 2.5 million
jobs due to the follow-on effects. If the impact of that 2.5 million job
loss is seen in terms of the overall losses to the economy of non-auto
jobs such as services, home foreclosures caused and such, some estimate
total impact would be more than 15 million jobs.
So far in the face of this staggering prospect, the members of the US
Congress have chosen to focus on the fact the GM chief, Rick Wagoner,
flew in his private company jet to Washington. The Congressional charade
conjures up the image of Nero playing his fiddle as Rome goes up in
flames. It should not be surprising that at the recent EU-Asian Summit
in Beijing, Chinese officials mooted the idea of trading between the EU
and Asian nations such as China in Euro, Renminbi, Yen or other national
currencies other than the dollar. The Citigroup bailout and GM debacle
has confirmed the death of the post-1944 Bretton Woods Dollar System.
The real truth behind Citigroup bailout
What neither Paulson nor anyone in Washington is willing to reveal is
the real truth behind the Citigroup bailout. By his and the Republican
Bush Administration's adamant earlier refusal to take an initial
resolute action to immediately nationalize the nine or so largest
troubled banks, he has created the present debacle. By refusing on
ideological grounds to instead reorganize the banks' assets into some
form of 'good bank' and 'bad bank,' similar to what the Government of
Sweden did with what it called Securum, during its banking crisis in the
early 1990's, Paulson and company have created a global financial
structure on the brink.
A Securum or similar temporary nationalization would have allowed the
healthy banks to continue lending to the real economy so the economy
could continue operating, while the State merely sat on the undervalued
real estate assets of the Swedish banks for some months until the
recovering economy made the assets again marketable to the private
sector. Instead, Paulson and his 'crony capitalists' in Washington have
turned a bad situation into a globally catastrophic one.
His apparent realization of the error of his initial refusal to
nationalize came too late. When Paulson reversed policy on September 19
and presented the nine largest banks with an ultimatum to accept partial
Government equity ownership, abandoning his original bizarre plan to
merely buy up the toxic waste asset-backed securities of the banks with
his $700 billion TARP taxpayer money, he never revealed why.
Under the original Paulson Plan, as Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and L.
Randall Wray of the Jerome Levy Institute at Bard College in New York
point out, Paulson sought to create a situation in which the US
'Treasury would become an owner of troubled financial institutions in
exchange for a capital injection-but without exercising any ownership
rights, such as replacing the management that created the mess. The
bailout would be used as an opportunity to consolidate control of the
nation's financial system in the hands of a few large (Wall Street)
banks, with government funds subsidizing purchases of troubled banks by
"healthy" ones.'
Paulson soon realized the scale of crisis, largely triggered by his
inept handling of the Lehman Brothers case, had created an impossible
situation. Were Paulson to use the $700 billion to buy up toxic waste
ABS assets from the select banks at today's market price, the $700
billion would be far too little to take an estimated $2 trillion ($2,000
billion) in Asset Backed Securities off the books of the banks.
The Levy Economics Institute economists state, 'It is probable that many
and perhaps most financial institutions are insolvent today -- with a
black hole of negative net worth that would swallow Paulson's entire
$700 billion in one gulp.'
That reality is the real reason Paulson was forced to abandon his
original 'crony bailout' TARP plan and opt to use some of his money to
buy equity shares in the nine largest banks.
That scheme as well is 'dead on arrival' as the latest Citigroup
nationalization scheme underscores. The dilemma Paulson has created with
his inept handling of the crisis is simple: If the US Government paid
the true value for these nearly worthless assets, the banks would have
to write down huge losses, and, as Levy economists put it, 'announce to
the world that they are insolvent.' On the other hand, if Paulson raised
the toxic waste purchase price high enough to protect the banks from
losses, $700 billion 'will buy only a tiny fraction of the 'troubled'
assets.' That is what the latest nationalization of Citigroup is about.
It is only the beginning. The 2009 year will be one of titanic shocks
and changes to the global order of a scale perhaps not experienced in
the past five centuries. This is why we should speak of the end of the
American Century and its Dollar System.
How destructive that process will be to the citizens of the United
States who are the prime victims of Paulson's crony capitalists, as well
as to the rest of the world depends now on the urgency and resoluteness
with which heads of national Governments in Germany, the EU, China,
Russia and the rest of the non-US world react. It is no time for
ideological sentimentality and nostalgia of the postwar old order. That
collapsed this past September along with Lehman Brothers and the
Republican Presidency. Waiting for a 'miracle' from an Obama Presidency
is no longer an option for the rest of the world.
U.S. Pledges Top $7.7 Trillion to Ease Frozen Credit
Bloomberg
(November 24, 2008) -
The U.S. government is prepared to provide more than
$7.76 trillion on behalf of American taxpayers after guaranteeing
$306 billion of Citigroup Inc. debt yesterday. The pledges,
amounting to half the value of everything produced in the nation
last year, are intended to rescue the financial system after the
credit markets seized up 15 months ago.
The unprecedented pledge of funds includes $3.18
trillion already tapped by financial institutions in the biggest
response to an economic emergency since the New Deal of the 1930s,
according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The commitment dwarfs the plan
approved by lawmakers, the Treasury Department’s $700 billion Troubled
Asset Relief Program. Federal Reserve lending last week was 1,900 times
the weekly average for the three years before the crisis.
When Congress approved the
TARP on Oct. 3, Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and Treasury Secretary
Henry Paulson acknowledged the need for transparency and oversight. Now,
as regulators commit far more money while refusing to disclose loan
recipients or reveal the collateral they are taking in return, some
Congress members are calling for the Fed to be reined in.
“Whether it’s lending or spending, it’s tax dollars
that are going out the window and we end up holding collateral we don’t
know anything about,” said Congressman Scott Garrett, a New Jersey
Republican who serves on the House Financial Services Committee. “The
time has come that we consider what sort of limitations we should be
placing on the Fed so that authority returns to elected officials as
opposed to appointed ones.”
Too Big to Fail
Bloomberg News tabulated data from the Fed, Treasury
and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and interviewed regulatory
officials, economists and academic researchers to gauge the full extent
of the government’s rescue effort.
The bailout includes a Fed program to buy as much as
$2.4 trillion in short-term notes, called commercial paper, that
companies use to pay bills, begun Oct. 27, and $1.4 trillion from the
FDIC to guarantee bank-to-bank loans, started Oct. 14.
William Poole, former president of the Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis, said the two programs are unlikely to lose money. The
bigger risk comes from rescuing companies perceived as “too big to
fail,” he said.
‘Credit Risk’
The government committed $29 billion to help engineer
the takeover in March of Bear Stearns Cos. by New York-based JPMorgan
Chase & Co. and $122.8 billion in addition to TARP allocations to bail
out New York-based American International Group Inc., once the world’s
largest insurer.
Citigroup received $306 billion of government
guarantees for troubled mortgages and toxic assets. The Treasury
Department also will inject $20 billion into the bank after its stock
fell 60 percent last week.
“No question there is some credit risk there,” Poole
said.
Congressman Darrell Issa, a California Republican on
the Oversight and Government Reform Committee, said risk is lurking in
the programs that Poole thinks are safe.
“The thing that people don’t understand is it’s not
how likely that the exposure becomes a reality, but what if it does?”
Issa said. “There’s no transparency to it so who’s to say they’re
right?”
The worst financial crisis in two generations has
erased $23 trillion, or 38 percent, of the value of the world’s
companies and brought down three of the biggest Wall Street firms.
Read full story...
Markets Down
The Dow Jones Industrial Average through Friday is
down 38 percent since the beginning of the year and 43 percent from its
peak on Oct. 9, 2007. The S&P 500 fell 45 percent from the beginning of
the year through Friday and 49 percent from its peak on Oct. 9, 2007.
The Nikkei 225 Index has fallen 46 percent from the beginning of the
year through Friday and 57 percent from its most recent peak of
18,261.98 on July 9, 2007. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is down 78 percent,
to $53.31, on Friday from its peak of $247.92 on Oct. 31, 2007, and 75
percent this year.
Regulators hope the rescue will contain the damage and
keep banks providing the credit that is the lifeblood of the U.S.
economy.
Most of the spending programs are run out of the New
York Fed, whose president, Timothy Geithner, is said to be President-
elect Barack Obama’s choice to be Treasury Secretary.
‘They Got Snookered’
The money that’s been pledged is equivalent to $24,000
for every man, woman and child in the country. It’s
nine times what the U.S. has spent so far on wars in Iraq and
Afghanistan, according to
Congressional Budget Office figures. It could pay off more than half
the country’s mortgages.
“It’s unprecedented,” said Bob Eisenbeis, chief
monetary economist at Vineland, New Jersey-based Cumberland Advisors
Inc. and an economist for the Atlanta Fed for 10 years until January.
“The backlash has begun already. Congress is taking a lot of hits from
their constituents because they got snookered on the TARP big time.
There’s a lot of supposedly smart people who look to be totally
incompetent and it’s all going to fall on the taxpayer.”
President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal of the
1930s, when almost 10,000 banks failed and there was no mechanism to
bolster them with cash, is the only rival to the government’s current
response. The savings and loan bailout of the 1990s cost $209.5 billion
in inflation-adjusted numbers, of which $173 billion came from
taxpayers, according to a July 1996
report by the U.S. General Accounting Office, now called the
Government Accountability Office.
‘Worst Crisis’
The 1979 U.S. government bailout of Chrysler consisted
of bond guarantees, adjusted for inflation, of $4.2 billion, according
to a Heritage Foundation
report.
The commitment of public money is appropriate to the
peril, said Ethan Harris, co-head of U.S. economic research at Barclays
Capital Inc. and a former economist at the New York Fed. U.S. financial
firms have taken writedowns and losses of $666.1 billion since the
beginning of 2007, according to Bloomberg data.
“This is the worst capital markets crisis in modern
history,” Harris said. “So you have the biggest intervention in modern
history.”
Bloomberg has requested details of Fed lending under
the U.S. Freedom of Information Act and filed a federal lawsuit against
the central bank Nov. 7 seeking to force disclosure of borrower banks
and their collateral.
Collateral is an asset pledged to a lender in the
event a loan payment isn’t made.
‘That’s Counterproductive’
“Some have asked us to reveal the names of the banks
that are borrowing, how much they are borrowing, what collateral they
are posting,” Bernanke said Nov. 18 to the
House Financial Services Committee. “We think that’s
counterproductive.”
The Fed should account for the collateral it takes in
exchange for loans to banks, said Paul Kasriel, chief economist at
Chicago-based Northern Trust Corp. and a former research economist at
the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
“There is a lack of transparency here and, given that
the Fed is taking on a huge amount of credit risk now, it would seem to
me as a taxpayer there should be more transparency,” Kasriel said.
Bernanke’s Fed is responsible for $4.74 trillion of
pledges, or 61 percent of the total commitment of $7.76 trillion, based
on data compiled by Bloomberg concerning U.S. bailout steps started a
year ago.
“Too often the public is focused on the wrong piece of
that number, the $700 billion that Congress approved,” said J.D. Foster,
a former staff member of the Council of Economic Advisers who is now a
senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation in Washington. “The other areas
are quite a bit larger.”
Fed Rescue Efforts
The Fed’s rescue attempts began last December with the
creation of the Term Auction Facility to allow lending to dealers for
collateral. After Bear Stearns’s collapse in March, the central bank
started making direct loans to securities firms at the same discount
rate it charges commercial banks, which take customer deposits.
In the three years before the crisis, such average
weekly borrowing by banks was $48 million, according to the central
bank. Last week it was $91.5 billion.
The failure of a second securities firm, Lehman
Brothers Holdings Inc., in September, led to the creation of the
Commercial Paper Funding Facility and the Money Market Investor Funding
Facility, or MMIFF. The two programs, which have pledged $2.3 trillion,
are designed to restore calm in the money markets, which deal in
certificates of deposit, commercial paper and Treasury bills.
Lehman Failure
“Money markets seized up after Lehman failed,” said
Neal Soss, chief economist at Credit Suisse Group in New York and a
former aide to Fed chief Paul Volcker. “Lehman failing made a lot of
subsequent actions necessary.”
The FDIC, chaired by Sheila Bair, is contributing 20
percent of total rescue commitments. The FDIC’s $1.4 trillion in
guarantees will amount to a bank subsidy of as much as $54 billion over
three years, or $18 billion a year, because borrowers will pay a lower
interest rate than they would on the open market, according to Raghu
Sundurum and Viral Acharya of New York University and the London
Business School.
Congress and the Treasury have ponied up $892 billion
in TARP and other funding, or 11.5 percent.
The Federal Housing Administration, overseen by
Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Steven Preston,
was given the authority to guarantee $300 billion of mortgages, or about
4 percent of the total commitment, with its Hope for Homeowners program,
designed to keep distressed borrowers from foreclosure.
Federal Guarantees
Most of the federal guarantees reduce interest rates
on loans to banks and securities firms, which would create a subsidy of
at least $6.6 billion annually for the financial industry, according to
data compiled by Bloomberg comparing rates charged by the Fed against
market interest currently paid by banks.
Not included in the calculation of pledged funds is an
FDIC proposal to prevent foreclosures by guaranteeing modifications on
$444 billion in mortgages at an expected cost of $24.4 billion to be
paid from the TARP, according to FDIC spokesman David Barr. The Treasury
Department hasn’t approved the program.
Bernanke and Paulson, former chief executive officer
of Goldman Sachs, have also promised as much as $200 billion to shore up
nationalized mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, a
pledge that hasn’t been allocated to any agency. The FDIC arranged for
$139 billion in loan guarantees for General Electric Co.’s finance unit.
Automakers Struggle
The tally doesn’t include money to General Motors
Corp., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC. Obama has said he favors
financial assistance to keep them from collapse.
Paulson told the House Financial Services Committee
Nov. 18 that the $250 billion already allocated to banks through the
TARP is an investment, not an expenditure.
“I think it would be extraordinarily unusual if the
government did not get that money back and more,” Paulson said.
In his Nov. 18 testimony, Bernanke told the House
Financial Services Committee that the central bank wouldn’t lose money.
“We take collateral, we haircut it, it is a short-term
loan, it is very safe, we have never lost a penny in these various
lending programs,” he said.
A haircut refers to the practice of lending less money
than the collateral’s current market value.
Requiring the Fed to disclose loan recipients might
set off panic, said David Tobin, principal of New York-based loan-sale
consultants and investment bank
Mission Capital Advisors LLC.
‘Mark to Market’
“If you mark to market today, the banking system is
bankrupt,” Tobin said. “So what do you do? You try to keep it going as
best you can.”
“Mark to market” means adjusting the value of an
asset, such as a mortgage-backed security, to reflect current prices.
Some of the bailout assistance could come from tax
breaks in the future. The Treasury Department changed the tax code on
Sept. 30 to allow banks to expand the deductions on the losses banks
they were buying, according to Robert Willens, a former Lehman Brothers
tax and accounting analyst who teaches at Columbia University Business
School in New York.
Wells Fargo & Co., which is buying Charlotte, North
Carolina-based Wachovia Corp., will be able to deduct $22 billion,
Willens said. Adding in other banks, the code change will cost $29
billion, he said.
“The rule is now popularly known among tax lawyers as
the ‘Wells Fargo Notice,’” Willens said.
The regulation was changed to make it easier for
healthy banks to buy troubled ones, said Treasury Department spokesman
Andrew DeSouza.
House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney
Frank said he was angry that banks used the money for acquisitions.
“The only purpose for this money is to lend,” said
Frank, a Massachusetts Democrat. “It’s not for dividends, it’s not for
purchases of new banks, it’s not for bonuses. There better be a showing
of increased lending roughly in the amount of the capital infusions” or
Congress may not approve the second half of the TARP money.
Worst of financial crisis yet to come: IMF chief economistAFP
(November 22, 2008) - The IMF's chief
economist has warned that the global financial crisis is set to worsen
and that the situation will not improve until 2010, a report said
Saturday. Olivier Blanchard also warned that the institution does not
have the funds to solve every economic problem. "The worst is yet to
come," Blanchard said in an interview with the Finanz und Wirtschaft
newspaper, adding that "a lot of time is needed before the situation
becomes normal." He said economic growth would not kick in until 2010
and it will take another year before the global financial situation
became normal again.
The International Monetary Fund on Friday promised to help Latvia deal
with its economic crisis after it assisted Iceland, Hungary, Ukraine,
Serbia and Pakistan. But Blanchard said the IMF was not able to solve
all financial issues, in particular problems of liquidity. Withdrawals
of capital leading to problems of liquidity "can be so significant that
the IMF alone cannot counter them," he said, adding that massive
withdrawals of investments from emerging countries could represent
"hundreds of billions of dollars. "We do not have this money. We never
had it," he said. The IMF had spent a fifth of its 250 billion dollar
(200 billion euro) fund in the last two weeks, Blanchard added.
He also urged central banks around the world to cut interest rates,
after the Swiss National Bank made a surprise one percentage point rate
cut Thursday. The central banks "should lower interest rates to as close
to zero as possible," he said. |
Economic Crisis
|
Glenn Beck A
Kook? Carmen Sees The Crisis
Glenn Beck
(November 20, 2008) - Glenn got one of
the most satisfying calls of his career on today's program. It was from
a woman who had started listening to the program a few weeks ago. Her
first impression of Glenn warning about what's coming was that he was
nuts. But, after doing her homework she started to see the problems and
how they are interconnected---and this made Glenn proud as could be.
Read the transcript. Audio at link
above. |
Economic Crisis
|
Martin Hennecke - US May Lose Its 'AAA'
RatingCNBC
(November 10, 2008)
A quick question... If the
Dollar were to become obsolete and indeed currency collapsed all
over the world and a new economic system were developed to eliminate
the fraud, waste and abuse while ensuring security and a smooth
transition from individual currencies, would you sign on? What if
doing so required a "pledge of allegiance" of sorts to participate?
Revelation 13:11-18 And I beheld another beast coming up out of the earth; and
he had two horns like a lamb, and he spake as a dragon. And he
exerciseth all the power of the first beast before him, and
causeth the earth and them which dwell therein to worship the
first beast, whose deadly wound was healed.
[Revelation
17]
And he doeth great wonders, so that he maketh fire come
down from heaven on the earth in the sight of men, And deceiveth
them that dwell on the earth by the means of those miracles
which he had power to do in the sight of the beast; saying to
them that dwell on the earth, that they should make an image to
the beast, which had the wound by a sword, and did live.
And he had power to give life unto the image of the beast, that
the image of the beast should both speak, and cause that as many
as would not worship the image of the beast should be killed.
And he causeth all, both small and great, rich and poor,
free and bond, to receive a mark in their right hand, or in
their foreheads: And that no man might buy or sell, save he that
had the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of his
name. Here is wisdom. Let him that hath understanding
count the number of the beast: for it is the number of a man;
and his number is Six hundred threescore and six.
What if signs and wonders were
added to the mix and a world desperate for the spirituality drained
from them through "modern science" calling into question God's Word,
the mystery of iniquity, they came to worship another "savior"
in a more physical and temporal sense that tickled their ears with
self-satisfying words?
What if global economic
collapse were to be a catalyst for a further globalization and
acceptance of it, in addition to other catalysts, bringing the world
further under the control of the man of sin?
What if I'm just crazy? What if
I'm not. See if the world clamors for more government control while
power consolidation continues... Watch!
A Plan for Action: Managing Global Insecurity
42-page pdf at Brookings.edu
(November 21, 2008)
- The Managing Global Insecurity (MGI) Project seeks to build
international support for global institutions and partnerships that can
foster international peace and security—and the prosperity they
enable—for the next 50 years. MGI is a joint initiative among the
Brookings Institution, the Center on International Cooperation at New
York University, and the Center for International Security and
Cooperation at Stanford University.
Since its launch in the spring of 2007, MGI has sought to develop its
recommendations and conduct its work in a manner best suited to address
today’s most urgent global challenges—namely, by fostering a global
dialogue. In a world where 21st century transnational threats—from
climate change to nuclear proliferation and terrorism—require joint
solutions, discussions on these solutions must take place both inside
and outside American borders. As MGI launched this ambitious but urgent
agenda, the Project convened two advisory groups—one American and
bipartisan, and one international. MGI’s advisors are experienced
leaders with diverse visions for how the international security system
must be transformed. They are also skilled politicians who
understand the political momentum that must power substantive
recommendations.
MGI brought these groups together for meetings in Washington D.C., New
York, Ditchley Park (UK), Singapore, and Berlin. With their assistance,
MGI also conducted consultations with government officials, policymakers
and non-governmental organizations across Europe and in Delhi, Beijing,
Tokyo, Doha, and Mexico City. MGI held meetings at the United Nations,
and with African and Latin American officials in Washington D.C. and New
York. On the domestic front, MGI met with Congressional and
Administration officials as well as foreign policy advisors to the U.S.
Presidential campaigns. Ideas generated in international consultations
were tested on U.S. constituencies; ideas generated among U.S.
policymakers were sounded out for their resonance internationally.
American and international leaders were brought together to consider
draft proposals. Through this global dialogue, the Project sought a
shared path forward.
MGI’s findings also derive from extensive research and analysis of
current global security threats and the performance of international
institutions. MGI solicited case studies from leading regional and
subject experts that evaluated the successes and failures of
international responses to the “hard cases”—from the North Korean
nuclear threat to instability in Pakistan and state collapse in Iraq.
Both in the United States and internationally, MGI convened experts to
review the Project’s threat-specific analyses and proposals.
Financial support for the MGI project has also been robustly
international. In addition to the Bertelsmann Stiftung, Rockefeller
Brothers Fund, Ditchley Foundation, William and Flora Hewlett
Foundation, John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation and UN
Foundation, MGI has received funding and in-kind support from the Royal
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Norway, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
of Finland and the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy. A number of
think tanks and other institutions in Japan, China and India hosted
workshops to debate the Project’s findings. MGI is indebted to its
diverse supporters.
MGI’s research and consultations provide the foundation for the
following Plan for Action, a series of policy briefs, and MGI’s book,
Power and Responsibility: International Order in an Era of Transnational
Threats (forthcoming, Brookings Press 2009). The authors are solely
responsible for the following analysis and recommendations. Based on
MGI’s consultations, however, they are confident this is a historic
opportunity for the United States to forge new partnerships to tackle
the most pressing problems of this century. more detail at the
link...
|
EU/UN/4th Kingdom
|
Solana| NewWorldOrder|
America|
Economic Crisis
|
“The
aim of the MGI [Managing
Global Insecurity] project is ambitious and urgent: to launch a
new reform effort for the global security system in 2009 … for the
global system is in serious trouble. It is simply not capable of
solving the challenges of today. You all know the list: terrorism,
nuclear proliferation, climate change, pandemics, failing states …
None can be solved by a single government alone.”
|
Javier Solana, High Representative for the Common
Foreign and Security Policy, European Union; MGI Advisory Group
Member
I think it is worthwhile to
note that the snowball is already rolling down the hill and there
are many things that can happen to advance or delay plans in the
global arena. If there were a threat large enough to further the
cause of the globalists, then much like the ready-fire-fire-fire-aim
approach to the global financial crisis, fear could be used to get
people to take immediate action not yet fully defined in the
timelines already determined. Of course I believe there are some
using the fear with a definite plan of action for a common goal
whether they realize what they are doing or not. I believe the
mystery of iniquity is well at work in the world today.
A Plan For Action: Renewed American Leadership And International
Cooperation for the 21st Century
Brookings Institute
(November 20, 2008) - MR. PASCUAL: --
in his personal capacity has given us tremendous support, along with the
support of the U.N. Foundation, the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of
Finland and Norway, who have been great supporters throughout, the
Rockefeller Brothers Foundation, the Hewlett Foundation, the MacArthur
Foundation, the Ford Foundation, and in kind support that we’ve been
able to get from the Bertelsmann and Ditchley Foundations, the Lee Kuan
Yew School of Public Policy, and think tanks and partners in the United
States and around the world.
A big thanks to so many members of the diplomatic community who are here
today and participating in this session and have provided constant
feedback and advice on some of this work.
I need to give great thanks to both the domestic and international
advisory group that we have had as part of this project. And you’ll see
them on the left hand side of the column, as well as on the Action Plan,
on the inside cover that you have of the Action Plan, a tremendously
distinguished group of individuals who are some of the best
practitioners in the world on foreign policy, international security
policy, and global governance, and we are quite honored that they are
willing to give their time to advise us on this project. And among those
members of the advisory group are the panelists that we have today. And
it’s a pleasure to be able to introduce them in the order that they’re
going to speak today.
First is Former Secretary of State, Madeleine Albright, someone who has
given tremendous advice directly herself in a book called The Memo to
the President, How We Can Restore America’s Reputation and Leadership.
And then Javier Solana, the European Union’s High Representative for
Common, Foreign, and Security Policy. Javier is I think a personal
incarnation of the world’s most effective institution of global
governance, namely himself.
And then Kemal Dervis, who is the Administrator of the U.N. Development
Program. Many of you also know him from his role as Minister of Economy
and Treasury in Turkey and his long career at the
World Bank. And Kemal is also an author of a tremendous book called
Better Globalization, Legitimacy, Governance and Reform. I should say he
had the wisdom of having that published by the Brookings Institution
Press, as well.
And then Tom Pickering, Former Undersecretary of State for Political
Affairs. And Tom really is sort of the icon of the American Foreign
Service, having been an Ambassador in more places than anyone can
imagine and carrying that knowledge around with him on a constant basis.
And finally Strobe Talbott, the President of the Brookings Institution,
my boss, former Deputy Secretary of State, and author of another
tremendous book called The Great Experiment, the Story of Ancient
Empire, Modern States, and the Quest for a Global Nation. And he also
happens to be my friend and has given us tremendous advice throughout
this process, and all of them have just been amazing colleagues.
We are going to have a short presentation of some of the key themes in
the Action Plan to create that as a foundation for the discussion. We’ll
then have the part that you really want, which is a discussion with our
panelists, and have a session to interact among themselves, and then a Q
and A session for the audience. It’ll be I think a fairly full two hour
program, but one that will be I think extremely interesting for
everybody.
This project was a joint venture among Stanford and Brookings and NYU,
in part because of its complexity and the nature of the goal that we
set. We begin by looking at what kinds of recommendations are necessary
to create and international order in the institutions that are going to
bring about prosperity and security for the world over the next 50
years...
...MS. ALBRIGHT: I’d kind of like to step back a little bit, because in
listening, and also in some of my meetings over the weekend, it is clear
to me that venue shopping is one of the problems here. And the question
is, which of these various organizations really are the right ones?
And some of you know this, but I’ll repeat it; when I first became
Secretary, I kept looking for various European Ministers and they were
always in some meeting with some kind of alphabet that I didn’t know. So
I asked the Intelligence and Research part of the State Department to
create a chart for me of the European Organizations, and it looked like
some kind of astrological or astronomical chart, and everything was on
top of everything else, and I nicknamed it the Euro Mess.
The bottom line is that we can’t keep creating organizations on top of
others in terms of who does what with whom. And I think this is the real
challenge in terms of which of the ones that really will work, and where
do you have the right players, and not so much, if I may be so bold as
to say, I like this organization because I dominate it, and I don’t want
to be in that one because there are too many people in it, and I do
think that that is one of the challenges that we have.
The other part goes back to something, Carlos, that you were talking
about. As a professor I say this, the fight between sovereignty and
international action is not dead, and when you say responsible
sovereignty, different people – countries will take it a different way.
I think that President Bashir thinks he’s practicing responsible
sovereignty. And so the question is, how these two concepts deal with
what are very real crises that are out there. So venue shopping and the
struggle between sovereignty and international multi-lateral action, I
think no matter how great the good will is towards President Obama, and
it’s stunning, I think it’s going to continue to be an issue of how we
prioritize and deal with it...
...[Regarding global governance] MR. SOLANA: I think we have
discussed one of the most fascinating topics of the times. I think
the European Union has something to say about this, because a group
of countries that have already, in a voluntary manner, chose to live
together and to share sovereignty. It’s probably the only example
and going as far as taking to the connectivity – currency, which is a
very, very fundamental decision.
But I think we cannot understand that without talking at the same time
about legitimacy. Legitimacy is absolutely fundamental, you want to
govern a complicated structure, and that remains, the legitimacy remains
at the level where proximity – exist. I don’t want to enter more into
that – but it’s very, very crucial, it comes from legitimacy. Now, we
may agree on many, many things even within the European Union that have
to do, but you may sometimes need the legitimacy – very clear, the
national – to do it. And that is a reality will be very difficult to
overcome.
Now, you can put into the global – into federal entity as much things as
you want to transfer from the – will be always – to run into legitimacy,
it will be very difficult. The problems are global, the solutions are
global, the resources and the legitimacy still is global... Read
Q&A excerpt...
MS. McNAMARA: I'm Sally McNamara from the Heritage Foundation.
However, I'm also British and I used to work in the European Union, so
I'm very interested in these comments that the E.U. is a perfect model
of global governance, and I would like to tell you that the E.U. lacks
any sort of legitimacy or credibility, and any time the publics are
asked whether they want more Europe and whether they want a common
foreign insecurity policy, they actually turn around and say no. We have
had several public referenda on things like the Nice Treaty, the
Maastricht Treaty, and, most recently, the Lisbon Treaty. Ireland has
said no, and under the E.U.'s own rules of success, this whole thing
should go away now. However, the E.U. doesn't let something like
democracy get in the way of the European project. It seems to me that
the Americans are far more enthusiastic for a common foreign policy than
the Europeans actually are, because they want Henry Kissinger's one line
to Europe. So, I encourage you to rethink your enthusiasm for the
European project, considering the fact that most European peoples don't
want it, that the E.U. isn't even particular popular at the moment. They
have the lowest ratings that they've ever had.
MR. TALBOTT: Well, picking from the menu of the questions asked, the one
-- they're all terrific questions. The one that most provokes me to
answer was really directed more at Javier, but you asked me to speak
first.
I disagree with our colleague from the Heritage Foundation. I didn't
hear anybody of any nationality up here use the word "perfect" to
describe the European Union. But I would use the following adjectives
with great confidence. The European Union is the most impressive,
accomplished, and promising experiment in transnational governance on
the planet today, and that has been immensely good for the half billion
or so people of Europe. It has taken a huge swatch of real estate, which
is as bloodied as any on the planet historically, a region of the world
where there was a major war every generation from the 17th century on up
to the E-day, and turned it into a zone of peace. No mean
accomplishment. And it has done that through what Madeleine and I
jokingly called the Euro-mess. But we did not use that term
contemptuously. We saw a certain beauty and wisdom in the Euro-mess, and
Madeleine's predecessors once upon a time trying to call her colleagues
or their colleagues and counterparts in Europe wouldn't have found them
at those meetings; they would have found them on battlefields or either
planning to be on battlefields.
And as for the famous Kissinger question of all those years ago when
Madeleine and Tom Pickering and I were in government, we had Javier's
home phone, office phone, and cell phone, and we knew who to call...
...MR. DERVIS: Well, the trouble with being on the same panel with
Strobe is that I usually agree so strongly with him and he says
everything I could say much better. But I do want to also touch on the
Europe issue and again agree. I do believe for the main points that
Strobe made in terms of the peace in Europe, the cooperation, it is a
huge, human achievement which has few precedents -- I think has no
precedent in fact in (inaudible), but also, more specifically, the fact
that there is (inaudible) Euro, the common currency, not in all of the
E.U. but in a large part of it, that you can actually -- you know, it's
a tremendous achievement, countries having given up the kind of
sovereignty symbol of their currency, Germany particularly, you know,
which was so fond of the Deutsche Mark, and I see signs in today's
financial crisis that some who are outside the Euro zone are now
rethinking that maybe it's not such a bad idea to be in part of the Euro
zone, given the tremendous instability of exchange rates and
particularly the problem for small countries and small currencies. The
issue, of course, travel -- the fact that now you can travel freely from
Lisbon up to Stockholm and, you know, that there is now the beginnings
of a labor market that functions on the European scale I think is a
tremendous achievement. And of course coming from Turkey right across
the border, being kind of in and kind of out, it makes it particularly
interesting.
But I do believe nonetheless that there is a political dimension to this
and that if one wants the full support of citizens, then these processes
of cooperation -- and this is another example. I think the challenge --
Europe also presents this challenge, and there -- you know, there is the
truth that citizens don't feel part of it enough and therefore one has
to deepen and widen politics, because politics -- democratic politics is
the source of legitimacy. Technocrats meeting in Brussels don't generate
legitimacy, and there we -- a lot of work still remains to be done in
Europe, but one thing that I want to add here -- and maybe that's part
of the problem, that global mechanisms are becoming increasingly more
important than regional mechanisms. To some degree -- I mean, regional
cooperation is still very important, but many of the issues we are
discussing, whether it's nuclear nonproliferation, clean energy, climate
disease, financial crises, they're all global issues, and the fact that
President-elect Obama, who was then still Senator Obama, went to Berlin
and had hundreds of thousands of people in the street, that was a
political event, and it was not a European, it was not a German, it was
an American. And we need more of that. We need European politicians who
could come to an American city and attract hundreds of thousands of
citizens or Chinese, Indians. We need to create -- it will take time. It
will probably take decades. But in order to make global governance and
cooperation truly legitimate and effective, we will need to add the
democratic politics that I mentioned to the technocratic and kind of
government networks that we've built.
MR. SOLANA: I'm not going to be very long, because Strobe and Kemal have
defended the case which to my mind doesn't need too much to be defended.
But let me not look to the past. The success of the European Union,
vis-à-vis the tragic history of our continent, is (inaudible). What has
been said by Kemal, the success also (inaudible) question about
(inaudible) to the economy, like the construction of the (inaudible),
which is very important in this critical moment and will continue to be.
But we have been talking today for two hours already about something
which is very difficult to match -- how global problems require global
solutions -- have a contradiction and the contradiction is there, the
contradiction with the legitimacy, as Kemal has said many times and I
repeat once again. It is not in the global system. It is still local. It
is more local, more (inaudible), and also resources. Now, I think the
European Union is the best example today of how you can begin to resolve
that contradiction, that you can have global problems, to be global on
the scale of the European Union and (inaudible) globally on the scale of
the European Union and at the same time not being perfect, as has been
said, with all the (inaudible) legitimacy, but it's still distance in
years light or farther mechanisms of legitimacy in other constructions
of the international community. Therefore, the model is a model which is
good for us, and I think it will be good for others, and that's why
other parts of the world are beginning to rescind the European Union as
a model. I don't have to go very far, but I remember when the ASEAN was
trying to run the first "constitution". I don't know how many hours,
days, and months they stayed with us, trying to understand and trying to
see how they could move on in that direction. The same can be said about
the regions of the world. I think that this kind of molecular structure
-- you allowed me to use that terminology for my (inaudible) -- is
better than the structure which is genetomic and not molecular. A
molecular world it will be better to handle than the opposite. And I
think we are very bottom molecular, political molecular structure. Every
atom of the molecule is distinguished -- U.K., Spain, Italy, carbon,
oxygen, nitrogen -- we share elections that give the power. And that is
what I think is a way in which the E.U. has to move on, and I'm very
happy to belong to that molecule (inaudible). more...
There are many people who hold
that the center of power for the kingdom of the man of sin as
prophesied in scripture will various entities other than Europe. I
believe Solana's statement above highlights one of the reasons I
believe Europe is the
revived Roman Empire and the fourth kingdom prophesied by Daniel
and John. In a world that is going global, Europe is the example of
how to cede sovereignty to a unified body, including the
consolidation of currency into one.
Recession
fears hit stock markets
BBC News
(November 20, 2008)
- Wall Street shares have fallen steeply for the second day
in a row, amid investors' growing fears of a protracted economic
downturn. The Dow Jones average tumbled 5.5% after politicians said
they could not agree on an immediate $25bn bail-out for the troubled
US carmakers. Concerns over a sharp slowdown in US factory activity
also added to worries about the strength of the economy. Earlier,
European markets all closed sharply lower on recession worries.
US carmakers Ford, General Motors and Chrysler have now been told to
come up with their own viable recovery plan by 2 December if they
want a $25bn (£17bn) government rescue. Democratic House Speaker
Nancy Pelosi said that without such a plan there would be no
bail-out. She said there was currently no plan in circulation that
could pass both Houses of Congress and win President George W Bush's
approval.
Unemployment claims
At the close the Dow was down 449.99 at 7,552.29. The Nasdaq was
down 5%, or 70 points, at 1,316.12. Adding to the gloom, a business
survey from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve showed that factory
activity covering the key areas of eastern Pennsylvania, southern
New Jersey and Delaware fell by more than forecast in November. The
index, which is seen as a key gauge of the future state of US
manufacturing, slipped to minus 39.3 from minus 37.5 in October.
And new claims for unemployment benefits leapt last week to their
highest in 16 years, according to the US labour department. "The
unemployment data was yet another ugly data point in a seemingly
never-ending stream of poor economic numbers," said Michael Wittner,
global head of oil research at Societe Generale.
The White House indicated on Thursday that Mr Bush would approve
legislation to increase unemployment benefits.
Meanwhile, shares in Citigroup tumbled to their lowest level in more
than 15 years, despite news that Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, a
long-time investor in the bank, was increasing his stake from less
than 4% to 5%.
Mounting problems
The deepening global recession is being felt in a number of ways:
Mining shares have been hit hard on fears that
demand for steel and other raw materials will drop as the economy
slows. Steel giant Arcelor-Mittal lost 8% and Vedanta Resources lost
8.5%
Oil shares were among the main fallers with BP,
Royal Dutch Shell and Total all at least 5% lower as sweet crude oil
fell below $50 a barrel
Japan's exports to Asia dropped in October for
the first time in six years
Job losses are mounting worldwide, with aerospace
firm Rolls Royce, pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca and French
carmaker Peugeot Citroen announcing a total of 6,100 cuts
China has warned its employment outlook is
"grim", amid worries that economic problems could lead to social
unrest
Switzerland has cut its key interest rate to 1%
in a surprise move
The IMF has approved a $2.1bn (£1.4bn) loan for
Iceland. Turkey is set to agree to a precautionary stand-by deal
with the IMF soon
Retail sales fell and public sector borrowing
rose in the UK.
In Europe, the London, Paris and Frankfurt markets
were all down by more than 3%. In Asia on Thursday, Japan's Nikkei index
ended 6.8% lower and Hong Kong's main index fell more than 4%.
|
EU/UN/4th Kingdom
|NewWorldOrder|America|
Economic Crisis
|
Bush Hands Over Reins of U.S. Economy to EUNewsmax
(November 19, 2008) - The results of
the G-20 economic summit amount to nothing less than the seamless
integration of the United States into the European economy. In one month
of legislation and one diplomatic meeting, the United States has
unilaterally abdicated all the gains for the concept of free markets won
by the Reagan administration and surrendered, in total, to the Western
European model of socialism, stagnation, and excessive government
regulation. Sovereignty is out the window. Without a vote, we are
suddenly members of the European Union. Given the dismal record of those
nations at creating jobs and sustaining growth, merging with the
Europeans is like a partnership with death.
At the G-20 meeting, Bush agreed to subject the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) and our other regulatory agencies to the supervision of
a global entity that would critique its regulatory standards and demand
changes if it felt they were necessary. Bush agreed to create a College
of Supervisors. According to The Washington Post, it would "examine the
books of major financial institutions that operate across national
borders so regulators could begin to have a more complete picture of
banks' operations." Their scrutiny would extend to hedge funds and to
various "exotic" financial instruments. The International Monetary Fund
(IMF), a European-dominated operation, would conduct "regular vigorous
reviews" of American financial institutions and practices. The
European-dominated College of Supervisors would also weigh in on issues
like executive compensation and investment practices.
There is nothing wrong with the substance of this regulation. Experience
is showing it is needed. But it is very wrong to delegate these powers
to unelected, international institutions with no political
accountability. We have a Securities and Exchange Commission appointed
by the president and confirmed by the Senate, both of whom are elected
by the American people. It is with the SEC, the Treasury, and the
Federal Reserve that financial accountability must take place.
The European Union achieved this massive subrogation of American
sovereignty the way it usually does, by negotiation, gradual
bureaucratic encroachment, and without asking the voters if they
approve. What's more, Bush appears to have gone down without a fight,
saving his debating time for arguing against the protectionism that
France's Nicolas Sarkozy was pushing. By giving Bush a seeming victory
on a moratorium against protectionism for one year, Sarkozy was able to
slip over his massive scheme for taking over the supervision of the U.S.
economy.
All kinds of political agendas are advancing under the cover of
responding to the global financial crisis. Where Franklin Roosevelt
saved capitalism by regulating it, Bush, to say nothing of Obama, has
given the government control over our major financial and insurance
institutions. And it isn't even our government! The power has now been
transferred to the international community, led by the socialists in the
European Union.
Will Obama govern from the left? He doesn't have to. George W. Bush has
done all the heavy lifting for him. It was under Bush that the
government basically took over as the chief stockholder of our financial
institutions and under Bush that we ceded our financial controls to the
European Union. In doing so, he has done nothing to preserve what
differentiates the vibrant American economy from those dying economies
in Europe.
Why have 80 percent of the jobs that have been created since 1980 in the
industrialized world been created in the United States? How has America
managed to retain its leading 24 percent share of global manufacturing
even in the face of the Chinese surge? How has the U.S. GDP risen so
high that it essentially equals that of the European Union, whose
population is 50 percent greater? It has done so by an absence of
stifling regulation, a liberation of capital to flow to innovative
businesses, low taxes, and by a low level of unionization that has given
business the flexibility to grow and prosper.
Europe, stagnated by taxation and regulation, has grown by a pittance
while we have roared ahead. But now Bush — not Obama — Bush has given
that all up and caved in to European socialists. The Bush legacy?
European socialism. Who needs enemies with friends like Bush?
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Japanese economy now in recession
BBC
(November 17, 2008)
- Japan's economy has entered its first recession since 2001
after shrinking by 0.1% in the third quarter. The world's second-biggest
economy had previous shrunk by 0.9% in the April to June quarter. "The
downtrend in the economy will continue for the time being as global
growth slows," said Japanese Economy Minister Kaoru Yosano.
The eurozone officially slipped into recession last week, and the US is
expected to follow. "We need to bear in mind that economic conditions
could worsen further as the US and European financial crisis deepens,
worries of economic downturn heighten and stock and foreign exchange
markets make big swings," Mr Yosano added. The benchmark Nikkei share
index fell on opening after the growth data was released, but it later
rebounded and closed up 0.7%. The Nikkei has lost a quarter of its value
since the beginning of October.
Growth in Japan has been hit by the global economic slowdown which has
curbed demand for Japanese exports. "The risk of Japan posting a third
or fourth straight quarterly contraction is growing, given the fact that
we can no longer rely on exports," said Takeshi Minami, chief economist
at Norinchukin Research Institute. Japan's economy had experienced its
longest period of economic growth since World War II until the sub-prime
crisis started a year ago. |
Economic Crisis
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Eurozone officially in recession
BBC
(November 14, 2008)
- The eurozone has officially slipped into recession after EU
figures showed that the economy shrank by 0.2% in the third quarter.
This follows a 0.2% contraction in the 15-nation area in the previous
quarter from April to June. Two quarters of negative growth define a
technical recession. The news was widely anticipated and follows data
showing that Germany and Italy, two of the biggest eurozone economies,
are already in recession.
BBC Berlin correspondent Steve Rosenberg said the figures were not a
surprise. "The Germans had their gloomy economic news [on Thursday] and
as Germany is the dynamo of the European economy, when there are
problems there, it drags the rest of the region down with it," he said.
It is the first recession the region has seen since the euro's creation
in 1999.
But analysts forecast worse to come for the countries that use the euro.
"Looking ahead, we can expect further quarters of negative GDP growth,
until the third quarter of 2009, simply because so far we have not had
in the GDP figures the full impact of the credit market crisis," said
Gilles Moec, senior economist, Bank of America. "We also haven't yet
seen the full impact of unemployment on consumer spending," he added,
forecasting that the eurozone region will shrink by 1% next year.
European blues
The gloomy forecasts are being fuelled by the uncertainty relating to
the financial panic and slowing exports exacerbated by the strengthening
euro against the dollar and pound. Carmakers - major European employers
- are suffering particularly badly with data from the European
carmakers' association, Acea, showing car sales down 14.5% in October
for the sixth month in a row.
The sharp decline in exports has winded Germany - one of the world's
largest economies - with data out on Thursday showing it had shrunk 0.5%
in the third quarter, following a 0.4% drop in the second quarter. The
Italian and Spanish economies followed suit, also shrinking in the third
quarter. For Spain, it was the first such drop since 1993. Analysts are
now convinced that a slump in household spending and a property crisis
are likely to push the Spanish economy into recession as well, in the
next quarter.
Much to the surprise of most analysts, France's economy bucked the trend
and expanded in the third quarter, supported by consumer spending and
company investment. Official data showed that the French economy grew by
0.1% in the June to September period.
More interest rate cuts?
The European Central Bank this month lowered its key interest rate to
3.25% to kick-start the eurozone's flagging economy and more cuts are
expected as it becomes clearer that inflation risks are now retreating.
The Eurostat statistics agency said that annual inflation had come down
to 3.2% in October from 3.6% in September, as oil prices have more than
halved since reaching a peak above $147 a barrel in July. Some analysts
are predicting they could go as low as 2% - the same level they stood
when the eurozone was formed in 1999.
Meanwhile, the wider European Union (EU), made up of 27 countries, is
also in danger of slipping into a recession with the region's output
shrinking by 0.2% in the third quarter, after flat growth in the
previous three months. The UK is expected to join the roll-call of
European countries in recession with a bleak Bank of England forecast
earlier this week suggesting that Britain is already there.
Despite a week's worth of grim data, European stock markets rose. The
UK's FTSE 100 climbed as much as 3.6% before paring earlier gains to
close up 1.5% at 4,233 while the German Dax and the French Cac also
posted modest gains.
The member states of the eurozone are France, Italy, Germany,
Belgium, the Irish Republic, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Spain,
Portugal, Slovenia, Malta, Greece, Austria, Finland and Cyprus.
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German economy falls into recession
Associated Press
(November 13, 2008)
- The German economy, Europe's biggest, tipped into recession
in the third quarter as weakening exports fueled a bigger-than-expected
fall in national output, government figures showed Thursday. Gross
domestic product contracted by 0.5 percent in the July-September period
compared with the previous quarter, the Federal Statistical Office said
— a much sharper fall than the roughly 0.2 percent decline economists
had expected. That followed a 0.4 percent fall in GDP in the second
quarter, which was the first decline since late 2004, and a 1.4 percent
growth rate in the first quarter.
A technical recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative
growth. The statistical office said a slight increase in consumer and
government spending in the third quarter, during which the global
financial crisis gathered pace, was offset by falling exports and a
large increase in imports. Exports are a mainstay of the German economy
and largely powered its stronger performance over recent years.
Holger Schmieding, chief European economist at Bank of America, said the
third-quarter economic decline may be "just the beginning." "Late 2008
and early 2009 could well be worse," he said. "Germany — and the euro
zone — have to get ready for a serious recession."
Economists said the bigger-than-expected fall was partly explained by
upward revisions to the first- and second-quarter figures — previously
reported as a 1.3 percent rise and 0.5 percent decline. In addition, the
euro reached record levels against the U.S. dollar during the quarter
and oil prices hit all-time highs. Both have since retreated. Still,
Thursday's figures pointed to more trouble ahead. Schmieding forecast
that the German economy would shrink by 0.6 percent in both the current
quarter and next year's first quarter.
Timo Klein, an economist at IHS Global Insight in Frankfurt, said that
"net exports will stay on a weakening trend for most of 2009, due to
faltering euro zone and indeed global demand." The euro's decline
against the dollar "will offset this only partially, as the pace of
growth in foreign countries is a much more important variable for German
exports than the exchange rate," he added.
Klein said declining oil prices and inflation could support private
consumption, but fears over jobs could hold back consumer spending. The
government is predicting growth of 1.7 percent for the whole of 2008,
but forecasts the economy will slow to 0.2 percent next year. On
Wednesday, its independent panel of economic advisers offered a gloomier
outlook, forecasting zero growth in 2009.
In an effort to reduce the impact of the economic crisis, the government
is pushing through a stimulus package ranging from tax breaks on new
cars to credit assistance for companies. It is aimed at triggering
investments of up to 50 billion euros ($63 billion).
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America|
Economic Crisis
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An
Interview With Dr. Ron Paul
McAlvany Weekly Commentary
(November 12, 2008)
- Congressman Ron Paul of Texas enjoys a national reputation
as the premier advocate for liberty in politics today. Dr. Paul is
the leading spokesman in Washington for limited constitutional
government, low taxes, free markets, and a return to sound monetary
policies based on commodity-backed currency. He is known among both
his colleagues in Congress and his constituents for his consistent
voting record in the House of Representatives: Dr. Paul never votes
for legislation unless the proposed measure is expressly authorized
by the Constitution. In the words of former Treasury Secretary
William Simon, Dr. Paul is the “one exception to the Gang of 535″ on
Capitol Hill. |
America|
Economic Crisis
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Gordon Brown calls for new world order to beat recession
Telegraph UK
(November 10, 2008)
- Mr Brown will call on fellow world leaders to use the
current worldwide economic downturn as an opportunity to thoroughly
reform international financial institutions and create a new "truly
global society" with Britain, the US and Europe providing leadership.
His call comes ahead of an emergency summit of world leaders and
finance ministers from 20 major countries, the G20, in Washington
next weekend. Mr Brown will say that the Washington meeting must
establish a consensus on a new Bretton Woods-style framework for the
international financial system, featuring a reformed International
Monetary Fund which will act as a global early-warning system for
financial problems.
The original Bretton Woods agreements, signed in Bretton Woods, New
Hampshire in 1944, established post-war international monetary
protocols governing trade, banking and other financial relations
among nations, including fixed exchange rates and the IMF.
Mr Brown's plan for strengthening the global economy 60 years later
involves recapitalisation of banks to permit the resumption of
normal lending to households and businesses, better international
co-ordination of fiscal and monetary policy and a new IMF fund to
help struggling economies and stop financial problems spreading
between nations. He also wants agreement on a world trade deal and
reform of the international financial system based on principles of
"transparency, integrity, responsibility, sound banking practice and
global governance with co-ordination across borders".
As Britain moves into a painful recession Mr Brown has staked his
own leadership on helping to find a way out of the global crisis. In
a speech to City financiers at the annual Lord Mayor's banquet in
London he will say: "The British Government will begin to begin a
new Bretton Woods with a new IMF that offers, by its surveillance of
every economy, an early warning system and a crisis prevention
mechanism for the whole world. "The alliance between Britain and the
US, and more broadly between Europe and the US, can and must provide
leadership, not in order to make the rules ourselves, but to lead
the global effort to build a stronger and more just international
order. "My message is that we must be internationalist not
protectionist, interventionist not neutral, progressive not reactive
and forward-looking not frozen by events. We can seize the moment
and in doing so build a truly global society."
Mr Brown has already discussed IMF reforms with French President
Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel and has called
on countries including China and the oil-rich Gulf states to fund
the bulk of an increase in the IMF's bailout pot. The Prime Minister
wants the markets to be subjected to morality and ordinary people's
interests are put first. He believes that in electing Barack
Obama, US voters have showed their belief in a "progressive" agenda
of government intervention to help families and businesses through
the current crisis. He will say: "Uniquely in this global age,
it is now in our power to come together so that 2008 is remembered
not just for the failure of a financial crash that engulfed the
world but for the resilience and optimism with which we faced the
storm, endured it and prevailed."
However, the head of the IMF played down expectations of a new
Bretton Woods system ahead of the G20 summit. Dominique
Strauss-Kahn, the IMF's managing director, said: "Expectations
should not be oversold. Things are not going to change overnight.
Bretton Woods took two years to prepare. A lot of people are talking
about Bretton Woods II. The words sound nice but we are not going to
create a new international treaty."
The European Union has called for an overhaul of the IMF with French
President Nicolas Sarkozy, whose country holds the EU's rotating
presidency, saying: "We want to change the rules of the game". The
US, however, has been more lukewarm on the possibility of radical
change.
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NewWorldOrder|
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Economic Crisis
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The October 2008 financial meltdown is not the result of a cyclical
economic phenomenon. It is the deliberate result of US government
policy instrumented through the Treasury and the US Federal Reserve
Board. This is the most serious economic crisis in World history.
The "bailout" proposed by the US Treasury does not constitute a
"solution" to the crisis. In fact quite the opposite: it is the
cause of further collapse. It triggers an unprecedented
concentration of wealth, which in turn contributes to widening
economic and social inequalities both within and between nations.
The levels of indebtedness have skyrocketed. Industrial corporations
are driven into bankruptcy, taken over by the global financial
institutions. Credit, namely the supply of loanable funds,
which constitutes the lifeline of production and investment, is
controlled by a handful of financial conglomerates.
With the "bailout", the public debt has spiraled. America is the
most indebted country on earth. Prior to the "bailout", the US
public debt was of the order of 10 trillion dollars. This US dollar
denominated debt is composed of outstanding treasury bills and
government bonds held by individuals, foreign governments,
corporations and financial institutions.
"The Bailout": The US Administration is Financing its Own
Indebtedness
Ironically, the Wall Street banks --which are the recipients of the
bailout money-- are also the brokers and underwriters of the US
public debt. Although the banks hold only a portion of the public
debt, they transact and trade in US dollar denominated public debt
instruments Worldwide.
In a bitter twist, the banks are the recipients of a 700+ billion
dollar handout and at the same time they act as creditors of the US
government. We are dealing with an absurd circular relationship: To
finance the bailout, Washington must borrow from the banks, which
are the recipients of the bailout.
The US administration is financing its own indebtedness. Federal,
State and municipal governments are increasingly in a
straightjacket, under the tight control of the global financial
conglomerates. Increasingly, the creditors call the shots on
government reform. The bailout is conducive to the consolidation
and centralization of banking power, which in turn backlashes on
real economic activity, leading to a string of bankruptcies and mass
unemployment.
Will an Obama Administration Reverse the
Tide?
The financial crisis is the outcome of a deregulated financial
architecture. Obama has stated unequivocally his resolve to address
the policy failures of the Bush administration and "democratize" the
US financial system. President-Elect Barack Obama says that he is
committed to reversing the tide:
"Let us remember that if this
financial crisis taught us anything, it’s that we cannot have a
thriving Wall Street while Main Street suffers. In this country,
we rise or fall as one nation, as one people." (President-elect
Barack Obama, November 4, 2008, emphasis added)
The Democrats casually blame the Bush
administration for the October financial meltdown. Obama says that he will be introducing
an entirely different policy agenda which responds to the interests of
Main Street:
"Tomorrow, you can turn the
page on policies that put the greed and irresponsibility of Wall
Street before the hard work and sacrifice of men and women all
across Main Street. Tomorrow you can choose policies that invest in
our middle class and create new jobs and grow this economy so that
everybody has a chance to succeed, from the CEO to the secretary and
the janitor, from the factory owner to the men and women who work on
the factory floor.( Barack Obama, election campaign, November 3,
2008, emphasis added)
Is Obama committed to "taming Wall
Street" and "disarming financial markets"? Ironically, it was under the
Clinton administration that these policies of "greed and
irresponsibility" were adopted.
The 1999 Financial Services Modernization Act (FSMA) was conducive to
the the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933. A pillar of President
Roosevelt’s "New Deal", the Glass-Steagall Act was put in place in
response to the climate of corruption, financial manipulation and
"insider trading" which resulted in more than 5,000 bank failures in the
years following the 1929 Wall Street crash.
Bill Clinton signs into law the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Financial Services
Modernization Act, November 12, 1999. Under the 1999 Financial Services
Modernization Act, effective control over the entire US financial
services industry (including insurance companies, pension funds,
securities companies, etc.) had been transferred to a handful of
financial conglomerates and their associated hedge funds. Read
full story...
The Engineers of Financial Disaster
Who are the architects of this debacle? In a bitter irony, the engineers
of financial disaster are now being considered by President-Elect Barack
Obama's Transition Team for the position Treasury Secretary:
Lawrence Summers played a
key role in lobbying Congress for the repeal of the Glass Steagall
Act. His timely appointment by President Clinton in 1999 as Treasury
Secretary spearheaded the adoption of the Financial Services
Modernization Act in November 1999. Upon completing his mandate at
the helm of the US Treasury, he became president of Harvard
University (2001- 2006).
Paul Volker was
chairman of the Federal Reserve Board in the l980s during the Reagan
era. He played a central role in implementing the first stage of
financial deregulation, which was conducive to mass bankruptcies,
mergers and acquisitions, leading up to the 1987 financial crisis.
Timothy Geithner is CEO of
the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which is the most powerful
private financial institution in America. He was also a former
Clinton administration Treasury official. He has worked for
Kissinger Associates and has also held a senior position at the IMF.
The FRBNY plays a behind the scenes role in shaping financial
policy. Geithner acts on behalf of powerful financiers, who are
behind the FRBNY. He is also a member of the Council on Foreign
Relations (CFR)
Jon Corzine is currently
governor of New Jersey, former CEO of Goldman Sachs.
At the time of writing, Obama's
favorite is Larry Summers, front-runner for the position of Treasury
Secretary. [Timothy Geithner appears to be
the front-runner for the position of Treasury Secretary
see above] Harvard University Economics Professor
Lawrence Summers served as Chief Economist for the World Bank
(1991–1993). He contributed to shaping the macro-economic reforms
imposed on numerous indebted developing countries. The social and
economic impact of these reforms under the IMF-World Bank sponsored
structural adjustment program (SAP) were devastating, resulting in mass
poverty. Larry Summer's stint at the World Bank
coincided with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the imposition of
the IMF-World Bank's deadly "economic medicine" on Eastern Europe, the
former Soviet republics and the Balkans.
In 1993, Summers moved to the US
Treasury. He initially held the position of Undersecretary of the
Treasury for international affairs and later Deputy Secretary. In
liaison with his former colleagues at the IMF and the World Bank, he
played a key role in crafting the economic "shock treatment" reform
packages imposed at the height of the 1997 Asian crisis on South Korea,
Thailand and Indonesia.
The bailout agreements negotiated with
these three countries were coordinated through Summers office at the
Treasury in liaison with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the
Washington based Bretton Woods institutions. Summers worked closely with
IMF Deputy Managing Director
Stanley Fischer, who was later appointed Governor of the Central
Bank of Israel.
Larry Summers became Treasury
Secretary in July 1999. He is a protégé of David Rockefeller. He was
among the main architects of the infamous Financial Services
Modernization Act, which provided legitimacy to inside trading and
outright financial manipulation.
"Putting the Fox in Charge of
the Chicken Coop"
Summers is currently a Consultant to Goldman Sachs and managing director
of a Hedge fund, the D.E. Shaw Group,
As a Hedge Fund manager, his contacts at the Treasury and on Wall
Street provide him with valuable inside information on the movement of
financial markets. Putting a Hedge Fund manager (with
links to the Wall Street financial establishment) in charge of the
Treasury is tantamount to putting the fox in charge of the chicken
coop.
The Washington Consensus
Summers, Geithner, Corzine, Volker,
Fischer, Phil Gramm, Bernanke, Hank Paulson, Rubin, not to mention Alan
Greenspan, al al. are buddies; they play golf together; they have links
to the Council on Foreign Relations and the Bilderberg; they act
concurrently in accordance with the interests of Wall Street; they meet
behind closed doors; they are on the same wave length; they are
Democrats and Republicans.
While they may disagree on some
issues, they are firmly committed to the Washington-Wall Street
Consensus. They are utterly ruthless in their management of economic
and financial processes. Their actions are profit driven. Outside of
their narrow interest in the "efficiency" of "markets", they have little
concern for "living human beings." How are people's lives affected by
the deadly gamut of macro-economic and financial reforms, which is
spearheading entire sectors of economic activity into bankruptcy.
The economic reasoning underlying
neoliberal economic discourse is often cynical and contemptuous. In this
regard, Lawrence Summers' economic discourse stands out. He is known
among environmentalists for having proposed the dumping of toxic waste
in Third World countries, because people in poor countries have shorter
lives and the costs of labor are abysmally low, which essentially means
that the market value of people in the Third World is much lower.
According to Summers, this makes it far more "cost effective" to export
toxic materials to impoverished countries. A controversial 1991 World
Bank memo signed by of Chief Economist Larry Summers reads as follows
(excerpts, emphasis added):
DATE: December 12, 1991 TO:
Distribution FR: Lawrence H. Summers Subject: GEP
"'Dirty' Industries: Just
between you and me, shouldn't the World Bank be encouraging MORE
migration of the dirty industries to the Less Developed Countries?
I can think of three reasons:
1) The measurements of the
costs of health impairing pollution depends on the foregone earnings
from increased morbidity and mortality.... From this point of
view a given amount of health impairing pollution should be done in
the country with the lowest cost, which will be the country with the
lowest wages. I think the economic logic
behind dumping a load of toxic waste in the lowest wage country is
impeccable and we should face up to that.
2) The costs of pollution are
likely to be non-linear as the initial increments of pollution
probably have very low cost. I've always though that
under-populated countries in Africa are vastly UNDER-polluted,
their air quality is probably vastly inefficiently low compared to
Los Angeles or Mexico City. Only the lamentable facts that so much
pollution is generated by non-tradable industries (transport,
electrical generation) and that the unit transport costs of solid
waste are so high prevent world welfare enhancing trade in air
pollution and waste.
3) The demand for a clean
environment for aesthetic and health reasons is likely to have very
high income elasticity. [the demand increases when income levels
increase]. The concern over an agent that causes a one in a million
change in the odds of prostrate cancer is obviously going to be much
higher in a country where people survive to get prostrate cancer
than in a country where under 5 mortality is is 200 per thousand....
"
http://www.globalpolicy.org/socecon/envronmt/summers.htm
Summers stance on the export of
pollution to developing countries had a marked impact on US
environmental policy:
In 1994, "virtually every country
in the world broke with Mr. Summers' Harvard-trained "economic
logic" ruminations about dumping rich countries' poisons on their
poorer neighbors, and agreed to ban the export of hazardous wastes
from OECD to non-OECD [developing] countries under the Basel
Convention. Five years later, the United States is one of the few
countries that has yet to ratify the Basel Convention or the Basel
Convention's Ban Amendment on the export of hazardous wastes from
OECD to non-OECD countries. (Jim Valette,
Larry
Summers' War Against the Earth, Counterpunch, undated)
The 1997 Asian Crisis: Dress
Rehearsal for Things to Come
In the course of 1997, currency
speculation instrumented by major financial institutions directed
against Thailand, Indonesia and South Korea was conducive to the
collapse of national currencies and the transfer of billions of dollars
of central bank reserves into private financial hands. Several observers
pointed to the deliberate manipulation of equity and currency markets by
investment banks and brokerage firms.
While the Asian bailout agreements
were formally negotiated with the IMF, the major Wall Street commercial
banks (including Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup and J. P. Morgan) as
well as the "big five" merchant banks (Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers,
Morgan Stanley and Salomon Smith Barney) were "consulted" on the clauses
to be included in the Asian bail-out agreements. [Note: These are 1997
denominations of major financial institutions]
The US Treasury in liaison with Wall
Street and the Bretton Woods institutions played a central role in
negotiating the bailout agreements. Both Larry Summers and Timothy
Geithner, were actively involved on behalf of the US Treasury in the
1997 bailout of South Korea:
[In 1997] "Messrs. Summers and
Geithner worked to persuade Mr. Rubin to support financial aid to
South Korea. Mr. Rubin was wary of such a move, worrying that
providing money to a country in dire straits might be a losing
proposition..." (WSJ, November 8, 2008)
What happened in Korea under advice
from Deputy Treasury Secretary Summers et al, had nothing to do with
"financial aid."
The country was literally ransacked.
Undersecretary of the Treasury David Lipton was sent to Seoul in early
December 1997. Secret negotiations were initiated. Washington had
demanded the firing of the Korean Finance Minister and the unconditional
acceptance of the IMF "bailout."
A new finance minister, who happened
to be former IMF and World Bank official, was appointed and immediately
rushed off to Washington for "consultations" with his former IMF
colleague Deputy Managing Director Stanley Fischer.
"The Korean Legislature had met in
emergency sessions on December 23. The final decision concerning the
57 billion dollar deal took place the following day, on Christmas
Eve December 24th, after office hours in New York. Wall Street’s top
financiers, from Chase Manhattan, Bank America, Citicorp and J. P.
Morgan had been called in for a meeting at the Federal Reserve Bank
of New York. Also at the Christmas Eve venue, were representatives
of the big five New York merchant banks including Goldman
Sachs, Lehman Brothers, Morgan Stanley and Salomon Smith Barney. And
at midnight on Christmas Eve, upon receiving the green light from
the banks, the IMF was allowed to rush 10 billion dollars to
Seoul to meet the avalanche of maturing short-term debts.
The coffers of Korea’s central
Bank had been ransacked. Creditors and speculators were anxiously
awaiting to collect the loot. The same institutions which had
earlier speculated against the Korean won were cashing in on the IMF
bailout money. It was a scam. (See Michel Chossudovsky,
The Recolonization of Korea, subsequently published as a chapter
in The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order, Global
Research, Montreal, 2003.)
"Strong economic medicine" is the
prescription of the Washington Consensus. "Short term pain for long
term gain" was the motto at the World Bank during Lawrence Summers term
of as World Bank Chief Economist. (See
IMF, World Bank Reforms Leave Poor Behind, Bank Economist Finds,
Bloomberg, November 7, 2000)
What we dealing with is an entire "
old boys network" of officials and advisers at the Treasury, the Federal
Reserve, the IMF, World Bank, the Washington Think Tanks, who are in
permanent liaison with leading financiers on Wall Street. Whoever is chosen by Obama's
Transition team will belong to the Washington Consensus.
The 1999 Financial Services Modernization Act
What happened in October 1999 is crucial. In
the wake of lengthy negotiations behind closed doors, in the Wall Street
boardrooms, in which Larry Summers played a central role, the regulatory
restraints on Wall Street’s powerful banking conglomerates were revoked
"with a stroke of the pen".
Larry Summers worked closely with Senator
Phil Gramm (1985-2002),chairman of the Senate Banking committee, who
was the legislative architect of the the Gramm-Leach-Bliley
Financial Services Modernization Act, signed into law on November
12, 1999 (See Group Photo above). (For Complete text click US Congress:
Pub.L. 106-102). As Texas Senator, Phil Gramm was closely associated
with Enron.
In
December 2000 at the very end of the Clinton mandate, Gramm introduced a
second piece of legislation, the so-called Gramm-Lugar Commodity Futures
Modernization Act, which paved the way for the speculative onslaught in
primary commodities including oil and food staples.
"The act, he declared, would ensure that neither the
sec nor the Commodity Futures
Trading Commission (cftc) got
into the business of regulating newfangled financial products called
swaps—and would thus "protect financial institutions from
overregulation" and "position our financial services industries to
be world leaders into the new century." (See David Corn,
Foreclosure Phil, Mother Jones, July August 2008)
Phil Gramm was McCain's first choice for Secretary of the Treasury. Under the FSMA new rules – ratified by the US Senate in October 1999 and
approved by President Clinton – commercial banks, brokerage firms, hedge
funds, institutional investors, pension funds and insurance companies
could freely invest in each others businesses as well as fully integrate
their financial operations.
A "global financial supermarket" had
been created, setting the stage for a massive concentration of
financial power. One of the key figures behind this project was
Secretary of the Treasury Larry Summers, in liaison with David
Rockefeller. Summers described the FSMA as "the legislative foundation
of the financial system of the 21th century". That legislative
foundation is among the main causes of the 2008 financial meltdown.
Financial Disarmament
There can be no meaningful solution to
the crisis, unless there is a major reform in the financial
architecture, implying inter alia the freezing of speculative trade and
the "disarming of financial markets". The project of disarming
financial markets was first proposed by John Maynard Keynes in the 1940s
as a means to the establishment of a multipolar international monetary
system. (See J.M. Keynes, Activities 1940-1944, Shaping the Post-War
World: The Clearing Union, The Collected Writings of John Maynard
Keynes, Royal Economic Society, Macmillan and Cambridge University
Press, Vol. XXV, London 1980, p. 57).
Main Street versus Wall Street
Where are Obama's "Main Street
appointees"? Namely individuals who respond to the interests of people
across America. There are no labor or community leaders on Obama's list
for key positions. The President-elect is appointing the
architects of financial deregulation. Meaningful financial reform cannot be
adopted by officials appointed by Wall Street and who act on behalf of
Wall Street. Those who set the financial system
ablaze in 1999, have been called back to turn out the fire. The proposed "solution" to the crisis
under the "bailout" is the cause of further economic collapse. There are no policy solutions on the
horizon.
The banking conglomerates call the
shots. They decide on the composition of the Obama Cabinet. They also
decide on the agenda of the Washington Financial Summit (November 15,
2008) which is slated to lay the groundwork for the establishment of a
new "global financial architecture."
The Wall Street blueprint has already
been discussed behind closed doors: the hidden agenda is to establish a
unipolar international monetary system, dominated by US financial power,
which in turn would be protected and secured by US military
superiority.
Neoliberalism with a "Human Face"
There is no indication that Obama will
break his ties to his Wall Street sponsors, who largely funded his
election campaign.
Goldman Sachs, J. P. Morgan Chase, Citigroup, Bill Gates' Microsoft are
among his main campaign contributors. Warren Buffett, among the the world's richest individuals, not only
supported Barak Obama's election campaign, he is a member of his
transition team, which plays a key role deciding the composition of
Obama's cabinet.
Unless there is a major upheaval in the system of political appointments
to key positions, an alternative Obama economic agenda geared towards
poverty alleviation and employment creation is highly unlikely.
What we are witnessing is continuity.
Obama provides a "human face" to the status quo. This human face serves
to mislead Americans on the nature of the economic and political
process.
The neoliberal economic reforms remain intact.
The substance of these reforms including the "bailout" of America's
largest financial institutions ultimately destroys the real economy,
while spearheading entire areas of manufacturing and the services
economy into bankruptcy.
World has 100 days to fix crisis: EU leaders
Economic Times
(November 8, 2008) - European Union leaders backed a 100-day
deadline by which the world's leading economies should decide urgent
global finance reforms, French President Nicolas Sarkozy said on
Friday. Sarkozy, who chaired a special meeting of EU nations, said
the financial crisis and economic downturn required a quick deal on
an overhaul at a Nov 15 summit in Washington bringing together
leaders of the world's 20 largest industrialized nations and
emerging economies. "We are in an economic crisis. We have to take
this into account," Sarkozy said. "We have to react and we have no
time to lose." "I'm not going to take part in a summit where there
is just talk for talk's sake," Sarkozy told reporters after talks
between the heads of the EU's 27 nations.
The EU is calling for a second global summit next spring to flesh
out changes to the way the world economy is governed. They want to
see far more supervision of big financial companies and are urging
governments to jointly monitor them. They want to prevent a repeat
of the Wall Street excesses that caused havoc in markets worldwide,
and are bringing emerging economies China, India and Brazil on board
for talks on shaping a new world economic order.
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said the Washington talks should
be a "decisive moment for the world economy." A text agreed by EU
leaders says they want an early warning system that would watch for
financial bubbles and prevent "world imbalances'', such as the
swelling US trade deficit. They also suggest making the
International Monetary Fund the world's financial watchdog,
suggesting it be given more power to curb financial crises and give
more money to aid countries in trouble.
The Europeans also want to close loopholes that allow some financial
institutions to evade regulation, and ensure supervision for all
major financial players, including ratings agencies or funds
carrying high amounts of debt. The leaders in a declaration called
for greater transparency in markets that would no longer omit "vast
swathes of financial activity from auditable, certifiable accounts."
It also said "excessive risk-taking must be overhauled," a reference
to the sale of high-risk debt securities and executive pay that may
reward risk-taking.
EU leaders will call on the Nov 15 summit to agree immediately on
five principles: submit ratings agencies to more surveillance; align
accounting standards; close loopholes; set banking codes of conduct
to reduce excessive risk-taking; and ask the International Monetary
Fund to suggest ways of calming the turmoil. To date, European
governments alone have committed some 2 trillion euros ($2.6
trillion) in cash injections, bank deposit guarantees, interbank
loan coverage and partial or full nationalization to prop up
consumer and business confidence.
The damage done worldwide is fueling a search for a "new Bretton
Woods", a reference to the post-World War II conference that shaped
the international financial system. In Washington, there is little
desire in the waning days of the Bush administration for a major
overhaul of financial regulations. But the United States and
European nations are no longer the only players. China and Brazil
and India are jumping at the chance to join a major international
effort.
G-20 finance officials nations will meet this weekend in Sao Paulo,
Brazil, to prepare next week's summit. This may pave the way for
emerging economies to play a larger role in global finance talks.
France is suggesting bring them on board as members of the exclusive
world club of G-8 industrialized nations which regularly meets to
discuss the global economy. |
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Europe
unveils its vision for global financial reform
EU Observer
(November 7, 2008)
- EU leaders have agreed on a set of principles that should
guide future talks on the reform of the global financial
architecture, urging for more regulation and transparency in the
sector that has delivered the world's biggest economic crisis since
the Great Depression of the 1930s. "No financial institution, no
market segmentation and no jurisdiction must escape proportionate
and adequate regulation or at least oversight," states the document
adopted at an extraordinary summit on Friday (7 November).
The list of desired measures will be presented at the G20 summit of
industrialised and emerging economies on 15 November in Washington.
The measures includes a call for transparency of financial
transactions through revised accounting standards, an early warning
system to tackle risks and a central role for the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) "in a more efficient financial architecture."
"We don't want to move from the total lack of regulation to too much
regulation," said French President Nicolas Sarkozy whose country
currently holds the six-month presidency of the 27-strong Union.
He admitted that the three-hour debate with his EU counterparts was
"pretty intense" but it did amount to a "united message" that they
will send to other world powers next week.
"We will be defending a common position, a vision for restructuring
our financial system," said the French leader.
Both Sweden and Britain reportedly expressed some unease about too
much pro-regulation activism on France's part. German Chancellor
Angela Merkel said that the EU agreed there would be no place for
protectionism in the global talks next week.
The EU's scenario also included a chapter about the need to overhaul
pay policy for company executives. UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown
said that the issue of executive remuneration is "important and
should be linked to long-term performance," although he did not
endorse Belgian plans to limit executive pay-outs to a maximum of 12
months' salary.
"We are not for interventionism, we are for a good performance of
the markets, we are for a social economy of the markets," commented
European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso.
Great expectations
Mr Sarkozy said that he had spoken to both outgoing US President
George W Bush and his successor, Barack Obama, about next week's
meeting in Washington. The document endorsed by all EU leaders
states that within 100 days of the top-level global talks, measures
to implement the principles desired by Europe should be drawn up.
"It has to be a real historic meeting," said Mr Barroso.
The French leader argued that additional countries, such as Spain
and the Netherlands, should be invited to the G20 meeting, adding
that Paris, which as both a G7 member and current chair of the
six-month rotating EU presidency temporarily has two seats at such
meetings, will offer one of its two places to Madrid.
Meanwhile, Jean-Claude Juncker, Luxembourg's premier and finance
minister as well as president of the Eurogroup, said he requested on
Friday a single seat for the eurozone countries within the
international financial institutions, with non-euro countries
represented separately.
But he admitted that his idea was "too difficult for prime ministers
to cope with", yet maintained confidence that this would happen
eventually, as most of the EU countries, including the UK, will be
part of the eurozone in 10 years.
He said he was "not offended" for not having been invited to the G20
meeting on 15 November - a day he would instead spend "between his
bedsheets." Still, he criticised the fact that the EU has the
tendency to be "over-represented" in the financial institutions,
noting that the European Commission was not a G20 member, but will
still take part in the global talks.
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3 'Superbanks'
Now Dominate Industry
MSNBC
(November 6, 2008)
- The financial crisis that has been sweeping the globe has
reshaped nearly every corner of the economy, but no industry has
been altered more radically than banking. Several of the nation's
biggest banks have failed or been absorbed by healthier
institutions, leaving three giant "superbanks" with an unprecedented
concentration of market power: Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and
Wells Fargo. While that may be good news for emerging giants and the
failing companies they helped rescue, the new oligopoly raises
troubling questions about regulation and competition, analysts and
consumer advocates say.
"Bank fees are going up, up, up, and that’s the danger to consumers
as more of these banks consolidate,” says Sally Greenberg, executive
director of the National Consumer League. “It’s difficult for the
average person to get a bank account that doesn’t involve fees, and
if you get into financial distress you’re cooked, and you’ll be
‘fee-ed’ to death.” According to a recently released banking fee
study from Bankrate.com, ATM surcharges rose 11 percent this year to
an average of $1.97, and the fee for a bounced checks rose 2.5
percent to an average $28.95. "Consumers are going to be victims of
higher and more punitive fees,” Greenberg predicts.
Moreover, many analysts worry about how federal and state
authorities, who were unable to prevent the current financial
industry meltdown, will be able to monitor the new giant banks that
combine a wide range of operations from investment banking to
consumer lending. “Large institutions are impossible to manage
prudently, let alone regulate,” says Amar Bhide, a professor at the
Columbia Business School. In fact, existing federal banking laws say
that no bank can have more than 10 percent of the domestic deposit
market — a threshold recently surpassed by all three superbanks.
When asked whether the government would take any action, a Justice
Department official was noncommittal. “It’s always something we’ve
looked at and will continue to look at," said spokeswoman Gina
Talamona. "It’s something we’ve looked at as part of our general
antitrust review.”
The reason limits on market share were put in place were so banks
didn’t get so big they’d become monopolies that could risk the whole
economy, explains Atul Gupta, finance department chair for Bentley
University in Boston. But now the government appears to be pushing
banks in the direction of more consolidation. The Treasury is
pouring some $250 billion of taxpayer money into healthy financial
institutions, and some of that is being used by stronger banks to
snap up weaker rivals. “The government is convinced that allowing
any of these firms to fail would have catastrophic implications,”
says Gupta. “So the government is saying, ‘This bank is in trouble,
so I want this bank to buy that one.’ And everyone holds their noses
and hopes things work out.”
In the current environment, such rapid consolidation is a “no
brainer," says Gregory F. Udell, Chase Chair of Banking and Finance
at the Indiana University Kelley School of Business. The risk of
creating monopolies, he says, “is a lot less than the risk of having
a lot of zombie institutions out there.” He also points out that
consolidation in the banking sector, though recently at a fever
pitch, is nothing new. Indeed, the number of commercial banks and
savings & loans in the United States has fallen in the past 20 years
to 8,451 as of June, compared to 16,574 in 1988, according to FDIC
data.
Espen Eckbo, finance professor at Dartmouth’s Tuck School of
Business, believes economies of scale will only help the troubled
financial sector. He maintains the banking sector got into trouble
because of out-of-control risk taking — not because banks got too
big. His answer: “We need to educate the boards of these banks that
ultimately are supposed to be a stopgap for these things. They need
to have a bird’s-eye view of the organization and understand if the
left arm is taking on debt while the right arm is taking on debt.
They have to oversee that.” But some analysts are arguing that the
current wave of consolidation could be followed by a move to break
up the biggest banks.
Read full story...
In a recent
congressional hearing, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz
said the consolidation of the banking industry is "a very serious
problem." I think it’s part of a general failure to enforce antitrust
laws in the last few years. So one of the things I think is part of your
exit strategy is that we have to think about breaking up some of the big
banks.” Even American Banker, which covers the industry, predicts in a
story titled “Pressure Builds to Corral the Giant Firms” that “the
financial services companies considered ‘too big to fail’ may face a
political backlash next year.”
Another major issue will be how successfully these merged banks will be
able to integrate their operations, from staffing to technology. Even
in the best of circumstances where companies have months to plan for a
merger things can go awry, says Carol M. Beaumier, executive vice
president of global industry programs at Protiviti, a business
consulting and internal audit firm. “The level of due diligence and
planning doesn’t exist,” says Beaumier of the rapid consolidations that
have resulted from the financial meltdown. “We are creating a daunting
task for companies that have to carry out these mergers. It creates
uncertainty among employees (and) customers, and the government will be
looking over its shoulder.”
Good employees at some of these institutions may be lost in the shuffle
because, she says, “You don’t have time to prepare and identify those
key performers.” As they grow, the megabanks could end up shooting
themselves in the foot when it comes to service, says Standard & Poor’s
analyst Stuart Plesser. “When they get really big they may lose some
relationships in the end because there’s certainly some impersonal
banking going on when they get that big,” he says.
The National Consumer League’s Greenberg believes government should move
quickly to keep banking fees down for consumers, just as Congress capped
executive compensation as part of the bailout bill. “The system isn’t
working now, and all this consolidation means less competition,” she
says. “It is incumbent on regulators and Congress to step in and say,
‘Wait a second. You don’t get to impose exorbitant fees.'” “These banks
have to get away from a business plan that’s based on fines and
penalties, she adds, “and get back to providing consumers, farmers and
small businesses credit at a reasonable rate that serves both the lender
and the borrower.”
Until a new administration takes action, consumers and small businesses
can always vote with their feet and use a smaller, community bank. “Many
consumers (are) turning to local banks, saying, 'I’m much more
comfortable having my money with you,’” says Nancy Atkinson, senior
analyst with Aite Group, a research firm that covers the financial
services industry. “And small businesses say, 'I know my local banker,
and I trust that person.’”
Obama and EU
to reinvent global politics, pundit says
EU Observer
(November 6, 2008)
- The Obama administration will play a big role in
"reinventing" the international system, especially on the financial
side, in strong partnership with the EU, US foreign policy expert
David J. Rothkopf said on Wednesday.
A former trade offical in the Clinton administration and a
consultant on foreign affairs and emerging markets, Mr Rothkopf was
talking from Washington during a video-conference organized by the
Brussels branch of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace,
an international think-tank associated with the US State Department.
"President Obama will play a bigger role in re-inventing the
international system than any other president before in past
decades," Mr Rothkopf argued, with a number of organisations and
treaties badly needing an "update" or to be replaced altogether –
ranging from the stalled Doha round of trade talks known to the
non-proliferation treaty, as well as outdated bodies such as the G7
or the International Monetary Fund that don't include the emerging
economies such as China.
US-EU relations will "clearly" improve, with a second trip to Europe
probably taking place in the first months of his mandate, Mr
Rothkopf said. The tendency of the Democratic Party to be "more
comfortable" with multi-lateralism and listening to its European
partners will also contribute to improving relations, he said. But
there was also a "necessity" for this partnership to improve, Mr
Rothkopf argued. "We can't do things alone, we need partnerships and
burden sharing. I would expect a debate within NATO about a broader
role and sense of burden sharing," he said, mentioning Afghanistan
as an example where European help is needed. "Problems within Europe
are going to have an impact on this as much as US obligations are,
to the extent that the EU is divided on some of the big issues of
the time and on the nature of the common foreign policy and common
defence policy," Mr Rothkopf added.
New global financial regulator and IMF reform
Mr Rothkopf emphasised the need for a global financial regulator –
something the G20 meeting in Washington on 15 November is still
unlikely to agree upon, with the outgoing Bush administration
opposing this idea and the Obama team yet not in charge. But G20
leaders would probably agree to meet again in the first months of
2009, when both the creation of such a body, as well as the reform
of the IMF could take a more concrete shape.
He spoke of a "regulatory renaissance" and of of "fusion
capitalism", by which he means seeing European and Asian visions of
capitalism and how markets are to be regulated take greater
prominance on the international stage, and not just the so-called
Washington Consensus. Yet on the down side, Mr Rothkopf warned
against "blazing new trails on protectionism" that would isolate
economies and only aggravate problems.
In terms of what a global financial regulator would look like, Mr
Rothkopf mentioned the EU as an example of "creating super-national
structures," while also noting the problem of enforcement. "Getting
everybody in a room and agreeing on principles is easy – this is
what we are probably going to get on 15 November – but next year
we'll see whether we'll get institutions that have the ability to
enforce new global standards on the international financial markets.
That's going to be the challenge," he said.
Any financial agreement would also foresee a leadership role for the
US, in coalition with the EU and other countries, Mr Rothkopf
projected.
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Ron Paul Warns Of Great Shift Toward Global Government Under Obama
Infowars
(November 5, 2008)
- Texas Congressman and 2008 presidential candidate Ron Paul
has warned that the euphoria surrounding the election of Barack
Obama combined with the overwhelming fear of major international
crises could facilitate a cataclysmic shift toward a new world
order.
Appearing live on the Alex Jones show earlier today, the Congressman
spoke of a feeling of dread surrounding the change of guard both in
the White House and on Capitol Hill: "I do feel it but I don't think
it's brand new, I didn't wake up with it, I've had it for a while, I
don't think the election was a surprise, but the rhetoric is getting
pretty strong and they are getting very bold." he commented.
Speaking on the stage management of the election, and calling it a
"huge distraction" from real issues, the Congressman outlined how
both candidates were pre-positioned by the elite interests with the
knowledge that either would satisfactorily serve their agenda: "I
think McCain was obviously a back up candidate in case something
happened where Obama didn't win, they'd have been satisfied with
McCain, but they have been positioning Obama for a long long time."
"This started even before he announced he was running. Anybody who
would have gotten that much favorable coverage for so long, you know
that the plans are laid for him to be the individual that's going to
be taking care of the corporate elite." the Congressman continued.
Paul also warned that Democrats gains within the House and the
Senate make for a particularly worrying situation of absolute power,
similar to that held by the Republican party eight years ago. "Just
as a Republican Congress wouldn't say boo to a Republican Congress,
you know that the Democratic Congress is NEVER going to stand up."
"I think it is very dangerous and the first year is going to be the
most dangerous year." Paul stated. "Just think of Bush's first year,
he also had the 9/11 thing that he could use to scare everybody to
death. And Obama will use the financial crisis, which will get
worse, and there will be more military skirmishes around the world."
Paul asserted. The Congressman also warned that many Republican
representatives may go along with Obama just to win favor with the
electorate and be seen to follow popular opinion.
Commenting on the much touted "International crisis" that luminaries
such as Colin Powell, Joe Biden and Zbigniew Brzezinski have all
guaranteed will occur within weeks of Obama entering the White
House, the Congressman stated that he believes it may be a catalyst
for a shift toward world government: "I think it's going to be an
announcement of a new monetary order, and they'll probably make it
sound very limited, they're not going to say this is world
government, even though it is if you control the world's money and
you control the military, which they do indirectly." "A world
central bank, worldwide regulation and world control of the whole
system, of all the commodities and all the natural resources, what
else can you call it other than world government?"
"Obama wouldn't be there if he didn't toe the line, and when the
meeting starts on November 15th for the new monetary system, this
could be the beginning of the end of what's left of our national
sovereignty." Paul said, also warning that the global media are
already hailing Obama as the world's leader.
With Obama having previously announced that he will shift military
attention to Pakistan, the Congressman also warned that the
president elect will, thanks to the previous administration, have
the necessary precedent to escalate the war on terror: "It's the
philosophy of the Bush doctrine, which was that we have the right to
preemptively strike anybody and then he even expanded that recently
by saying we don't have to invade and conquer, but we have the right
to go in and bomb anybody without their permission, and that's why
we go into Pakistan and Syria, which are acts of war. So they have
the tools to do it and the sentiment and most Americans are
oblivious to what is happening."
Paul also suggested that any escalation could be facilitated by
false flag events such as Gulf of Tonkin style incidents. Urging
listeners not to lose faith in the campaign for liberty and the
quest to restore and the Republic, Ron Paul spoke of reason to look
ahead: "We have to look for sources of optimism... ultimately though
all that happens to us is a result of philosophy and beliefs and
convictions and that is where I think we have made some inroads. We
have drawn attention to the importance of monetary policy, the
importance of the central bank, the importance of how government
causes so much problems, it's just that we're in the minority." Paul
said.
"We have to continue to do what we are doing, you are in the
business of passing on and spreading information, that, to me, is
most crucial, getting more people engaged, more people understanding
what the issues are, nothing else is more important than that. Then
when you see an opportunity we have to turn this into political
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U.S. Treasury teaches 'Islamic Finance 101'
WorldNet Daily (November
5, 2008)
- The
Treasury Department has announced it will teach "Islamic
finance" to U.S. banking regulatory agencies, Congress and other
parts of the executive branch today in Washington, D.C. – but
critics say it is opening a door to American funding of Islamic
extremism.
'Islamic Finance 101'
According to its announcement,
the "Islamic Finance 101" forum is "designed to help inform the policy
community about Islamic financial services, which are an increasingly
important part of the global financial industry." The Treasury
Department has collaborated with
Harvard University's Islamic Finance Project to coordinate the
event. The department says it expects about 100 people will attend the
seminar. Some speakers include Assistant Secretary of the Treasury Neel
Kashkari, senior adviser to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, Jr.;
Harvard Business School professor Samuel Hayes; Mahmoud El-Gamal, chair
of Islamic economics, finance and management at Rice University and
Islamic finance adviser to the Treasury Department; Sarah Bell of the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Yusuf Talal DeLorenzo, Shariah adviser
and Islamic scholar; Michael McMillan, chair of the Islamic Legal Forum
at the American Bar Association and professor of Islamic finance; and
Rushdi Siddiqui, global director for the Dow Jones Islamic Market
Indexes and vigorous advocate for Islamic finance.
Islamic finance is a system of banking consistent with the principles of
Shariah, or Islamic law. It is becoming increasingly popular, having
reached $800 billion by mid-2007 and growing at more than 15 percent
each year. Wall Street now features an Islamic mutual fund and an
Islamic index. However, critics claim anti-American terrorists are often
financially supported through U.S. investments – creating a system by
which the nation funds its own enemy.
Aiding the enemy
In his essay, "Financial
Jihad: What Americans Need to Know," Vice President Christopher
Holton of the Center
for Security Policy writes, "America is losing the financial war on
terror because Wall Street is embracing a subversive enemy ideology on
one hand and providing corporate life support to state sponsors of
terrorism on the other hand."
Holton refers to Islamic finance, or "Shariah-Compliant
Finance" as a "modern-day Trojan horse" infiltrating the U.S. He said it
poses a threat to the U.S. because it seeks to legitimize Shariah – a
man-made medieval doctrine that regulates every aspect of life for
Muslims – and could ultimately change American life and laws.
Shariah-compliant finance is becoming a major
movement, because American banks and investors are seeking wealth from
oil profits in the Middle East. Some advocates claim Islamic finance is
socially responsible because it bans investors from funding companies
that sell or promote products such as alcohol, tobacco, pornography,
gambling and even pork.
However, Islamic financial institutions also require all industry
participants to adhere to tenets of Shariah law. According to Nasser
Suleiman's "Corporate Governance in Islamic Banking, "First and
foremost, an Islamic organization must serve God. It must develop a
distinctive corporate culture, the main purpose of which is to create a
collective morality and spirituality which, when combined with the
production of goods and services, sustains growth and the advancement of
the Islamic way of life." Three nations that rule 100 percent by Shariah
law – Iran, Saudi Arabia and Sudan – hold some of the most horrific
human rights records in the world, Holton said. "This strongly suggests
that Americans should strenuously resist anything associated with
Shariah."
Tenets of Shariah
In his essay, "Islamic
Finance or Financing Islamism," Alex Alexiev outlined the following
tenets of Shariah taken from "The Reliance of the Traveler: The Classic
Manual of Sacred Law":
A woman is eligible for only half of the
inheritance of a man
A virgin may be married against her will by her
father or grandfather
A woman may not leave the house without her
husband's permission
A Muslim man may marry four women, including
Christians and Jews; a Muslim woman can only marry a Muslim
Beating an insubordinate wife is permissible
Female sexual mutilation is obligatory
Adultery [or the perception of adultery] is
punished by death by stoning
Offensive, military jihad against non-Muslims is
a religious obligation
Apostasy from Islam is punishable by death
without trial
Lying to infidels in time of jihad is permissible
'Useful idiots'
Alexiev writes that many Islamic financial institutions claim Shariah-Compliant
Finance "derives its Islamic character from the strict observance of the
ostensible Quranic prohibition of lending at interest, the imperative of
almsgiving (zakat), avoidance of excessive uncertainty (gharar) and
certain practices and products considered unlawful (haram) to Muslims …"
However, he said, "[E]ven a casual examination of the reality of Islamic
finance today reveals it to be a bogus concept practiced by deceptive
ploys and disingenuous means by practitioners that are or should be
aware of that, but remain predictably silent."
Shariah finance institutions that have funded militant
Islamism for more than 30 years. Alexiev cites Islamic Development
Bank's hundreds of millions of dollars in contributions to Hamas in
support of suicide bombing. Bank Al-Taqwa and other banks and charities
run by Saudi billionaires have funded al-Qaida activities.
Additionally, Shariah law mandates that Muslims donate
2.5 percent of their annual incomes to charities – including jihadists.
When 400 banks regularly contribute to such charities, potential
financial sums can be virtually limitless.
If Western banks endorse Shariah, they will "end up
becoming what Lenin called useful idiots or worse to the Islamists,"
Alexiev writes. "And it is a very thin line between that and outright
complicity in the Islamist agenda."
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Dems Target Private Retirement Accounts
Carolina Journal Online (November 4, 2008)
- Democrats in
the U.S. House have been conducting hearings on proposals to
confiscate workers’ personal retirement accounts — including 401(k)s
and IRAs — and convert them to accounts managed by the Social
Security Administration. Triggered by the financial crisis the past
two months, the hearings reportedly were meant to stem losses
incurred by many workers and retirees whose 401(k) and IRA balances
have been shrinking rapidly.
The testimony of Teresa Ghilarducci, professor of economic policy
analysis at the New School for Social Research in New York, in
hearings Oct. 7 drew the most attention and criticism. Testifying
for the House Committee on Education and Labor, Ghilarducci proposed
that the government eliminate tax breaks for 401(k) and similar
retirement accounts, such as IRAs, and confiscate workers’
retirement plan accounts and convert them to universal Guaranteed
Retirement Accounts (GRAs) managed by the Social Security
Administration.
Rep. George Miller, D-Calif., chairman of the House Committee on
Education and Labor, in prepared remarks for the hearing on “The
Impact of the Financial Crisis on Workers’ Retirement Security,”
blamed Wall Street for the financial crisis and said his committee
will “strengthen and protect Americans’ 401(k)s, pensions, and other
retirement plans” and the “Democratic Congress will continue to
conduct this much-needed oversight on behalf of the American
people.”
Currently, 401(k) plans allow Americans to invest pretax money and
their employers match up to a defined percentage, which not only
increases workers’ retirement savings but also reduces their annual
income tax. The balances are fully inheritable, subject to income
tax, meaning workers pass on their wealth to their heirs, unlike
Social Security. Even when they leave an employer and go to one that
doesn’t offer a 401(k) or pension, workers can transfer their
balances to a qualified IRA.
Mandating Equality
Ghilarducci’s plan first appeared in a paper for the Economic Policy
Institute: Agenda for Shared Prosperity on Nov. 20, 2007, in which
she said GRAs will rescue the flawed American retirement income
system (www.sharedprosperity.org/bp204/bp204.pdf).
The current retirement system, Ghilarducci said, “exacerbates income
and wealth inequalities” because tax breaks for voluntary retirement
accounts are “skewed to the wealthy because it is easier for them to
save, and because they receive bigger tax breaks when they do.”
Lauding GRAs as a way to effectively increase retirement savings,
Ghilarducci wrote that savings incentives are unequal for rich and
poor families because tax deferrals “provide a much larger ‘carrot’
to wealthy families than to middle-class families — and none
whatsoever for families too poor to owe taxes.”
GRAs would guarantee a fixed 3 percent annual rate of return,
although later in her article Ghilarducci explained that
participants would not “earn a 3% real return in perpetuity.” In
place of tax breaks workers now receive for contributions and thus a
lower tax rate, workers would receive $600 annually from the
government, inflation-adjusted. For low-income workers whose annual
contributions are less than $600, the government would deposit
whatever amount it would take to equal the minimum $600 for all
participants.
In a radio interview with Kirby Wilbur in Seattle on Oct. 27, 2008,
Ghilarducci explained that her proposal doesn’t eliminate the tax
breaks, rather, “I’m just rearranging the tax breaks that are
available now for 401(k)s and spreading — spreading the wealth.”
All workers would have 5 percent of their annual pay deducted from
their paychecks and deposited to the GRA. They would still be paying
Social Security and Medicare taxes, as would the employers. The GRA
contribution would be shared equally by the worker and the employee.
Employers no longer would be able to write off their contributions.
Any capital gains would be taxable year-on-year.
Analysts point to another disturbing part of the plan. With a GRA,
workers could bequeath only half of their account balances to their
heirs, unlike full balances from existing 401(k) and IRA accounts.
For workers who die after retiring, they could bequeath just their
own contributions plus the interest but minus any benefits received
and minus the employer contributions.
Another justification for Ghilarducci’s plan is to eliminate
investment risk. In her testimony, Ghilarducci said, “humans often
lack the foresight, discipline, and investing skills required to
sustain a savings plan.” She cited the 2004 HSBC global survey on
the Future of Retirement, in which she claimed that “a third of
Americans wanted the government to force them to save more for
retirement.”
What the survey actually reported was that 33 percent of Americans
wanted the government to “enforce additional private savings,” a
vastly different meaning than mandatory government-run savings. Of
the four potential sources of retirement support, which were
government, employer, family, and self, the majority of Americans
said “self” was the most important contributor, followed by
“government.” When broken out by family income, low-income U.S.
households said the “government” was the most important retirement
support, whereas high-income families ranked “government” last and
“self” first (www.hsbc.com/retirement).
On Oct. 22, The Wall Street Journal reported that the
Argentinean government had seized all private pension and retirement
accounts to fund government programs and to address a ballooning
deficit. Fearing an economic collapse, foreign investors quickly
pulled out, forcing the Argentinean stock market to shut down
several times. More than 10 years ago, nationalization of private
savings sent Argentina’s economy into a long-term downward spiral.
Income and Wealth Redistribution
The majority of witness testimony during recent hearings before the
House Committee on Education and Labor showed that congressional
Democrats intend to address income and wealth inequality through
redistribution.
On July 31, 2008, Robert Greenstein, executive director of the
Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, testified before the
subcommittee on workforce protections that “from the standpoint of
equal treatment of people with different incomes, there is a
fundamental flaw” in tax code incentives because they are “provided
in the form of deductions, exemptions, and exclusions rather than in
the form of refundable tax credits.”
Even people who don’t pay taxes should get money from the
government, paid for by higher-income Americans, he said. “There is
no obvious reason why lower-income taxpayers or people who do not
file income taxes should get smaller incentives (or no tax
incentives at all),” Greenstein said.
“Moving to refundable tax credits for promoting socially worthwhile
activities would be an important step toward enhancing progressivity
in the tax code in a way that would improve economic efficiency and
performance at the same time,” Greenstein said, and “reducing
barriers to labor organizing, preserving the real value of the
minimum wage, and the other workforce security concerns . . . would
contribute to an economy with less glaring and sharply widening
inequality.”
When asked whether committee members seriously were considering
Ghilarducci’s proposal for GSAs, Aaron Albright, press secretary for
the Committee on Education and Labor, said Miller and other members
were listening to all ideas.
Miller’s biggest priority has been on legislation aimed at greater
transparency in 401(k)s and other retirement plan administration,
specifically regarding fees, Albright said, and he sent a link to a
Fox News interview of Miller on Oct. 24, 2008, to show that the
congressman had not made a decision.
After repeated questions asked by Neil Cavuto of Fox News, Miller
said he would not be in favor of “killing the 401(k)” or of “killing
the tax advantages for 401(k)s.”
Arguing against liberal prescriptions, William Beach, director of
the Center for Data Analysis at the Heritage Foundation, testified
on Oct. 24 that the “roots of the current crisis are firmly planted
in public policy mistakes” by the Federal Reserve and Congress. He
cautioned Congress against raising taxes, increasing burdensome
regulations, or withdrawing from international product or capital
markets. “Congress can ill afford to repeat the awesome errors of
its predecessor in the early days of the Great Depression,” Beach
said.
Instead, Beach said, Congress could best address the financial
crisis by making the tax reductions of 2001 and 2003 permanent,
stopping dependence on demand-side stimulus, lowering the corporate
profits tax, and reducing or eliminating taxes on capital gains and
dividends.
Testifying before the same committee in early October, Jerry
Bramlett, president and CEO of BenefitStreet, Inc., an independent
401(k) plan administrator, said one of the best ways to ensure
retirement security would be to have the U.S. Department of Labor
develop educational materials for workers so they could make better
investment decisions, not exchange equity investments in retirement
accounts for Treasury bills, as proposed in the GSAs.
Should Sen. Barack Obama win the presidency, congressional Democrats
might have stronger support for their “spreading the wealth” agenda.
On Oct. 27, the American Thinker posted a video of an interview with
Obama on public radio station WBEZ-FM from 2001.
In the interview, Obama said, “The Supreme Court never ventured into
the issues of redistribution of wealth, and of more basic issues
such as political and economic justice in society.” The Constitution
says only what “the states can’t do to you. Says what the Federal
government can’t do to you,” and Obama added that the Warren Court
wasn’t that radical.
Although in 2001 Obama said he was not “optimistic about bringing
major redistributive change through the courts,” as president, he
would likely have the opportunity to appoint one or more Supreme
Court justices.
“The real tragedy of the civil rights movement was, um, because the
civil rights movement became so court focused that I think there was
a tendency to lose track of the political and community organizing
and activities on the ground that are able to put together the
actual coalition of powers through which you bring about
redistributive change,” Obama said. | NewWorldOrder|
America|
Economic Crisis
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Rebbetzin Esther Jungreis: Prepare for the Coming of Messiah
Israel National News (October 27, 2008)
- Internationally renowned Jewish inspirational speaker
Rebbetzin Esther Jungreis warns that we are feeling the "birth pangs
of the Mashiach," with limited time to save ourselves from dark
prophecies surrounding his arrival.
In an exclusive interview on Israel National Radio's popular new
show
Mah Nishma with host Gavriel Sanders, Rebbetzin Jungreis, who is
the founder of the successful 'Hineni'
Jewish outreach organization and author of many books including the
recently published 'Life is a Test: How to Handle Life's Challenges
Successfully', addressed the fear that people feel as turbulent
global events begin to make their mark on Jews and their allies
around the world.
The birthpangs of the Messiah
"Anyone who has been just looking around and has his or her eyes
open must be frightened. Things are happening that just don't make
sense. Overnight, our cherished institutions, our icons, have
collapsed. We don't understand it. People blame this one and that
one. It's not just in the United States, it's all over the world,
and we have so many natural disasters, and so much illness. What is
happening?"
Rebbetzin Jungreis says G-d is bringing the
world closer to redemption in a process called "chevlei Mashiach" –
the labor pains of the arrival of the Messiah. "Now labor pains, you
know, could be very, very painful…as the birth becomes more
imminent, the pain becomes more intense, to the point where the
mother can not bear it anymore, and just when she thinks she can not
bear it, it's 'Mazal Tov!', and the baby is born."
'The generation of the dog'
Based on the writings of ancient
Jewish sages, Jungreis concludes that this generation is replete
with the signs that are prophesied to hail the coming of the
Messiah, including endemic impudence, followership, idol worship,
disasters, and war. "All our [sages] agree…they do not want to be
present for the chevlei Mashiach, the birth pangs, because the birth
pangs are going to be very painful… It's going to be a generation
that will abound in chutzpah [audacity]. Chutzpah will be colossal.
Families will be fragmented. Children will turn against parents,
parents against children. The elderly will not be respected. Youth
will be worshipped.
"… The generation will be like the generation of the dog. What does
that mean? The dog runs ahead but always looks back to see if the
master is behind him. Similarly, people don't have their own
opinions today. What is the media saying? The media is controlling
the world…"
According to Rebbetzin Jungreis, the greatest idol worship of this
generation is money, an obsession which causes the Western world to
ignore the lurking danger posed by Islamist terror against Israel
and the United States. "We have been very blessed, perhaps there was
never in history such a wealthy Jewish generation as ours was. But
there was no Hakaras HaTov, no credit to Hashem. "My strength did
all this". We became arrogant, we became chutzpahdik, we forgot
Hashem… Imach shemam [their names be obliterated], the sons of
Ishmael, every minute it's "Allah". The sons of Esav, "the Lord,"
every minute. Their leadership is always speaking the name of G-d.
Am Yisrael … they heard the word of Hashem panim el panim, face to
face - has forgotten its G-d."
The propensity of the world to worship money is so great, says
Rebbetzin Jungreis, that the murder of six million Jews during the
Holocaust, Iran's effort to attain a nuclear weapon, and the rise of
fascist and anti-Western powers can be attributed to it. "[Following
the US stock market crash in 1929] America was so absorbed, Hitler
had the playground of the world at his disposal, and no one stopped
him," she says. "Too late did America and the world wake up. Early
thirties – no one intervened with Hitler. They were all absorbed in
a financial crisis.
"Fast forward. We have a financial crisis now. Ahmadinejad has the
entire world at his disposal, came to New York, made the most toxic,
poisonous accusations… if you had made those accusations against
Muslims they would have burned down New York City, everyone would
have been apologizing. Jews? No problem. He says it, and nobody even
looks up, no one looks up. And in addition to him, all the rogue
nations, all the demagogues, all the new Hitlers got into the act.
Russia woke up again, back to its old tricks, making treaties with
Chavez of Venezuela, right here in our own hemisphere. And of
course, there is always North Korea. And America is worried about
the stock market."
Ahmadinejad, Islamist terror - all
part of prophecy
Islamist terror, says Rebbetzin
Jungreis, is also predicted in the 9th century (Gregorian calendar)
Jewish work, ' Pirkei d'Rabbi Eliezer,' which prophesied that before
the coming of Messiah in the end of days, Ishmael – who is described
as a brutal, wild man – will rule the world. Rebbetzin Jungreis
attributes Arab terror in Israel, the Islamization of Europe, and
the welcoming of Iranian President and vocal anti-Zionist Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad in New York to the ancient prophetic writing.
"Ahmadinejad comes to New York, and he has the audacity, the
chutzpah to proclaim … in public, at the UN, that it's Zionist Jews
who are responsible for the financial crisis in the world, that they
are manipulating the world, they're controlling the world… And guess
what: The entire world is silent, no outcry, no outrage, no one says
anything, and he – just for good measure – he adds that Israel is
this cesspool that has to be destroyed, annihilated. No outcry, not
a word."
Ahmadinejad himself has a role in the unfolding arrival of the
Messiah, says Jungreis, and was also predicted to wield lethal power
during the end of days. "You know it says in Yalkut Shimoni that
right before Mashiach will come, during Chevlei Mashiach, the king
of Persia, now what is Persia? Persia is today's Iran. The king of
Persia is going to have a weapon that is going to terrorize the
entire world."
'Hashem is hiding'
The current low spiritual state of
the Jewish People has caused G-d to hide His face from them, says
Rebbetzin Jungreis, who says this concealment is meant to provoke
the Jewish People to search for Him.
"In parshas Vayelech… Hashem tells Moshe Rabbeinu that in the
future, there will come a generation who will forget Hashem, and
terrible sufferings will come upon them. And finally they will say
'you know why this is happening? Ein Eloka, G-d is not with us. G-d
is not in our midst.' And then it says … " I will continue to hide
My face." Dichotomous. If we admit that G-d is not with us, then why
is G-d hiding? … That puts the onus of responsibility upon G-d –
it's Your fault. You are not with us. We have to say 'We are not
with Hashem! We are not with our Torah! We are not with our Mitzvot!
We are responsible."'
Rebbetzin Jungreis says G-d's concealment is a crucial element in
developing the proper relationship with Him, with the key to
understanding it being found in the biblical story of Adam and Chava
[Eve].
"What was the first sin of Adam and Chava?. We say that we ate from
a fruit that was forbidden? No! Hashem was ready to negotiate that.
The first sin was scapegoating!. 'The woman who You gave to be with
me, it's her fault, she made me do it.' Not only was Adam
scapegoating, he was an ingrate. And Chava, what did she say? 'It
was the serpent.' And that's when Hashem said 'That's it. That's it.
Out! Gan Eden is over.' And that is what we are doing. But listen to
the chesed [kindness] Hashem said. 'I will hide My face.'
"When a mother goes with her toddler to the supermarket, let's say,
and the toddler has a temper tantrum, and he doesn't want to go out
unless he gets candy, what does the mother do? She says 'Okay, I'm
leaving, you will have to stay here by yourself," and she goes away.
Is she really going away? Of course not. She is keeping an eye on
her baby, but she pretends to go away so the child should seek her
out and run after her. So Hashem says 'I'm hiding' but if you're
hiding, you want somebody to find you. There's a beautiful mashal
[parable] from a Rebbe who was walking on the street and he sees a
little boy crying, and he says 'why are you crying my little child?'
'I'm crying because I'm playing hide-and-seek and nobody's looking
for me.'… Hashem is hiding, but He wants us to find Him. And we are
not looking for Him, so what are we doing? Whose fault was it?" For
part two of the article, click
here.
|Iran
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Israel
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Islam
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Gog/Magog
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America|
Economic Crisis
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Solana’s speech to Institute for Security Studies
Consilium Europa
(October 30, 2008) - Dear friends, Let
me start our "tour d'horizon" with the financial crisis. It has been the
emblematic event of 2008, putting all else into the background. It is
worth analysing, especially for its consequences for foreign policy.
Allow me to make some observations:
First, the diagnosis. This crisis has confirmed that
globalisation remains the dominant force shaping our world. This really
is a global crisis. It has spread at incredible speed. Functionally,
from sub-prime mortgages to credit markets to the real economy. And
geographically from the US to Europe to emerging markets. Not everyone
is affected equally; but no one is immune.
In its wake, the balance between markets, states and individuals will
have to be adjusted. But globalisation itself - that is the global
spread of goods, people, ideas and technology - will not stop. The
crisis has highlighted globalisation's central dilemma. Today's big
problems are global in nature. But the main resources and legitimacy are
located at the national level. In a way, European integration is an
attempt to resolve this core dilemma.
Regarding, the policy response, the crisis has
demonstrated - once more - the need for stronger global institutions.
With goodwill and creativity a lot can and has been achieved. Through
ad-hoc crisis management among political leaders, central bankers and
others. But if we are honest we must admit that the existing
architecture is not up to the task - neither in Europe, nor globally.
I have been convinced, for some time, and I have underlined that in
different fora, that the current international system is inadequate. Now
the case for deep reform has become overwhelming. This must start with
the international financial institutions. But we need to go further.
From the UN and the G8 to the regimes and institutions dealing with the
big issues of our time: nonproliferation, energy and climate change,
migration. Hopefully, the obvious need to deepen cooperation in the area
of finance will act as a catalyst for these necessary wider reforms.
In any case, this effort cannot be handed by the US plus Europe alone.
Even the talk of us "leading" is misleading. Apart from changing
formats, the mindset needs changing too. We better not see this as the
Western powers inviting the others for coffee after our discussions. We
need all relevant players "present at the creation" of the new system,
to use Acheson's famous phrase. And we need to be ready to engage them
seriously.
Read the full story...
What about the consequences?
The core answer is that the crisis is accelerating the power shift from
the West to the East. This is true
both in terms of material resources and ideological "pull".
The bad debts are in the West, the surpluses in the East - even if the
pain is everywhere. It is striking
that a number of capital injections into our troubled banks are coming
from Asia and the Gulf.
The rise of key countries in Asia or Latin America used to be a subject
for brainstormings and midterm planning. This crisis has reduced the
lead-time. The West needs the rising powers - and hence to get used to
sharing power with them.
There is more. Too often we discuss these issues in terms of integrating
the new powers into the global system we devised. But we better prepare
for the new powers having their own ideas on how the system must be run
and reformed.
Let me also say briefly what the crisis does not mean:
It does not mean that the "old" agenda has gone away.
Take climate change. It remains the biggest global challenge we face.
But rather than seeing this as a potential victim of the crisis, I
prefer to underline the upside. Investing in green technologies,
becoming a leader on carbon capture makes sense. In terms of climate
change, energy policy, antipoverty, inflation - but also our foreign
policy.
We need to change our mental map. And consider this more as an
opportunity to put our economies on a low carbon footing and less as
unfair costs. Other mega-issues which have not gone away and which
demand creative and determined efforts are non-proliferation and
international terrorism. Moreover, enduring poverty remains an affront
to our shared humanity.
Let us not forget that 3 billion people, half the world's population,
live on less than €2 per day. That means waking up every day and not
knowing whether you will have enough food to feed your family. Roughly
the same number of people lack access to clean water and basic
sanitation.
As ever, the most vulnerable will be hit hardest by both climate change
and the fallout of the financial crisis. It would therefore be wrong to
delay or reduce our efforts to combat poverty just because the financial
crisis has erupted. The other part of the "old agenda", the regional
crises, is also still there. The Middle East, Iran, the Balkans and
Georgia: all remain urgent.
At another level, not all the consequences of the crisis are bad. For
example, oil is down from $ 145 to below $ 70. This is good because it
helps curb inflation. But it also underlines that a strategy of using
oil as a weapon has a fragile foundation. More generally, the crisis may
promote more discipline and responsibility for individuals, companies
and countries, forcing them to live within their means.
Let me break down this macro picture into more detailed snapshots:
Concerning the United States, we are on the eve of crucial
elections. Europeans and Americans alike, seem keen to begin a new
chapter
I have been and remain a firm believer in the power of the US and Europe
to act as a force for good around the world.
What we need to do now is formulate an agenda for action. Of course the
financial crisis means there are important constraints on any new
administration. Managing expectations will be key. But the imperative
for tackling urgent challenges is clear.
Beginning with Israel-Palestine. The parameters of an agreement are
clear - and have been for some time. It is urgent to, finally, bring
this conflict to an end, through persistent engagement.
Then there is Afghanistan, with elections looming and big dilemmas
facing us on the effectiveness of our efforts and how we can maintain
public support.
Together with the US, we need to work out what our strategy is. How can
we best support the two governments, in Afghanistan and Pakistan,
achieve the levels of effectiveness, legitimacy and crossborder
co-operation they need? As a second step we should work out as Europeans
what additional resources we might be able to provide.
Iran is not far behind, where the case for a determined and more
creative effort, building on the twotrack approach, is compelling.
A new push on non-proliferation and disarmament is also needed, with the
NPT review conference coming up in 2010. I very much welcome the new
thinking that has emerged in the US on these issues.
In all of this, the US and Europe need to pull in the same direction. At
the same time we must realise that doing so is no longer enough.
From Sudan to Lebanon, from Afghanistan to Zimbabwe and beyond: we have
long agreed with the US what must happen.
What we have learned is that we need to bring other players, with their
own positions, with us and define solutions together. From China to
Russia, from the African Union to Arab League, from the UN to the OSCE.
Still, politically, these elections present a unique opportunity to
re-launch the Transatlantic relationship. Europeans tend to discuss this
in terms of what we would like to see changed. That is understandable.
But we must be willing to match "demands" with "supplies".
Thus, the emphasis should be on how Europe can help achieve common
objectives. That we are ready to assume greater responsibilities. That
we bring assets to the table. If Europe wants to be heard, it has to
offer more than just advice.
* * *
Let me now turn to Russia. It is clear we have had a
difficult summer. The conflict in Georgia brought us images of violence,
destruction and refugees we hoped we would no longer witness in Europe.
I believe we can say with a straight face that the EU rose to the
occasion. In particular I want to recall the work done by the French
Presidency, specially President Sarkozy.
From the negotiations on a ceasefire, to the agreement on troop
withdrawals, to the deployment of our monitoring mission in record time
and the co-hosting of the Geneva talks. We have acted in unity, with
determination and we have achieved clear results.
Of course, many things remain to be done. Of course, the wider regional
implications still need to be addressed. But I am pleased with the
leadership that the European Union has shown, on the diplomatic front
and with people on the ground.
Concerning Russia itself, I don't want to offer a Grand Theory. My job
today is to deal with the diplomacy of a complicated world. What I have
learned is that being aware of context and history is useful.
We think, for good reasons, that the liberation and integration of
Central and Eastern Europe was exactly that. Liberation and integration.
These are the basis for a stable Europe. The Russian memories of that
period are different. They feel we took advantage of their weakness in
the 1990s. They now talk of re-asserting themselves; of the need of the
world to show respect. Trying to understand the mindset is not the same
as agreeing with it.
Russia has changed. But so has the world around it. As I said before,
globalisation will remain dominant trend, throwing up multiple new
problems. You all know the list. We will solve these problems better if
Russia is inside the system and feels committed to it. There are few
international problems that can be solved without Russia; and almost
nothing against Russia. At the same time, Russia needs the rest of the
world to modernise its economy. That is President Medvedev´s agenda.
This need for international cooperation gives us an opening. In today's
world where so much rests on trust and reputations, it is not a good
sign if you have bad relations with many of your neighbours. I believe
our policy on Russia should be both principled and rational. Principled
means we expect international agreements to be honoured. We count on
Russia to uphold international standards and the commitments it has made
voluntarily, also inside. Rational means we should control our rhetoric
- also when they don't. We should bear in mind that indignation is not a
policy.
Negotiating with Russia is not always easy. But experience demonstrates
that hard-headed engagement delivers results. And getting results in
turn helps maintaining unity.
With Russia we also share a continent. That is why we have no interest
in a Russia which feels insecure. In Western Europe we learned, the hard
way, that security is best based on trust rather than power. Trust is
built up over time.
Of course, the Georgia conflict is a big set back. It has strengthened
the fears of Russia's neighbours. But at some point we have to start
again. One obvious place to re-start would be the arms control and
disarmament agenda. I regret it has been neglected.
In Europe we want to see the CFE Treaty functioning properly. There is
also a real need to step up joint work on securing nuclear materials.
Another possibility, perhaps for a later stage, is Medvedev's plan for a
European Security Treaty. The fact that this is still vague is an
advantage: it means that there is something to shape.
A last word on energy. The central notion here is interdependence. Yes
the European Union imports 42 percent of its gas from Russia, but all
the infrastructure runs West. The concern is not that Russia will cut
supplies. That would cut their revenues and destroy their reputation. It
is rather that they are investing heavily in gaining leverage including
downstream and not enough in future production. Gazprom production fell
this year for the first time. As everyone knows, there is a lot we can
do on energy savings, connecting our grids and pooling our efforts when
we negotiate with suppliers. This does require more discipline on our
side.
And Yes, diversification of supply and transit routes also makes sense.
This is not easy but it is about time we got serious. To this end, we
need to step up our engagement with Azerbaijan and Central Asia,
underlining that what Europe has to offer is broader and deeper than
just energy.
***
Let me turn to China. No matter how often it is repeated
these days, China's transformation is historic. It will truly change our
world. And it is all the more impressive as it's only 30 years since the
end of the Cultural Revolution. Our mental map still has China as a
developing and mainly rural economy. But today China has as many workers
in the industrial sector as the entire OECD world put together.
China's is export performance is legendary - and increasingly
competitive in high-tech markets. It is attracting record investments
but also investing abroad itself, moving up the value chain. It is true
that China is better at assembling than innovating. But according to a
recent study, it is fast approaching the US and Europe in terms of
scientific publications in nano-technologies.
And we all know that China has reserves of more than $1.8 trillion - not
insignificant if others are mired in deficits and debts.
Clearly, China's transformation is far from complete. Around 500 million
farmers still work on tiny plots in deep poverty. The economy needs to
grow by more than 8% to avoid a rise in unemployment which could
threaten social stability.
Nor is its transformation without its problems. Think of the
environmental damage, the costs of social exclusion and the absence of
political freedoms. It is difficult to have a first rate economy based
on a weak system of the rule of law. But what China has achieved is
extraordinary: 400 million people lifted out of poverty in just one
decade.
From my side, two things are important.
First, that we approach China not only, or even mainly, as an economic
issue. We should use a wider prism and engage China in a strategic
manner. Progress on all the big issues of our time requires constructive
Chinese engagement, also in the field of human rights.
Second, it is wise to remember that how countries behave when they are
on top depends on the manner in which they have been approached on the
way there.
Let me touch briefly on India. In terms of foreign policy, India
is the biggest "swing" state in the system. It is phasing out its G77
mindset but has not yet replaced this with a clear alternative. It is a
very robust democracy which we should engage. But questions remain over
its stance on climate change. More than China, it seems content to
describe this essentially as a problem created by others. Hence, it is
perhaps too cautious about the notion of common but differentiated
responsibility which other developing countries support.
* * *
Dear friends, Let me turn to the state of Europe. First, let
us count our blessings. Without the euro, the financial crisis would
have created chaos on currency markets. Second, let us be clear: Europe
has responded well to both the financial crisis and the political crisis
of Georgia. We can draw inspiration from these achievements. But
clearly, there is a lot more to do.
I like to end with some thoughts on how we should play our cards in a
more complex and less "Western" world:
If this world is moving to a system of continents, the answer from
Europe should be obvious. We need a greater sense of urgency and realise
that a credible European Union foreign policy is not an optional extra.
I know very well the difficulties this entails. But if we continue
pretty much as we are, what world will be living in? There is a risk
that this will be a world shaped by and for others.
One area where Europe can and must take more initiatives is in
developing new rules and institutions for a more complex and unstable
world. If we don't stand up for multilateralism, who will? For us,
multilateralism is "less than a religion" but more than "just a method".
If so, then it's up to Europe to be creative in terms of ideas and
generous in terms of making space at the reformed institutions we need.
If this is a world of turbulence and opposites then we need more
targeted, bespoke solutions, not "off the shelf" strategies. In some
respects, Europe's niche and added value is the very fact that it has a
feel for complexity. One of the things that Europe can do is get beyond
totalising theories like the war on terror and get into the differences
between China and Russia, between Hamas and Hezbollah, between Iran and
Syria.
Above all, we should try harder to shape the agenda, not only react. It
is true that almost no international issue or problem is discussed these
days without the EU present. But being present is not the same as
shaping the agenda. We still spend too much time on who in Europe will
say something instead of what we will do. Process is not the same as
progress.
We need to think more in terms of where we want to be in 6 or 12 months
time; what levers we have and what price are we prepared to pay. To
achieve this kind of step-change in our foreign policy, it is obvious
that we need the Lisbon Treaty. We need it for the greater coherence and
leadership it will provide. There is simply no way around it.
Sharia banking 'strengthening'
Gulf Daily News
(October 26, 2008) - The global
financial crisis is an opportunity for Sharia-compliant Islamic banking
to further its position internationally, bankers said at a forum in
Saudi Arabia yesterday. Islamic banks have been barely bruised by the
global credit crisis so far, although falling property and commodity
prices and slowing economies are starting to affect the sector. But
bankers at the forum, on how the world finance crisis could affect
Islamic banking, saw the sector strengthening. "It is a must for Islamic
finance to seize the opportunity that came with this global financial
crisis," Jeddah-based Islamic Development Bank's (IDB) president Ahmad
Ali said at the discussion organised by IDB. "Global investment banks
should be set up that realise the Islamic economy and offer the world a
new vision and different way to manage assets, invest wealth and create
products."
Islamic financing deals are backed by assets, commonly real estate and
commodities, due to the Sharia requirement that transactions must
involve real economic activity. There are more than 300 Islamic
financial institutions worldwide and the sector is valued at about $1
trillion, just a fraction of the conventional global banking industry.
The growth of Sharia banking has been fuelled by an increasing focus on
Islamic values and cash from Middle East oil exporters hungry for assets
that comply with Islamic principles. The falling oil price could affect
that.
Saudi entrepreneur Saleh Kamel, who heads the General Council of Islamic
Banks, said the global crisis suggested Islam was the "third way" after
the failure of great ideologies. "Perhaps through this crisis, that is a
great evil for the world, God will lead us to the school of moderation,"
he said. "Communism has failed and capitalism failed, and only now are
they starting to admit this failure," he said.
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Uses for $700B Bailout Money Keep Changing
Fox News
(October 26, 2008) - First, the $700
billion rescue for the economy was about buying devalued mortgage-backed
securities from tottering banks to unclog frozen credit markets. Then it
was about using $250 billion of it to buy stakes in banks. The idea was
that banks would use the money to start making loans again.
But reports surfaced that bankers might instead use the money to buy
other banks, pay dividends, give employees a raise and executives a
bonus, or just sit on it. Insurance companies now want a piece; maybe
automakers, too, even though Congress has approved $25 billion in
low-interest loans for them. Three weeks after becoming law, and with
the first dollar of the $700 billion yet to go out, officials are just
beginning to talk about helping a few strapped homeowners keep the
foreclosure wolf from the door.
As the crisis worsens, the government's reaction keeps changing.
Lawmakers in both parties are starting to gripe that the bailout is
turning out to be far different from what the Bush administration sold
to Congress. In buying equity stakes in banks, the Treasury has
"deviated significantly from its original course," says Alabama Sen.
Richard Shelby, the top Republican on the Senate Banking, Housing and
Urban Affairs Committee. "We need to examine closely the reason for this
change," said Shelby, who opposed the bailout.
The centerpiece of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act is the
"troubled asset relief program," or TARP for short. Critics note that
tarps are used to cover things up. The money was to be devoted to buying
"toxic" mortgage-backed securities whose value has fallen in lockstep
with home prices. But once European governments said they were going
into the banking business, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson followed
suit and diverted $250 billion to buy stock in healthy banks to spur
lending. Bank executives hinted they might instead use it for
acquisitions. Sen. Christopher Dodd, chairman of the Senate banking
committee, said this development was "beyond troubling."
Sure enough, a day after Dodd, D-Conn., made the comment, the government
confirmed that PNC Financial Services Group Inc. was approved to receive
$7.7 billion in return for company stock. At the same time, PNC said it
was acquiring National City Corp. for $5.58 billion. "Although there
will be some consolidation, that's not the driver behind this program,"
Paulson recently told PBS talk show host Charlie Rose. "The driver is to
have our healthy banks be well-capitalized so that they can play the
role they need to play for our country right now."
Other planned uses of the bailout money have lawmakers protesting,
although it is only fair to note there is nothing in the law that they
just wrote to prevent those uses. Sen. Charles Schumer, D-N.Y.
questioned allowing banks that accept bailout bucks to continue paying
dividends on their common stock. "There are far better uses of taxpayer
dollars than continuing dividend payments to shareholders," he said.
Schumer, whose constituents include Wall Street bankers, said he also
fears that they might stuff the money "under the proverbial mattress"
rather than make loans.
Neel Kashkari, head of the Treasury's financial stability program, told
Dodd's committee this past week that there are few strings attached to
the capital-infusion program because too many rules would discourage
financial institutions from participating.
As the bank plan has become a priority, the effort to buy troubled
assets has receded from the headlines. Potential conflicts of interest
pose all kinds of problems in finding qualified companies to manage that
program. "Firms with the relevant financial expertise may also hold
assets that become eligible for sale into the TARP or represent clients
who hold troubled assets," Kashkari said.
The challenge was made plain when the Treasury hired the Bank of New
York Mellon Corp. as "custodian" of the troubled assets purchase
program. The bank will conduct "reverse auctions" to buy the toxic
securities on behalf of the Treasury. The lower the price they set, the
better chance sellers have of getting rid of the devalued securities.
On the same day it hired Mellon, the Treasury also picked the company to
receive a $3 billion investment as part of the capital-infusion program.
The same bank hired to help manage part of the economic rescue plan
became a beneficiary of it.
With the Nov. 4 election nearing, lawmakers decided it was important to
remind the government officials running the bailout program about parts
of the law aimed at helping distressed homeowners by offering federal
guarantees to mortgages renegotiated down to lower monthly payments.
"The key to our nation's economic recovery is the recovery of the
housing market," Dodd said. "And the key to recovery of the housing
market is reducing foreclosures." Sheila Bair, who heads the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corp., responded that her agency is working "closely
and creatively" with Treasury officials to "realize the potential
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Political alarms ring as panicked markets dive
Reuters
(October 25, 2008) - Asian and
European leaders closed ranks on Saturday to try to bolster confidence
among investors who fear that a global credit crunch has ushered in a
deep and damaging world recession. The worst financial crisis in 80
years has forced countries to work together to find ways to help shore
up a financial system crippled by banks fearful of lending to each
other.
But with evidence mounting that Europe is already in recession, analysts
fear that cooperation in shoring up banking systems could be threatened
as governments begin to turn their attention to reviving domestic
demand. "We must use every means to prevent the financial crisis
impacting growth of the real economy," Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao
said at the end of a two-day summit of 43 Asian and European leaders in
Beijing.
Governments have pledged around $4 trillion to support banks and restart
money markets to try to stem the crisis and are considering tougher
financial rules to guard against any repeat. Wen said countries needed
to strike a balance between innovation and regulation and between
savings and consumption. "We need financial innovation, but we need
financial oversight even more," he said, adding that China's priority
was to spur domestic demand to ensure the country maintained fairly
fast, steady growth.
U.S. President George W. Bush, who will host a global summit on the
financial crisis next month, said in a radio address on Saturday: "While
the specific solutions pursued by every country may not be the same,
agreeing on a common set of principles will be an essential step toward
preventing similar crises in the future."
In the Gulf, finance ministers and central bank governors said at a
meeting on coordinating policy that they would look at directing more
government funds into banks and regional stock markets, Al-Arabiya
television reported. Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and four
other Gulf states have so far adopted separate responses to ease the
pressures of the liquidity crunch on their banking sectors. Qatar's
finance minister, Youssef Kamal, said the crisis would give impetus to
create regional monetary union and he was sure the measures taken to
protect the economies were sufficient.
Any significant redirection of Gulf investment to domestic markets could
be a concern for banks and other firms in the West which have eyed the
huge sums in the region's state-run sovereign wealth funds as a
potential source of capital while European and U.S. credit and share
markets are seized up. But the scarcity of private sector capital is
being felt in the Gulf. Officials were set to discuss the risk of
investments from countries hit by the crisis being "liquidated." Saudi
Arabian stocks plummeted 8.7 percent on fears of an oil price fall and
recession. more...
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Closer global integration needed: Blair
Canada.com
(October 22, 2008) - Any impulse to
retreat from a globalized economic system would be exactly the wrong
response to the current worldwide financial crisis, warns former U.K.
prime minister Tony Blair. Blair - whose successor, Gordon Brown, is
being hailed as the architect of a financial rescue plan largely copied
in the U.S. and other industrial nations - told the Board of Trade of
Metropolitan Montreal that the crisis demonstrates the need for closer
global integration, not less.
Those who would pull back from global trade and financial flows are
taking the wrong lesson from the banking and credit tumult, Blair said,
because globalization is "a fact, not driven by governments, but by
people." The challenge facing governments is to make it work better, he
said. Blair asked a rhetorical question: "Why is it that irresponsible
lending in one area suddenly produces a convulsion in the world
economy?" Because, he answered, all countries are now so closely linked
that it isn't realistic to imagine withdrawing from the risks and
benefits of globalization.
However, unlike some commentators who focus on the need for
internationally co-ordinated regulatory constraints on business, Blair
also pointed to the dangers of too much regulation. There must clearly
be globally synchronized financial regulation "where there is systemic
risk," Blair said, referring to the kinds of risks that can go beyond
one bank or institution to endanger the whole financial system. A recent
example was the collapse of Lehman Bros., a leading U.S. investment
bank, which triggered a collapse in confidence that bank obligations
would be honoured and greatly worsened stresses on financial
institutions. However, Blair insisted that such new regulation must not
be so heavy-handed that it stifles the entrepreneurship that he
described as the heart of any successful economy.
Blair's comments about the financial crisis were part of a broader
perspective on a more closely knit world in which, he warned, no serious
challenge, from climate change to terrorism, can be dealt with
successfully without close international co-operation. Partnered with
the theme of global interdependence was one of power shifting inevitably
toward Asia, leaving the big Western powers with a limited window of
opportunity to help define the nature of a new world order. "Power is
shifting East, and shifting East fast," Blair said.
He noted that in meetings with Chinese leaders during this summer's
Olympic Games, he learned that China is now building more power stations
than have been created in Europe since the Second World War and planning
to open no fewer than 70 new international airports. India will soon be
in a position to achieve similar spectacular growth, he said. The lesson
of this gigantic power shift, Blair said, is that the West can no longer
dominate the world through sheer economic and military strength. Instead
of dictating, it must seek to persuade through the power of universal
values: freedom, democracy and justice. And to be persuasive in
enshrining such values in global institutions, it must be true to them -
working harder, for instance, to solve the problems of disease, hunger
and poverty in the poorest nations.
Brown, who is now the official envoy of the Quartet on the Middle East,
a group including the United Nations, the U.S, the U.K. and Russia,
offered another example from his current work. If there were to be a
solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, he said, this would be the
most powerful influence imaginable in creating healthier relations
between the West and the Islamic world. Brown was speaking at Montreal's
Palais des congres, at an event sponsored by the TD Bank Financial
Group.
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Coordinated European action needed to tackle financial crisis says the
European Parliament
European Parliament (October 22, 2008)
- MEPs say the EU needs a coordinated response on a range of fronts in
order to tackle the financial crisis and limit its impact on economic
growth, jobs and small businesses. In a resolution on last week's EU
summit, they also call for measures to improve financial supervision and
look at issues from climate change to the Caucasus. The resolution was
adopted with 499 votes in favour, 130 against and 67 abstentions.
Parliament stresses the importance of a coordinated macroeconomic
response to resuscitate global growth, without undermining the
principles of the stability and growth pact. MEPs also want to see
coordinated action to restore confidence in the financial markets.
Financial market crisis and the real economy
The crisis, says the resolution, has implications beyond financial
markets: for business viability, jobs, personal finance and SMEs.
Parliament stresses the paramount importance of ongoing access to credit
for citizens and SMEs and of investments in EU infrastructure to avoid a
dramatic downturn in growth and employment.
It therefore supports measure to return liquidity to the markets, and
the rapid reaction of the Commission in applying state aid rules on
measures taken to rescue financial institutions. When public money is
spent in this way, say MEPs, it must be accompanied by public oversight,
improvements in governance, limitations on remuneration, strong
accountability to public authorities and investment strategies for the
real economy.
MEPs welcome the setting up by the Commission of a high-level group to
consider the future supervisory architecture for EU financial services,
but they criticise the lack of Parliamentary involvement in the
Commission's "financial crisis cell".
Better supervisory structure for the future
Looking beyond the immediate crisis, MEPs reiterate their calls on the
Commission to propose measures to strengthen the EU regulatory and
supervisory framework and EU-level crisis management, including on
banks, credit rating agencies, securitisation, hedge funds, leverage,
transparency, winding-up rules, clearing for over-the-counter markets
and crisis prevention.
The Lamfalussy process should be strengthened, including colleges of
supervisors for cross-border institutions and a clearer role and legal
status for the Level 3 committees (which bring together all the Member
States' banking, securities and insurance supervisors). Parliament also
wants to see proposals drawn up for effective cross-border crisis
management.
The resolution also considers other issues arising from the European
Council meeting last week. Among other points:
Parliament reiterates its respect for the result
of the Irish referendum on the Lisbon treaty, and for the results of
other countries' ratification procedures, and hopes a solution can
be found which is acceptable to all before the European elections in
June 2009;
MEPs say the financial crisis should not call
into question the EU's post-2012 climate targets, though measures
taken to meet them should be evaluated with competitiveness in mind;
Parliament calls for Commission and Council to
pursue the establishment of a common European external policy on
energy, and for a stronger political commitment to a low carbon
economy;
MEPs stress that there cannot be a military
solution to the conflicts in the Caucasus, condemn all those who
resorted to force to change the situation in the Georgian breakaway
territories of South Ossetia and Abkhazia and recall Russia's
"disproportionate military action." They call on Russia to respect
the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Georgia.
MEPs debate EU response to world crises with French president Sarkozy
European Parliament (October 21, 2008)
- At a debate with MEPs on the EU summit of 15-16 October, EU
President-in-Office Sarkozy said the Russo-Georgian war and the
financial crisis had strengthened the case for a united European
response to major world problems. He rejected any idea that the EU
should backtrack on its climate change commitments because of the
crisis. While the main EP political groups broadly supported him, some
felt the roots of the financial crisis went back a long way and queried
the role of unbridled free markets.
Introducing the debate, the President of Parliament, Hans-Gert Pöttering,
said that in the recent crises, Europe under the leadership of
President Sarkozy had shown its ability to take coordinated, collective
action. Without such action - and without the existence of the euro -
"we would have been in a disastrous situation".
Georgia
The first subject considered by President Sarkozy, speaking on behalf of
the European Council, was the Russo-Georgian war. While regarding the
Russian reaction as "disproportionate", he also stressed it was a
"reaction" to a previous "inappropriate" action. He then described the
peace-making efforts carried out by himself on behalf of the EU. The
Americans had thought "dialogue with the Russians is pointless" but in
his view this was folly, since "Europe does not want another Cold War".
He emphasised "it is Europe that has brought about peace", adding "it
is a long time since Europe has played this sort of role in this kind of
conflict".
World financial crisis: how to prevent a recurrence
Turning next to the world financial situation, Mr Sarkozy said "what was
a serious crisis became a systemic crisis" with the collapse of Lehman
Brothers. Moreover, the solutions now being found - in which Europe
had taken the lead - simply amounted to "crisis management".
A key point was "how can we prevent a recurrence?". He had proposed
to the UN General Assembly the creation of a "new global financial
system" or "new
Bretton Woods". The aim must be to "overhaul capitalism", not
"by questioning the idea of a market economy" but observing certain
principles: no bank working with state money must work with tax havens,
all financial institutions must be subject to financial regulation,
traders' bonus structures must not push them to take undue risks and the
monetary system must be rethought. The USA and the EU had proposed a
series of "summits on global governance", starting in November,
involving first the G8 and then adding the G5, at which, he stressed,
"Europe must speak with one voice".
Elsewhere in his speech, Mr Sarkozy returned to the financial crisis,
saying it was undoubtedly now leading to an economic crisis and this too
would require a "united European response". Among ideas he floated were
measures to ensure that "European companies are not bought up by
non-European capital while their stock exchange values are low" and the
creation of sovereign wealth funds by each EU country. At a later point
in the debate he pointed the finger at hedge funds and questioned the
competence and independence of ratings agencies, pointing out that the
latter were mainly US-based and perhaps Europe needed its own ratings
agencies.
He also believed that "the eurozone cannot continue without clear
economic governance". The European Central Bank must be independent but
must be able to hold discussions with "an economic government" at head
of state/government level.
No backsliding on energy/climate change
Mr Sarkozy's next topic was the future of the EU's energy and climate
package. He rejected any idea "that the world should do less to combat
climate change because of the financial crisis", saying "Europe must set
an example" to the world. He recognised the difficulty some European
countries were facing, especially those that are 95% dependent on coal,
but some flexible solution must be found. Referring to the 20/20/20
targets, he described "respect for the climate change objectives" and
"respect for the timetable" as essential.
Turning to the EU Immigration Pact, the French president said this was
"a great example of European democracy" as, despite initial differences,
the EU had agreed on a joint policy.
Lisbon Treaty
Lastly, the president argued that the recent crises with Georgia and
the financial markets showed that "it would be a major mistake not to
proceed with institutional reform" since Europe often needs "a powerful,
rapid and united response", something which was difficult, for
example, with the EU's six-month rotating presidency. The French
presidency was thus looking to a roadmap to find a solution by December
to the question of Irish ratification of the Lisbon Treaty.
Concluding, he said "the world needs a Europe that speaks with a strong
voice" and expressed appreciation to the EP for its "solidarity" in
helping to create this sense of unity.
Commission President Barroso
President of the European Commission José Manuel Barroso said Mr
Sarkozy's handling of the crisis had shown him as "dynamic as only he
can be" and welcomed the fact that Europe was now working hand in hand
with the US. He said "the EU should mould a global response with it
values and interests".
He outlined a number of practical steps. He said the Commission would be
looking at executive pay and derivatives. The feasibility of pan-Europe
financial regulation would also be under review. He also signalled his
forthcoming visit to China for talks saying: "The goal should be to
devise a system of global financial governance adapted to the challenges
of the 21st century – in terms of efficiency, transparency and
representation."
Turning to the so called "real economy" he said that Europe faced a
"serious economic slowdown" with jobs, incomes and order books affected.
He went on to say: "There is no national road out of this crisis...we
will swim or sink together. We must not give in to siren calls for
protection. We must not turn our backs on globalisation or put our
single market at risk."
He said that "European citizens need support - especially the
vulnerable". To deal with the slowdown he called for "smart support"
that would hit two targets at once. For example: "Helping the
construction industry...but doing this by promoting an energy-efficient
housing stock....Helping key industries like cars...but preparing them
for tomorrow's markets of clean cars."
He told MEPs that there is "no national route out of this crisis" and
that in Europe "we swim or sink together". He said that: "Europe shows
its true colours in a crisis - in Georgia we stopped a war whilst with
the financial crisis we are dealing with it."
He went on to say that: "There is no magic bullet to turn around the EU
economy. What we have to do is take every option, explore every
potential way in which EU policy can help Member States to seize every
opportunity to put Europe on the road to growth. That is our task in the
coming weeks. And it is a task I want to tackle together with the
European Parliament." He finished by saying that it was: "The kind of
occasion where the crisis calls into question old certainties and minds
are more open to change."
Later, speaking after the main group speakers Mr Barroso said that
analysis compiled by the Commission showed the crisis was triggered "by
sectors that were not regulated in US". On climate change he said that
with the financial crisis it would be "dramatically bad" if the EU
backtracked on the 20/20/20 emission formula agreed last. He said that
"the world - not just Europeans, are looking to us".
Read full story...
Political group speakers
For the EPP-ED group, Joseph DAUL (FR) believed that Europe working
together had twice over the summer helped show the way through major
crises: Georgia and the financial markets. President Sarkozy had worked
tirelessly and shown the value of the EU Presidency and the role for
Europe on the world stage.
Parliament had already done key work on the financial situation with
recommendations on regulation and surveillance, reform and an end to
golden parachutes. He said "It is in economic crises that we develop
rules for the future. Free markets have to be accompanied by rules and
regulations If they existed previously they were not properly applied"
Mr Daul did not want to see the efforts of the little people in Europe
wiped out. SMEs need support and we need to guarantee the social market
and solidarity. He asked for all to ratify the Lisbon Treaty as soon as
possible so that Europe could run more smoothly. He concluded that ahead
we face many major issues together: climate, energy, defence. For the
sake of future generations he stressed that we need to work on the basis
of a Social Market economy model to solve them.
For the Socialist group, Martin SCHULZ (DE) was impressed by the recent
resolute action of both President Sarkozy and Barroso. However, he felt
we need to make full use of the current crisis to make sure we never
again suffer such a disaster in the financial markets which has
triggered a disaster in the real economy. We need new rules by the end
of the year for banks, private equity.
Mr Schulz noted that in this debate Messrs Sarkozy, Daul, Barroso all
spoke the language of true European Social Democracy." I am glad you
have finally arrived, however late" he said. Mr Schulz was concerned
about the situation of the ordinary citizen, the taxpayer, the small
business in this crisis. We need to boost purchasing power to revive the
Single Market and we need to cover the risks for the ordinary citizen
not just the big fish.
He was delighted everyone was now singing from the same hymn sheet of
social democracy but warned this was the time also to remember the
long-term issue of climate change which would remain after the credit
crunch had subsided. We should all be working towards sustainability.
Finally, in this crisis he emphasised that we must not forget rights and
keep the question of fundamental values on the agenda.
Thank you for these warm and encouraging words about working hand in
hand", said Graham Watson (UK), for the ALDE group, "but why do the
Council conclusions refer only to the Commission and the Council? Why,
for example, under climate change, is there no reference to the
Parliament?" "You will need the EP", he predicted, pointing to some
Member States' behind-the-scenes attempts to "unpick" agreements on CO2
emission targets for new cars (2012) and emission sharing (2013).
"Since the Berlin wall fell, 50 million people have been lifted out of
poverty, but today we are seeing what happens when markets lack
transparency", said Mr Watson, welcoming the fact that co-ordinated
measures had alleviated the immediate pressures. He stressed that the EU
must play a leading role in applying such remedies internationally -
working with the US if possible, and without it if necessary.
Mr Watson nonetheless regretted that the summit had failed to produce
plans for an effective supervisory regime, such as a European financial
services authority. "Supervision is still the missing piece of the
jigsaw", he said. Finally, Mr Watson acknowledged that Mr Sarkozy's role
as a "man of action" in managing the crises underlined the EU's need for
a permanent President.
"Energy and willpower are required in politics, and are good for
Europe", agreed Daniel Cohn-Bendit (Greens/EFA, DE), for his group. He
stressed that all the crises - financial, environmental and hunger
worldwide - are interdependent, and must be tackled together.
"These crises did not start in July or August, but years ago", he said
in a reference to Mr Sarkozy's speech. "It was calls for unbridled
growth and the rejection of financial market regulation a year ago that
led us into these crises", he said, urging Europe's leaders to be "more
self-critical". What Europe needs is a "social and environmental
market", which entails "rethinking the way we manufacture, and the way
we live".
"The German car industry already has money in tax havens, and does not
need more", said Mr Cohn-Bendit, in a reference to car industry "climate
change waivers" (which, he said, had been backed by both right and left
wingers). He urged Mr Sarkozy to press for tax havens to be obliged to
declare the country of origin of these funds. Finally, subjecting
climate change proposals to unanimity in the Council "will put you at
the mercy of countries that are backsliders" in December, he warned Mr
Sarkozy.
For the UEN group, Cristiana MUSCARDINI (IT) said she agreed 100% with
the statements and proposals made by French President Nicholas Sarkozy
and thanked the Council for the immigration pact and the asylum pact,
"common sectors which are important to us all". However, she called on
certain "Commissioners, including competition Commissioners "to do the
right thing". The statement on heating oil has not reassured the
markets. "We need more on financial derivatives, which have laid low
some European States.
Mrs Muscardini said a united, if not equal, Europe, would help to
pinpoint strategies to solve the crisis, which she called "systemic" and
"in order to combat a systemic crisis we need a new system". She called
on Nicholas Sarkozy to recast global capitalism and maybe even go
further to make sure that "market freedom is not untrammelled
liberalism". She added that the European Central Bank "could have done
more" to help banks that have and are "failing".
Francis WURTZ (FR), on behalf of the GUE/NGL group, warned that the
"worst is still to come" of this "multidimensional crisis of such scale
and seriousness". The dimensions may be "unfathomable", but the crisis
still needs to be debated. The "shock" of this crisis is being felt
everywhere and "we have a drop in public expenditure and plans for
privatising public services are ahead," he said.
Mr Wurtz continued "We need to be held accountable to our citizens",
adding that this cannot be avoided, by introducing regulation or "doing
away with golden handshakes". He pointed to the fact that 2% of monetary
transactions were for services and production, while the remaining 98%
went on finance. "We must attack the roots of this evil" and we need a
"new Bretton Woods".
According to Nigel FARAGE (UK) of the Independence and Democracy group,
when President Sarkozy went to Georgia he was "not acting for the EU" as
"there had been no meeting". "You did it as the President of France". As
regards the financial crisis, "I'm glad the Irish and the Greeks did
their own thing", he said, before adding "I haven't heard anyone say
that this crisis is a failure of regulation. We haven't had a lack of
regulation, we have a blizzard of regulation and this has not protected
a single investor. We need to rethink what we have been doing. We need
to act in our national interest. The Swiss can and they have the
adaptability, to weather the financial crisis better than EU states"
The speaker from the non-aligned MEPs, Bruno GOLLNISCH (FR), said "We
are looking at part of things here but we are quiet on the causes. No
one saw this coming …. apart from a few economists and Jean Marie Le
Pen's voice crying in the wilderness." In his view, "We need unfettered
freeing up and decoupling of the financial side of things and the real
economy, which is now declining." Turning to foreign affairs, he said
"You don't see that Kosovo's unilateral declaration of independence
paved the way to South Ossetia." His final comment was "You have to have
a radical break with the global system and the movement of goods has to
be rethought."
British and Irish speakers
Linda McAVAN (PES, UK) said it was not time to abandon climate change
ambitions, adding that the socialists want "a credible agreement that
balances environment, jobs and competitiveness" by Christmas and in time
for international talks. "Let's have the political courage," she said.
Avril DOYLE (EPP-ED, IE) said that Europe's leaders had "committed
themselves to reducing greenhouse gases by 20%". Now, in order to secure
an agreement at Copenhagen "we will have to make a clear and unambiguous
statement", she added. "There should be no delay and we cannot pay the
higher price in the future" or, as President Sarkozy said, we will miss
our date with history.
Giles CHICHESTER (EPP-ED, UK) told the House "It would not be far
fetched to liken the crisis to a hurricane. Once the wind abates there
is an illusion of calm but the devastation takes years to clear up." He
continued "Tackling change is a long-term matter and there is no silver
bullet". Moreover, "Over-regulation could precipitate something much
worse, a re-run of the 1930's slump". "Let us not kill off the goose
that lays the golden egg", he concluded.
John BOWIS (EPP-ED, UK) agreed with President Sarkozy that the climate
change package "is so important that we cannot simply lose it under the
pretext of a financial crisis". However, he went on "we will need
reassurances for the countries which have real problems, as Poland does
with coal" and "we must also be very clear that our support for biofuels
in transport is dependent on the development of fuels from sustainable
sources".
Biden to Supporters: "Gird Your Loins", For the Next President "It's
Like Cleaning Augean Stables"
ABC News Political Radar Blog
(October 20, 2008) - ABC News' Matthew Jaffe
Reports: Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., on Sunday guaranteed that if
elected, Sen. Barack Obama., D-Ill., will be tested by an
international crisis within his first six months in power and he
will need supporters to stand by him as he makes tough, and possibly
unpopular, decisions. "Mark my words," the Democratic vice
presidential nominee warned at the second of his two Seattle
fundraisers Sunday. "It will not be six months before the world
tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy. The world is looking.
We're about to elect a brilliant 47-year-old senator president of
the United States of America. Remember I said it standing here if
you don't remember anything else I said. Watch, we're gonna have an
international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this
guy."
"I can give you at least four or five scenarios from where it might
originate," Biden said to Emerald City supporters, mentioning the
Middle East and Russia as possibilities. "And he's gonna need help.
And the kind of help he's gonna need is, he's gonna need you - not
financially to help him - we're gonna need you to use your
influence, your influence within the community, to stand with him.
Because it's not gonna be apparent initially, it's not gonna be
apparent that we're right."
Not only will the next administration have to deal with foreign
affairs issues, Biden warned, but also with the current economic
crisis. "Gird your loins," Biden told the crowd. "We're gonna win
with your help, God willing, we're gonna win, but this is not gonna
be an easy ride. This president, the next president, is gonna be
left with the most significant task. It's like cleaning the Augean
stables, man. This is more than just, this is more than – think
about it, literally, think about it – this is more than just a
capital crisis, this is more than just markets. This is a systemic
problem we have with this economy."
The Delaware lawmaker managed to rake in an estimated $1 million
total from his two money hauls at the downtown Sheraton, the same
hotel where four years ago Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., clinched the
Democratic nomination. Despite warning about the difficulties the
next administration will face, Biden said the Democratic ticket is
equipped to meet the challenges head on. "I've forgotten more about
foreign policy than most of my colleagues know, so I'm not being
falsely humble with you. I think I can be value added, but this guy
has it," the Senate Foreign Relations chairman said of Obama. "This
guy has it. But he's gonna need your help. Because I promise you,
you all are gonna be sitting here a year from now going, 'Oh my God,
why are they there in the polls? Why is the polling so down? Why is
this thing so tough?' We're gonna have to make some incredibly tough
decisions in the first two years. So I'm asking you now, I'm asking
you now, be prepared to stick with us. Remember the faith you had at
this point because you're going to have to reinforce us."
"There are gonna be a lot of you who want to go, 'Whoa, wait a
minute, yo, whoa, whoa, I don't know about that decision'," Biden
continued. "Because if you think the decision is sound when they're
made, which I believe you will when they're made, they're not likely
to be as popular as they are sound. Because if they're popular,
they're probably not sound."
Biden emphasized that the mountainous Afghanistan-Pakistan border is
of particular concern, with Osama bin Laden "alive and well" and
Pakistan "bristling with nuclear weapons." "You literally can see
what these kids are up against, our kids in that region," Biden said
in recalling when his helicopter was forced down due to a snowstorm
there. "The place is crawling with al Qaeda. And it's real." "We do
not have the military capacity, nor have we ever, quite frankly, in
the last 20 years, to dictate outcomes," he cautioned. "It's so much
more important than that. It's so much more complicated than that.
And Barack gets it."
After speaking for just over a quarter of an hour, Biden noticed the
media presence in the back of the small ballroom. "I probably
shouldn't have said all this because it dawned on me that the press
is here," he joked. "All kidding aside, these guys have left us in a
God-awful place," he then said of the Bush regime, promptly wrapping
up his remarks. "We have the ability to straighten it out. It's
gonna take a little bit of time, so I ask you to stay with us. Stay
with us." | NewWorldOrder|
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Economic Crisis
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Please listen to Glenn Beck's
commentary on this story and the possible implications in the audio
files
here. I think this could be what Glenn pondered on his show and
possibly related to Middle East tensions that I think may be
starting in the near future. Glenn touches on some other significant
topics as well in the audio clip such as the October money printing
spree.
Bush backs EU
plan on global financial reform
EU Observer
(October 20, 2008) - US President George W. Bush
has backed the European idea of a series of global talks on reform of
the world's financial system, with the first summit set to be held
shortly after the US presidential elections in November.
The outgoing American leader agreed there needs to be further co-ordinated
effort to tackle the "challenges facing the global economy" after a
three-hour meeting at Camp David on Saturday (18 October) with French
President Nicolas Sarkozy, whose country currently chairs the 27-strong
EU, and with European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso. The
three politicians said they would approach other world powers - both
from the richest nations and the newly emerging economies such as China
and India - and try to reach "agreement on principles of reform needed
to avoid a repetition and assure global prosperity in the future."
Later summits will be "designed to implement agreement on specific steps
to be taken to meet those principles," the trio said in a joint
statement. The top-level talks are due to tackle controversial elements
of the current financial order which are seen by some as having
contributed or failed to prevent the credit crunch, which originated in
the US and spread across the globe.
At the EU level, several such issues have been highlighted as the
possible targets of stricter regulation - rating agencies, tax havens,
hedge funds, executive pay but also the very role of key global
institutions, the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. "We
believe in the capacity and the ability of the American people to come
up with the answers the world is waiting for, is expecting. Because this
sort of capitalism is a betrayal of the capitalism we believe in," Mr
Sarkozy said, newswires report.
"The meeting should be held rapidly, perhaps before the end of November.
Since the crisis started in New York, maybe we can find the solution in
New York," he added. However, US president Bush stressed that "as we
make the regulatory and institutional changes necessary to avoid a
repeat of this crisis, it is essential that we preserve the foundations
of democratic capitalism - the commitment to free markets, free
enterprise and free trade." "We must resist the dangerous temptation of
economic isolationism and continue the policies of open markets that
have lifted standards of living and held millions of people escape
poverty around the world."
Read full story...
More European banks in the red
Meanwhile, Dutch ING and French Caisse d'Epargne have joined the list of
banks affected by the financial crisis. The Dutch government agreed on
Sunday (19 October) to pump €10 billion into financial group ING, with
the bank's management agreeing to scrap executive bonuses and its
year-end dividend to shareholders. The move followed a round of tense
negotiations over the weekend sparked by recent share falls by over a 25
percent of value, Reuters reported. The financial injection by the Dutch
government is part of €20 billion package the Hague had put aside for
possible bank bail-outs, in a move agreed in principle by all other
European member states last week in a bid to prevent a bankruptcy of any
financial situation essential for a country's whole economy.
In Germany, Bavaria's public sector bank BayernLB will be the first to
use the German government's €500 billion rescue package. The bank's
supervisory board is due to meet on Tuesday (21 October) to discuss the
package, Bavarian state Finance Minister Erwin Huber said in an
interview for Bild newspaper.
In France, the chairman of Groupe Caisse d'Epargne and two other top
managers resigned on Sunday, following a €600 million trading scandal
where a small team of traders had placed illicit bets on stock markets.
The French government reacted by suggesting a special audit of all banks
in the country.
Europeans signal clash with US over global capitalism
Telegraph UK
(October 19, 2008) - World leaders will meet in
the United Sates next month to find a fix for the international
financial crisis after President George W. Bush bowed to European calls
for a global economic summit. Mr Bush bowed to demands from French
President Nicolas Sarkozy, current holder of the EU's rotating
presidency and José Manuel Barroso, President of the European
Commission, at his Camp David presidential retreat.
The emboldened Europeans signalled that the bloc was ready to ambush Mr
Bush and his successor, who is expected to attend the meeting, to impose
a European vision for new financial market regulation. "The EU
must take over the leadership of change because that is what it has
long been calling for while the US was not favourable," said José
Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, the Spanish Prime Minister. "There has to be
regulation and limits to everything to do with incentives and rewards."
The French leader reiterated his attacks on the American-led sytem of
capitalism. "We cannot continue along the same lines because the same
problems will trigger the same disasters," said Mr Sarkozy. "This is no
longer acceptable. This is no longer possible. This sort of capitalism
is a betrayal of the sort of capitalism we believe in."
The summit, expected to take place just days or weeks after US
presidential elections in November, will start a political tussle over
The US President has backed the steps European nations have taken in
recent weeks to stabilise financial markets but has signalled American
uneasiness with some EU calls for a root and branch overhaul of
capitalism.
But remarks after the Camp David meeting has already exposed deep trans-Atlanic
differences. "We will work to strengthen and modernise our nations'
financial systems so we can help ensure that this crisis doesn't happen
again," said Mr Bush. "As we make the regulatory and institutional
changes necessary to avoid a repeat of this crisis, it is essential that
we preserve the foundations of democratic capitalism a commitment to
free markets, free enterprise, and free trade," he said. "We must resist
the dangerous temptation of economic isolationism and continue the
policies of open markets that have lifted standards of living and helped
millions of people escape poverty around the world."
In contrast, President Sarkozy and other EU leaders have floated radical
ideas of reforming rating agencies, the creation of new international
financial supervisors and tough regulation of hedge funds and tax
havens. Even the venue of the global economic conference could be a
source of discord after President Sarkozy called for it to be held under
the auspices of the United Nations in New York, near America's Wall
Street financial district, the source, the EU claims, of the present
economic crisis. "Insofar as the crisis began in New York, then the
global solution must be found to this crisis in New York," Mr Sarkozy
said.
A weakened President Bush, who will be seeing out his last months in
office after US presidential elections on Nov 4. The US leader is
expected to try and wrest back control by holding the summit in
Washington. European diplomats are hoping that a new US
President-elect might be more receptive to European style "social
market" reforms, especially if the elections sweep Democrat candidate
Barack Obama into power. As Mr Bush nears the end of his second term
and prepares to hand over the White House in January next year, any
future American financial reforms will fall to his successor.
|
EU/UN/4th Kingdom
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NewWorldOrder|
America|
Economic Crisis
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In light of the
Glenn Beck show regarding Biden's comments,
what I've been feeling about an Obama win would fit quite well into
the further integration of America into the global economy as a step
to a new global financial system not run on paper currency, but
electronically tracked data based on a unique ID system to label
individuals in a global database. Crazy? You bet, and every day it
seems a step closer in this climate of fear and uncertainty. My
guess is that much of the world will accept this solution as an only
way out. Time will tell - keep watching.
New Home Construction at Lowest Level Since World War IIFox News
(October 18, 2008) - The nation is on track to
build fewer homes this year than at any time since the end of World War
II, adding to the woes of an economy that analysts said Friday has
almost certainly entered a recession.
While the economic outlook darkened even further with bad reports on
layoffs and consumer confidence, it was one of the quietest days since
the financial meltdown began a month ago. Wall Street's tumultuous week
turned out to be its best in five years. The Dow Jones industrial
average lost 127 points Friday but turned in the strong week because of
two huge days of gains — a record 936-point jump on Monday and an
increase of 401 points Thursday.
Friday was still marked by the huge swings that have become typical
lately. At various points the Dow was up nearly 300 points and down
nearly 250, and it finished with a triple-digit move for the 22nd time
in 25 trading sessions.
A monthly survey by the National Association of Home Builders showed
sentiment among home builders hit a record low in early October. David
Seiders, chief economist for the group, said builders are being hit by a
double whammy from the financial turmoil: It's harder for them to get
loans to pursue new houses, and more difficult to sell those they do
build. He forecast that builders will keep slashing production in coming
months, with construction starts for new homes and apartments totaling
just 936,000 this year, the lowest level since 1945. "The builders are
telling us that the financial crisis is really hurting because people
justifiably have no idea where things are going," Seiders said.
Before the markets opened, President Bush went to the headquarters of
the U.S. Chamber of Commerce to say that the $700 billion financial
rescue package was "big enough and bold enough to work." But he
cautioned that it would take time to unlock credit markets.
Adam Levitin, an associate professor at Georgetown University Law
School, said that even with the government's injection of billions into
the banks, the high debt loads carried by consumers and shortage of
creditworthy borrowers could continue to chill lending. "Who's going to
lend to GM right now?" Levitin said at a conference organized by the
American Bar Association. He also asked what banks would lend money to
homeowners with troubled mortgages.
Analysts said new data released Friday showed it's probably too late for
the economy to avoid a recession. Many of them said they now had
recessions in their forecasts, believing that the overall economy, as
measured by total domestic production, probably shrank in the
July-to-September quarter, dragged lower in part by the continued plunge
in housing. "I don't think there is any ambiguity with respect to
whether we are in a recession," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at
Moody's Economy.com. "I think it actually started at the end of last
year, and because of the financial panic we are going through now, it is
likely to last another year."
Other economists said they were looking for at least three consecutive
quarters of contraction, reflecting in part the fact that consumers, who
account for two-thirds of total economic activity, are showing the
strains of the biggest upheaval in the financial sector in 70 years.
A new University of Michigan/Reuters survey showed consumer confidence
plunged in early October to its second-lowest level in the past 28
years. "Concerns about falling employment, incomes and wealth have
overshadowed relief from lower energy prices," said Sara Johnson, an
economist at Global Insight, a Lexington, Mass., forecasting firm.
The Commerce Department said Friday that construction of new homes and
apartments dropped by a bigger-than-expected 6.3 percent in September to
an annual rate of 817,000 units, the second weakest performance in
government statistics dating back to 1959. The only weaker monthly
showing occurred in January 1991, when the U.S. was in a recession and
going through a similar painful housing correction.
In a bleak sign of future construction, applications for new building
permits fell a sharp 8.2 percent to an annual rate of 786,000 units, the
weakest level in more than 25 years. The government also sharply revised
lower its construction data for July and August. That was after dismal
news earlier this week that retail sales fell by 1.2 percent in
September.
Influential billionaire investor Warren Buffett said in opinion piece in
The New York Times that he sees opportunity in the Wall Street chaos.
He's been moving his personal investments from safe Treasuries into U.S.
stocks. "To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged
entities or businesses in weak competitive positions," Buffett wrote.
"But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation's many sound
companies make no sense." The market eventually will turn around. "So if
you wait for the robins, spring will be over," he said.
On the housing front, while the sharp cutbacks in production will help
reduce huge inventories of unsold homes, the problem is that rising
levels of foreclosures are dumping more homes on the already glutted
market. Zandi said he believed that home prices, which have already
fallen by 20 percent, will fall by another 10 percent and will not
stabilize until the middle of next year.
Kim Shelpman, the chief executive of Holiday Builders, which operates in
Texas, Florida, Alabama and South Carolina, said that her company was
competing against a rising tide of foreclosures, but that she believed
the excess inventory of homes was being "eaten up at a much quicker
pace."
Jesse Barrington, a sale consultant with Sotherby Homes, said the sales
slowdown nationwide had been less pronounced in the upscale suburbs of
north of Dallas where about 20 homes in a new subdivision had recently
sold. "In a normal economy, this is a good year. In this economy, it's
phenomenal," he said. In the South, sales managed a small 0.5 percent
gain in September. They rose by 5.6 percent in the Midwest, where a
boost in apartment building offset a slide in single-family homes to a
record low.
The weakness last month was led by a 21 percent drop in the Northeast,
where construction of single-family units fell to the lowest level on
record, and the West, where building slipped by almost 17 percent with
single-family construction also hitting a record-low in that region.
On Tuesday, the Treasury Department announced it would inject up to $250
billion in U.S. banks in return for partial ownership stakes, in a
program similar to one launched in 1932 by President Herbert Hoover. The
government hopes banks will use the capital infusions to rebuild their
reserves and bolster lending to customers. |
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Gordon Brown expects news on global regulation plans in the 'next few
days' Citywire
(October 15, 2008) - Prime Minister Gordon Brown
has said he expects progress towards a cocoordinated approach to cross
order regulation of the financial markets in 'the next few days.' Taking
time out from his meeting with EU leaders in Brussels, he told
journalists that leaders needed to work together to create a new
‘financial vision’ to ensure that the current crisis in financial
markets does is not repeated.
He said it was time to move to stage two of the recovery process and
establish appropriate regulation and an early warning process to ‘root
out irresponsibilities and excesses’. ‘We need supervision and
regulation where it has been lacking and where it is necessary, and
international co-operation. We need an early warning system and proper
co-ordination,’ he said.
José Manuel Barroso paid tribute to Brown’s role in driving forward the
EU response to the financial crisis and said he agreed it was time to
take action ‘to the next level’. The two leaders will attend the EU
Council in Brussels over the next two days. Gordon Brown said that US
president George Bush shared his sense of urgency. He said that although
the new US president elected at the end of November will have to sign up
to any eventual plan, he said there is no need to wait.
On Monday, Gordon Brown said the world needs an effective global early
warning system to alert people across continents to economic and
financial risks. He also called for globally accepted standards of
supervision that apply equally in all countries, stronger arrangements
for cross-border supervision of global firms, and much stronger
institutions for co-operation and concerted action in a crisis. Brown is
understood to have recommended the creation of a series of colleges of
supervisors to oversee cross-border financial institutions.
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NewWorldOrder|
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The O Jesse Knows New York
Post
(October 14, 2008) - PREPARE for a new America:
That's the message that the Rev. Jesse Jackson conveyed to participants
in the first World Policy Forum, held at this French lakeside resort
last week. He promised "fundamental changes" in US foreign policy -
saying America must "heal wounds" it has caused to other nations, revive
its alliances and apologize for the "arrogance of the Bush
administration."
The most important change would occur in the Middle East, where "decades
of putting Israel's interests first" would end. Jackson believes that,
although "Zionists who have controlled American policy for decades"
remain strong, they'll lose a great deal of their clout when
Barack Obama enters the White House.
"Obama is about change," Jackson told me in a wide-ranging conversation.
"And the change that Obama promises is not limited to what we do in
America itself. It is a change of the way America looks at the world and
its place in it." Jackson warns that he isn't an Obama confidant or
adviser, "just a supporter." But he adds that Obama has been "a neighbor
or, better still, a member of the family." Jackson's son has been a
close friend of Obama for years, and Jackson's daughter went to school
with Obama's wife Michelle.
"We helped him start his career," says Jackson. "And then we were always
there to help him move ahead. He is the continuation of our struggle for
justice not only for the black people but also for all those who have
been wronged."
Read full story...
Will Obama's
election close the chapter of black grievances linked to memories of
slavery? The reverend takes a deep breath and waits a long time before
responding. "No, that chapter won't be closed," he says. "However,
Obama's victory will be a huge step in the direction we have wanted
America to take for decades." Jackson rejects any suggestion that Obama
was influenced by Marxist ideas in his youth. "I see no evidence of
that," he says. "Obama's thirst for justice and equality is rooted in
his black culture."
But is Obama - who's not a descendant of slaves - truly a typical
American black? Jackson emphatically answers yes: "You don't need to be
a descendant of slaves to experience the oppression, the suffocating
injustice and the ugly racism that exists in our society," he says.
"Obama experienced the same environment as all American blacks did. It
was nonsense to suggest that he was somehow not black enough to feel the
pain."
Is Jackson worried about the "Bradley effect" - that people may be
telling pollsters they favor the black candidate, but won't end up
voting for him? "I don't think this is how things will turn out," he
says. "We have a collapsing economy and a war that we have lost in Iraq.
In Afghanistan, we face a resurgent Taliban. New threats are looming in
Pakistan. Our liberties have been trampled under feet . . . Today, most
Americans want change, and know that only Barack can deliver what they
want. Young Americans are especially determined to make sure that Obama
wins."
He sees a broad public loss of confidence in the nation's institutions:
"We have lost confidence in our president, our Congress, our banking
system, our Wall Street and our legal system to protect our individual
freedoms. . . I don't see how we could regain confidence in all those
institutions without a radical change of direction."
Jackson declines to be more concrete about possible policy changes.
After all, he insists, he isn't part of Obama's policy team. Yet he
clearly hopes that his views, reflecting the position of many Democrats,
would be reflected in the policies of an Obama administration. On the
economic front, he hopes for "major changes in our trading policy."
"We cannot continue with the open-door policy," he says. "We need to
protect our manufacturing industry against unfair competition that
destroys American jobs and creates ill-paid jobs abroad." Would that
mean an abrogation of the NAFTA treaty with Canada and Mexico? Jackson
dismisses the question as "premature": "We could do a great deal without
such dramatic action."
His most surprising position concerns Iraq. He passionately denounces
the toppling of Saddam Hussein as "an illegal and unjust act." But he's
now sure that the United States "will have to remain in Iraq for a very
long time." What of Obama's promise to withdraw by 2010? Jackson
believes that position will have to evolve, reflecting "realities on the
ground." "We should work with our allies in Iraq to consolidate
democratic institutions there," he says. "We must help the people of
Iraq decide and shape their future in accordance with their own culture
and faith."
On Iran, he strongly supports Obama's idea of opening a direct dialogue
with the leadership in Tehran. "We've got to talk to tell them what we
want and hear what they want," Jackson says. "Nothing is gained by not
talking to others." Would that mean ignoring the four UN Security
Council resolutions that demand an end to Iran's uranium-enrichment
program? Jackson says direct talks wouldn't start without preparations.
"Barack wants an aggressive and dynamic diplomacy," he says. "He also
wants adequate preparatory work. We must enter the talks after the
ground has been prepared," he says.
Jackson is especially critical of President Bush's approach to the
Israel-Palestine conflict. "Bush was so afraid of a snafu and of
upsetting Israel that he gave the whole thing a miss," Jackson says.
"Barack will change that," because, as long as the Palestinians haven't
seen justice, the Middle East will "remain a source of danger to us
all."
"Barack is determined to repair our relations with the world of Islam
and Muslims," Jackson says. "Thanks to his background and ecumenical
approach, he knows how Muslims feel while remaining committed to his own
faith."
Glenn Beck: What happened?
Glenn Beck (October
7, 2008) - Yes, another email letter from your crazy brother. You
raised a lot of questions in your last email and I am going to try to
answer all of them. I think all of your questions fall into three areas:
(1) how did we get here; (2) what's coming; and (3) what can I do to
prepare myself and my family.
Consider this email as my answer to your first question, "how did we get
here?". I'll be sending you 2 more emails answering your other two
questions. Since there's a lot of misinformation out there I will
document each of the facts in my emails so you know where I pulled the
information from and where you can go to read and learn more.
What you shouldn't do is panic. We'll get through this--don't pull all
of your money out of the bank but have enough cash on-hand to meet any
possible emergencies.
First, you've got to get the stock market's ups-and-downs out of your
mind. The recent drops and upticks are short-term. Our economic problems
are much bigger and deeper. Too many people believe that if the stock
market goes up our problems are behind us and that's simply not true.
Last week the market had big drops and big upswings. In the end, the
market ended down more than 800 points and lots of 'experts' were
shouting it was a time to buy. I don't see it that way.
Did you know that just two days after the stock market crashed in
October 1929 the market actually gained ground the next two days? The
New York Times reported that "the market quickly regained its poise and
stability...." Today, Wall Street 'pros' are telling us it's a good time
to invest because Warren Buffet is investing. A lot of people were
probably using the same argument when the Rockefeller family was buying
stocks right after the 1929 crash, what they didn't know was that it
would take Wall Street ten more years to see those prices again.
Our current economic crisis was caused by politicians, both Democrats
and Republicans, who perverted the American Dream by treating home
ownership as an undeniable right rather than what it really is, a
privilege. President Bush aggressively
promoted the benefits of home ownership through various policy
positions, including a
reckless zero down-payment initiative for some homebuyers and
praised Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac even after concerns about their
accounting standards began to surface.
Read full letter...
Home
ownership has always been part of the American Dream. It allows
individuals and families to build wealth by having them pay themselves
instead of a landlord or rental company and vests people in their
communities by grounding them in local schools, stores and government.
The concept that owning a home was a privilege and not a right began to
change in 1992 following a flawed Boston Federal Reserve Board study
which
allegedly found subtle discrimination in loan and mortgage lending
by banks and mortgage lenders.
Politicians didn't care that the study was full of errors. The study
found discrimination took place when five minority applicants were
rejected for special low-income loans even though the applicants were
rejected because they made too much money to qualify for a low-income
loan,
not because of their race. The report also classified as 'rejected'
the applications of eight minority borrowers even though these
borrowers voluntarily withdrew their mortgage applications. The
study's sloppiness also went the other way.
The study reported that a white applicant was approved for a $3,115,000
loan in order to purchase a home valued at $445,000. It was later
demonstrated that the actual loan was approved for $311,500, far less
than $3 million reported and more importantly, less than the home's
purchase price. When these and other errors were corrected
no evidence of discrimination existed.
But politicians didn't care. They used this report as the basis to fix a
problem which didn't exist. Leading the charge for change was President
Clinton who immediately set-out to rework the
Community Reinvestment Act to give federal officials the power to
pressure banks to make loans they otherwise considered too risky or
uneconomical.
Traditional lending requirements were labeled 'outdated' and
discriminatory. What 'traditional lending requirements' were viewed as
'outdated' and 'discriminatory'? (1) banks were told that a "lack
of credit history should not be seen as a negative factor" and that
"past credit problems" should be viewed and considered in light of any "extenuating
circumstances" so loans could be extended when they otherwise would
have been denied; (2) banks were encouraged to let borrowers without
enough money for a down-payment make-up any deficiency with "gifts,
grants, or loans from relatives, nonprofit organizations, or municipal
agencies" even though banks considered this risky as the home buyer
would have little or no equity in the house; (3) banks were also
instructed that borrowers who received child support, welfare payments
or unemployment benefits
could count that as 'income' for borrowing purposes.
Call me crazy but if you need to count child support money that's
intended for your child, or are in such bad economic shape that you're
relying on welfare payments to make ends meet or are unemployed, maybe,
just maybe, you shouldn't be buying a house. Too bad our politicians and
the 'best and brightest' on Wall Street couldn't figure that out!
Community groups like ACORN,
threatened to cry racism if banks didn't increase their loans to
subprime borrowers. Banks typically avoided subprime loans as they
carried a greater risk of default, but with law on its side, ACORN and
other groups intimidated lending institutions into making such loans.
Banks soon learned, however, that making subprime loans actually could
increase their profits without increasing their risk. Once the banks
extended a loan to a subprime borrower that loan could then be sold by
the bank to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, two government sponsored entities
charged with making home ownership affordable to all Americans.
Banks, Wall Street, and mortgage lenders were soon eager to extend
mortgages to subprime borrowers because they could make lots of money
without carrying any risk. Fannie and Freddie carried all the risk once
the original lending agency sold the loan to them. And once Fannie and
Freddie bought the loan this freed up the banks to make even more
subprime loans.
So everyone was a winner. The subprime borrower got the money to buy a
house. The banks generated mortgages and made a nice profit and Fannie
and Freddie executives made tens-of-millions of dollars in salaries and
bonuses by hitting their annual goals.
The problem was that in order to keep all of this going lending
standards were continually lowered to help the next level of subprime
borrowers qualify for mortgages and no one had an incentive to make sure
that the new subprime borrowers would actually be capable of making
regular mortgage payments. The banks which extended the loans really
didn't care because they were just going to sell the loan off to Fannie
or Freddie. Fannie and Freddie weren't too concerned because it wasn't
their money-they knew that they were insured by the 'full faith and
credit' of the federal government (that's government lingo for "you and
me").
So when federal regulators began to warn the executives at Fannie and
Freddie about the increasing risks of non-payment by subprime borrowers
the companies did nothing and when the regulators took their concerns to
congress their warnings were met
with scorn and contempt. The politicians who received the
most political contributions from Fannie and Freddie, by pure
coincidence, just happened to be their biggest defenders: Chris Dodd
(D-$133,900), John Kerry (D-$111,000) and Barack Obama (D-$105,189).
Representative Barney Frank, who has been a fierce defender of Fannie
and Freddie, actually said, while arguing against more regulation, "I
want to roll the dice a little bit more in this situation
towards subsidized housing.... " It's nice to know that he doesn't
mind gambling with our money. Senator Chris Dodd, in praising Fannie and
Freddie said, "I, just briefly will say, Mr. Chairman, obviously, like
most of us here, this is
one of the great success stories of all time. "While Senator Charles
Schumer said, "And my worry is that we're using the recent safety and
soundness concerns, particularly with Freddie, and with a poor
regulator, as a straw man to
curtail Fannie and Freddie's mission."
Barack Obama has received
more money from Fannie and Freddie than any other senator, with the
exception of Senator Dodd, in the last four years. Before entering the
senate, Obama
filed a class-action lawsuit against Citibank, alleging that the
bank was red-lining, or not doing enough lending in certain areas. That
lawsuit was eventually settled. Arguably, Barack Obama helped cause the
problem he now wants to fix.
The Federal Reserve Board was doing its part by throwing huge piles of
cash at would-be home buyers by keeping interest rates too low. With low
interest rates speculators began to look at houses as business
opportunities, while others began to look at their homes as a giant
piggy bank rather than a place where you actually lived and raised a
family. Alan Greenspan encouraged this type of behavior and proudly
said, "American consumers might benefit if lenders provided
greater mortgage product alternatives to the traditional fixed-rate
mortgages..." President Bush, responding to September 11th unwisely
encouraged us to "go
shopping" rather than hunker down financially and contribute to the
War on Terror in other ways (can you say home equity loans?).
The SEC also shares in the blame. It failed to do its job (failed
to adequately regulate mortgage brokers, the
credit rating companies, and
naked short-sellers), acted only after the markets froze-up (finally
addressed mark-to-market rules) and refused to examine how the
credit-default-swap market could grow from $919 billion in 2001 to
over $54 trillion by 2008 (which allowed companies to make wild
financial bets with the false confidence that 'insurance' would be there
if the deal went south).
So what happened? Home-ownership rates which had been relatively
constant for 25 years began a 10 year upward climb beginning in 1995,
around the same time that government began its push and pressure for
banks to make more subprime loans. The politicians, banks, lenders and
Wall Streeters were thrilled because they were all making gobs of money.
Today we are all paying the price for the decisions made long ago. I
have spoken to people involved at the highest levels and they now are
all saying the same thing, "it is worse than anyone knows" and "worse
than I even thought." Political and business leaders who I respect have
told me that the economy is on the edge of an abyss.
The bailout is an outrage and is designed only to buy time for the
politicians. It will delay the real hard times from hitting until after
the November elections. Not one politician has said that this bailout
legislation will put us on a better financial footing or that our
economic problems will be put behind us. In fact, we'll be worse off
because our politicians, even in this crisis, can't stop themselves from
spending. This bill includes an extension of the rum tax benefits for
Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands ($192
million), tax benefits for companies which manufacture wooden arrows
for kids ($6
million), car racing tracks ($128
million), a provision which forces insurance companies to treat
mental health problems like physical problems ($3.8
billion) and
many, many more.
International markets don't offer any better alternative.
Germany,
England, the
Netherlands, and
Russia have all come out with their own government backed bailout
plans. There are now calls for
more international regulation (presumably led by the United Nations)
and China has taken this opportunity to call for "a diversified currency
and financial system and fair and just financial order that is
not dependent on the United States." Meanwhile, there is increasing
international indications that the dollar will lose its place as the
reserve currency of the world.
The politicians from both political parties continue to lie to us. They
promise us better healthcare and more government programs. The only
thing either party will be able to deliver is higher, much higher, taxes
as the debt swells and government revenues fall. The same politicians
remain silent, while capitalism, which brought us the highest standard
of living in the world, is increasingly attacked and
discredited by its enemies.
But it's not capitalism which has been discredited by our current
crisis, it's greed that has been shown to be at the root of our present
economic uncertainty, and greed is unfortunately a universal human trait
and has demonstrated its reach in socialism, fascism, communism and
capitalism. The greed of Wall Street is nothing compared to the greed of
our politicians who have continued to expand their power and influence
at the expense of their country.
Our children and grandchildren will ultimately pay the price for their
failure to act prudently and in the best interest of our country because
they will be the ones saddled with mountains of debt and diminished
standard of living.
I hope that this summary gives you a better idea of how the people who
caused this fire are the same ones who are now telling us that they know
best how to put it out and a reason not to believe their current
promises.
We have faced tough times before. We fought the Nazis in World War II,
defeated communism in the Cold War and Americans fought each other to
keep our country together in our own Civil War. These tough times
require us to educate ourselves and help others understand what has
brought us to this point and the grave consequences of what will
happen if we let this continue-that is our fight.
In my next email letter I will answer the other question you asked,
"what's coming?"
Sis, I know you will always consider me your crazy brother but please
pass this message on to all of your friends. There are too many rumors
circulating and I want to put the facts out there. This isn't about
slamming the Democrats or Republicans--this is about getting the truth
out to as many people as possible. The more people we can wake-up the
more people we will have restoring the hope, promise and opportunity of
our great country.
Please pass this on. Glenn
U.S. confirms bank buy-ins
Chicago Tribune
(October 11, 2008) - The government will buy an
ownership stake in a broad array of American banks for the first time
since the Great Depression, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said late
Friday. "This is a period like none of us has ever seen before," Paulson
declared. He said the government program to purchase stock in private
U.S. financial firms will be open to a broad array of institutions,
including banks, in an effort to help them raise desperately needed
money.
The administration received the authority to take such direct action in
the $700 billion economic rescue bill that Congress passed and President
George W. Bush signed last week. Paulson announced the administration's
new effort to prop up banks at the conclusion of discussions among
finance officials of the Group of Seven major industrialized countries.
That group endorsed the outlines of a sweeping program to combat the
worst global credit crisis in decades.
Paulson said the U.S. program would be designed to complement banks' own
efforts to raise fresh capital from private sources. The government's
stock purchases will be of non-voting shares so it will not have power
to run the companies. Few details of the plan were available.
The purchase of stakes in companies would be in addition to the main
thrust of the $700 billion rescue effort, which is to purchase
distressed assets from financial institutions as a way of unthawing
frozen credit, getting banks to resume normal lending operations and
staving off severe problems for businesses and everyday Americans alike.
It would mark the first time the government has taken equity ownership
in banks in this manner since a similar program was employed during the
Depression.
The Treasury, under the equity purchase program, would not be involved
in bank management, Paulson said. "Such a program would be designed to
encourage the raising of new private capital to complement public
capital," he said. | NewWorldOrder |
America|
Economic Crisis
|
China stiffing America for $100 billion in debt
WorldNet Daily
(October 11, 2008) - While Chinese companies are
in line to benefit directly from U.S. taxpayers' $700 billion-plus
bailout of Wall Street, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and other financial
institutions, Beijing is stiffing the U.S. for $100 billion or more in
unpaid debt.
The status of the Chinese economy, including its repudiated debt, has
prompted one analyst to warn of an "ominous threat" involving China's
finances and suggest the possibility of "a dramatic reversal" for the
"so-called Chinese Miracle." "One of the greatest problems facing China
is the government's failure to acknowledge and effectively address the
true extent of state institutions' bad debt," Kevin O'Brien writes in an
article titled, "Reassessing China's Sovereign Risk: Emerging Global and
Domestic Trends Threaten the 'Chinese Miracle."
O'Brien's report was published at a website for the Global Association
of Risk Professionals, a not-for-profit independent trade association of
risk management practitioners around the world. It has 77,000 members
from fields such as banking, investment management and academics. One
problem that should be addressed, he writes, is the $260 billion in
sovereign debt owed U.S. and other investors which China has said it
simply won't repay. "The repayment obligation was inherited by the
People's Republic of China, when the communists took control in 1949.
The successor government doctrine of settled international law affirms
continuity of obligations among international recognized successive
governments," O'Brien said.
"The PRC is the internationally recognized successor government … which
contracted the credit sovereign debt … and which had a loan agreement
that states that such debt is intended to be 'a binding engagement upon
the Republic of China and its successors.'" The bonds, however, were
excluded from a 1979 settlement of Chinese debts and in 1987, China even
"concluded a discriminatory settlement accord with bondholders in Great
Britain – an agreement that excluded from settlement any bonds held by
non-UK citizens."
Then in 2006, the Chinese Ministry of Finance issued an official
communiqué addressed to "the Embassy of the United States of America in
China," in which the Chinese government formally repudiated China's
defaulted full faith and credit sovereign debt and announced that it
would not repay any debt held by American citizens, O'Brien said. The
repudiation still stands, even though the China Economic Review
confirmed that major Chinese banks own $8 billion in Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac securities that are the targets of bailout provisions.
"Bank of China said last month it owned $7.5 billion in Fannie and
Freddie bonds," the report continued. "The bank also held $5.2 billion
in mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by the two agencies."
Those owners will be among the beneficiaries of the overall bailout plan
assembled by the government and funded by taxpayers to "rescue" bad debt
created by an agenda of loaning money to "subprime" recipients who may
not have had the wherewithal to repay the loans. Recipients of the U.S.
taxpayers' generosity also may include various private Chinese interests
with investments in American real estate and mortgage.
Read full story...
As recently as three weeks
ago, China Investment Corp. was in active discussions to buy into U.S.
financial institutions, including Morgan Stanley. All the while Congress
has been aware of the Chinese default but unwilling to mandate action.
Elton Gallegly, a California Republican in Congress, called it the
"China debt syndrome." "After Saddam Hussein's government was replaced
in Iraq, China demanded that the new government pay off the debt
Saddam's regime ran up against China. China prevailed and is getting 100
percent of the more than $10 billion Iraq owes it," he said in a recent
commentary. "China, however, refuses to recognize the debt its current
government inherited when the communists took control in 1949. That debt
includes about $260 billion on bonds issued by the former Republic of
China. Of that, more than 300 American citizens are owed nearly $100
billion from bonds on which the People's Republic of China has
defaulted," the congressman wrote.
"It's time China owned up to its international obligations. Pressure is
the only thing China understands. And pressure works. Americans weren't
the only ones owed billions when the communists seized control. British
citizens were among the bondholders communist China had been ignoring.
That lasted until 1987, when Great Britain enacted a law denying Chinese
access to British capital markets and China responded by negotiating a
settlement to pay off the bonds," he wrote.
Now, he said, China is in negotiations with France on defaulted bonds
but "continues to ignore the United States." He said worse than the
actual monetary loss is the message that suggests China "does not have
to play by the rules when it competes in the global economy. This helps
explain Beijing's refusal to abide by trade agreements, the manipulation
of its currency, its underwriting of the genocidal regime in Sudan and
its financial relationship with the terrorist-sponsoring government in
Iran." "To that list we can add China’s refusal to crack down on the
widespread theft of intellectual property. The piracy of U.S. movies,
books, music and other products is costing Americans billions of dollars
each year," he said.
China, meanwhile, is boasting of its economy growth
and influence. On a Chinese-promoted website today the headlines
bragged: "China ranks among the world’s top 30 economies," "China
Investment Corp to start investing in Japan stocks" and "China's ship
industry strives for No. 1 spot."
A resolution similar to Gallegly's also has been
introduced in the Senate. The plan by Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla.,
targets China's attempt "to conceal its defaulted government debt from
investors." "The Senate measure labels China's present
'investment-grade' credit rating as artificial and in testimony before
the Senate Banking Committee, SEC Chairman Christopher Cox acknowledged
that wrongful actions by a credit rating agency may subject the agency
to revocation of its SEC registration," an announcement said.
At Washington Watch, the criticism focused on the U.S.
credit rating agencies that have allowed the situation to remain under
the radar. "In China's instance, the three largest rating agencies
(Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch) are accused of intentionally
violating their published criteria and metrics," said the report.
"Sovereign Advisers, a risk metrics firm assisting the defaulted
creditors of the Chinese government, has performed comprehensive
research on this matter and has provided the U.S. Congress and the
Securities and Exchange Commission with evidence suggesting that the
actions of Standard & Poor's and Moody's were intentionally designed to
conceal the Chinese government's debt repudiation and establish an
artificial sovereign benchmark in order to increase ratings revenue from
expanded securities issuance by Chinese corporations."
On the Washington Watch website, several participants
in an online discussion expressed concern over the situation. "It is
about time the PRC was made to pay for their financial indiscretions
from the past," said one. "The situation is crystal clear," said
another. "China has an obligation and if it wishes to operate globally
it must meet this and any other obligations." "If it walks like a duck,
quacks like a duck, looks like a duck. China's credibility should be
disclosed so investors are aware of the risk. China needs to pay its
debts," added another.
Gallegly's effort also was to encourage that knowledge among investors.
"This action will put all investors on notice that China has refused to
honor its obligations in contravention of international law," he wrote.
"It will also encourage China to negotiate in good faith with American
bondholders to settle their claims on defaulted bonds." O'Brien called
China's actions "selective default." He said that's "a practice whereby
a government selectively defaults on one specific class of full faith
and credit soverereign obligations … yet honors repayment to selected
creditors of a separate class.."
"China's refusal to honor repayment of its full faith
and credit sovereign debt to American bondholders is best characterized
by a statement that appeared in a recent news article: 'When it comes to
territory, China claims Tibet and Taiwan based on historical claims
predating the current communist government assuming power, but when it
comes to debts owed to American citizens, it's a different story," he
wrote.
Iceland turns to Russia for bailout
RIA Novosti
(October 10, 2008) - Russia has agreed to bail out
Iceland by granting this small island state a huge stabilization loan at
an unbelievably low interest rate. Is it an act of wanton generosity, or
a far-sighted geopolitical step? And in general, four billion euros, is
it a lot or a little? The fate of Iceland has until recently not
concerned Russia one bit. Now only a lazy person is not discussing the
incredible sum the "island of stability" is going to inject into the
economy of a sinking island of geysers.
Europe has meanwhile been discussing Iceland for a long time. Hedge-fund
country, an example of liberal economic regulation and a model of a
rapidly developing economy, Iceland was the first in the world to feel
the impact of a full-bodied economic crisis. This happened at the end of
2007. Since this year began, Iceland's currency - the krona - has lost
one-third of its value against the euro. Iceland's leading banks -
Kaupthing, Glitnir and Landsbanki - have been marauded by international
financial sharks. At the end of September, the country's authorities
bought out (read, nationalized) Glitnir bank, and on October 7
Landsbanki, while on the same day Kaupthing bank received a 500 million
euro loan from Iceland's National Bank. By the autumn of 2008 it had
become clear Iceland might become the world's first country to suffer a
default.
Why is the bubble of Iceland's economy bursting so loudly? It ballooned
too rapidly, the IMF believes. In 2003-2007, the country's GDP had risen
by 25%, with this robust growth fed mainly by outside borrowing. To
attract foreign investments, the authorities strengthened the currency
and ratcheted up interest rates (by the beginning of 2008, they were the
highest in Europe - 15.5% per annum). The result was a monstrous
misbalance: a modest GDP, on the one hand, and immense financial assets
and tremendous liabilities, on the other. According to 2007 figures,
Iceland's GDP was $16 billion, while its financial assets stood at
1,000% of GDP and an external debt of 550% of GDP.
With Iceland teetering on the brink of default, Russia's stabilization
loan of four billion euros is a lifebelt, and a very sizeable one (on
the evening of October 7, Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin acknowledged
Russia's readiness to pay, although previously he had denied such claims
by Iceland's National Bank). Judge for yourself: when, in May 2008,
Iceland was drowning, the central banks of three Scandinavian countries
- Sweden, Denmark and Norway - set up a special $2.3 billion rescue fund
for Iceland. Now Russia alone is ready to fork over two and a half times
as much for the same purpose. In other words, four billion euros by
Iceland's standards is substantial.
In Russian eyes, it is a vast sum, too. And one pledged at a very fair
rate. To judge from a release issued by Iceland's National Bank, Russia
promised it at LIBOR+(0.3-0.5)%. This compares with LIBOR+1% at which
the Russian Central Bank wants to offer loans to Russia's
Vnesheconombank. At a time when Russian authorities hold crisis
emergency meetings almost daily, this looks strange, to say the least.
The man in the street would say this is no time for liberal loans when
one's own existence is at stake. This man's response would not be quite
right, in my opinion.
Read full story...
There are several reasons why
Russia should agree to issue the loan to Iceland. The first and
overwhelming one is geo-economic. Leaders in many countries are
gradually beginning to understand that a world caught in the maelstrom
of a financial crisis could be saved only by cooperative efforts. This
was a theme running through a three-day world policy conference in
Evian; it will certainly be taken up at an annual meeting of the
International Monetary Fund and World Bank.
WB chief Robert Zoellick only recently proposed that the G8 also include
BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China), Mexico, Saudi Arabia
and South Africa. World leaders more and more often speak of the need to
shelve personal ambitions, put away political squabbles and do
something.
To come to the aid of Iceland at such a time has been for Russia a
decision prompted by stark necessity. Russia has a rich war chest of
windfall oil money. By the end of September, its Central Bank had $566
billion in international reserves, and $32-plus billion in the National
Welfare Fund and the Reserve Fund. Of course, Russia could sit it out on
its "island of stability" and fight the crisis within its four walls.
But in this case Russia risks suddenly discovering that the global
financial storm whipped up even further by Iceland's hurricane has wiped
out all its stockpiled reserves.
Most of Iceland's lenders are European banks. Should Iceland
declare a default, the whole of Europe would go into a spin, and would
drag Russia after it, which now has a chance to scrape its way out of
the crisis the cheap way. It emerges that by saving Iceland, Russia is
saving itself first.
Other considerations are less global and more pragmatic. Crises come and
go, but allies (sometimes) remain. Iceland, a rapidly developing economy
and a happy hunting ground for businessmen from many European countries,
is certain to remember this gesture and take more kindly to Russian
investments in the future. So far, Russia-Iceland trade has been $100
million per year. And it was only shortly before the crisis that Russian
business (represented by Roman Abramovich and Oleg Deripaska) began
exploring the country's investment possibilities. Now the price for
entering Iceland's economy could prove very low. Besides, it makes a
good staging post for flights to Latin America.
Proverbs 22:7 The rich ruleth over the poor, and the borrower is
servant to the lender.
This principle is how I believe
the world will be forced into a global fix for the economic failures
by those who are the lenders. Perhaps the servants will be offered a
clean slate in exchange for participation in the new system. I
wouldn't be surprised because ultimately the spirit behind this is
not worried about making money, but pulling souls away from their
Creator and according to scripture, those who accept the terms of
the new cashless system that relies on a mark make not only an
immediate decision, but one that affects their eternity.
Revelation 14:9-11 And the third angel followed them, saying with a loud voice,
If any man worship the beast and his image, and receive his mark
in his forehead, or in his hand, the same shall drink of the
wine of the wrath of God, which is poured out without mixture
into the cup of his indignation; and he shall be tormented with
fire and brimstone in the presence of the holy angels, and in
the presence of the Lamb: and the smoke of their torment
ascendeth up for ever and ever: and they have no rest day nor
night, who worship the beast and his image, and whosoever
receiveth the mark of his name.
It seems to me the house of
cards is falling and everything that they try to do in order to prop
it back up fails to do anything to stop it. How close are we to
being indentured servants as a nation who will be offered a new
financial system as a way out? I don't know for sure, but there are
already globalization talks going on for the financial system:
Foreign economists urge 'global plan'
Berlusconi says leaders may close world’s markets
Bloomberg
(October 10, 2008) - Italian Prime Minister Silvio
Berlusconi said political leaders are discussing the idea of closing the
world's financial markets while they "rewrite the rules of international
finance." "The idea of suspending the markets for the time it takes to
rewrite the rules is being discussed," Berlusconi said today after a
Cabinet meeting in Naples, Italy. A solution to the financial crisis
"can't just be for one country, or even just for Europe, but global."
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell as much 8.1 percent in early
trading and pared most of those losses after Berlusconi's remarks. The
Dow was down 0.5 percent to 8540.52 at 10:10 in New York.
Group of Seven finance ministers and central bankers are meeting in
Washington today, and will stay in town for the International Monetary
Fund and World Bank meetings this weekend. European Union leaders may
gather in Paris on Oct. 12, three days before a scheduled summit in
Brussels, Berlusconi said today, while Group of Eight leaders may hold a
meeting on the crisis "in coming days," he said.
Berlusconi didn't give any details about what kind of rules leaders were
looking to change, except to say that leaders are "talking about a new
Bretton Woods." The Bretton Woods Agreements were adopted to rebuild the
international economic system after World War II in a hotel in Bretton
Woods, New Hampshire. The aim of the agreements was to establish a
monetary management system, initially by pegging currencies to gold. The
IMF was set up later to help manage the international financial system.
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EU/UN/4th Kingdom
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NewWorldOrder |
America|
Economic Crisis
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This is now a national emergency.
Seven trillion dollars of wealth has been vaporized in US
Stocks in the last seven days alone, with five of it since the passage
of that ill-designed and foolhardy "bailout" bill.
The selloff this afternoon is the "real deal." It was
not caused by the stock market getting "mad", it was caused by the
short-term credit market along with the Treasury market suddenly
dislocating at a few minutes before the bond pit closed at 2:00 PM.
Worse is also the fact that institutional lending has
essentially disappeared - both between banks
and now it is choking off commercial short-term credit
across the board. It doesn't get any more
serious than this. To repeat: short-term commercial credit is
threatening to completely disappear from the American scene. Every
action our government has taken thus far, including repealing
mark-to-market requirements have made the situation worse by further
destroying confidence.
In the overnight market the futures are imploding once again;
the Osaka exchange was closed in Japan after
hitting its "lock limit" within minutes prior to the Nikkei opening; the
Nikkei is now down ANOTHER 10%, for a total loss
of nearly 20% in just two days, with Japanese banks
trading "offer only" - that is, NO BID. There are
rumors of government bond market fails in parts of Europe, and Iceland
has essentially been cut off from the rest of the world Interbank
marketplace.
Japanese banks are now firewalling themselves from European and US
claims; the interbank market is about to explode. Iceland has
effectively defaulted on sovereign debt and today there was a rumor that
Hungary had a failed bond auction, effectively defaulting as well.
Key: Sovereign debt (that is, Treasuries
from various nations) has become infected with trash - unfortunately
including ours now that Fannie and Freddie were nationalized and
TARP has been passed - and may fail in a cascade-style fashion across
the world. If this occurs our ability to fund our government will be
cut off as well, leading to a need to reduce government spending by $800
billion a year immediately.
This means huge and immediate cuts to Social Security, Medicare and
Military budgets - by as much as half.
Over a year ago I warned in my writings that this could happen if we did
not take action. If we did not force accountability through Congress
and onto our financial system. If we did not force the thieves,
liars and thugs on Wall Street to take their medicine. Instead of taking
action we have sat on our collective asses and allowed Congress to pass
bailout after bailout - now our stock market is down close to 40% from
the top with 20% of that loss coming in just over one week! We
are facing a global DEPRESSION and the cut-off of essential goods
and services in this nation if we do not stop this lunacy immediately.
Please understand - the TRUCKER who has a full load of food headed for
your grocer REQUIRES commercial credit in order to fill his truck
with diesel. The local GAS STATION owner REQUIRES commercial
credit to fill his underground storage tank. The local CAR DEALER
REQUIRES commercial credit to have cars - and parts - in his
dealership. No credit, no car - and no car repairs.
The manufacturer over in China REQUIRES
commercial credit (letters of credit from the buyer's bank) to be able
to ship those goods to America, where you can buy them. If the bank
over there won't take the LOC from the bank over here, suddenly you have
no tires, DVDs and other similar products to buy.
IF THESE MARKETS DO NOT IMMEDIATELY
UNFREEZE THE CONSEQUENCE WILL BE THAT FOOD AND FUEL, ALONG WITH ALL
OTHER MANNER OF CONSUMER PRODUCTS, MAY NOT FLOW TO YOUR GROCERY
STORE AND GAS STATION.
Read full story...
Think about that very carefully
and then consider whether YOU can afford to sit
on your ass for one more second, or whether you have an absolute NEED to get on the phone, fax, and whatever else RIGHT
NOW to your elected and appointed representatives and, if
you do not get in response that they will IMMEDIATELY
resolve this matter whether you will vow to band together with every one
of your associates and friends, form a group consisting of everyone in
your local city or town, and call a GENERAL STRIKE,
refusing to both work and permit commerce to be conducted
UNTIL THE LIARS ARE FORCED INTO THE OPEN, DEALT WITH, AND THE SYSTEM IS
ABLE TO CLEAR.
We are quite literally out of time. This freeze in the markets WILL continue around the globe unless something is done
NOW. Every "intervention" and "promise" made by
our government thus far - all of them - have been LIES. Our
government has done NOTHING to alleviate the problem
and in fact every one of their "solutions" have made the situation worse
- going back for more than a year. We have "pumped liquidity" and even
bailed out firms with taxpayer money, and yet the markets have
not unfrozen.
They remain frozenbecause the root cause of the problem is
that banks and other financial firms have been lying for more
than a year, each quarter claiming to have "kitchen sinked" their losses
only to report more the next quarter, and in some cases have gone on
national TV to proclaim they're "well-capitalized" only days or weeks
before they collapse!
The first question anyone asks when someone wishes to borrow
money is whether or not they will get paid back.
If the lender does not believe they will
be able to be paid back then that loan will not be made, no
matter how much money someone has available to them. It really is
that simple folks and yet this fundamental principle has been
willfully and intentionally ignored for more than a year.
YOU MUST CHOOSE RIGHT NOW, TONIGHT, AS AN AMERICAN WHETHER YOU ARE GOING
TO GO TO WORK TOMORROW AND PRETEND THAT NOTHING IS WRONG, OR WHETHER YOU
ARE GOING TO ENGAGE IN PEACEFUL BUT FORCEFUL PROTEST IN DEMANDING THAT
THIS CRISIS BE ADDRESSED NOT WITH "MORE OF THE SAME" BUT BY ARRESTING
EACH AND EVERY ONE OF THE CROOKS, BY FORCING BALANCE SHEET TRANSPARENCY
FOR EACH AND EVERY FIRM IN THE UNITED STATES, AND BY THEN FORCIBLY
RECAPITALIZING VIA DEBT-TO-EQUITY "CRAMDOWNS" EACH AND EVERY INSOLVENT
BANK AND OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTION, WITH TREASURY STEPPING IN WITH
TAXPAYER MONEY ONLY AFTER THE TRUTH (OR FALSEHOOD) OF SOLVENCY IS
ESTABLISHED IN PUBLIC WHERE WE CAN ALL SEE IT.
THIS IS NO LONGER JUST ABOUT YOUR RETIREMENT SAVINGS AND HOUSE (although
that's important) IT NOW IS, QUITE LITERALLY, ABOUT THE ABILITY OF
ORDINARY COMMERCE TO CONTINUE AND ESSENTIAL GOODS AND SERVICES - FOOD
AND FUEL AMONG THEM - TO REACH OUR MARKETS. YOU LITERALLY MUST CHOOSE
NOW, AS THE TIME TO DAWDLE AND THINK ABOUT IT HAS EXPIRED.
Update 7:30 AM CT 10/10 - Overnight LIBOR
has come in dramatically, but 3 month dollar LIBOR has not - in fact, it
went higher. This tells you that while people do not believe the market
is due to implode tomorrow - an improvement over yesterday - they also
don't believe that anything will be fixed in the next few months. Thus,
as of this time, the nightmare scenario remains on the table.
8:00 AM - Trading desks (from the forum and a quick check) are reporting
agencies being dumped by Chinese holders. Don't be too quick to call
this "screw those evil Americans" - this smells like have to sell
as opposed to want to sell. LOC seizures mean goods aren't
moving which means you have to sell what you can, irrespective of
price. Ditto for the price dislocation in the Treasury market.
Say goodnight to what's left of the housing market - as I expected would
happen - its done.
9:53 - Again,
for
the second day, no OMO (Open Market Operations) at The Fed. Read
this report carefully. Note that there are no Agencies and no
Treasuries left on The Fed's balance sheet. All gone. All that is left
is $80 billion of crappy MBS. Bluntly, without printing raw money, The
Fed is out of Treasuries with which to lend into the market, and thus
cannot perform OMO any more; they must do "other things" (like print
money.) We are now officially into the twilight zone and Fed Solvency
is an issue on the table. President Bush spoke again but none one word
about forcing transparency among financial institutions.
Raise cash now and be prepared for potential
essential good and service disruptions as the supply pipelines could
begin to go dry on these as soon as early next week.
New World Order: Global co-operation, nationalisation and state
intervention - all in one day
The Scotsman
(October 9, 2008) - IT WAS a day of desperate
global action, unprecedented in both scale and cost, intended to stymie
the international devastation being wrought by the financial crisis. As
the London stock market steeled itself to open again following days of
vicious battering, Alistair Darling, the Chancellor, rose to stake the
future of the country and the Cabinet on an audacious £500 billion
banking bail-out.
And barely had the City begun to digest the hugely complex and
unorthodox scheme when it was sent reeling again by an unscheduled
interest rate cut – mirrored across the world – by the Monetary Policy
Committee. It was the first such co-ordinated approach since the 9/11
terrorist attacks in 2001 – yet another indicator, had one been needed,
of the gravity of the situation. The half percentage point drop was
immediately passed on to millions of borrowers, with leading high-street
banks cutting their mortgages.
The government's scheme, a three-part plan which takes in short, medium
and long-term measures, was welcomed by business leaders and analysts.
David Kern, adviser to the British Chamber of Commerce, said: "The
government has taken a radical step, but it is one we welcome."
But there was concern a phenomenal amount of taxpayers' cash was being
staked on a last-ditch measure that could fail. The Taxpayers' Alliance
accused ministers of failing to address other options first. Meanwhile,
the International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued a fresh warning that
Britain was on the brink of recession. In its latest World Economic
Outlook, it predicted the UK economy would contract by 0.1 per cent next
year as growth across the developed countries slowed to almost zero.
The downturn will mean lost jobs, with unemployment forecast to rise
from 5.4 per cent to 6 per cent, while public finances were said to be
"considerably weaker" than in previous slowdowns. However, the IMF said
it was expecting Britain to bounce back strongly in 2010.
The £500 billion plan includes the government taking shares of up to £50
billion in leading banks, increasing funds available to banks to £200
billion, and guaranteeing their debts when they lend to one another. The
guarantees are likely to cost up to £250 billion. The Prime Minister
called the plans "bold and far-reaching", but admitted they would offer
no quick fix.
Read full story...
Eight UK banks and building
societies – including Royal Bank of Scotland, Halifax Bank of Scotland,
Barclays, Lloyds TSB and Nationwide – have pledged to increase their
capital by £25 billion but the government will pump in the funds if
called upon. The Treasury also stands ready to make at least another £25
billion available, if necessary. The Bank of England – alongside its
interest rate cut – is taking emergency action to help ensure banks have
enough cash to run their day-to-day activities. It has increased to £200
billion the size of its special liquidity scheme that lets banks swap
risky assets for Treasury bonds.
The government is also making the further £250 billion available for
banks to guarantee debt, but a fee will be charged. Mr Brown moved to
reassure taxpayers they would have the potential to "earn a proper
return" from their investment. There would be "strings attached and
conditions to be met" to protect taxpayer interests.
One key concern is whether there will be controls over the bonuses of
the "fat cat" bank bosses. Gordon Brown, the Prime Minister, said such
issues would be dealt with case by case. Remuneration should be "based
on responsibility, hard work, effort and enterprise", he said. It had
been claimed that RBS bosses, chief executive Sir Fred Goodwin and
chairman Sir Tom McKillop, had offered to leave under a boardroom
clear-out agreed with the government, but this was denied by the bank.
The announcement provided an initial boost to the FTSE 100 index of
leading shares, and in particular to banking stocks, but this fell away
later in the day. The FTSE closed at a loss of 5 per cent – its lowest
close since 2004 – while banks failed to hold on to the huge gains of up
to 60 per cent made earlier in the day.
When Mr Brown stood to address the House of Commons on the package,
which could well determine how his premiership is judged, he was able to
announce the interest rate cut. Central banks across Europe, the US,
Canada and China also reduced interest rates in an emergency move. The
banks hope to encourage nervous consumers and businesses to spend more
freely again after widespread housing, credit and financial problems.
The cut – which was immediately passed on to more than five million
homeowners – was cautiously welcomed by analysts and business leaders.
Miles Templeman, director-general of the Institute of Directors, said:
"Before today's announcement, the financial system was in the deep
freeze. After today, it might be in the fridge, but there is no
guarantee. Nobody should be under any illusion that the financial system
is now fixed. Our concern now is for the real economy and how much it
will slow. "There remains a real risk that the economic downturn under
way will further undermine bank capital due to rising repossessions and
bad debt."
Howard Archer, an economist, of Global Insight, said: "It's not the
magic pill. We have a lot of difficult times ahead. But the first stage
is stopping things getting worse, and the hope is this will help to
stabilise the economy." Martin Weale, director of the National Institute
of Economic and Social Research, said that, for the UK, it was important
that the move came alongside the £500 billion package. He said: "The
international banks concluded there is a major international banking
crisis. Banks were collapsing in Europe, as well as the United States. I
think they rather optimistically concluded a rate cut of this type can
restore confidence." Rate cuts were "a valuable piece on the side", but
he added: "The key issue is for affected countries to do what Britain
has done and show governments are prepared to inject equity capital into
banks that look as though they need it. "We will only be confident the
worst is over when the US adopts a scheme like Britain."
And Louise Cuming, the head of mortgages at moneysupermarket.com,
warned: "This is not a magic cure-all, and we won't see either the
mortgage or the housing market bouncing back to where it was 18 months
ago." Following the announcements, Mr Brown spoke by phone to the French
president, Nicolas Sarkozy, the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, and
the Italian prime minister, Silvio Berlusconi, as well as the EC
president, José Manuel Barroso. The government is expected to hold up
its plan as a potential model for the rest of Europe. The EU – which is
concerned about competition implications of a scheme by Ireland to
safeguard its deposits – later said it saw no problem with Britain's
move.
Is the
Federal Reserve Engaged in Acts of Economic Warfare Against America?
Natural News
(October 8, 2008) - In 1942, German intelligence
officers rounded up skilled Jewish prisoners and launched Operation
Bernhardt, a clever scheme designed to counterfeit hundreds of
millions of dollars worth of British Pounds and destroy the British
economy by flooding it with counterfeit money. Located in the
Sachsenhausen concentration camp, Operation Bernhardt was, even by
modern standards, a runaway success that resulted in the creation of
forged bank notes worth 132 million British Pounds. This "economic
warfare" operation resulted in a devastating economic effect on the
British economy. You can read the true history of this operation
here.
It is important to note that Operation Bernhardt was an act of war,
specifically pursued for the purpose of destroying Britain's economy by
creating so much new money that the value of the money already in
circulation would plummet. This was considered a strategic attack, just
as effective as carpet-bombing tank factories or mowing down soldiers on
the field with German-made MG42 machine guns.
What does all this have to do with the Federal Reserve?
Today, the Federal Reserve is engaged in an eerily similar operation,
counterfeiting trillions of dollars in U.S. bank notes and flooding the
U.S. money supply with money created from nothing. The result, of
course, is the same as was intended by Operation Bernhardt in 1942: The
economic destruction of the target nation. Only this time, the target is
the United States of America.
Hilariously, the Fed claims it's doing this to save the economy.
Yet the laws of economics tell us that flooding the money supply with
trillions of dollars in new money actually harms the economy. And
the Fed has been hard at work causing this harm: $250+ billion two weeks
ago, $600+ billion last week and $900 billion earlier this week! It's
beginning to crank up the printing presses to the tune of a trillion
dollars a week, and by doing so, it's contributing to the
destruction of the U.S. economy at a pace the Third Reich could have
barely imagined.
Read full story...
Has the Fed declared war
on the working class?
If the actions pursued by the Federal Reserve were being masterminded by
Al-Qaeda, they would be denounced as acts of war. In World War
II, such actions were deliberate acts of war. Targeting the
economy for destruction by flooding the money supply with counterfeit
currency is, by any measure, a threat to any nation.
So why is the Federal Reserve engaged in actions that, if committed by
other nations, would warrant a military response? This is not an idle
question. I'm not asking this in a satirical way. I'm quite serious
about this: Why is the Fed committing acts of economic warfare against
the United States of America? (The Fed, by the way, is a private
company. It is not, as you've been led to believe, part of the U.S.
government.) [Some videos presenting the facts
on that
here,
here,
here and
here]
The answer is obvious. You've probably already figured it out: The
Federal Reserve is at war with America. It's an economic war, of
course, not a bombs-and-bullets war. The casualties, though, are just as
real: Savings accounts, retirement funds, bank accounts, jobs,
businesses, pensions and much more.
By counterfeiting trillions of dollars like a Sachsenhausen operation on
steroids, the Fed is carpet-bombing the U.S. economy with an
unprecedented flood of fiat currency, causing the exact same economic
destruction intended by the Nazis in World War II (but on a much more
devastating scale). And it's doing this as part of a new economic war.
Class warfare has begun
What war? The war between the wealthy elite and the working class.
The Fed is working hard, of course, to protect the wealthy elite. Over a
trillion dollars of taxpayer money has already been earmarked to bail
out the rich, elite bankers who lost other people's money in a series of
idiotic bets on fictitious financial instruments.
And what are these bankers doing with this taxpayer money? According to
an Associated Press report published yesterday, executives of the failed
insurance company AIG were sent on a $440,000 retreat "to a posh
California resort" less than one week after the U.S. government bailed
them out. At the spa, AIG executives enjoyed spa treatments, massages,
organic food buffets and bodywork therapy, all while the American
taxpayers footing the bill were slaving away in real jobs, doing real
work. Want to see the invoice for yourself? View it
here.
That's how this new class warfare is taking shape: YOU (the working
class) get all the debt, all the losses, and all the financial burden.
THEY (the wealthy elite) get all the profits, all the luxury spa
treatments, all the tax breaks and billions of dollars in free money
from the Federal Reserve.
In the 1942 Operation Bernhardt, the Germans literally planned to load
hundreds of millions of dollars in British Pound bank notes and air-drop
them over London. The resulting chaos, it was believed, would shut down
the British economy, halting the flow of money needed by Britain to fund
its war effort. In the United States today, the Fed is taking a
different approach: Air-dropping trillions of dollars into the laps and
bank accounts of wealthy bankers and financial institution CEOs,
concentrating the massive creation of fiat currency into the hands of
less than 1% of the population.
And just to make sure the economic carpet-bombing is a complete success,
the Federal Reserve and U.S. government are conspiring to create more
than a trillion dollars in new money each week, then flood those funds
into banks, businesses and insurance companies. This will, of course,
devastate the value of the dollars being saved, held or earned by the
wage slaves who labor their lives away under this economic regime. (That
would be you and me.)
It's a brilliant plan... if you're interested in destroying a nation.
This kind of attack would bring almost any nation to its knees. It's an
act of war that requires no violence, no bombs and no destruction of
real infrastructure. And yet it achieves what every war in history has
ever sought to achieve: The transfer of power from the hands of the
many to the hands of the few. The Federal Reserve, in effect, has
become a modern-day economic Third Reich, and it has set its sights on
the U.S. economy.
Acts of economic terrorism?
The Federal Reserve is now doing to the U.S. what the terrorists could
never have accomplished: The destruction of a large portion of its
economy, its currency and the savings of its people. The economic losses
of 9/11 pale in comparison to the financial destruction that has been
unleashed onto America by the Federal Reserve.
Yet, amazingly, it wasn't "terrorists" who put this plan into place. Who
was it, exactly? Your Congressional representatives played an
important role in allowing this to happen. In a grand, historical
betrayal of the American people, members of your own U.S. House of
Representatives and Senate voted to initiate a massive economic coup in
America, violating the wishes of 99% of the American people (who are
aligned against bailing out the rich on the backs of the poor).
Of course, to hear them explain it, their actions are meant to save
the taxpayers. Yep, that's their plan: To save YOU, the taxpayer, by
confiscating your money and handing it over to the wealthy elite. And
whatever money can't be stolen from the taxpayers will be counterfeited
by the Fed's money-creation machine.
The Real Agenda: A Massive Transfer of Wealth
We are not watching an economic rescue, friends. We are watching an
economic coup.Creating and dumping trillions of dollars into the
money supply is an act of war. But it's a war with a specific
purpose.
What's happening right now is that the United States is being taken
over by King Henry and his accomplices. More than fifty percent of
the housing and nearly twenty percent of the entire U.S. economy is now
controlled by one person -- Henry Paulson -- and that person answers to
no one. He isn't elected, he can't be removed from office, and he's
subject to no law.
King Henry controls unlimited funds. He can print any amount of money,
or confiscate any amount from the taxpayers (by spending taxpayer
dollars to bail out his rich friends). If the Federal Reserve is the new
Third Reich, King Henry is its Hitler.
The economic war has already been lost by the People. It was lost on
September 30, 2008, when Congress surrendered the U.S. economy to King
Henry. The People now own nothing but paper money and ephemeral digital
account numbers, all of which could be turned into worthless digits
overnight by a single decision from King Henry.
In this economic bailout and the Fed's unlimited creation of new money,
America has suffered the greatest act of economic warfare in our
nation's history. Note carefully that it wasn't conducted by the Nazis,
Saddam Hussein or Al Qaeda. It was, in fact, put into place by 172
Democrats and 91 Republicans in the House, and a similar majority in the
U.S. Senate. (See the complete list at the original article source
linked above.) more...
AIG Hits Up Fed for More Money
CNN Money
(October 8, 2008) - The New York Federal Reserve
is lending up to $37.8 billion to American International Group to give
the troubled insurer access to much-needed cash. In exchange, AIG is
giving the New York Fed investment-grade, fixed-income securities that
it had previously lent out to other institutions for a fee. Those
institutions are now returning these securities and want their money
back.
The new program, announced Wednesday, is on top of the $85 billion the
federal government agreed to lend to AIG last month to prevent the
global company from collapsing. AIG said last Friday it had drawn down
$61 billion. The lending program is a way for AIG to get funding for its
businesses, said a New York Fed spokesman. The system is similar to
lending facilities the Fed provides to banks, which can also exchange
collateral for cash.
The latest announcement does not jeopardize the government's ability to
recoup its loan to AIG, experts said. "AIG will repay the loan," said
Stewart Johnson, portfolio manager at Philo Smith, an investment bank
specializing in insurance. "It's just a matter of how much of themselves
they will have to sell."
Paying back a big debt
On Sept. 16, the Federal Reserve Board agreed to lend AIG $85 billion,
using the company's assets as collateral. The loan is expected to be
repaid from the proceeds of the asset sales. Interest on the line of
credit is steep, and the government took a 79.9% stake in the company.
Last week, AIG said it planned to hold onto its property-and-casualty
insurance businesses, while selling off the rest of the company to pay
the massive debt. Those other business lines include its aircraft
leasing unit; asset-management division; retirement services; and U.S.
life insurance operations.
AIG chief executive Edward Liddy, who was installed by the Federal
Reserve last month after the bailout, on a conference call last Friday
was optimistic about the potential for the asset sales. "We fully expect
to emerge from this with a capital structure that's fit to fight," he
said. "Our insurance businesses...are strong and well-capitalized." But
some analysts are more skeptical. "The current disruption in the credit
markets could make it difficult to sell businesses at attractive
valuations," ratings agency Standard and Poor's said.
CreditSights valued the units AIG planned to sell at $32.9 billion and
the divisions it will keep at $86 billion. These figures do not include
the sale of a minority stake in its foreign life insurance operations,
valued at $133.1 billion. First to hit the market will likely be units
tied to airline leasing and consumer lending, both of which require
funding from the debt markets, which is hard to come by these days.
International Lease Finance Corp. could command more than $7 billion and
American General Finance Corp. will likely bring in about $2 billion,
according to CreditSights. Once AIG sells its assets, it faces many
hurdles in stabilizing its property and casualty insurance divisions,
experts said. |
America|
Economic Crisis
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Federal Reserve, ECB and Bank of England make emergency interest rate
cutsTelegraph UK
(October 8, 2008) - The Federal Reserve, the
European Central Bank and the Bank of England have all cut interest
rates in an emergency move to restore confidence in the global financial
system. The Fed cut its benchmark rate by a half point to 1.5 pc, the
central bank said in a statement. The ECB and central banks of the U.K.,
Canada, Sweden and Switzerland are also reducing rates, the Fed added.
"The recent intensification of the financial crisis has augmented the
downside risks to growth and thus has diminished further the upside
risks to price stability," according to a joint statement by the central
banks. "Some easing of global monetary conditions is therefore
warranted." The move comes as the turmoil in financial markets deepens
and the UK today unveiled a £500bn rescue package for the country's
banking sector.
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EU/UN/4th Kingdom
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NewWorldOrder |
America|
Economic Crisis
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George Bush to summon leaders to emergency finance summitTelegraph UK
(October 7, 2008) - The prospect of a high-level
global meeting came as the US central bank launched a new bid to
unfreeze credit markets by effectively lending billions of dollars to US
companies. The Federal Reserve moved after lending in the commercial
paper market - where companies raise money from the open money markets -
all but ceased, raising a serious threat to many American businesses'
operations. "This facility should encourage investors to once again
engage in term lending in the commercial paper market," the Fed said.
The Fed's move -- which puts billions of dollars of US taxpayers' money
at risk -- was the latest sign of how desperate American leaders are to
unblock the global financial system and avert a severe recession. Mr
Bush underlined that message personally on Tuesday in conversations with
other world leaders. The Prime Minister, Nicolas Sarkozy, the French
President and Silvio Berlusconi, the Italian Prime Minister, spoke with
the United States President by telephone. Mr Bush urged his European
counterparts to coordinate efforts to solve financial crisis spreading
around the globe. All are expected to agree to attend a meeting if the
details can be thrashed out.
Downing Street said it was "a good idea" and welcomed the President's
close attention to events in Europe. The idea was floated by Mr Sarkozy,
who holds the presidency of the European Union. Dana Perino, the White
House press secretary, said: "The president obviously talked to
President Sarkozy about his idea to have a meeting. The president's open
to that." The venue for the meeting would still have to be decided,
although Washington is the likely destination.
Mr Brown squeezed in a last-minute meeting with Mr Bush when he was in
America two weeks ago, prior to Congress agreeing the £700 billion
rescue plan that had been proposed by Hank Paulsen, the United States
Treasury Secretary. At that stage the problems of Europe seemed to
relatively minor compared to the crisis unfolding on Wall Street, but
events in Europe and elsewhere in the last week have highlighted the
need for concerted and co-ordinated action.
In Luxembourg EU finance ministers on Tuesday said that they will talk
daily in future and "ensure a comprehensive and coordinated response to
the current situation." They agreed to guarantee private savings of up
to Euro 50,000 (£38,900) for one year after failing to agree on a higher
limit of Euro 100,000 (£77,800). The new limit is below the protection
already offered by many EU countries, including the UK.
EU governments have been trying to restore confidence after a series of
bank bailouts last week and a "beggar-my-neighbour" scramble by
individual countries to increase deposit guarantees, started by
Ireland's promise to underwrite 100 percent of deposits. Disparities in
EU states' treatment of banks is unnerving investors and prompting
savers to shift billions across borders.
In another unilateral European move, Spain on Tuesday announced it was
setting up a £30 billion fund to help the financial sector. Taro Aso,
the Japanese Prime Minister, said he was concerned that the EU leaders'
failure to agree a seamless response to the banking crisis will cause
continued turmoil in world markets. Mr Aso said: "European leaders have
met, but it didn't go well, and European financial markets have
fluctuated rapidly and substantially, so I'm worried about the impact on
Japan."
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EU/UN/4th Kingdom
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NewWorldOrder|
America|
Economic Crisis
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European Crisis Deepens; Officials Vow to Save Banks
Bloomberg
(October 6, 2008) - The credit crunch deepened in
Europe as government leaders pledged to bail out troubled banks and
protect depositors. BNP Paribas SA will take control of Fortis's units
in Belgium and Luxembourg after government efforts to ensure the
company's stability failed, while Germany's government and financial
institutions agreed on a 50 billion euro ($68 billion) rescue package
for Hypo Real Estate Holding AG. U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer
Alistair Darling said Britain is "ready to do whatever it takes" to help
its banks.
The developments yesterday came a day after a summit in Paris where
leaders of Europe's four biggest economies stopped short of a plan
mirroring the $700 billion rescue in the U.S. to counter the worst
financial crisis since World War II. Instead, they agreed to work
together to limit the economic fallout, ease accounting rules, and seek
tougher financial regulations. "Until now the solutions have appeared to
be uncoordinated, so perhaps it's time for a more coordinated approach
globally," said Torsten Slok, an economist at Deutsche Bank AG in New
York. "It's not just the U.S. and Europe, it's banks in every part of
the world."
The euro slid to a 13-month low against the dollar and Treasuries rose
as the credit crisis spread outside the U.S., prompting investors to opt
for less risky investments. Asian stocks fell for a third day, led by
financial companies.
`New World'
French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who convened the Oct. 4 meeting,
called for a global summit "as soon as possible" to implement "a real
and complete reform of the international financial system." He said "all
actors" must be supervised, including credit-rating firms and hedge
funds. Executive-pay systems must also be reviewed, he said. "We want
a new world to come out of this," Sarkozy said. "We want to set up
the basis for a capitalism of entrepreneurs, not speculators." Finance
ministers from the Group of Seven industrialized nations meet in
Washington later this week.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel's opposition to collective action
underscored the hurdles to a European front. "Each country must take its
responsibilities at a national level," she told a joint press conference
after the summit. Germany will guarantee the savings of private account
holders, Merkel said, in a bid by Europe's biggest economy to prevent a
rush of withdrawals. Denmark said today commercial lenders will provide
as much as 35 billion kroner ($6.4 billion) over the next two years to a
fund to insure depositors against losses.
Read full story...
Deposit Guarantees
Until now, German savings accounts, including those of small, privately
held companies, have been guaranteed by 180 banks in Germany, the BDB
private banks group said on Oct. 2. The guarantees of the banks covered
90 percent of an account's balance to a maximum of 20,000 euros, the
group said. The German and Danish governments' commitments follow
similar verbal pledges by Sarkozy and Italian Prime Minister Silvio
Berlusconi, both of whom have promised to prevent losses for depositors
in their countries. Ireland is guaranteeing banks' deposits and debts
for two years, to restore confidence in the country's financial
industry. Amid the race to shore up Europe's faltering financial
institutions, BNP Paribas, France's biggest lender, agreed to pay 14.5
billion euros for control of Fortis's units in Belgium and Luxembourg.
BNP Paribas
The sale comes after a Sept. 28 bailout failed to stabilize what was
Belgium's biggest financial-services provider, as clients withdrew money
and the company had trouble obtaining loans. Fortis received an 11.2
billion euro capital injection from Belgium, the Netherlands and
Luxembourg. The Belgian government will have an 11.6 percent stake in
BNP Paribas, and Luxembourg a 1.1 percent holding, after the purchases
are completed, BNP Paribas said in a statement today.
On Oct. 3, the Dutch government took control of Fortis's units in the
Netherlands for 16.8 billion euros after deciding the initial rescue
didn't go far enough. Meanwhile, Hypo Real Estate won a reprieve after
Germany's finance ministry said the country's banks and insurers agreed
to double a credit line for the company to 30 billion euros. The federal
government's guarantee for the credit line remains unchanged, Torsten
Albig, a spokesman for Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck, said late
yesterday in an e-mailed statement.
Too Big to Fail
Munich-based Hypo Real Estate had earlier announced that a
government-backed 35 billion-euro bailout plan collapsed after
commercial banks withdrew their support. The government and the
Bundesbank have said that the nation's second-biggest property lender is
too big to fail. The Hypo reprieve comes after Dexia SA, the world's
biggest lender to local governments, got a 6.4 billion euro state-backed
rescue on Sept. 30. Belgium's federal and regional governments, France
and the company's largest shareholders will supply the funds for
Brussels- and Paris-based Dexia.
Meanwhile, UniCredit SpA, Italy's biggest bank by assets, said it
planned to boost capital by as much as 6.6 billion euros in an effort to
calm investors' concerns about the strength of the lender's finances.
The capital-raising project approved late yesterday by the bank's
directors includes replacing the lender's cash dividend for 2008
earnings with 3.6 billion euros of new shares, and selling 3 billion
euros of convertible securities.
Helping Banks
In the U.K., Darling said the government, which took over Bradford &
Bingley Plc last week, is ready to offer further support to banks that
may get into financial difficulty. He did not rule out a further
injection of capital for failing institutions. "We are ready to do
whatever it takes, and that is, we've put money in to help banks
generally," Darling told the British Broadcasting Corp.'s Sunday AM
program. "There are other measures we will be taking too, and I will
announce them when we are ready to do that."
Darling's boss, Prime Minister Gordon Brown, was among the leaders
gathered in Paris, along with Berlusconi, Luxembourg Prime Minister
Jean-Claude Juncker, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso
and European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet.
Severe Crisis
"The good news out of the Paris meeting is that the European heads of
state now recognize the severity of this crisis," Goldman Sachs Group
Inc. economists Natacha Valla and Erik Nielsen said in a note to
investors. "A pan-European approach would be much preferred, but given
the urgency and complexities of organizing such measures between
different fiscal regimes, national measures -- coordinated to the extent
possible -- might still be good enough."
The leaders agreed on policy recommendations touching on regulation and
accounting and said they'd press for looser enforcement of budget and
competition rules at the EU level. They said they would seek to
harmonize guarantees of deposit levels. The U.K. bank regulator
increased its insurance ceiling to 50,000 pounds ($88,300) per account
from 35,000 pounds to stem a flow of funds to Ireland after officials in
Dublin guaranteed all debts and deposits of its banks.
Policy Recommendations
Anticipating increased spending, declining tax revenue, and government
bank takeovers, European leaders called for "greater flexibility" in the
application of the EU budget ceiling. European finance ministers last
month pledged to keep their budget deficits below 3 percent of gross
domestic product even as the economic slowdown dents tax receipts and
boosts welfare payments. The leaders said they want to allow banks to
keep some assets valued as if they'd be held until maturity, instead of
having to review their value each quarter.
They also said they want to change accounting rules that require banks
to review their holdings each quarter and report losses when the values
decline, the so-called mark-to-market standard. Banks worldwide have
written down more than $580 billion since last year, according to data
compiled by Bloomberg.
Panic engulfs global stock markets
AFP
(October 6, 2008) - World markets suffered massive
losses Monday, striking four-year lows, as panic-stricken investors
doubted whether a Wall Street bailout package would stem the global
financial crisis. London, Frankfurt and Paris all tumbled more than six
percent approaching the half-way mark while a 15-percent dive in Moscow
forced a halt to Russian trading. "We have a seriously weak and fear
driven market at our hands," said Tom Hougaard, chief market strategist
at City Index. "It is anyone's guess where we will end the day."
Investors dumped shares after US stock markets had fallen sharply on
Friday, despite US congressional approval of a 700-billion-dollar bank
bailout. On Monday, Tokyo ended down 4.25 percent as Hong Kong's stock
market shed 5.0 percent, Seoul tumbled 4.3 percent and Sydney lost 3.3
percent. Shanghai dived 5.23 percent and Mumbai was down 5.58 percent in
late afternoon trade. European stocks plummeted after Germany's fourth
biggest bank had to be rescued over the weekend -- news that pushed the
euro to a 13-month low against the dollar on Monday.
Crude oil futures tumbled to eight-month lows below 90 dollars a barrel
in London and New York as worsening financial turmoil triggered fears
about slowing demand for energy. "The market is not convinced that the
US bailout package can protect the economy from the financial crisis,"
said Toyo Securities strategist Ryuta Otsuka. The Saudi stock market,
the largest in the Arab world, shed 9.6 percent at the opening on Monday
after a week-long holiday, and shares in other energy-rich Gulf states
also slumped. "The Fed's bailout plan may have been passed on Friday but
so far there's been no real reaction in credit markets and because of
this the natural assumption is going to be that the measures won't work,
even if such a call is rather premature," CMC Markets dealer Matt
Buckland added.
Underscoring the worsening conditions in the United States, the world's
largest economy, 159,000 US jobs were lost in September, according to
government figures published Friday. "The approval of the financial
rescue plan failed to bolster market confidence. Pessimism towards the
global economy is running deeper," said Young Wang, an analyst at Yuanta
Securities Investment Consulting in Taipei, where stocks ended down 4.1
percent, also at a four-year low.
As the US-born financial crisis takes a stronger grip in Europe, the
German government agreed an emergency rescue package of 50 billion euros,
or 68 billion dollars, for Hypo Real Estate, late Sunday before markets
opened in Asia. It also announced an unlimited guarantee for personal
savings deposits. France's BNP Paribas meanwhile announced Sunday that
it was taking control of the operations of ailing financial group Fortis
in Belgium and Luxembourg. The leaders of France, Germany, Italy and
Britain vowed over the weekend to protect fragile banks but did not
discuss a European financial rescue package. "Financial stocks are
certainly going to be under pressure again with German mortgage lender
Hypo Real Estate being the latest to receive state aid but the overall
impact is going to cross all sectors with the prospect of slowing demand
weighing on all the (company) heavyweights," added Buckland.
In an effort to keep credit flowing, global central banks pumped
billions of extra dollars into short-term lending markets in what has
become a daily effort to keep cash moving in a critical network. Markets
were looking ahead to a meeting Friday of finance chiefs from the Group
of Seven rich nations, waiting for any announcements on coordinated
action such as liquidity injections or interest rate cuts, dealers said.
A speech Tuesday by US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke would also
be closely watched for any clues on the possibility of a US interest
rate cut. The Bank of England was expected to cut British borrowing
costs by at least a quarter of a percentage point when it meets on
Thursday.
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Four
European nations call for new EU body to supervise banks
Breitbart.com
(October 4, 2008) - Four major European nations
agreed Saturday to set up within the European Union a body to supervise
banks as part of their efforts to stem the spread of the financial
turmoil, triggered by the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, in Europe. In a
statement released after an emergency summit in Paris to deal with the
financial crisis, leaders of Britain, France, Germany and Italy said
mechanisms should be established within the European Union to oversee
cross-border European financial institutions and enhance international
cooperation.
The four nations also agreed that should public support be necessary for
ailing financial institutions, it should take place in "a framework
which recognizes adequate protection of taxpayers' money, the
responsibility of managers, and shareholders to bear their share of the
burden." They welcome the decision of the European Investment Bank to
mobilize 30 billion euros of support for small and medium size European
enterprises and urge the bank to frontload this effort, the statement
said.
The four European Group of Eight member nations also agreed that the
application of the Stability and Growth Pact, which governs fiscal
policies of EU member states, should "reflect the current exceptional
circumstances." The pact requires EU member states to limit the size of
their budget deficit to less than 3 percent of gross domestic product.
But the agreement by Britain, France, Germany and Italy suggests they
will tolerate the deficit of an EU member state breaching the 3 percent
of GDP threshold if it occurs as a result of the nationalization of
failed financial institutions.
The four nations also expressed strong support for the recent actions
taken by the European Central Bank and other European central banks to
respond to the financial crisis and pledged to "take all the necessary
measures" to ensure the soundness and stability of the European banking
and financial system. French President Nicolas Sarkozy told a press
conference after the summit that an emergency G-8 summit should be
convened to discuss and come up with global countermeasures for the
crisis. In addition to British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, German
Chancellor Angela Merkel and Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi,
other European leaders, including ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet
attended the summit.
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Evangelicals see moral decline in Wall St. woes
Reuters
(October 1, 2008) - Conservative U.S. Christians
say the culture has gone to hell and it has taken the economy and Wall
Street down with it. It is a view which outsiders may find puzzling but
has wide resonance in the U.S. heartland: the notion that moral decay
and a lost sense of responsibility has brought on the worst banking and
credit crisis since the Great Depression. Such a view helps explain the
unpopularity in conservative Christian circles -- which have a big
influence on the Republican Party -- of a $700 billion bailout plan
which the U.S. House of Representatives rejected on Monday, rocking
financial markets. Mounting consumer and household debt as housing
prices fall is one of the main reasons behind the current crisis -- a
crisis that religious conservatives say has moral roots.
The narrative goes roughly like this: the "collapse" of the traditional
family, widespread divorce and a "permissive" culture have led to a
disregard for personal responsibility. A culture focused on instant
gratification -- through the overuse of credit cards to buy consumer
goods, for example -- has also lost other "traditional values" such as
thrift and hard work. "You can't have a strong, vibrant society when you
don't have strong, vibrant families. It's a crisis of commitment, it's a
crisis of responsibility," said Tony Perkins, president of the Family
Research Council, a conservative lobby group with strong evangelical
ties. "If you don't live up to your responsibility you are going to see
that in the broader culture. You see this on Wall Street," he told
Reuters.
It is a view that has been echoed by other conservative commentators, on
Christian radio stations and on popular "Talk Radio" programs. "To spend
more than you've got is not the way we brought up our kids ... You have
a whole credit industry that grew up around people wanting what their
parents had without working 20 years to get it," said Gary Ledbetter,
spokesman for the Southern Baptists of Texas Convention.
Conservative Christians and evangelical Protestants in particular are a
key base of support for the Republican Party which has rallied to John
McCain's White House bid since he picked Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his
running mate. Tying "values" to economic problems is one way that
religious conservatives can keep some focus on the "culture" issues they
have long fought over as public attention is riveted on Wall Street, job
security and house prices. Upholding "traditional" values which they say
have been under assault since the 1960s informs much of their outlook,
ranging from their opposition to abortion and gay rights to a professed
aversion to heavy debt loads.
"Although debt is not a sin, it also is not a normal way of life,
according to Scripture ... debt is a dangerous tool that must be used,
if at all, with extreme caution and much prayer," says the conservative
evangelical advocacy group "Focus on the Family" on its web site. But
some commentators have noted that the "Religious Right" has long been
among the staunchest supporters of the free-market ideology and the
deregulation of financial markets preached by the Republican Party.
"Essentially the Christian Right did not do serious biblical reflection
on economics, it just borrowed its model from the Republicans," said
David Gushee, a professor of Christian ethics at Mercer University in
Atlanta. "Conservative Christians who accepted the unregulated free
market ethos must bear some of the responsibility for its consequences,"
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Foreign economists urge 'global plan'
The Washington Times
(October 1, 2008) - Leaders and economists from
Western Europe to East Asia Tuesday urged the United States to go beyond
reviving a failed domestic bailout and start working on a new global
financial system. Associated Press Traders at MICEX, the Moscow
Interbank Currency Exchange, watch and wait during a tense session in
Moscow on Tuesday when stock indexes sank despite a two-hour trading
halt. "The Americans don't have a choice — they must absolutely have a
global plan," Christian Noyer, head of the French central bank, said in
Paris.
David Smick, a global strategist and author of "The World Is Curved:
Hidden Dangers of the Global Economy," said the next U.S. president
should immediately call for a second "Bretton Woods" conference to
devise a new doctrine of international finance. The tiny New Hampshire
town hosted a conference shortly after World War II that established
rules for economic interchange among the world's industrial powers and
created the World Bank and International Monetary Fund. "I am convinced
that the sickness runs deep and that we need to rethink the entire
financial and monetary system, as we did in Bretton Woods ... to create
the tools for worldwide regulation made necessary by the globalization
of trade," French President Nicolas Sarkozy said in the French city of
Toulon on Monday.
He said that officials from France, Britain, Germany and Italy will meet
next week in Paris with the Continent's top financial officials to
prepare for a proposed global summit on the economic crisis. European
Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet will participate. The
27-nation European Union said Tuesday that the crisis "has become a
global problem" and Washington has a "special responsibility" to resolve
it. German Chancellor Angela Merkel took aim at the House failure to
pass the Bush administration's $700 billion bailout proposal, which
sparked a global stock market plunge. She called the package a
"precondition for creating new confidence in the markets." Kaoru Yosano,
the Japanese minister of economic and fiscal policy, agreed. "The
outcome has caused a major impact on not only the U.S. economy but also
the world economy," he said.
Until a few weeks ago, foreign governments were blase and even gloated
about U.S. financial woes, Mr. Smick said. "The decoupled theory has
taken a crash landing," demand is plummeting worldwide and foreign
financial institutions have been forced to come to terms with their own
"toxic waste," he said.
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France's Sarkozy battles fallout from financial crisis
AFP
(September 29, 2008) - President Nicolas Sarkozy
on Monday battled to contain fallout from the global financial crisis,
moving ahead with plans for a world summit and calling a meeting of
French banking and insurance chiefs. France will host a meeting of
European officials to prepare a summit "in the coming weeks to
establish the basis of a new international financial system," said
Sarkozy, whose country holds the presidency of the European Union.
Officials from Britain, France, Germany and Italy -- the EU members of
the G8 -- will meet in Paris in the coming days to lay the groundwork,
he said on the sidelines of an EU-India summit in the southern city of
Marseille.
On Tuesday, the president is to meet at the Elysee presidential palace
with banking and insurance company chiefs to take a close look at the
health of French banks and review the credit level of French households
and businesses. The announcements came as the Franco-Belgian bank Dexia
announced an emergency board meeting after liquidity concerns sent its
shares into freefall. Dexia's shares closed Monday down 30 percent on
the Paris exchange, at seven euros worth less than a third of their
value this time last year.
Belgium's federal government announced late Monday that it had
tentatively agreed, along with its three main regions and shareholders,
to help prop up the embattled bank -- less than 24 hours after stepping
in to rescue Belgian-Netherlands banking and insurance giant Fortis.
"During consultations between the federal government and the three
regional governments (Wallonia, Flanders and Brussels) this afternoon,
they confirmed their in-principle agreement to take part in a joint
effort to boost Dexia group's funds," a statement said. The statement,
distributed by the office of Prime Minister Yves Leterme, made no
mention of financial details but Belgian media said the support could
amount to seven billion euros (10 billion dollars).
Read full story...
On Sunday, the Benelux countries stepped in to partially nationalise
Fortis, increasing fears the crisis that has wiped out several US and
British banks was spreading across Europe. Sarkozy warned in a major
address last week that France would not be spared from the turmoil
unleashed by the US banking crisis. In Paris, the CAC 40 index plunged
5.04 percent to 3,953.48 points Monday in line with other European stock
markets.
A further sign of economic trouble came with the release Monday of
jobless figures showing that 41,300 people joined the ranks of France's
unemployed in August, the biggest monthly spike since 1993, bringing the
figure to 1,949,600. The government convened a crisis meeting of job
sector officials late Monday to discuss the figures, which have
compounded worries about the financial storm. Critics accused the
government of deceit, saying that for months it had touted progress in
economic reforms when the jobless situation was less than rosy even
before the financial storm struck.
Last week Sarkozy insisted the government would "guarantee the security"
of the French banking system and warned he would "not accept that a
single customer loses a single euro" to collapsing banks. The right-wing
president won election in May 2007 on a promise to rev up the economy
and bring unemployment -- long the nation's number one concern -- down
to five percent. The government unveiled a draft budget on Friday that
scrapped a pledge to stamp out the deficit by 2012 and as Paris
struggled to rein in public spending amid sluggish growth. "We are in a
quasi-recession," said presidential adviser Henri Guaino.
France is headed into a "difficult period" and the government will "do
everything that is necessary" to prevent the economy from taking a
nosedive, Guaino said. Economy Minister Christine Lagarde said she
nevertheless expected 2009 to end with a jobless rate of 7.1 percent,
down from 7.2 percent in the second quarter of 2008. That figure was the
lowest rate in 25 years, capping a steady decline in the unemployment
rate that had even allowed the problem to slide off the national radar
over the past year. Opinion polls show purchasing power has replaced
unemployment as the number one concern of the average French voter.
Lagarde also Monday unveiled a plan to help French households from
falling into a credit trap after the Bank of France said 88,000 people
had filed for personal bankruptcy over the past four years, an increase
of 70 percent.
They're
working to "establish the basis of a new
international financial system"
huh? Where is this leading do you think? What is the cheapest way to
implement a new international financial system in a short period of
time? Technology... and
the technology is here now.
Dow drops 777 after house rejects bailout bill
East Bay Business Times
(September 29, 2008) - The Dow Jones Industrial
average dropped a record 777 points Monday after the House of
Representatives rejected a proposed $700 billion rescue plan for the
nation’s struggling financial firms. The Dow closed the day at 10,365.45
as the S& P 500 plunged 106.85 to 106.42 and the Nasdaq dropped 199.61
to 1,983.73.
The House vote, 205 in favor and 228 against, came as a surprise,
despite being an unpopular proposal among many American voters. The loss
is seen as a blow to leaders of both parties who couldn't keep enough of
their members in line to pass the measure. Two-thirds of Republicans
voted against it, as well as 95 Democrats. The bill had been modified to
satisfy its Congressional opponents, and included language that curbed
executive pay and would have created an oversight committee to review
the Treasury Department’s actions. With no other alternative plan
immediately in the works, the rejection triggered a slide in financial
stocks.
The House rejection comes on a day full of signs the financial crisis is
accelerating. European regulators moved to bail out four major banks.
Citigroup agreed to acquire Wachovia’s banking operations in a stock
deal valuing Wachovia at about $1 per share, 90 percent less than its
market capitalization Friday. Mitsubishi UFJ said it would take a 21
percent stake in Morgan Stanley for $9 billion. Lehman Brothers agreed
to sell its Neuberger Berman mutual fund operations to Bain Capital LLC
and Hellman & Friedman LLC for $2.15 billion, part of Lehman’s
bankruptcy liquidation. Citigroup (NYSE:C) closed the day at $17.75,
down 12 percent. Wachovia (NYSE:WB) closed the day at $1.84, down 82
percent. Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) closed the day at $30.25, down 18
percent. Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) closed the day at $33.25, down 11
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Geno, one of the readers,
shared this and some other stories with me referencing a passage in
scripture I think is appropriate considering where this could very
well be headed and where our hearts should be in the midst of it
all.
Proverbs 22:1-7
A GOOD name is rather to be chosen than great riches, and loving
favour rather than silver and gold. The rich and poor meet
together: the LORD is the maker of them all. A prudent man
foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on,
and are punished. By humility and the fear of the LORD are
riches, and honour, and life. Thorns and snares are in the
way of the froward: he that doth keep his soul shall be far from
them. Train up a child in the way he should go: and when he is
old, he will not depart from it. The rich ruleth over the
poor, and the borrower is servant to the lender.
Senate Sends $634 Billion Spending Bill to Bush
Fox News
(September 27, 2008) - Automakers gained $25
billion in taxpayer-subsidized loans and oil companies won elimination
of a long-standing ban on drilling off the Atlantic and Pacific coasts
as the Senate passed a sprawling spending bill Saturday. The 78-12 vote
sent the $634 billion measure to President Bush, who was expected to
sign it even though it spends more money and contains more pet projects
than he would have liked.
The measure is needed to keep the government operating beyond the
current budget year, which ends Tuesday. As a result, the legislation is
one of the few bills this election year that simply must pass. Bush's
signature would mean Congress could avoid a lame-duck session after the
Nov. 4 election.
The Pentagon is in line for a record budget. In addition to $70 billion
approved this summer for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Defense
Department would receive $488 billion, a 6 percent increase. The
spending bill also offers aid to victims of flooding in the Midwest and
recent hurricanes across the Gulf Coast. Such a huge bill usually
would dominate the end-of-session agenda on Capitol Hill. But it went
below the radar screen because attention focused on the congressional
bailout of Wall Street.
The measure settles dozens of battles that have brewed for months
between the Democrats who run Congress and the White House and its GOP
allies. The administration won approval of the defense budget. Democrats
wrested concessions from the White House on $23 billion for
disaster-ravaged states, a doubling of low-income heating subsidies, and
smaller spending items such as $24 million more for food shipments to
the elderly.
The loan package for automakers would reward them with $25 billion in
below-market loans, costing taxpayers $7.5 billion to subsidize the
retooling of plants and development of technologies to help U.S.
carmakers to build cleaner, more fuel efficient cars. Companies would
not have to begin repaying the loans for five years, drawing objections
from Sen. Jon Kyl, R-Ariz., who predicted they would return for more
help when the money is due.
Republicans made ending the coastal drilling ban a central campaign
issue this summer as $4-plus per gallon gasoline stoked voter anger and
turned public opinion in favor of more exploration. The action does not
mean drilling is imminent and still leaves the oil-rich eastern Gulf of
Mexico off limits. But it could set the stage for the government to
offer leases in some Atlantic federal waters as early as 2011.
Also in the bill is money to avert a shortfall in Pell college aid
grants and solve problems in the Women, Infants and Children program
delivering healthy foods to the poor. In addition to the Pentagon's
budget, there is $40 billion for the Homeland Security Department and
$73 billion for veterans' programs and military base construction
projects. Combined with the Defense Department's spending, that amounts
to about 60 percent of the budget work Congress must pass each year.
Democrats came under criticism from the GOP for short-circuiting the
normal process for a spending bill after it became clear that
Republicans would force difficult votes on the drilling ban. Democrats
also wanted to avoid an election-year clash with Bush that would have
played in his favor. They are willing to take their chances that
Democrat Barack Obama will be elected president in November and permit
increases for scores of programs squeezed by Bush each year. Bush had
threatened to veto bills that did not cut the number and cost of pet
projects in half or cause agency operating budgets to exceed his
request. Democrats ignored the edict as they drafted the plan and the
White House has apparently backed down.
Taxpayers for Common Sense, a watchdog group, discovered 2,322 pet
projects totaling $6.6 billion. That included 2,025 in the defense
portion alone that cost a total of $4.9 billion. Critics of such
"earmarks" promise to scrutinize them in coming weeks and months for
links to lobbyists and campaign contributions.
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Isn't it great to have such
money to throw around at a time like this?!
U.S. losing financial superpower status: Steinbrueck
Market Watch
(September 25, 2008) - Germany's finance
minister on Thursday laid the blame for the global banking crisis on the
Anglo-American free-market model's quest for ever-higher near-term
profits, predicting the United States would soon lose its role as the
world's dominant financial power.
"The U.S. will lose its status as the superpower of the global financial
system, not abruptly but it will erode," Finance Minister Peer
Steinbrueck told the lower house of Germany's parliament in Berlin,
according to published reports. "The global financial system will become
more multi-polar."
Steinbrueck criticized the United States for failing to adequately
regulate investment banks and said free-market policies embraced by the
United States and Great Britain that emphasized a short-term "insane
drive for higher and higher profits" were partly to blame for the
crisis. "Wall Street will never be what it was," he said.
The finance minister said he would push for a global ban on speculative
short selling and would use next month's meeting of the Group of Seven
finance ministers and central bankers in Washington to press for new
rules that would prevent banks from fully securitizing loans and selling
them to third parties.
Steinbrueck said U.S. authorities were late in undertaking rescue
efforts, but said he welcomed the decision to attempt to bail out only
organizations whose collapse would threaten the world financial system.
He repeated that he felt there was no need for Germany or Europe to echo
the U.S. Treasury's proposal to spend around $700 billion to buy up
toxic assets from distressed banks' balance sheets, saying the financial
crisis is largely an "American problem." The minister warned, however,
that the fallout from the crisis would make for lower growth in the near
future and eventually impact the labor market. |
EU/UN/4th Kingdom
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Economic Crisis
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Something to consider regarding
the "multi-polar" global financial system, it is still all run by
central banks with the power to create currency, or perhaps do away
with currency as we know it all-together in favor of a replacement
system with global control. Power corrupts and absolute power
corrupts absolutely. There is a conspiracy in the works by the
mystery of iniquity,
2 Thessalonians 2, to bring
about consolidation of power to hand to the man of sin.
Wall Street rescue deal blocked
BBC
(September 26, 2008) - Talks to agree a huge $700bn (£380bn)
bail-out of the US financial industry have ended in a "shouting
match". After several hours of discussions with President George W
Bush, a group of Republican members of Congress blocked the
government plan. The proposal would have seen the government buy bad
debts from US banks to prevent more of them collapsing. President
Bush is due to make a statement about the negotiations at 0935 in
Washington (1435 BST).
Both sides have agreed to resume talks later on Friday. The leader
of the Democrats in the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, told
ABC News that she "hoped" a bailout plan could be agreed within 24
hours, because "it has to happen". Financial markets are gummed up
because banks do not know exactly how much bad debt they hold and
are therefore reluctant to lend to businesses, consumers and each
other. The fall-out of this credit crunch continues to make a huge
impact: The United States suffered its largest bank failure yet,
when regulators moved in to close down Washington Mutual and then
sold it to US rival JP Morgan Chase for $1.9bn
In a co-ordinated move the European Central Bank, the US Federal
Reserve, the Bank of England, Bank of Japan and the Swiss National
Bank announced new short-term loans to the banking sector worth tens
of billions of dollars. Banks continued to cut costs, with UK
banking giant HSBC saying it would axe 1,100 jobs Shares in UK bank
Bradford & Bingley fell another 20% to 17 pence before recovering
slightly.
Read full story...
'Full throated discussion'
On Thursday, Democratic and Republican legislators appeared to have
struck a deal. A group of Democrats and Republicans even made a public
statement, with Senator Christopher Dodd, chairman of the Senate Banking
Committee, announcing that they had reached "fundamental agreement" on
the principles of a bail-out plan.
But after the White House meeting, the top Republican on the committee,
Richard Shelby, told reporters: "I don't believe we have an agreement."
The intense discussions reportedly saw US Treasury Secretary Henry
Paulson literally down on one knee, begging Ms Pelosi to help push
through the bail-out package. However, the agreement unravelled when a
group of Republican legislators objected to the principle of the plan.
The talks at the White House, led by Mr Paulson and US President George
W Bush, then descended into what one participant described as "a
full-throated discussion". Officials with the campaign team of
Republican presidential candidate John McCain spoke of "a contentious
shouting match".
The Republican critics of the bail-out plan worry about both its cost
and how it would involve the government in the financial sector.
Instead, they want a government-backed insurance policy for the huge
amounts of bad debt built up by US banks. This proposal, however, was
described as "unworkable" both by Democratic politicians and some US
government officials.
Doubts over presidential debate
Some Democrats were scathing about the lack of support for the Paulson
plan. "For House Republicans to take a walk is just appalling," said
Democrat Barney Frank. He later added that the passage of the bill
depended on the Republicans. "It depends on the House Republicans
dropping this revolt against the president and cooperating in trying to
amend the plan," he said.
The breakdown of talks has put a huge question mark over the first
debate in the presidential election campaign in the US. Democratic
candidate Barack Obama and Mr McCain were supposed to meet in Oxford,
Mississippi. But Mr McCain said he wanted to pull out and focus on
getting a bailout plan agreed instead. Democrats accused him of
posturing and avoiding telling voters how he would solve the crisis.
Bank failure
As the credit crunch continues to bite, regulators moved in and shut
down Washington Mutual (WaMu), one of the largest savings and loan
institutions in the US. Depositors had withdrawn $16.7bn from the bank
during the past 10 days alone. They immediately sold on the bank to
banking giant JPMorgan Chase for $1.9bn. "With insufficient liquidity to
meet its obligations, WaMu was in an unsafe and unsound condition to
transact business," said the Office of Thrift Supervision.
WaMu had seen its share price drop by more than 80% this year, after
suffering considerable losses due to failed mortgages. Earlier this year
JPMorgan Chase also bought investment bank Bear Stearns when it faced
collapse.
We're seeing further consolidation of financial power while the
government is taking greater control and the Federal Reserve (neither
federal nor reserve), along with global central banks, are
pumping money into the system and devaluing currency. I believe we
may be seeing the destruction of global economies to make way for a
consolidation of power and control leading to the eventual
fulfillment of the mark of the beast, the implementation of a global
cashless monetary system enabled by technology.
WaMu is largest U.S. bank failure
Reuters
(September 25, 2008) - Washington Mutual Inc was closed by
the U.S. government in by far the largest failure of a U.S. bank,
and its banking assets were sold to JPMorgan Chase & Co for $1.9
billion. Thursday's seizure and sale is the latest historic step in
U.S. government attempts to clean up a banking industry littered
with toxic mortgage debt. Negotiations over a $700 billion bailout
of the entire financial system stalled in Washington on Thursday.
Washington Mutual, the largest U.S. savings and loan, has been one
of the lenders hardest hit by the nation's housing bust and credit
crisis, and had already suffered from soaring mortgage losses.
Washington Mutual was shut by the federal Office of Thrift
Supervision, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp was named
receiver. This followed $16.7 billion of deposit outflows at the
Seattle-based thrift since Sept 15, the OTS said. "With insufficient
liquidity to meet its obligations, WaMu was in an unsafe and unsound
condition to transact business," the OTS said. Customers should
expect business as usual on Friday, and all depositors are fully
protected, the FDIC said.
FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair said the bailout happened on Thursday
night because of media leaks, and to calm customers. Usually, the
FDIC takes control of failed institutions on Friday nights, giving
it the weekend to go through the books and enable them to reopen
smoothly the following Monday. Washington Mutual has about $307
billion of assets and $188 billion of deposits, regulators said. The
largest previous U.S. banking failure was Continental Illinois
National Bank & Trust, which had $40 billion of assets when it
collapsed in 1984.
JPMorgan said the transaction means it will now have 5,410 branches
in 23 U.S. states from coast to coast, as well as the largest U.S.
credit card business. It vaults JPMorgan past Bank of America Corp
to become the nation's second-largest bank, with $2.04 trillion of
assets, just behind Citigroup Inc. Bank of America will go to No. 1
once it completes its planned purchase of Merrill Lynch & Co. The
bailout also fulfills JPMorgan Chief Executive Jamie Dimon's
long-held goal of becoming a retail bank force in the western United
States. It comes four months after JPMorgan acquired the failing
investment bank Bear Stearns Cos at a fire-sale price through a
government-financed transaction. On a conference call, Dimon said
the "risk here obviously is the asset values." He added: "That's
what created this opportunity."
Read full story...
JPMorgan expects to incur $1.5 billion of pre-tax costs, but realize
an equal amount of annual savings, mostly by the end of 2010. It expects
the transaction to add to earnings immediately, and increase earnings 70
cents per share by 2011. It also plans to sell $8 billion of stock, and
take a $31 billion write-down for the loans it bought, representing
estimated future credit losses. The FDIC said the acquisition does not
cover claims of Washington Mutual equity, senior debt and subordinated
debt holders. It also said the transaction will not affect its roughly
$45.2 billion deposit insurance fund. "Jamie Dimon is clearly feeling
that he has an opportunity to grab market share, and get it at fire-sale
prices," said Matt McCormick, a portfolio manager at Bahl & Gaynor
Investment Counsel in Cincinnati. "He's becoming an acquisition
machine."
BAILOUT UNCERTAINTY
The transaction came as Washington wrangles over the fate of a $700
billion bailout of the financial services industry, which has been
battered by mortgage defaults and tight credit conditions, and
evaporating investor confidence. "It removes an uncertainty from the
market," said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy at AMP Capital
in Sydney. "The problem is that markets are in a jittery stage.
Washington Mutual provides another reminder how tenuous things are."
Washington Mutual's collapse is the latest of a series of takeovers and
outright failures that have transformed the American financial landscape
and wiped out hundreds of billions of dollars of shareholder wealth.
These include the disappearance of Bear, government takeovers of
mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the insurer American
International Group Inc, the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc,
and Bank of America's purchase of Merrill.
JPMorgan, based in New York, ended June with $1.78 trillion of assets,
$722.9 billion of deposits and 3,157 branches. Washington Mutual then
had 2,239 branches and 43,198 employees. It is unclear how many people
will lose their jobs. Shares of Washington Mutual plunged $1.24 to 45
cents in after-hours trading after news of a JPMorgan transaction
surfaced. JPMorgan shares rose $1.04 to $44.50 after hours, but before
the stock offering was announced.
119-YEAR HISTORY
The transaction ends exactly 119 years of independence for Washington
Mutual, whose predecessor was incorporated on September 25, 1889, "to
offer its stockholders a safe and profitable vehicle for investing and
lending," according to the thrift's website. This helped Seattle
residents rebuild after a fire torched the city's downtown.
It also follows more than a week of sale talks in which Washington
Mutual attracted interest from several suitors. These included Banco
Santander SA, Citigroup Inc, HSBC Holdings Plc, Toronto-Dominion Bank
and Wells Fargo & Co, as well as private equity firms Blackstone Group
LP and Carlyle Group, people familiar with the situation said.
Less than three weeks ago, Washington Mutual ousted Chief Executive
Kerry Killinger, who drove the thrift's growth as well as its expansion
in subprime and other risky mortgages. It replaced him with Alan
Fishman, the former chief executive of Brooklyn, New York's Independence
Community Bank Corp. WaMu's board was surprised at the seizure, and had
been working on alternatives, people familiar with the matter said. More
than half of Washington Mutual's roughly $227 billion book of real
estate loans was in home equity loans, and in adjustable-rate mortgages
and subprime mortgages that are now considered risky. The transaction
wipes out a $1.35 billion investment by David Bonderman's private equity
firm TPG Inc, the lead investor in a $7 billion capital raising by the
thrift in April. A TPG spokesman said the firm is "dissatisfied with the
loss," but that the investment "represented a very small portion of our
assets."
DIMON POUNCES
The deal is the latest ambitious move by Dimon. Once a golden child at
Citigroup before his mentor Sanford "Sandy" Weill engineered his ouster
in 1998, Dimon has carved for himself something of a role as a Wall
Street savior. Dimon joined JPMorgan in 2004 after selling his Bank One
Corp to the bank for $56.9 billion, and became chief executive at the
end of 2005.
Some historians see parallels between him and the legendary financier
John Pierpont Morgan, who ran J.P. Morgan & Co and was credited with
intervening to end a banking panic in 1907. JPMorgan has suffered less
than many rivals from the credit crisis, but has been hurt. It said on
Thursday it has already taken $3 billion to $3.5 billion of write-downs
this quarter on mortgages and leveraged loans.
Washington Mutual has a major presence in California and Florida, two of
the states hardest hit by the housing crisis. It also has a big presence
in the New York City area. The thrift lost $6.3 billion in the nine
months ended June 30. "It is surprising that it has hung on for as long
as it has," said Nancy Bush, an analyst at NAB Research LLC.
UN chief calls for 'global leadership'
Breitbart.com
(September 23, 2008) - UN chief Ban Ki-moon on Tuesday
stressed the need for "global leadership" as he pressed world leaders
not to pursue narrow national interests in the face of hard economic
times. "I see a danger of nations looking more inward, rather than
toward a shared future," he said at the opening of the UN General
Assembly's annual debate. He spoke of a "challenge of global leadership"
to tackle the world's worsening financial, energy and food crises.
"We see new centers of power and leadership -- in Asia, Latin America
and across the newly developed world," Ban told more than 120 heads of
state or government, including Presidents George W. Bush of the United
States and Nicolas Sarkozy of France. "In this new world, our challenges
are increasingly those of collaboration rather than confrontation," he
added. "Nations can no longer protect their interests, or advance the
well-being of their people, without the partnership of the rest."
On the world's current financial crisis, the UN secretary general
stressed the need to "restore order to the international financial
markets". "We need a new understanding on business ethics and
governance, with more compassion and less uncritical faith in the
'magic' of markets," the UN boss said.
Ban, who has chosen implementation of key poverty reduction goals as a
major theme of this year's debate, said he saw "a danger of retreating
from the progress we have made, particularly in the realm of development
and more equitably sharing the fruits of global growth." "Global growth
has raised billions of people out of poverty. However, if you are among
the world's poor, you have never felt poverty so sharply."
On Thursday, he will host a summit meeting on implementation of the
poverty reduction Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) on the margins of
the General Assembly session. Ban said he would use Thursday's summit to
press world leaders, the private sector, foundations, and civil society
to make "ambitious and concrete" proposals to ensure that these goals
are implemented by a 2015 deadline.
Monday, a summit meeting on Africa's development needs adopted a
political declaration urging rich countries to honor their pledge to
double their annual aid to the continent, which is struggling to meet
the MDGs. And returning to the theme of global leadership, Ban told the
assembly: "It takes leadership to honor our pledges and our promises in
the face of fiscal constraints and political opposition. "It takes
leadership to commit our soldiers to a cause of peace in faraway places.
It takes leadership to speak out for justice. To act on climate change
despite wonderful voices against you."
|
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US banks make shock status switch
BBC News
(September 22, 2008) - The last two major investment banks in
the US have changed their status to become bank holding companies,
allowing them to take deposits from investors. The changes should enable
Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to raise more funds by opening
commercial banks. The move - part of a huge restructuring effort on Wall
Street - will also give them access to Federal Reserve support.
The US government has announced a $700bn (£382bn) package to tackle the
worst financial crisis for decades. Congress is considering the plan,
drawn up by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, which would set up a fund
to buy up much of the bad debt held by financial institutions, which had
triggered the credit crisis.
The BBC's business editor Robert Peston said transforming these
investment giants into licensed, deposit-taking banks marked the end of
an era for Wall Street. "Now that the US taxpayer is in a formal sense
underwriting Goldman and Morgan Stanley, their days of buckling the
swash on the worldwide high seas of finance are over, possibly for
good."
'Greater safety'
There had been fears, given the recent turbulence in the financial
markets, that Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs would not be able to
survive as independent players, and both their share prices have come
under pressure. Both banks had filed requests with the Federal Reserve
to change their status, and late on Sunday, the Fed announced it had
granted the requests.
The last few weeks have seen dramatic and unexpected changes among
banks, with Merrill Lynch being bought by Bank of America and Lehman
Brothers filing for bankruptcy protection. Earlier this year, Bear
Stearns was acquired by JP Morgan Chase. Read
full story...
Flexibility and stability
Goldman Sachs said it already had two existing deposit businesses,
Goldman Sachs Bank USA and Goldman Sachs Bank Europe, into which it is
transferring assets from other parts of the business. "With over $150bn
in assets, GS Bank USA will be one of the 10 largest banks in the US,"
the bank said. "We intend to grow our deposit base through acquisitions
and organically," it added.
Commenting on the change for Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, Chip
MacDonald, mergers partner at law firm Jones Day, said: "It creates a
perception of greater safety and supervision. It really rationalises the
regulatory system". "It should be good for both Goldman Sachs and Morgan
Stanley." Goldman Sachs said it decided to be regulated by the Federal
because it "provides its members with full prudential supervision and
access to permanent liquidity and funding".
John Mack, chairman and chief executive officer of Morgan Stanley, said:
"This new bank holding structure will ensure that Morgan Stanley is in
the strongest possible position - with the stability and flexibility to
seize opportunities in the rapidly changing financial marketplace." "It
also offers the marketplace certainty about the strength of our
financial position and our access to funding."
Solution sought
Mr Paulson has urged other countries to follow the American example in
dealing with the international financial crisis. Both presidential
candidates have been having their say about the financial crisis.
Republican John McCain said President George W Bush should take the
blame for the crisis along with both parties in Congress. Mr McCain said
he was enraged by the greed of Wall Street speculators and said the
rescue plan should be funded by cutting government waste, rather than
through taxation.
Meanwhile Democrat presidential candidate Barack Obama suggested Mr
Paulson could be asked to play a role in his administration should he
win the presidency. But Mr Obama criticised the bail-out proposal,
calling for independent supervision of its implementation.
The coming 1-world currency
WorldNet Daily
(September 21, 2008) - On Wednesday, finance chiefs of five
of the six-member, oil-rich Gulf Cooperation Council approved a proposal
to create a monetary union as a move toward adopting a single currency,
according to the AFP. The six Islamic states constituting the Gulf
Cooperation Council are Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and
the United Arab Emirates. Oman pulled out of the agreement last year.
Five states in the compact have agreed to set 2010 as the target date
for the creation of a monetary union and the adoption of common
currency.
The emergence of an Islamic single currency among these oil-rich Middle
Eastern countries marks a significant step in the emerging worldwide
movement to abandon national currencies in favor of regional currencies,
along the model where the EU states have abandoned their national
currencies in favor of the European Central Bank and the euro.
In 2002, the finance ministers of the Gulf Cooperation
Council states sought out the assistance of the European Central Bank,
as the model for their single currency,
according to
BBC reports. The council was created in 1981 to promote the
development of the member countries. The monetary union will entail the
creation of a central bank to issue the single currency.
At the Wednesday meeting in the Saudi Red Sea city of
Jeddah, the finance and economy ministers reviewed the European Union's
response to the council's view on eliminating obstacles that have
blocked a long-stalled free trade agreement with the EU. Progress was
also made on key convergence factors required to underpin the common
currency, including setting the ratio of budget deficit and public debt
to the gross domestic product, target interest rates and reserve
requirements. Progress yet remains in reaching a consensus on inflation,
the last remaining stumbling block to creating the common currency.
International Monetary Fund Chief Dominique
Strauss-Kahn, who met with the Gulf Cooperation Council finance
ministers in Jeddah, hailed the move by the Gulf states toward economic
integration, though he continued to express doubts the single currency
would be adopted within two years.
"Achieving monetary union by 2010 will be a major
challenge, as much remains to be done to enable the creation of a single
currency within two years," Straus-Kahn. "Overcoming the current
inflationary pressures, developing a clear vision of the powers of the
future common central bank, choosing an exchange regime of the common
currency, and harmonizing financial regulations and structures will be
critical in this process." One factor easing the transition toward a
single currency is that the six Gulf Cooperation Council member states
all currently peg their currencies to the U.S. dollar.
Government rushing to finish huge financial rescue plan
Associated Press
(September 19, 2008) - The Bush administration sketched out a
multi-faceted effort on Friday to confront the worst U.S. financial
crisis in decades, outlining a program that could cost taxpayers
hundreds of billions of dollars to buy up bad mortgages and other
toxic debt. Relief washed over Wall Street with a surge of buying.
President Bush, flanked by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, acknowledged that the program
will put a "significant amount of taxpayers' money on the line."
Markets unhinged by anxiety in recent months greeted the plan
enthusiastically. The Dow Jones industrials shot up over 400 points
and stayed in that territory into the afternoon. Global stock
markets soared, too.
The administration is asking Congress to give it sweeping new powers
to execute the plan. Paulson said it "needs to be big enough to make
a real difference and get to the heart of the problem."
Paulson gave few details but said he would work through the weekend
with leaders of Congress from both parties to flesh out the program,
the biggest proposed government intervention in financial markets
since the Great Depression. Members of the Senate Banking
Committee said they had yet to receive details of the proposal, but
were ready to move quickly when they do. Read full story...
Before the markets opened Friday, the government announced plans to
temporarily insure money-market deposits and to block short-selling in
financial securities. Short selling is a trading method that bets the
stocks will go down.
Speaking to reporters at the Treasury Department, Paulson said that the
new troubled-asset relief program that he wants Congress to enact must
be large enough to have the necessary impact while protecting taxpayers
as much as possible.
"I am convinced that this bold approach will cost American families far
less than the alternative — a continuing series of financial institution
failures and frozen credit markets unable to fund economic expansion,"
Paulson said in a prepared statement. "The financial security of all
Americans ... depends on our ability to restore our financial
institutions to a sound footing," he said.
Paulson said mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will step up
their purchases of mortgage-backed securities to help provide support to
the crippled housing market. He also said the Treasury Department will
expand a program, announced earlier this month, to buy mortgage-backed
securities, which have been badly hurt by the housing and credit crises.
"As we all know, lax lending practices earlier this decade led to
irresponsible lending and irresponsible borrowing. This simply put too
many families into mortgages they could not afford," Paulson said.
At a news conference in which he only took three questions, Paulson was
asked the approximate dollar size of the government intervention. "We're
talking hundreds of billions," he said. Paulson did not address
specifics about the plan to buy back bad debt or whether the government
would take a direct stake in troubled banks in exchange for its help.
"These illiquid assets are clogging up our financial system, and
undermining the strength of our otherwise sound financial institutions.
As a result, Americans' personal savings are threatened, and the ability
of consumers and businesses to borrow and finance spending, investment,
and job creation has been disrupted," Paulson said.
He said that the administration would present Congress with a proposed
legislative package and then work with lawmakers "to flesh out the
details through the weekend. And we're going to be asking them to take
action on legislation next week." "This is what we need to do. Because
for some time we've been saying that the root cause of the problems in
our economy and our financial system is housing, and until we get
stability in the housing market we are not going to get stability in our
financial markets," he said.
Earlier, Bush authorized Treasury to tap up to $50 billion from a
Depression-era fund to insure the holdings of eligible money market
mutual funds. And the Federal Reserve announced it will expand its
emergency lending program to help support the $2 trillion in assets of
the funds. Both moves are designed to bolster the huge money market
mutual fund industry, which has come under stress in recent days.
The Fed said it is expanding its emergency lending efforts to allow
commercial banks to finance purchases of asset-backed paper from money
market funds, which should help the funds meet demands for redemptions.
The Securities and Exchange Commission early Friday imposed a temporary
emergency ban on short-selling, which had been contributing to the
collapse of stock values of investment and commercial banks.
Congressional leaders said they expected to get the rescue plan Friday
and act on it before Congress recesses for the election. The
government's actions could help alleviate the uncertainty that has been
sending the markets into tumult over the past week. Lending has come to
a virtual standstill in the wake of the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers
Holdings Inc.
European Central Bank, Swiss National Bank and Bank of England also
offered up more cash Friday. The three banks put a combined $90 billion
into money markets in a lockstep move.
The chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, Chris Dodd, D-Conn.,
warned on ABC's "Good Morning America" Friday that the United States
could be "days away from a complete meltdown of our financial system"
and said Congress would work quickly to prevent that.
Later Dodd told reporters that the government's rescue plan will be
costly, and demanded more details. "We're anxious to hear the specifics.
None of us have any idea what the details are. We understand the gravity
of the moment," he said. predicted the new bailout plan would cost at
least half a trillion dollars.
Paulson said he wanted action next week by Congress. "Time is of the
essence," House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said Thursday night
after being briefed by Paulson and Bernanke. Rep. Roy Blunt, the No. 2
GOP leader in the House, suggested the rescue can be handled without a
tax increase. "It doesn't necessarily have to be something that impacts
taxpayers in a negative way," said Blunt, R-Mo. "It all depends on how
you put that structure together."
GOP presidential candidate John McCain said any action should "be
designed to keep people in their homes and safeguard the life savings of
all Americans." Democratic rival Barack Obama said it is critical that
leaders in both parties work in concert. "Truly we are all in this
together," he said. The federal government already has pledged more than
$600 billion in the past year to bail out, or help bail out, some of the
biggest names in American finance.
The words "government," "rush,"
"financial" and "sweeping new powers" are not key words I want to
hear, but from the response in the stock market and from several
commentators I've heard, its the "best thing" for right now. In
other words the alternative is worse, so we're ok with the lesser of
two evils. And where are we getting all this money as we are so deep
in debt? Get some more historical background on our current
financial system
here,
here,
here and
here. I have a feeling that these increase governmental controls
and "sweeping new powers" are going to lead to the end scripture
speaks of such that we will be beholden to the government who in
turn will be beholden to the financial rescue of the central banks
who ultimately are working to bring about the New World Order and
hand over their power to the man of sin. One thing to remember, you
can't serve God and mammon (money) and in the end, those who
rely on the temporal escape by man's government via the
mark of the beast will lose eternal life in God's presence.
Revelation 14:9-12
Perhaps you don't think this will happen in your lifetime...
perhaps you're right, maybe you're wrong. Either way, keep watching!
Darkest day for Scottish banking as the Bank of Scotland
faces its endThe Scotsman
(September 18, 2008) - FOR Scotland's oldest bank, it was the
suddenness of its rout that stunned. That and the silence at the top.
That and the invisibility of leadership. That and the short-selling
frenzy that descended on HBOS shares yesterday, like vultures on a
corpse. This was the blackest day in Scottish banking. An appalling day
of shock, confusion and disbelief.
Many this morning will still be aghast at the speed of the bank's share
collapse. Anger and a reckoning will come later. Today, the fate of
HBOS, the savings of its 22 million customers, the prospects for its
72,000 staff and the final reckoning for its 1.2 million hapless
investors – whose shares have been savaged – rest on the merger with
rival Lloyds TSB.
Yesterday, in conditions of near pandemonium, shares in HBOS had by far
their worst day since the onset of the credit crisis. Monday and Tuesday
were train-wreck enough – the value of HBOS had plunged by £7 billion by
Tuesday night. So there was a surge of relief when the shares opened
firmer at the start of trading yesterday. It did not last long. The
shares opened at 200p, rose to 214p, then plunged to only 88p – an
astonishing collapse of 56 per cent in less than an hour. Then came
reports of "advanced" merger talks with Lloyds TSB, at a price of 300p a
share. The shares rallied – only to fall back again. Amid ever-growing
confusion in the market, the mooted bid terms were now corrected – to
200p a share.
By the close, shares in HBOS were still being traded – astonishing for a
company said to be in "advanced merger talks". They finished at 147.10p,
down almost 20 per cent – a further loss of value of £1.9 billion. That
suggests an ominous lack of confidence. The price-tag on HBOS, Britain's
biggest mortgage lender, has now sunk to only £9.6 billion, 83 per cent
down on the level a year ago. more...
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China Paper Urges New Currency Order After "Financial Tsunami"
Reuters
(September 17, 2008) - Threatened by a "financial tsunami,"
the world must consider building a financial order no longer dependent
on the United States, a leading Chinese state newspaper said on
Wednesday. The commentary in the overseas edition of the People's Daily
said the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc "may augur an even
larger impending global 'financial tsunami'."
The People's Daily is the official newspaper of China's ruling Communist
Party, and the overseas edition is a smaller circulation offshoot of the
main paper. Its pronouncements do not necessarily directly reflect
leadership views, but this commentary by a professor at Shanghai's
Tongji University suggested considerable official alarm at the strains
buckling world financial markets.
China's central bank earlier this week cut its lending rate for the
first time in six years, a move analysts said was aimed at bolstering
the economy and the battered stock market. "The eruption of the U.S.
sub-prime crisis has exposed massive loopholes in the United States'
financial oversight and supervision," writes the commentator, Shi
Jianxun. "The world urgently needs to create a diversified currency and
financial system and fair and just financial order that is not dependent
on the United States."
But Vice Premier Wang Qishan, on a visit to the United States, told U.S.
trade officials in a meeting on Tuesday that China and the United States
needed to maintain close economic ties with global markets going through
such turbulence. "The Chinese government is well aware of the fact that
the United States, which is the world's largest developed country, and
China, which is the world's largest developing country, should have
constructive and cooperative economic and trade relations," he said.
China is a major buyer of U.S. Treasury bonds, and through its sovereign
wealth fund it has taken stakes in two large U.S. financial
institutions. In July 2005, China revalued the yuan and freed it from a
dollar peg to float within managed bands. But the yuan and China's trade
remains tightly linked to the fortunes of the dollar.
The commentary suggested China must brace for grave economic fallout and
look to alternatives, saying the crisis brings to mind the Great
Depression of the 1930s. "Lehman Brothers announced bankruptcy will not
only have a domino effect on the global financial world, it will bring a
shock to the world economy," the front-page comment stated. | NewWorldOrder|America|
Economic Crisis
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US government rescues insurer AIG
BBC
(September 17, 2008) - The US Federal Reserve has announced
an $85bn (£48bn) rescue package for AIG, the country's biggest
insurance company, to save it from bankruptcy. AIG will get an $85bn
loan, in return for an 80% public stake in the firm. The rescue
follows the collapse of US investment giant Lehman Brothers, which
caused share prices to plummet across the world's financial markets.
Authorities are hoping the bail-out will avert the threat of a
global financial meltdown. The Fed's move is viewed by some as the
most radical intervention in private business in its history and has
helped fuel a tentative rally on global stock markets. The past few
days have seen dramatic events unfold in the financial world:
The UK's top mortgage lender HBOS is in merger
talks with Lloyds TSB after a steep fall in HBOS shares
The Fed and the US Treasury say AIG's bailout
will protect the interests of US taxpayers
US interest rates have been kept on hold despite
widespread calls for a cut
Barclays says it is buying some of the core
assets of US investment bank Lehman Brothers for $1.75bn (£1bn)
'Challenging times'
The Federal Reserve made its decision about AIG "with the full
support of the Treasury Department", it said in a statement, adding that
the secured loan included conditions designed to protect "the interests
of the US government and taxpayers". The US Treasury Secretary Henry
Paulson refused to bail out America's fourth-largest investment bank
Lehman Brothers after it filed for bankruptcy protection on Monday. But
he supported the rescue of AIG and said the move would protect
taxpayers. "These are challenging times for our financial markets," he
said.
The rescue of AIG - which has a trillion dollars in assets and insures
bank loans around the world - helped world stock markets rally.
Wednesday trading saw gains in Tokyo, Taiwan, Singapore and Seoul,
though prices in Hong Kong, Shanghai and Australia fell. European
markets were higher, but trading was volatile. The dollar also rose
against major currencies. Read
full story
AIG's
'tentacles'
Analysts said the demise of AIG - which has policy holders in more than
100 countries and insures deals and investments across the globe - would
have had a far greater impact on financial markets than Lehman's
collapse. Were the company to fail, many banks and investment funds
around the world would lose their insurance cover at a time when
defaults on payments are likely to rise.
The Governor of New York, David Paterson, said AIG had so many business
interests it would be hard to predict how widespread its bankruptcy
would have been felt.
"Its tentacles go further in to the avenues of business, as in
mortgages, as in credit, as in hedge funds, as in countless ways that
affect consumers, that affect drivers, that affect homeowners, affect
passengers," he said.
AIG had posted losses in each of the last nine months. It was badly
affected by the collapse of the US housing market, says the BBC's
business reporter Rob Young, owing to the underwriting payments it was
forced to make when customers defaulted on their loans.
Market slump
The AIG plan calls for the government to seize up to 80% of the company
and remove its management, in a similar fashion to the way it took
control of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which were
crippled by the US housing crisis. The White House welcomed the package,
saying the deal was made "in the interest of promoting stability in
financial markets and limiting damage to the broader economy".
Meanwhile, the Fed has left interest rates unchanged at 2% despite calls
for a cut. The BBC's Matthew Price in New York said the bank had decided
an interest rate cut would not help to alleviate the short-term
financial crisis.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones rallied on Tuesday, closing 141 points
higher having on Monday suffered its worst day's trading since the
September 2001 attacks on the US.
Central banks around the world responded by carrying out emergency
measures to keep markets liquid. The extra funding came as the interest
rates at which banks lend to each other rocketed - as they did at the
start of the credit crunch.
Panic as Russian market suspended
News.au
(September 17, 2008) - RUSSIA'S main stock market suspended
trading today after plummeting more than 11 per cent, having lost
more than half its value since May, as failing Wall Street banks
caused panic on global markets.
The benchmark RTS index halted trade after a fall of 11.47 left it
54 per cent below its record close on May 19. The ruble-denominated
Micex was also suspended for an hour after dropping 16.6 per cent.
"Panic has gripped the Russian stock market," read a headline on the
Interfax news agency. Those hardest hit on the RTS were energy
companies, with state-controlled gas giant Gazprom falling 17.2 per
cent and oil firm Rosneft losing 19.12 per cent.
"The turmoil on Wall Street and worries about fall in the oil price
are keeping buyers away despite the cheap prices," said analyst
Chris Weafer in a note from Moscow-based investment bank Uralsib.
"The only feeling is one of numbness, shock," he said. "The hope is
that this is the final clear-out, that this week we will find a
floor." Read
full story...
The fall came
after repeated attempts by Russian President Dmitry Medvedev to calm
market fears. Yesterday he told a meeting of top businessmen that "we do
not have a crisis", and ordered the government to pump money into the
markets. Before the latest wave of turmoil on Wall Street, investors
were selling Russian stocks on falling commodity prices, turmoil in
international markets and political uncertainty, analysts said.
Increasing tensions with the West stoked by Moscow's military
intervention in Georgia last month have also hit prices - the RTS has
fallen more than a third since the conflict began. President Medvedev
estimated last week that a quarter of the market's losses were due to
the war, in part due to fears a stand-off with the West would hurt
business. The market collapse has so far had little impact on tens of
millions of Russians whose lives have been transformed by a five-year
economic boom. The fall has revived uncomfortable memories of the August
1998 financial crisis, which cut short an earlier boom exactly 10 years
ago.
But Mr Weafer said the market turmoil appeared unlikely to spread into
the wider economy. "There is a risk that if this persists, it could
spread into consumer confidence, but so far it is being seen as a market
event." But traders on the Internet site quote.ru, many of whom have
seen their investments fall in value by half, found it hard to see the
bright side. "This isn't Black Tuesday. This is worse," said one forum
contributor. "There's only one kind of paper that can be sold now.
Toilet paper," wrote another.
New Wall Street crisis will create a new financial world order, says RCM
CIO City Wire UK
(September 16, 2008) - As the sell-off in global markets
continues, RCM's CIO for Europe Neil Dwane believes the aftermath of
Monday's events will lead to the formation of a 'new world order', in
which the remaining financial giants will flourish.
'Merrills rushed into the arms of Bank of America (BoA) who last night
shut down its investment banking operations admitting failure. Surely
BoA will not indulge Merrills' investment banking operations anywhere
near to the extent that the old Merrills' management had done?' Dwane
asks. Dwane believes the key implication of the Fed's decision not to
facilitate the sale of Lehmans Brothers is that it shows that capacity
is being removed from the markets, alongside the clear message that
'policy will not bail out all investors and losers'.
'Moral hazard is back and negligent Boards will find there to be no
willing supplier of capital except on very onerous terms. The key
messages of this weekend remain that capital remains scarce, leverage
and accounting for the leveraged assets remains incomplete and
inconsistent and a New World order is being born where financial
behemoths are best placed,' he says.
One of the key features of this 'New World order' will be increased
regulation, transparency and risk control, according to Dwane. However,
the CIO of the equity specialist of Allianz Global Investors is anxious
that 'investors remain complacent over the changes to come and the lower
returns and earnings power of the sector in the future'. | NewWorldOrder|
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Economic Crisis
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Draghi: Deeper Crisis Would Call for Global Solution
Doug McIntosh
(September 16, 2008) - National solutions have been enough to
stem the financial-sector crisis so far, ECB Governing Council member
Mario Draghi said in a
Berlin speech Thursday, but they may not be enough if things get
worse. “Policies are taking a variety of shapes that can be grouped
within two broad categories: emergency and structural responses,” said
Mr. Draghi, who also heads Italy’s central bank. “Until now, the first
remained typically national since each crisis was unique to the
financial structure of the country and so were the remedies. However, if
the crisis were to become systemic - and the past weekend has shown just
how sudden and dramatic the turn of events can be — I believe that an
internationally coordinated effort will be necessary.”
Mr. Draghi’s words have international heft, since he
chairs the Financial Stability Forum — a group of
global regulators and central bankers working on solutions for
preventing the next blowup. He indicated the framework of the global
financial system is undergoing a gut check: “A resilient infrastructure
is one that is capable of withstanding the effects of the failure of a
large financial institution. As we speak, this objective is being tested
by reality.”
Overall, he said, the global banking system has enough
capital to meet its needs “under reasonable scenarios.” He offered no
prediction about whether market conditions would continue to be
“reasonable” but did say banks will need to raise “at least once again
the amount of capital raised since the crisis began.” Mr. Draghi’s
estimate of that amount, according to a person familiar with the matter,
is $350 billion. Some banks will have an easier time of it than others -
namely those “that ran the debt-financed, highly leveraged and maturity
mismatched business model that provided steady fee income over the last
several years.” –Joellen Perry | NewWorldOrder|
America|
Economic Crisis
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A Trillion Here; A Trillion There
Doug McIntosh
(September 16, 2008) - It was Everett Dirksen, a politician
from Illinois a few decades back who once said of government spending, "
A billion here and a billion there, pretty soon you are really talking
some money." This was in the 1970's, when a billion still meant
something. It was in 1969 I think when the entire US government spending
was $100 billion dollars and we were howling about an inflation rate of
3%. The good ole days to be sure.
Now we are dealing with nothing less than systemic collapse. I have been
watching the news media coverage of the "situation on Wall Street." We
do not have a situation here: we have the phased collapse of the
American economy. When you find out Jeb Bush is a "consultant" for
Lehman Brothers; when you hear McCain call for a "9-11 type commission
to investigate Wall Street" you know the fix is in. It was the Bushes
who destroyed the Savings and Loan industry, along with the Democrat St.
Germaine, who raised the insurance coverage to $100,000. For me, there
is a very clear trail of cookie crumbs in this so called "crisis." It is
a planned crisis.
While watching PBS and its "Nightly Business Report" last night I was
struck by how clueless these people really are. They simply don't have
the capacity to understand what is going on. It is like my old 386
computer with its 4 Megabytes of RAM trying to run too many software
programs at the same time: overload city. The mainstream simply doesn't
have the mental ability to deal with what is happening right now in the
economic sphere. The reason for that is simple: it isn't in their
script. Of course, for someone of my impeccable doom and gloom
credentials, I am not in the least surprised, amazed, or even stressed.
After writing for over a decade on the open corruption of the "system",
I may be many things, angry and appalled for instance, but not surprised
or stunned. The New World Order is nothing if not consistent.
The reason for the current stock market meltdowns, the meltdowns being
global and plural, is simple: the system is corrupt. It is pathetic to
watch McCain call for investigations, or others for new regulations. One
of the major reasons for this is because Congress repealed the Glass/Seagall?
act from the Great Depression a few years back. There are specific
actions taken, laws repealed for instance, that have directly resulted
in the current "crisis." Specific people, regulators, politicians,
economic experts and media whores have taken specific actions, and not
taken specific actions, which have led to the current situation. I don't
see any indication of any Congressperson or Senate person being indicted
for Treason and tried for their vote repealing Glass/Seagall for
instance. Nor will there ever be. This is also the way the NWO works. No
accountability at all. Never has been and never will be. The insolence
of the elite is well justified.
The headlines are screaming the ratings agencies just downgraded AIG,
the insurance blob. I am so glad the ratings agencies decided to do
their jobs. It is upon the politicians, the media, the ratings agencies
the fake appraisals, the liar loans and all the other root causes of the
current crisis may be laid. We do not need new government regulations;
what we need is a system where corruption is punished and not rewarded.
What we need is consequences and not bailouts. What we need is truth and
not lies. But, it doesn't matter now. The fix is in.
Read full story...
The
other television show I watched last night was also PBS, "The Leher news
hour." The segment had the famous Roubini, who is the closest thing to a
doomer in the mainstream, as well as a former head of the IMF, the
international monetary fund. The IMF being one of the biggest terror
groups on this planet. The economic misery the IMF has caused is beyond
description. After listening to Mr. Roubini's rather dismal views,
doomer lite I call it, the knives came out. This former IMF guy gave the
NWO plan right out there in plain view. Paraphrasing here, "Eventually,
the US taxpayer will have to foot the bill." Yep, foot the bill for what
now? All 5.5 TRILLION of Fannie and Freddie mortgages; all the rest. The
NWO plan is to set up another savings and loan bailout system,
resolution trust is what I think it was called, and stick it to the
American taxpayer. So, because the NWO runs things; because the
regulators, the courts, the politicians, the media and the court
economists have been bought off and the "capitalists" have raped, looted
and pillaged their way to vast wealth, we the American taxpayer get to
clean up the mess. Like I said, the NWO is consistent. Trapped in a rut
really. Take one greedy, insolent elite. Add a corrupt bought off
system. Stir in vast amounts of money. Shake, rattle and roll until you
get a frothy mixture of stupidity and excess. Then wait for the
inevitable meltdown. Declare a crisis and when it gets bad enough use
that crisis to advance NWO political agenda towards dictatorship and
even more wealth concentration. Did I leave anything out?
Except this time the NWO has miscalculated, very, very badly. For one
thing, our insolent elite hasn't factored in the chaos theory, or random
events, or even the other NWO groups. Whether you think the hurricanes,
Gustav, Fay and IKE were random events, or whether you think they are
part of a larger weather manipulation effort intended to destroy the
USA, it is clear to me the NWO didn't factor them in. And because they
didn't do that, they have got a massive synergistic effect. This being
the 2 plus 2 equals 16 and not four effect. As the USA heads into mid
September we have not only bona fide economic crisis's in our stock
markets, real estate, local and state governments and energy sectors, we
have the physical destruction of a large swath of Texas.
I will make it plain for you. The damage from IKE was much more than the
lying media and government has told you. At best, it will take 2 weeks
to get the refineries on line. The main pipelines, like Colonial for
instance, are shut down for lack of refined product. It takes 18 days to
get oil pumped from Texas or the Gulf to New Jersey over these
pipelines. My math tells me this is five weeks at a minimum before New
Jersey starts to get heating oil deliveries. By the way, AIG, the
imploding insurer, is a major insurer of oil refineries I hear. Figure
it out yourself.
I differ slightly from Doug's
perspective in that I believe the mystery of iniquity at work today
is indeed pushing the New World Order agenda, but to the end that a
whole new global cashless system will have to be implemented and
will be done centered in Europe. According to Bible prophecy, this
will be the center of the New World Order and in order to
participate in this new economic system that will bail out the
current failing one, each person must pledge allegiance to the man
of sin and receive his mark on the forehead or hand. (More on the
mark of the beast and the current technology that could bring it
here.) I believe everything is in place to support this system
within a short period of time if not completely now thanks to the
credit card companies and RFID tattoo ink. Who exactly is behind what is happening isn't what's most
important, rather getting in right relationship with the only One
who can save us from what is coming and bring us into eternal
relationship with Him. Yeshua will judge what is happening now and
knows exactly who it is. While we may watch and see, I prefer to
leave the judging to Him and keep watching His Word come to pass.
Financial Crisis in America Threatens Israel's StabilityIsrael National News
(September 15, 2008) - The venerated securities firm of
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. announced early Monday morning on its
website it will file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, stunning Wall
Street and rattling financial markets around the world. Not least
among them was the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, which opened with sharp
losses as it echoed the news.
Lehman was one of the first international investment banks to open its
doors in the State of Israel, and businesses across the country are
going to be affected by what is taking place on Wall Street. Lehman has
invested in numerous institutions in Israel, among them Bank Leumi,
Psagot, the Clal group, Menorah and Harel Financial Services. All told,
Lehman Brothers Inc. has invested more than NIS 850 million in Israeli
institutions.
The company’s stock, which provides investment banking services to
corporations, institutions, high-net worth individuals, municipalities
and governments around the world, dropped by 93.88 percent since the
beginning of this year, trading at $3.65 per share at the end of the day
on Friday. Although one of the smallest of Wall Street’s major players,
with only 25,000 employees, Lehman Brothers has been a heavy hitter in
the mortgage market. The renowned investment bank began its most recent
descent in the morass of the mortgage market crisis in the summer of
2007. Lehman Brothers reported in June a second-quarter loss of $2.8
billion, far greater than had been expected by analysts and the
harbinger of a general malaise in the market.
In September, the US government announced its takeover of the Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac mortgage finance companies, and two days later, Lehman
Brothers announced its next expected loss of $3.9 billion. It said it
spinning off its commercial real estate holdings into a new public
company.
Not far behind Monday’s morning’s blues was the gloom predicted by
financial experts who eyed the next possible crash, that of major US
insurance company, American International Group A.I.G. The New York
Times reported Monday that the insurance giant has asked for a $40
billion loan from the Federal Reserve to pull it through the current
crisis; without that crucial support, the newspaper reports, the company
might not survive. A.I.G. provides insurance products – including
general and life insurance as well as retirement services, financial
services and asset management to individuals and businesses throughout
the United States and abroad. Read
full story...
As with Lehman,
the government has refused to provide a financial guarantee for
purchases of subsidiaries of the firm by other companies, thus making
the deal much less attractive to potential bidders. Ratings agencies
have threatened to downgrade the insurance giant’s credit score on
Monday if it does not raise the $40 billion by the end of the day.
A.I.G. maintains a large presence in the State of Israel, offering
mutual funds, retirement services and a wide array of insurance products
for individuals and businesses. The company’s common stock is listed on
the New York Stock Exchange, as well as the stock exchanges in Ireland
and Tokyo.
A.I.G. officials in Israel said its operations would not be directly
affected because it operates relatively independent of the parent
company. Nonetheless, the shakiness of the political situation has
raised eyebrows at the Standard & Poor financial assessment firm, which
is studying whether to downgrade Israel's debt rating as fears of a
recession continue to mount.
Another major New York securities firm, Merrill Lynch agreed Sunday
to sell itself to the Bank of America for approximately $50 billion in a
last-ditch attempt to save itself from the same kind of financial crisis
that just sank its competitor. Merrill Lynch, with 60,000 employees,
is actually comprised of two companies, a wealth management company and
a bond trading firm. It is one of the largest firms in the financial
services industry, run by some 17,000 brokers who manage the portfolios
of its hundreds of thousands of high-net clients.
As with Lehman Brothers, the crash of the housing market and the rise in
foreclosures has taken its toll, eating away at the value in high-risk,
high-return securities backed by subprime home mortgages. However,
unlike Lehman, Merrill Lynch is also a household name in smaller markets
across America as well, making it a more likely candidate to be tossed a
lifeline by the Bank of America. Most of Lehman’s clients were major
institutions. The new conglomerate formed by the marriage of Bank of
America’s “wealth advisers” and Merrill Lynch’s brokers will be called
Merrill Lynch Wealth Management. The deal brings the bank to the top of
the brokerage houses and consumer banking franchises.
For Lehman Brothers, the end came when the government refused to absorb
any of its losses on some of its trouble real estate assets, as it had
in the past with other firms that went belly-up. The law firm of Weil,
Gotshal & Manges has been retained to manage the bankruptcy proceedings
and liquidation, an ignominious end for so prestigious a firm.
Fed Adds Most Reserves Since 9/11 as Banks Hoard CashBloomberg
(September 15, 2008) - The Federal Reserve added $70 billion
in reserves to the banking system, the most since the September 2001
terrorist attacks, to reverse a surge in borrowing costs sparked by the
collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
Fed funds traded as high as 6 percent, or 4 percentage points above the
central bank's target rate for overnight loans between banks, according
to ICAP Plc, the world's largest inter- dealer broker. The margin was
the greatest since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1998. The rate
dropped to as low as 0.5 percent after the Fed added the temporary
reserves.
The central bank uses repurchase agreements, or repos, to buy or sell
Treasury, mortgage-backed and so-called agency debt for a set period, to
help maintain enough money in the system to keep overnight interest
rates close to the target. They don't signal a policy shift. Futures
show traders boosted odds to 68 percent that the Fed will cut rates when
policy makers meet tomorrow to offset financial market turmoil.
Demand for short-term funds "dramatically increased," said Michael Darda,
chief economist for MKM Partners LLC in Greenwich, Connecticut. "If the
Fed puts enough liquidity in the system, the funds rate will come down.
It may actually trade below target for a while."
The so-called effective funds rate was 2.1 percent on Sept. 12, or 10
basis points over the target rate. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York
reports daily, for the previous trading session, the effective funds
rate. It is a weighted average rate of unsecured overnight lending
transactions. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. Read
full story...
Expanding
Collateral Options
The Fed widened the collateral it accepts yesterday for loans to
securities firms in an effort to help Wall Street weather Lehman's
bankruptcy.
The Fed added $50 billion in temporary reserves to the banking system
when it arranged overnight repurchase agreements, or repos, at 11:50
a.m., after providing $20 billion earlier.
"It is rare that overnight operations exceed $15 billion," Tony
Crescenzi, chief bond market strategist for New York-based Miller Tabak
& Co., wrote in a note to clients. "There is a longstanding pattern in
which the funds rate falls in the afternoon, as banks scramble to unload
their excess monies onto other banks, lest they get stuck with excesses
earning nothing."
SOMA Lending
When the Fed added the reserves at 9:40 a.m., federal funds, the
overnight lending rate between U.S. banks, traded at 4.25 percent, above
the central bank's target rate, according to ICAP. The rate was at 6
percent at the time of the second open market operation. Fed funds
opened at 3.5 percent today.
A total of $5 billion in repos matures today. Wrightson, an ICAP
research unit specializing in U.S. government finance, had expected the
Fed to add about $15 billion in repos. Dealers submitted $270.1 billion
in bids for the repurchase agreements.
Fed funds' weighted average was 2.1 percent on Sept. 12 after trading
between 1.75 percent and 2.9375 percent, according to the central bank.
The Fed also accepted $25.8 billion in collateral as part of its daily
System Open Market Account, or SOMA, securities lending program, the
largest amount this year, according to Fed data tracked by Stone &
McCarthy Research. Dealers submitted $29.8 billion in bids.
The Fed offers specific Treasury securities held by SOMA for loan to
dealers against Treasury general collateral on an overnight basis.
Dealers bid in a multiple-price auction held every day at noon. The
securities lending program is separate from the Fed's Term Securities
Lending Facility, or TSLF, one of the three liquidity measures the Fed
initiated since the credit crisis ensued last year.
The TSLF offers Treasury general collateral held by SOMA for maturities
longer than overnight in a single-price auctions with dealers who
program-eligible collateral.
The Feds are Running Scared
The Daily Reckoning
(September
11, 2008) - The fog of war – that is, in the “war” between
inflation and deflation – is lifting. We’re beginning to see more
clearly which way the battle is going. “America’s giant mortgage
companies nationalized,” is how Le Monde treated Monday’s big story.
“The biggest bailout in history...” it went on. But what does it mean
when the world’s most free-market government nationalizes its largest
finance industry? It means a couple things: First, that the days of
“laissez-faire”, even ersatz laissez-faire, are over. No more
deregulation. No more tax cuts. No more free trade agreements. Second,
that the feds are running scared. They are in retreat. The battle
between a natural market correction...and an unnatural, inflationary
boom...is going against them. We were right all along – or almost right;
when the dot.com bubble burst it marked the beginning of the end – the
end of the bull market on Wall Street...the end of the credit expansion
that began in ’82...and the peak of American power and influence in the
world. The decline since then has been delayed and disguised – by a
flood of new liquidity from the feds. But now, there’s no stopping it.
And it’s much worse than it would have been 8 years ago. Because
Americans became more and more used to spending money they didn’t have;
now they have more debt than ever. And because the Chinese and other
foreigners became more and more used to selling things to people who
couldn’t pay for them; now their new apartment buildings are empty and
their new factories are quiet. And now, the downturn is global...and it
will be longer, and harder, than practically anyone imagines. This just
in: “Top China developer’s sales fall sharply.” Maybe it was the
distraction of the Olympics, but China’s biggest listed property
developer, Vanke, said sales fell 35% last month. And this too:
Yesterday, gold fell more than $30 – to $757. The euro rose to $1.40.
Oil is rising this morning, on fears of Hurricane Ike, but it closed
yesterday at $102. Our guess is that it will sink to the $70 range. And
here’s Le Monde again: “Good news, finally...almost everywhere,
inflation remains under control and in retreat.” Wrong. Wrong. Wrong.
Inflation may be in retreat. But it’s not good news. It means the whole
world is sinking into a slump – not just the US and Britain. And that’s
what the feds are afraid of. Sec. Paulson justified the takeover of Mac
and Mae on the grounds that the markets and the taxpayers needed
“protection from a systemic risk.” What was the risk? That both Freddie
and Fannie would go broke, that houses would fall to what they were
really worth, and that – when the federally-chartered agencies stopped
paying their debt to foreign lenders – the whole world financial system
would melt down. Driven by fear...Paulson took the bold action...
more...
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Taxation
Nation: Now You Own Fannie and Freddie
McAlvany Weekly Commentary
(September
10, 2008) - "It seems to me in one sentence, two things. We're
right in the midst of the greatest financial crisis in the history of
our country - number one - and number two; we're probably already over
the line to becoming socialistic state, the USSA, the United Socialist
States of America." - Jim Deeds
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NewWorldOrder|
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After listening to this, you
probably already know where I think we're headed - a global cashless
society where perceived wealth and prosperity are provided by the
globalist government, the New World Order. This ½ hour show goes
into the socialist steps that will bring us there and how the
financial instability we are currently experiencing will lead us
there.
Fannie and Freddie Glenn Beck
(September
8, 2008) - Now, I've been doing some I've been doing homework on
Freddie and Fannie for I don't know how long and I've been waiting for
this day because I knew that if I presented this three, four months ago,
nobody would really pay attention to it because everyone was denying
that Freddie and Fannie were going to fall apart. Still everybody is in
somewhat denial, everybody is saying, oh, this is only going to cost the
American taxpayers you $200 billion. That is a lie. It's going to cost
you a whole lot more than that. Some say up to $1.6 trillion. To give
you some idea of how much money that is, the original remember, "Oh, my
gosh, all of a sudden we are having problems with our financial sector."
The original panic was that the banks might have to write down as much
as $200 billion. That's what we're writing a check for today for Freddie
and Fannie, out of your pocket. I told you at the time when everyone
said, oh, it's going to be $200 billion. No, it's not. It's going to be
in the trillions, it will at least start with $1 trillion. Now we are
approaching a trillion dollars in the regular financial markets and this
is going to cost you a trillion dollars. This one is costing you. Now, I
want to know where is the outrage. I want to know where is the outrage
from the press. Where is the outrage from congress. I'm going to ask
three questions and then I'm going to give you the answers, and I ask
you just to pay attention here for just a second because when you know
the real story behind Freddie and Fannie, blood is going to shoot out of
your eyes. Here are the questions. Question one: Why aren't the
CEOs of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac going to jail? Do you remember the
name Ken Lay? Why aren't the CEOs and corporate executives required to
give back, at the very minimum, give back the millions of dollars they
put into their pockets while they inflated the results to meet their
bonus triggers? I want to explain something here. What they did, what
Freddie and Fannie did is they have these CEOs that said, oh, we're
going to meet our budget. And if they met their budget, they get these
big bonuses. Well, they would say that they met their budget and then
they would get the bonuses but then they wouldn't meet their budget and
they would come back later and say, oh, we had to readjust. No one, no
one questioned them. I'm sorry. Members of the press like the Wall
Street Journal questioned them. We had questioned them. But nobody else
had questioned them. The question I have now is, why. Why. I'll explain
in a second when I introduce you to the players. I won't even have to
explain. You are going to say, oh, my gosh, you're kidding me.
Question number two: Why aren't the shareholders wiped out? Why is
the federal government protecting the shareholders of Fannie and Freddie
today? This isn't capitalism. Question number three: Where's the
end game? You know everybody always says in congress, especially the
Democrats, "We want an end game. How come, you know, if you're going to
go in for a war, you've got to know how to get out. Where's the strategy
here? Where's the end game? What does victory look like?" I can tell you
what victory looks like but nobody else is going to tell you this. They
will all deny it, but it is not a coincidence today that they put a 15
month, pretty much just a 15 month Band Aid on this. What they've done
is save these problems for the next congress and the next President.
Why? I'll explain hopefully later on here. We'll get into a chance to do
that but I'll explain in great detail on tomorrow's program and show you
what congress is actually doing right now. They are setting us up right
now. more... | NewWorldOrder|
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So if the government bails out
Fannie and Freddie, does that mean the Government now owns the loans
on the land here in the US?
Europe's major
economies contract
BBC News
(August 14, 2008) - The 15 economies of the
eurozone contracted by 0.2% between April and June, heightening fears
that the euro area is sliding towards recession. The eurozone's first
decline since it was created in 1999 was driven by a slowdown in exports
and consumer spending. The German economy, Europe's largest, shrank by
0.5% in the second quarter compared with the previous quarter. And in
both France and Italy GDP shrank by 0.3% in the second quarter. The
slowdown was less pronounced in the wider European community of 27
nations including the UK, which contracted by 0.1%. However Estonia,
where the economy contracted for the second consecutive quarter, is now
considered to be in recession. Ireland, whose economy contracted in the
first quarter of the year, has not yet released its second quarter
growth figures. Compared to the second quarter of 2007, the eurozone
economies grew by 1.5% and the 27 European Union countries grew by 1.7%.
The news weakened the euro, which was already well down from its recent
highs against the dollar. But high eurozone inflation, which was
unchanged on the month, made it unlikely that the European Central Bank,
which raised interest rates last month, will reverse its stance. Spain
was the only one of the major eurozone economies to see its economy
expand between April and June. It grew by 0.1% compared with the
previous quarter. Figures also released on Thursday showed that prices
across the euro area rose by 4% in July compared to a year earlier. The
European Central Bank increased interest rates in July by 025% to 4.25%
in a bid to combat rising prices. The July figure is the same as June's
inflation rate, but although the rate of increase is not quickening,
economists said rising prices were still a concern. "Although inflation
has been stable at 4.0 % in July, it is still way above target," said
Jörg Radeke from the Centre for Economics and Business Research. "Hence,
the possibility that the European Central Bank is cutting interest rates
in 2008 to support the sickening economy is remote." more...
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America isn't the only economy
that will be need to be replaced by a global cashless economy if it
is truly global. The question is if this is the time of collapse
just before the introduction. I don't know, but I'm still watching.
Japan on brink of recession as economy shrinks
AFP
(August 13, 2008) - Japan said Wednesday
its economy contracted in the second quarter as falling exports and weak
consumer spending sent Asia's largest economy hurtling toward its first
recession in six years. The slump reflects the rapidly deteriorating
global economic climate, with fears of a recession in the eurozone also
mounting as the fallout from the US financial crisis ripples around the
world. Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 0.6 percent in the
three months to June from the previous quarter, the Cabinet Office said,
marking the first time in a year that the world's second-biggest economy
has contracted. The economy shrank by 2.4 percent on an annualised
basis, matching market expectations. The slump put Japan on the cusp of
outright recession, which is usually defined as two or more straight
quarters of economic contraction. The last time that happened in Japan
was in 2001, when the recession lasted for three quarters. Tokyo share
prices slumped 2.1 percent as the weak growth figures added to jitters
about problems in the US banking sector. GDP growth for the first
quarter of 2008 was also revised down to 0.8 percent quarter-on-quarter
from 1.0 percent previously. Economic growth "will remain very weak
throughout this fiscal year," said Mamoru Yamazaki, chief economist for
Japan at RBS Securities. "The increase in oil and commodity prices is
damaging corporate profits," while rising inflation is hurting
households, he said. more...
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Fed holds first auction for 84-day loans
Yahoo Finance News
(August 12, 2008) - The Federal Reserve has
auctioned another $25 billion in loans to the nation's banks and given
them more time to pay the money back in an effort to combat a serious
credit squeeze. The Fed announced Tuesday that the money would be loaned
at a rate of 2.754 percent. In the latest auction, the Fed offered the
loans for an extended period of 84 days, rather than the 28-day period
for the previous loans. It marked the Fed's latest attempt to be
innovative in providing the nation's banking system with the cash it
needs to combat a serious credit crisis stemming from mounting mortgage
loan losses. The credit squeeze hit with force a year ago and the
central bank has shoveled out billions of dollars in loans. From
September through April it also was aggressively cutting interest rates
to keep the financial turmoil from pushing the country into a deep
recession. The Fed's interest-rate setting panel met again last week and
for the second meeting held interest rates unchanged amid concerns that
lowering rates further could stoke inflation pressures. Fed policymakers
instead indicated that they are likely to hold rates steady for an
extended period. That signal bolstered financial markets that had been
worried higher inflation pressures might prompt the Fed to start raising
rates even though the economy remains weak. The latest Fed auction was
held on Monday with the results announced Tuesday. It saw 64 bidders
seeking a total of $54.8 billion in funds. The Fed had announced that it
would auction off $25 billion for 84 days. In two weeks the Fed will
auction $75 billion in loans for 28 days. The Fed began the auction
process last December in an effort to increase use of its discount
window borrowing facility, believing that the auctions would help remove
the stigma that banks feared was attached to their petitioning for
direct loans from the Fed's discount window. |
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You can learn some more
about the Fed's history and the magic that is our financial system
here,
here,
here and
here.
Credit crisis triggers unprecedented response
The Washington Post
(August 8, 2008) - Since the credit crisis
erupted a year ago, the Bush administration has presided over one of the
broadest expansions of the government into private lending in U.S.
history, risking public money to prop up financial firms both large and
small. The administration has transformed federal agencies into dominant
players in such diverse realms as student lending and mortgage finance
while exposing itself to trillions of dollars in loans. The scope of
these commitments demonstrates the unprecedented nature of the challenge
facing the nation. Not since the Great Depression have so many debt
markets been in turmoil at the same time, financial historians say.
During the savings and loan crisis of the late 1980s and early 1990s,
for example, the financial upheaval was largely contained to banks and
thrifts, though the real estate market also felt the impact. Now, the
contagion has rapidly spread from mortgages to bonds and exotic
securities, student and corporate lending, credit cards and home equity
loans, and residential and commercial real estate. The disruption has
buffeted investment and commercial banks, mortgage finance agencies, and
insurance firms of different stripes. "We have a banking crisis and an
agency crisis and a mortgage crisis and a coming credit card crisis.
We've never seen anything like that before. And it all seems to be
coming home to roost at the same time. That's never happened either,"
said Charles Geisst, professor of finance at Manhattan College. He said
the Great Depression was the last time financial markets were hammered
by such a variety of factors. "But we did not even have credit cards in
the 1930s; there were no such thing as student loans," he added. The
breadth and speed of events have sent federal officials scrambling to
plug leaks in the financial system. In the process, the government
has bound taxpayers to the fate of a wide variety of banks and borrowers
and could ultimately be responsible for losses in the tens of billions
of dollars or more, according to estimates by congressional reports and
interviews with regulators. But the government may also end up
paying nothing at all, largely because it received collateral in return
for backing much of these debts and could recoup some money if borrowers
stop making their interest payments. No one knows for sure because much
of the government's response involved novel programs designed to contain
an unpredictable crisis. As the credit crisis worsened, Treasury
Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr., a strong proponent of free markets and
the architect of much of the administration's response, began to push
initiatives that enlarged the government's involvement on Wall Street
and in the housing industry. "What I've said is that I'm playing the
hand that was dealt and that my responsibility is to protect the U.S.
economy and the American people," Paulson said in an interview. The pace
of these interventions accelerated as the credit crisis spread across
the capital markets. At first, the administration avoided programs that
exposed taxpayers to potentially large losses. The Federal Housing
Administration, for instance, offered struggling mortgage holders a
chance to refinance into low-cost loans backed by the government with
any losses borne by the agency's insurance fund. Last summer, Paulson
also pressed private mortgage lenders to form an alliance called Hope
Now to rework mortgages. The initiative did not require public funds,
except to set up a hotline, and it may have prevented lawmakers at that
time from pursuing more expensive initiatives, he said. Within months,
however, Paulson was directing more significant intrusions into the
markets. In March, he strongly endorsed the Fed leaders' decision to put
$29 billion in public money on the line to facilitate the takeover of
the crippled investment firm Bear Stearns by Wall Street bank J.P.
Morgan Chase. In April, Paulson helped the Department of Education set
up emergency programs to ensure students could get loans as private
lenders fled the business because of trouble in the credit markets.
Education officials ramped up their direct lending, which some analysts
say could reach $75 billion, and got new authority from Congress to buy
loans outright from lenders. Then, last month, Paulson pushed for new
authority to lend or invest in mortgage giants, Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac, which the Congressional Budget Office said could impose a wide
range of costs to taxpayers, from nothing to more than $100 billion.
Along the way, the Fed was injecting money into the banking system,
including through several new, unusual programs. In negotiations over
the Bear Stearns rescue, the Fed agreed to back $30 billion worth of
risky mortgage assets but persuaded J.P. Morgan to absorb the first $1
billion of any losses. At the end of July, the portfolio was worth $29.1
billion, according to the central bank. Because the Fed can be patient
and sell the assets gradually over time, officials believe taxpayers
are highly unlikely to lose more than a couple billion dollars and
the central bank may ultimately make some money. more... | NewWorldOrder|
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This all seems to be leading to
a point where our current financial system could be most easily
replaced by a global cashless system and the nations indebted to
those with wealth and power would have no alternatives but to join
the global banking system that offers stability and security,
forgiving debts in exchange for allegiance. I don't think this will
be fully implemented until after the
abomination of desolation, but I also believe that we're
building up to that point now. Keep watching!
U.S. companies vulnerable to foreign buyers
Reuters
(July 29, 2008) - With a record volume of international takeovers
of U.S. companies, it almost appears America itself is up for sale. The
weak dollar and slumping stock prices of U.S. companies has created a
window of opportunity for international buyers to snatch up American
icons such as beer brewer Anheuser-Busch Cos Inc and the landmark
Chrysler Building in New York. "The dollar has depreciated so much that
America is on the sale rack," said Sung Won Sohn, a professor of
economics at California State University. "America has such an appetite
for foreign goods -- Chinese imports and oil -- that U.S. dollars have
gone overseas. Now, many Americans aren't happy that foreign companies
are buying pieces of America with the money we gave them in the first
place," Sohn said. In the second quarter, acquisitions of U.S. companies
by international buyers totaled $124.3 billion, marking the highest
total for any second quarter on record and jumping 23 percent over the
year-earlier quarter, according to research firm Dealogic. International
takeovers represented 22 percent of all U.S. merger activity in the
first half of the year, up from 17 percent in the first half of 2007,
according to research firm Dealogic. InBev NV's deal to acquire
Anheuser-Busch for $52 billion gave Belgium the distinction of being the
most active foreign buyer of U.S. assets in the first half of this year,
followed by Spain and Canada, Dealogic said. The Anheuser-Busch deal
ranked as the second-biggest cross-border acquisition of a U.S. company
in history, following Vodafone Group Plc's $60.3 billion
acquisition of AirTouch Communications in 1999, according to Thomson
Reuters. Other U.S. assets recently falling into international hands
include Barr Pharmaceuticals Inc, which agreed to be acquired by
Israel's Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd, the world's largest generic
drug company, for $7.46 billion; and eye care company Alcon Inc which is
being bought by Switzerland's Novartis AG for about $27.7 billion.
Earlier this month, Swiss drugmaker Roche AG made a bid to acquire the
shares of its U.S. partner Genentech Inc it does not already own for
$43.7 billion. Even the Pennsylvania Turnpike awarded long-term leasing
rights to a Spanish-led investor group for $12.8 billion. Although some
investment bankers and analyst pin the spike in cross-border activity to
the weak dollar, others contend that strategy and the desire to expand
globally were the motivators behind many of these recent corporate
deals. "Strategic buyers don't wake up in the morning and say: 'This
currency is cheap. I'm going to go do a deal.' They do a deal because
it's strategic and makes sense," said Herald Ritch, president and
co-chief executive officer of investment bank Sagent Advisers. "There's
no question that, on the margin, currency levels tend to influence
decisions, but strategic deals get done because they fit a company's
strategy," Ritch said. European companies have been the most active
buyers of U.S. assets, with 314 deals so far this year, compared with
117 deals by Asian acquirers, and 33 by African and Middle Eastern
buyers, according to Thomson Reuters. "Europe and the U.S. dominate deal
activity globally, so it makes sense that deals between those areas
would predominate," Ritch said. Although some investment bankers view
the second quarter's record pace of U.S. takeovers as an anomaly, Sohn
said the 13-percent depreciation of the dollar against major currencies
over the past 18 months should fuel more acquisitions. "There are
trillions of dollars overseas that have to be put to work. This is just
the tip of the iceberg," Sohn said.
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How does Europe become the
international power and authority Bible prophecy says it will be?
Slowly and surely, bit by bit. Sung Won Sohn makes the statement
that "America has such an appetite for foreign goods -- Chinese
imports and oil -- that U.S. dollars have gone overseas." Have you
noticed that you can't buy anything that isn't made in China today?
I certainly haven't had any great desire to see manufacturing go
overseas as it has, but policy has pushed it there because it's
cheaper and this world, especially the business world, runs on
money. America doesn't have many options when it comes to its desire
for Chinese imports because business and government have created it
this way. Is there an over-arching plan behind it? Given what Bible
prophecy says and where we're headed, it's hard for me to deny the
dots are connected. There's so much more out there relegated to
"conspiracy theory" as well which all points toward the same
conclusions. America is being sold out and this will help prop
Europe up as the center it is prophesied to be.
America is ceding power to Europe and being drained of its
manufacturing ability and strength. Business and law are moving
internationally, globally and what is a possible end to this? A
nation in debt who will be forgiven that debt along with the rest of
the world if they just
take a mark and worship the
man of sin who claims to be God. The technology and methodology
is already present and easily implementable while the conditions
that would call for its implementation are fast approaching in line
with
other signs of the times. Bible prophecy isn't fairy tales, it's
foreknowledge dictated by God for the benefit of those who trust
God's Word and to make us aware and awake as the time draws near.
Keep watching!
Home prices drop by record 15.8 pct. in May
Associated Press
(July 29, 2008) - Home prices tumbled by the steepest rate ever
in May, according to a closely watched housing index released Tuesday,
as the housing slump deepened nationwide. The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller
20-city index dropped by 15.8 percent in May compared with a year ago, a
record decline since its inception in 2000. The 10-city index plunged
16.9 percent, its biggest decline in its 21-year history. No city in the
Case-Shiller 20-city index saw price gains in May, the second straight
month that's happened. The monthly indices have not recorded an overall
home price increase in any month since August 2006. Home values have
fallen 18.4 percent since the 20-city index's peak in July 2006. Nine
metropolitan cities — Las Vegas, Miami, Phoenix, Los Angeles, San Diego,
San Francisco, Seattle, Wash., Portland, Ore., and Washington, D.C. —
posted record declines in May. And the value of housing in Detroit is
now lower than it was in 2000. But a possible bright spot in an
otherwise dismal report, seven metros — Tampa, Fla., Boston, Detroit,
Minneapolis, New York, Dallas and Atlanta — showed smaller annual
declines. Las Vegas recorded the worst drop, with prices plunging 28.4
percent in the month. Miami came in a close second, with prices down
28.3 percent. Charlotte, N.C., posted the smallest drop at 0.2 percent.
Until April, the North Carolina city had been the last metro still
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Dinars for Dollars: Arabs Buying Out Collapsing Western Banks
Israel National News
(July 16, 2008) - First it was Citibank.
Now it's Barclay's and New York City's Chrysler Building skyscraper.
Muslim Arabs are buying out collapsing Western banks and businesses and
gaining growing international power, but some Arab investors are worried
their investments may go down the drain with the American economy. The
current financial crisis in the United States has spread to other
countries because of a massive debt that was not backed by enough real
and liquid collateral. Banks and businesses gasping for financial breath
are up for sale at basement prices, but no one is certain if the
basement is the bottom. "The possibility remains that more Arab white
knights will be sought to rescue ailing financial institutions," wrote
Dr. Mohammed Ramady, a former banker and Visiting Associate Professor at
the King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals in the Financial
Adviser magazine. He said he fears that Arab investors will end up
chasing their investments with more money to keep them from going under.
The Abu Dhabi Investment Council of the oil-rich United Arab Emirates
kingdom of Abu Dhabi last November announced it was bailing out the
mammoth Citibank financial institution, formerly headed by Bank of
Israel Governor Prof. Stanley Fischer, with $7.5 billion. Next in line
was Britain's Barclay's Bank, which raised $9 billion from investors in
the oil-rich kingdom of Qatar and in Asian countries. The Abu Dhabi
Investment Council last month forked out approximately $800 million for
a 75 percent stake in New York City's 1,046-foot-tall Chrysler Building,
which was the world's tallest building for a year until the Empire State
Building surpassed it in the 1930's. The purchase of American banks by
foreigners has been blocked in the past by security and political
considerations, but the barriers have come down, wrote Dr. Ramady. "How
long this lasts is only a matter of guesswork, as once again, the
specter of foreign takeovers of 'national' symbols will be hard to
accept," he added. In a more serious vein, The Australian
editor-at-large Paul Kelly wrote earlier this month that the foreign
investments, headed by Arabs, signal a major change in international
power. "The energy, financial and political woes that grip the U.S.
signal a decisive shift in world power, mocking the liberal delusion
that Barack Obama or John McCain can return American prestige and power
to its pre-Bush year 2000 nirvana," he wrote. "There is no such nirvana.
There is instead a new reality: the greatest transfer of income in human
history [and] the rise of a new breed of wealthy autocracies that
cripple U.S. hopes of dominating the global system and demands on the
U.S. to make fresh compromises in a world where power is rapidly being
diversified." more...
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Americans may be losing faith in free markets
Los Angeles Times
(July 16, 2008) - For a generation, most people accepted the idea
that the core of what makes America tick was an economy governed by free
markets. And whatever combination of goods, services and jobs the market
cooked up was presumed to be fine for the nation and for its citizens --
certainly better than government meddling. No longer. Spurred by the
continued housing crisis, turmoil in financial markets, spiking oil
prices, disappearing jobs and shrinking retirement savings, the nation
and its political leaders have begun to sour on the notion that the
current market system is the key to a fair, stable and efficient
society. "We're at a hinge point," said William A. Galston, a senior
fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington who helped craft
President Clinton's market-friendly agenda during the 1990s. "The strong
presumption in favor of markets, which has dominated public policy since
the late 1970s, has been thrown very much into question." Now, to a
degree not seen in years, politicians and outside experts are looking
with favor at more, not less, government involvement in the economy. Of
course, Americans always grouse during troubled times. And as market
advocates are quick to point out, the current run of bad economic breaks
has yet to result in the throwing over of free-market principles in
favor of some drastically different approach -- such as a
government-directed economy. "There may be a backlash against markets at
the moment," acknowledged Kevin A. Hassett, economic studies director at
the American Enterprise Institute in Washington and an advisor to
presumed Republican presidential nominee John McCain. "But the backlash
doesn't seem to be informed by any alternative view of how the world
works." more... | NewWorldOrder|
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Euro soars to $1.60 against U.S. dollar, a new record high
Associated Press
(July 15,
2008) - The European single currency leapt to a record high above
1.60 dollars here on Tuesday as investor fears grew over the state of
the US economy and its financial services sector, dealers said. In late
morning London deals, the euro jumped to 1.6038 dollars, which beat the
previous all-time peak of 1.6019 that was set on April 22.
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Fannie Mae, Freddie Rescue a 'Disaster,' Rogers Says
Bloomberg
(July 14,
2008) - The U.S. Treasury Department's plan to shore up Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac is an "unmitigated disaster" and the largest U.S.
mortgage lenders are "basically insolvent," according to investor Jim
Rogers. Taxpayers will be saddled with debt if Congress approves U.S.
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's request for the authority to buy
unlimited stakes in and lend to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Rogers said
in a Bloomberg Television interview. Rogers is betting that Fannie Mae
shares will keep tumbling. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analyst Daniel
Zimmerman said the mortgage finance companies' shares may fall another
35 percent and lowered his share-price estimate for Fannie Mae to $7
from $18 and for Freddie Mac to $5 from $17. Freddie Mac fell 64 cents,
or 8.3 percent, to $7.11 in New York Stock Exchange trading, while
Fannie Mae fell 52 cents, or 5.1 percent, to $9.73. "I don't know where
these guys get the audacity to take our money, taxpayer money, and buy
stock in Fannie Mae," Rogers, 65, said in an interview from Singapore.
"So we're going to bail out everybody else in the world. And it ruins
the Federal Reserve's balance sheet and it makes the dollar more
vulnerable and it increases inflation." The chairman of Rogers Holdings,
who in April 2006 correctly predicted oil would reach $100 a barrel and
gold $1,000 an ounce, also said the commodities bull market has a "long
way to go" and advised buying agricultural commodities. Rogers, a former
partner of hedge fund manager George Soros, predicted the start of the
commodities rally in 1999 and started buying Chinese stocks in the same
year. He traveled the world by motorcycle and car in the 1990s
researching investment ideas for his books, which include "Adventure
Capitalist" and "Hot Commodities." Billionaire investor Soros said today
that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac face a "solvency crisis," not a
liquidity one, and that their troubles won't be the last financial
disruption, Reuters reported. "This is a very serious financial crisis
and it is the most serious financial crisis of our lifetime," Soros told
Reuters in a telephone interview. "It is an idle dream to think that you
could have this kind of crisis without the real economy being affected."
"These companies were going to go bankrupt if they hadn't stepped in to
do something, and they should've gone bankrupt with all of the mistakes
they've made," Rogers said. "What's going to happen when you Band-Aid
and put some Band-Aids on it for another year or two or three? What's
going to happen three years from now when the situation's much, much,
much worse?" Paulson's proposal, which the Treasury anticipates will be
incorporated into an existing congressional bill and approved this week,
signals a shift toward an explicit guarantee of Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac debt. The Federal Reserve separately authorized the firms to borrow
directly from the central bank. more... |
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Analysts say more U.S. banks will fail
International Herald Tribune
(July 14,
2008) - As home prices continue to decline and loan defaults
mount, U.S. regulators are bracing for dozens of American banks to fail
over the next year. But after a large mortgage lender in California
collapsed late Friday, Wall Street analysts began posing two crucial
questions: Just how many banks might falter? And, more urgently, which
one could be next? The nation's banks are in far less danger than they
were in the late 1980s and early 1990s, when more than 1,000 federally
insured institutions went under during the savings-and-loan crisis. The
debacle, the greatest collapse of American financial institutions since
the Depression, prompted a government bailout that cost taxpayers about
$125 billion. But the troubles are growing so rapidly at some small and
midsize banks that as many as 150 out of the 7,500 banks nationwide
could fail over the next 12 to 18 months, analysts say. Other lenders
are likely to shut branches or seek mergers. "Everybody is drawing up
lists, trying to figure out who the next bank is, No. 1, and No. 2, how
many of them are there," said Richard Bove, the banking analyst with
Ladenburg Thalmann, who released a list of troubled banks over the
weekend. "And No. 3, from the standpoint of Washington, how badly is it
going to affect the economy?" Many investors are on edge after federal
regulators seized the California lender, IndyMac Bank, one of the
nation's largest savings and loans, last week. With $32 billion in
assets, IndyMac, a spinoff of the Countrywide Financial Corporation, was
the biggest American lender to fail in more than two decades. Now, as
the Bush administration grapples with the crisis at the nation's two
largest mortgage finance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, a rush
of earnings reports in the coming days and weeks from some of the
nation's largest financial companies are likely to provide more gloomy
reminders about the sorry state of the industry. more... |
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In 2004 that the Bush
administration was pushing the zero down-payment initiative.
here and
here Of course back when this was being pushed there were those
making it known it would increase defaults. In hindsight, this push
to get people into homes that couldn't really afford it along with
adjustable rate mortgages that shift as they have, probably
wasn't really a good idea. The push for everyone to get a house and
the multitude of offers for low interest rate adjustable mortgages
to those inexperienced home-buyers is a potent mix. Here's
what a poster (Craig) said regarding where the majority of
problems have come from:
"The
ruling by HUD only affected a small portion of the homebuying
public, those getting FHA-secured homes for first-time home
buyers. A zero-down-payment loan for someone with good credit
and proper loan documentation probably isn't defaulting that
frequently. FHA loans require income verification. All FHA loans
that I know of are 30-year fixed loans. These are not the loans
creating the problems. ARMs with low teaser rates, Alt-A,
no-doc, negative amortization, pay option, etc. loans are the
problem loans now, and I seriously doubt that any of them would
have qualified for FHA insurance. Also, if the problem loans
were FHA insured, then Wall Street and the banks wouldn't be in
the mess that they are in, as the federal government would be on
the hook to pay off the loans. The problem loans are not FHA
secured, therefore the initiative mentioned is not applicable in
this case.
Our current fiscal problems are due to loose money from the Fed,
collusion/fraud by and between Wall Street and the ratings
agencies, and greed/lack of ownership by the banks, as well as
lack of oversite by the Fed, Congress and the Executive Branch.
Bush has very little responsibility for any of the problems.
Wall Street, the ratings agencies and the banks are to blame.
The Fed shares a lot of the blame because they have oversite on
the banks, (and all the CDO crap was blessed by Greenspan as a
great financial innovation). Congress and the Executive Branch,
(of which Bush is the head), also share some blame because they
have oversite into the actions of the Fed and thus the banks.
Bush is at the very end of a long line of people/institutions
that are to blame."
I'm not going to try and place
blame, but in the scheme of transitioning to a new global financial
system via a bail-out this could really help out.
Revelation 13:16-18 It seems to me
that in a world run by money, being in debt is a good way to
transition people to a New World Order - most maybe even unknowingly
at first. Now we have the government bailing out these banks while
at the same time working to harmonize international law and trade. I'm sure over the thousands of years the
mystery of iniquity has been working to globalize control of the
world that some well thought-out plans have been developed. Are we
seeing them unfold now? It also strikes me that many don't seem to
notice or want to notice. Perhaps I'm just seeing things or maybe
I'm just seeing things, that's up to you to decide for
yourself after researching these things. If I'm wrong,
let me know! Just
remember that in order to give the kingdoms to the
man of sin, they must belong to
the dragon. Keep watching!
Feds take over mortgage lender IndyMac. May become most expensive bank
collapse ever CNN Money
(July 12,
2008) - In what could turn out to be the most expensive bank
failure ever, troubled mortgage lender IndyMac Bank was taken over by
federal regulators on Friday. The operations of the Pasadena,
Calif.-based bank - once one of the nation's largest home lenders - were
shut down at 3 p.m. by the Office of Thrift Supervision and transferred
to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. According to the FDIC, 10,000
IndyMac customers could lose as much as $500 million in uninsured
deposits. The agency says the failure will cost the Deposit Insurance
Fund between $4 billion and $8 billion, based on preliminary estimates.
"It's possible this will be the most costly bank failure in history, but
it's too soon to say," FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair said in a conference
call late Friday night. The failure could also affect premiums paid by
all banks for deposit insurance, she added. IndyMac, with assets of
$32.01 billion and deposits of $19.06 billion, is the fifth bank to fail
this year. Between 2005 and 2007, only three banks failed. And in the
past 15 years, the FDIC has taken over 127 banks with combined assets of
$22 billion, according to FDIC records. "There will be increased
failures, but it will be within range of what we can handle," Bair said.
"People should not worry." IndyMac marks the largest bank collapse since
1984, when Continental Illinois, which had $40 billion in assets,
failed, according to FDIC records. The two most expensive failures were
in 1988: American Savings and Loan Association in California ($5.4
billion) and involved First Republic Bank in Texas ($4 billion).
more... |
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Report: Emirates calls on GCC countries to depeg currencies from US
dollar The Jerusalem Post (July
6, 2008)
- A newspaper in the United Arab Emirates says the tiny Gulf state's
government is lobbying neighboring countries to depeg their currencies
from the US dollar to curb inflation. The National, which is owned by
the Abu Dhabi ruling family, reported Sunday that the UAE is calling on
all six Gulf Cooperation Council member states to "rethink" their
monetary policy amid soaring inflation in the oil-rich region. It cited
an internal report by Abu Dhabi's Department of Planning and Economy.
The GCC members are Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, the United Arab
Emirates, Bahrain and Oman. All of their currencies are pegged to the
dollar except Kuwait, which depegged its currency, the dinar, from the
dollar in May 2007 in favor of a basket of currencies.
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Muslim Terrorists May Be Trying To Sink the Dollar
Israel National
News
(June 27, 2008) -
Mujahideen Muslim terrorists may be behind the sinking American dollar
as part of a campaign to cripple the American economy, the Middle East
Media Research Institute (MEMRI)
reported. The media watch group, which specializes in tracking Arabic
language websites, said that postings on websites the past two years
reflect a move toward waging an economic war against the United States.
Mujahideen terrorist groups that operate in Afghanistan, Pakistan and
other countries "have come to the conclusion that it is financial,
rather than military, losses that will prompt the U.S. to change its
policies in the Middle East and elsewhere," according to MEMRI. An
article recently posted in Sada Al-Jihad (Echo of Jihad) magazine and
posted on several Muslim websites, discusses the September 11, 2001
attacks on the U.S. as having influenced the decline in the dollar. It
also cited the cost of the war in Iraq and Afghanistan as draining the
American economy. Another recent posting stated, "The dollar can expect
two additional blows that will break its back... [namely] the
announcement of the return of the [religious rule of the] Caliphate..."
and the reinstatement of the gold standard in international monetary
trade. It urged Mujahideen "to get rid of American dollars" before an
"imminent" terrorist attack that "will put an end to the so-called
United States of America and destroy its economy completely." MEMRI
concluded, "Given that it is highly atypical for Al-Qaeda to give prior
warning of its attacks, the message is probably an attempt to pressure
Muslims to sell dollars, in order to generate pessimism in the dollar
market and thus accelerate the drop in its value."
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Chinese renew interest in U.S. property
Reuters
(June 23, 2008) - Chinese interest in U.S.
commercial property is back, and this time Chinese investors may become
significant players as the nation devises a vehicle to divert large
amounts of funds for foreign investment, a Cushman & Wakefield executive
said on Monday. Flush with dollars from a huge trade imbalance, Chinese
sovereign wealth funds are beginning to test the waters in New York real
estate, said Scott Latham, executive vice president, Capital Markets
group for real estate services company Cushman & Wakefield. "They are
coming. We've seen them in the bidding process over the past four months
on a number of assets we've handled," Latham said at the Reuters Global
Real Estate Summit in New York. They were recently among the throng of
bidders for three of seven former Equity Office properties marketed
after Harry Macklowe defaulted on loans he used to buy them last year,
he said. Latham is one of the most powerful commercial real estate
brokers in Manhattan, the largest U.S. commercial real estate market. He
has shepherded deals such as the $1.72 billon sale of the MetLife
Building, the $1.8 billion sale of 666 Fifth Avenue and the $675 million
sale of The Plaza Hotel. "I think that unlike the Middle Eastern
sovereign wealth funds, they have not yet figured out an efficient way
to get the money out of their country," he said. Back in the depths of
the real estate depression in the early 1990s, private individuals from
Hong Kong were big players in New York real estate. A group headed by
Henry Cheng, for example, was able to buy a distressed loan and control
of the property from Donald Trump for less than $100 million along the
West Side and make a killing when they recently sold it for $1.8
billion. "Almost every one of those investments was an absolute home
run," Latham said. more... |
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RBS issues global stock and credit crash alert
Telegraph UK
(June 19, 2008) -
The Royal Bank of Scotland has advised clients to brace for a
full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next
three months as inflation paralyses the major central banks. "A very
nasty period is soon to be upon us - be prepared," said Bob Janjuah, the
bank's credit strategist. A report by the bank's research team warns
that the S&P 500 index of Wall Street equities is likely to fall by more
than 300 points to around 1050 by September as "all the chickens come
home to roost" from the excesses of the global boom, with contagion
spreading across Europe and emerging markets. Such a slide on world
bourses would amount to one of the worst bear markets over the last
century. RBS said the iTraxx index of high-grade corporate bonds could
soar to 130/150 while the "Crossover" index of lower grade corporate
bonds could reach 650/700 in a renewed bout of panic on the debt
markets. "I do not think I can be much blunter. If you have to be in
credit, focus on quality, short durations, non-cyclical defensive names.
"Cash is the key safe haven. This is about not losing your money, and
not losing your job," said Mr Janjuah, who became a City star after his
grim warnings last year about the credit crisis proved all too accurate.
RBS expects Wall Street to rally a little further into early July before
short-lived momentum from America's fiscal boost begins to fizzle out,
and the delayed effects of the oil spike inflict their damage. "Globalisation
was always going to risk putting G7 bankers into a dangerous corner at
some point. We have got to that point," he said. US Federal Reserve and
the European Central Bank both face a Hobson's choice as workers start
to lose their jobs in earnest and lenders cut off credit. The
authorities cannot respond with easy money because oil and food costs
continue to push headline inflation to levels that are unsettling the
markets. "The ugly spoiler is that we may need to see much lower global
growth in order to get lower inflation," he said. more...
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U.S. stops following foreign money trail
WorldNet
Daily
(June 9, 2008) - Foreign investment in
the United States is on the rise and key U.S. businesses and
infrastructures such as roads and airports are being sold to foreign
investors. Now comes word from the U.S. Department of Commerce the
Bureau of Economic Affairs will stop publishing a key report tracking
those foreign dollars.
WND reported earlier on a decision by the Federal Reserve to quit
publishing M3 data, a money-supply measure watched closely by
economists. Last month, econometrician John Williams reported on his
subscription website,
"Shadow Government
Statistics," that the M3 statistic he compiles from available
government data shows the growth of M3 at historically high rates last
seen in June 1971, two months before President Nixon closed the gold
window and instituted wage and price controls. Charles McMillion,
president and chief economist at MBG Information Services in Washington,
D.C., also has expressed concern over the recent decision by the
Department of Commerce to discontinue publishing foreign investment data
and warned that may forecast an unprecedented surge in foreign
investment anticipated by the Bush administration. In the announcement,
BEA claimed funding limitations necessitated
halting future reports. The most recent report, released Wednesday,
showed direct foreign investment in U.S. businesses reached $276.8
billion in 2007, the second largest amount recorded and the highest
since 2000, when new foreign investment outlays peaked at $335.6
billion. Of the direct foreign investments in the U.S. in 2007, only
about 10 percent, approximately $21.9 billion, established new U.S.
businesses, while foreign investments to acquire existing U.S.
businesses totaled $255.0 billion. Nearly 37 percent of the foreign
investments in 2007 involved European investors, although the BEA noted
investments from Asia and the Middle East rose substantially. McMillion
noted in an e-mail that the BEA decision to discontinue publishing
foreign investment data comes at a time when public and congressional
concerns have increased over the acquisition of U.S. assets by foreign
investors McMillian referenced the recent attempt by "China's mysterious
but closely state-aligned Huawei" to acquire 3Com, a key supplier of
Internet security technologies to the U.S. Department of State, in
conjunction with Boston-based Bain Capital, a private equity firm
founded by Republican 2008 presidential candidate Mitt Romney. In March,
Bain pulled out of the deal after learning that the secretive Committee
on Foreign Investment in the United States, or CFIUS,
organized in the U.S. Treasury Department, planned to block the
deal. In May, during a four-day trip to the Middle East that included
Saudi Arabia and Dubai, U.S. Secretary of Treasury Henry Paulson
encouraged foreign investment in the United States, arguing the
controversy over
Dubai Ports in 2006 did not reflect an adverse U.S. attitude toward
foreign investment. "I have met with many leaders from the Middle East
who ask if the United States really continues to welcome investment,"
Paulson said in a speech to the U.S.-United Arab Emirates Business
Council, according to Bloomberg.com. "As we seek to open new markets
abroad, America will keep our markets open at home to investment from
private firms and from sovereign wealth funds."
WND previously reported that since the beginning of the year, Dubai
and Abu Dhabi, two of the largest United Arab Emirate states, have been
in discussions with the U.S. Treasury, offering reassurances that their
investments in U.S. banks and security firms would not impose
restrictions usually dictated by Islamic law, commonly known as sharia.
WND also has reported sovereign wealth funds in six Persian Gulf
countries, including Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar, have
now amassed $1.7 trillion, positioning them for attempts to control
major banks and securities firms in the United States. In September
2007, Dubai
acquired 19.9 percent of Nasdaq, the second largest stock exchange
in the United States. WND also reported last month
the top bid to lease the Pennsylvania Turnpike on a long-term
public-private-partnership, or PPP lease, for a bid of $12.8 billion
was submitted by Spanish infrastructure management company Abertis
Infraestructuras of Barcelona.
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We can reduce risk in the financial system
Financial Times(June 8, 2008) - Since last summer,
we have lived through a severe and complex financial crisis. Why was the
financial system so fragile? What can be done to make the system more
resilient in the future? The world experienced a financial boom. The
boom fed demand for risk. Products were created to meet that demand,
including risky, complicated mortgages. Many assets were financed with
significant leverage and liquidity risk and many of the world’s largest
financial institutions got themselves too exposed to the risk of a
global downturn. The amount of long-term illiquid assets financed with
short-term liabilities made the system vulnerable to a classic type of
run. As concern about risk increased, investors pulled back, triggering
a self-reinforcing cycle of forced liquidation of assets, higher margin
requirements, increased volatility. What should be done to strengthen
the system in the future? First, when we get through this crisis we have
to increase the shock absorbers held in normal times against bad
macroeconomic and financial outcomes. This will require more exacting
expectations on capital, liquidity and risk management for the largest
institutions that play a central role in intermediation and market
functioning. They should be set high enough to offset the benefits that
come from access to central bank liquidity, but not so high that they
succeed only in pushing more capital to the unregulated part of the
financial system. Second, we have to improve the capacity of the
financial infrastructure to withstand default by a big institution. This
will require taking some of the risk out of secured funding markets,
increasing resources held against default in the centralised clearing
house, and encouraging more standardisation, automation and central
clearing in the derivatives markets. Third, the regulatory framework
cannot be indifferent to the scale of leverage and risk outside the
supervised institutions. I do not believe it would be desirable or
feasible to extend capital requirements to leveraged institutiions such
as hedge funds. But supervision has to ensure that counterparty credit
risk management in the supervised institutions limits the risk of a rise
in overall leverage outside the regulated institutions that could
threaten the stability of the financial system. And regulatory policy
has to induce higher levels of margin and collateral in normal times
against derivatives and secured borrowing to cover better the risk of
market illiquidity. Fourth, we need to streamline and simplify the US
regulatory framework. Our system has evolved into a confusing mix of
diffused accountability, regulatory competition and a complex web of
rules that create perverse incentives and leave huge opportunities for
arbitrage and evasion. The blueprint by Hank Paulson, Treasury
secretary, outlines a sweeping consolidation and realignment of
responsibilities. The institutions that play a central role in money
and funding markets – including the main globally active banks and
investment banks – need to operate under a unified framework that
provides a stronger form of consolidated supervision, with appropriate
requirements for capital and liquidity. To complement this, we
need to put in place a stronger framework of oversight authority over
the critical parts of the payments system – not just the established
payments, clearing and settlements systems, but the infrastructure that
underpins the decentralised over-the-counter markets. Because of its
primary responsibility for the stability of the overall financial
system, the Federal Reserve should play a central role in such a
framework, working closely with supervisors in the US and in other
countries. At present the Fed has broad responsibility for financial
stability not matched by direct authority and the consequences of the
actions we have taken in this crisis make it more important that we
close that gap. The big central banks should put in place a standing
network of currency swaps, collateral policies and account arrangements
that would make it easier to mobilise liquidity across borders quickly
in a crisis. As we reshape the incentives and constraints for
risk-taking in the financial system, we have to recognise that
regulation has the potential to make things worse. Regulation can
distort incentives in ways that may make the system less safe. One of
the strengths of our system is the speed with which we adapt to
challenge. It is important that we move quickly to adapt the regulatory
system to address the vulnerabilities exposed by this financial crisis.
We are beginning the process of building the necessary consensus here
and with the other main financial centres. more...
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This was authored by New York
Federal Reserve president Timothy Geithner. It seems to me that
international cooperation in business and finance is just another
step toward a global economy with a centralized power structure like
that which will be necessary to fulfill Bible prophecy such that
nobody will be able to buy or sell without participation in this
system. Ultimately this will involve the "security" provided through
technology so that transactions can be cashless and locked to the
individual. The perfect technology for this is
Somark's RFID tattoo ink.
"Jim
Tucker from the American Free Press speaking on the Alex Jones show
today stated that one of his Bilderberg sources revealed to him that
the global elite are planning to push forward their cashless society
grid agenda with the use of implantable microchips. The implantable
microchips would be sold as a way for people to easily move through
the militarized control grid that they’ve setup via the bogus terror
war. Tucker also mentioned that we would see the media hyping the
phony terror war and specifically the phony “white Al-Qaeda terror
threat” as a way for them to continue the justification of the
enslavement grid. Assuming Tucker’s Bilderberg source is providing
accurate information, this agenda that Geithner is pushing in his
Financial Times article is right in line with their well documented
plans to get rid of cash. The central bankers would need a global
regulatory framework for the banking system so they can move closer
to a global currency operating in a cashless society."
Link
Gas hits national average of $4 for first time
Associated Press (June
8,
2008) - The average price of regular gas crept up to $4 a
gallon for the first time over the weekend, passing the once-unthinkable
milestone just in time for the peak summer travel season. Prices at the
pump are expected to keep climbing, especially after last week's furious
surge in oil prices, which neared $140 a barrel in a record-shattering
rally Friday. While Americans who have to drive will feel the biggest
squeeze, the increased prices also translate into higher costs for
consumers and businesses, who will be forced to shoulder increased costs
for food and anything else that needs to be transported. "I don't think
we've felt quite the full impact of $138 or $139 a barrel oil," said
Jason Toews, co-founder of fuel price research site GasBuddy.com. Gas
prices rolled past their latest threshold Sunday, increasing to $4.005 a
gallon overnight from $3.988 the day before, according to AAA and the
Oil Price Information Service. Of course, drivers in many parts of the
country have already been paying well above that price for some time.
California has seen some of the highest prices; a gallon there now
averages $4.436 a gallon, the most in the country. Missourians are
paying the least at the pump, with a gallon in the Show-Me State selling
for a relatively cheap $3.802 a gallon. Prices have risen by about 20
cents in the past three weeks, according to a report by the Lundberg
Survey released Sunday. Truckers and others with diesel engines under
the hood have it even worse off. A gallon of diesel now sells for
$4.762, up nearly a penny overnight, according to AAA and OPIS. Prices
hit a record atop $4.79 at the end of May. Skyrocketing oil prices,
which are trading at more than double their level last year, are largely
to blame for the surge. Crude prices shot up more than 13 percent late
last week in their biggest two-day price gain in history. Benchmark
light, sweet crude for July delivery officially finished the week at
$138.54 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, but at one point jumped as
high as $139.12. "This could be a real weight on the economy," James
Cordier, president of Tampa, Fla.-based trading firm Liberty Trading
Group, said of oil's jump Friday. "With every nickel that gas goes up,
people are driving less and less." Oil's latest surge caught some
longtime petroleum industry veterans off-guard, and left analysts
wondering if it represented a one-time spike or the beginning of a new
wave of advances. more... |
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Investors Flee Stocks As Oil Surges Close to $140
Washington Post (June
6,
2008) - Stocks plunged Friday, with the Dow Jones industrials
having their worst day in more than a year, after oil prices shot up
by more than $11 a barrel and neared $140, wiping out investors'
recent optimism about the economy in the process. The prospect of
higher energy prices that could hobble consumers and worsen a
slowing economy had investors frenetically pulling money out of
stocks. The bad news about rising energy prices compounded
investors' anxiety over a worrisome reading on unemployment, which
for May showed its biggest monthly rise since 1986. According to
preliminary calculations, the Dow Jones industrial average fell
394.64, or 3.13 percent, to 12,209.81. It was the worst percentage
and point drop since Feb. 27, 2007. Standard & Poor's 500-stock
index lost 43.37, or 3.09 percent, to 1,360.68, and the Nasdaq
composite index fell 75.38, or 2.96 percent, to 2,474.56. Crude oil
has had a huge price rebound this week after falling amid a drop in
demand for gasoline. The jump continued Friday; light, sweet crude
passed $139 before settling at $138.54, a gain of $10.75 in the
regular session. The surge followed a Morgan Stanley analyst's
prediction that crude would reach $150 a barrel by July 4; a decline
in the dollar and fresh tensions in the Middle East added to crude's
advance. On Wall Street, crude's soaring price intensified worries
that ever-more-expensive fuel will lead consumers to curtail their
spending on nonessential items. Average gasoline prices are close to
$4 a gallon nationwide, and crude's surge is expected to propel
prices even higher -- and make Americans more reluctant to spend.
Moreover, the spike in energy prices came as the Labor Department
said the nation's unemployment rate jumped to 5.5 percent in May
from 5 percent in April. more... |
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Energy fears looming, new survivalists prepare
Associated Press
(May 24,
2008) - A few years ago, Kathleen Breault was just another
suburban grandma, driving countless hours every week, stopping for lunch
at McDonald's, buying clothes at the mall, watching TV in the evenings.
That was before Breault heard an author talk about the bleak future of
the world's oil supply. Now, she's preparing for the world as we know it
to disappear. Breault cut her driving time in half. She switched to a
diet of locally grown foods near her upstate New York home and lost 70
pounds. She sliced up her credit cards, banished her television and
swore off plane travel. She began relying on a wood-burning stove. "I
was panic-stricken," the 50-year-old recalled, her voice shaking.
"Devastated. Depressed. Afraid. Vulnerable. Weak. Alone. Just terrible."
Convinced the planet's oil supply is dwindling and the world's economies
are heading for a crash, some people around the country are moving onto
homesteads, learning to live off their land, conserving fuel and, in
some cases, stocking up on guns they expect to use to defend themselves
and their supplies from desperate crowds of people who didn't prepare.
The exact number of people taking such steps is impossible to determine,
but anecdotal evidence suggests that the movement has been gaining
momentum in the last few years. These energy survivalists are not
leading some sort of green revolution meant to save the planet. Many of
them believe it is too late for that, seeing signs in soaring fuel and
food prices and a faltering U.S. economy, and are largely focused on
saving themselves. Some are doing it quietly, giving few details of
their preparations - afraid that revealing such information as the
location of their supplies will endanger themselves and their loved
ones. They envision a future in which the nation's cities will be filled
with hungry, desperate refugees forced to go looking for food, shelter
and water. "There's going to be things that happen when people can't get
things that they need for themselves and their families," said
Lynn-Marie, who believes cities could see a rise in violence as early as
2012. more... |
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Surging inflation will stoke riots and conflict between nations, says
report
Guardian UK (May 23,
2008) - Riots, protests and political unrest could multiply
in the developing world as soaring inflation widens the gap between the
"haves" and the "have nots", an investment bank predicted yesterday.
Economists at Merrill Lynch view inflation as an "accident waiting to
happen". As prices for food and commodities surge, the bank expects
global inflation to rise from 3.5% to 4.9% this year. In emerging
markets, the average rate is to be 7.3%. The cost of food and fuel has
already been cited as a factor leading to violence in Haiti, protests by
Argentinian farmers and riots in sub-Saharan Africa, including attacks
on immigrants in South African townships. Merrill's chief international
economist, Alex Patelis, said this could be the tip of the iceberg,
warning of more trouble "between nations and within nations" as people
struggle to pay for everyday goods. "Inflation has distributional
effects. If everyone's income moved by the same rate, you wouldn't care
- but it doesn't," said Patelis. "You have pensioners on fixed pensions.
Some people produce rice that triples in price, while others consume
it." A report by Merrill urges governments to crack down on inflation,
describing the phenomenon as the primary driver of macroeconomic trends.
The problem has emerged from poor food harvests, sluggish supplies of
energy and soaring demand in rapidly industrialising countries such as
China, where wage inflation has reached 18%. Unless policymakers take
action to dampen prices and wages, Merrill says sudden shortages could
become more frequent. The bank cited power cuts in South Africa and a
run on rice in Californian supermarkets as recent examples. "You're
going to see tension between nations and within nations," said Patelis.
The UN recently set up a taskforce to examine food shortages and price
rises. It has expressed alarm that its world food programme is
struggling to pay for food for those most at need. Last month, the World
Bank's president, Robert Zoellick, suggested that 33 countries could
erupt in social unrest following a rise of as much as 80% in food prices
over three years. Merrill's report said the credit crunch has
contributed to a global re-balancing, drawing to a close an era in which
American consumers have been the primary drivers of the world's economy.
In a gloomy set of forecasts, Merrill said it believes the US is in a
recession - and that American house prices, which are among the root
causes of the downturn, could fall by 15% over the next 18 months.
more...
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2nd Seal |
Congress vs. OPEC: Flexible-fuel cars
One News Now
(May 22, 2008)-
An engineer and energy authority says the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) led by Saudi
Arabia wants to drive the world into an economic depression with the
eventual goal of establishing a worldwide Islamic caliphate. Dr.
Robert Zubrin has a Ph.D. in nuclear engineering and is president of
Pioneer Astronautics, an aerospace engineering firm. He recently
published Energy Victory: Win the War on Terror by Breaking Free
of Oil. He believes the OPEC cartel has consciously decided to
restrict the production of oil in the face of growing world demand,
and that this year the U.S. is going to spend $1 trillion on oil,
most of which is going into the pockets of the cartel. "They'll use
part of it to fund terrorism internationally," he says, "and they're
putting the rest into a giant takeover fund called sovereign wealth
funds, which they will use to take over the companies that they
wreck as they push us into recession. They'll take over these
companies at a fraction of their value; 10 cents on the dollar,"
Zubrin contends. The author argues that the power of the OPEC cartel
must be destroyed internationally -- and that the U.S. Congress can
help. He urges Congress to make "flex-fuel" the international
standard and force gasoline to compete at the pumps. "The United
States Congress can effectively destroy OPEC with the stroke of a
pen, simply by passing a law requiring that every new car sold in
the United States gives the consumer fuel choice. That is, [to] be a
fully flex-fueled car able to run not just on gasoline but on
methanol and ethanol," Zubrin explains. According to Zubrin, a
Senate bill cosponsored by Senators Evan Bayh (D-Indiana) and Kansas
Republican Sam Brownback (R-Kansas) would do just that and crash the
price of oil to $50 a barrel. Flexible-fuel vehicles, or FFVs,
according to the U.S. Department of Energy, are designed to run on
gasoline or a blend of up to 85% ethanol (E85), and have been
produced since the 1980s. The DOE says while FFVs experience no loss
in performance when operating on E85, they typically get fewer miles
per gallon because an equal amount of gasoline contains more energy.
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Islam
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Economic Crisis
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Ethiopian millions 'risk hunger'
BBC News
(May 20, 2008)- Six million children
in Ethiopia are at risk of acute malnutrition following the failure
of rains, the UN children's agency, Unicef, has warned. More than
60,000 children in two Ethiopian regions require immediate
specialist feeding just to survive, Unicef says. The situation is
expected to worsen in the next few months as crops fail. Aid
agencies in Ethiopia say they are short of funds as donors
concentrate on the emergencies in China and Burma. Paulette Jones,
of the World Food Programme (WFP), said a combination of events had
led to the situation. "We have drought - a really poor rainy season
- and, of course, we have high food prices worldwide." The UN
estimates it currently has a shortfall of 180,000 tonnes of food -
and presently has no promises to meet this target. more... |
Economic Crisis
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China says quake killed 12.5 million farm animals, will hurt rice
production
International Herald Tribune
(May 19, 2008)- China's devastating
earthquake killed 12.5 million farm animals — mostly chickens — and
wrecked vegetable crops and irrigation systems needed to grow rice,
the government says. More than 20,000 hectares (50,000 acres) of
vegetables and more than 10,000 hectares (25,000 acres) of wheat
were destroyed by the May 12 quake in Sichuan province, according to
the Agriculture Ministry. Damage to irrigation systems could prevent
farmers from growing rice on as much as 100,000 hectares (250,000
acres) of rice paddies, the ministry said. But it said that land
might be used for alternative crops while the damage is repaired.
Most of the farm animals killed were poultry, said Wei Chao'an, a
deputy agriculture minister, in comments reported by the official
Xinhua News Agency. He said the losses should not affect food
supplies, because they account for a small share of the 1.5 billion
birds that Sichuan province was expected to produce this year.
Sichuan usually supplies about 6 percent of China's grain and 5
percent of its vegetables, according to Wei. |
Economic Crisis
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High food prices forcing millions of Filipinos into povertyInquirer.net
(May 18, 2008)- Soaring food prices
are forcing millions of Filipinos into poverty, the Asian
Development Bank said in a study released here Sunday. "Increases in
food prices have enormous impacts on poverty" in the Philippines,
where poor people spend nearly 60 percent of their income on food,
the Manila-based lender said. The Philippines is one of the world's
biggest rice importers and the government estimates a third of the
country's 90 million people live on a dollar a day or less.
Inflation spiked to a three-year high of 8.3 percent last month due
mainly to surging prices of rice and petroleum products, which are
at all-time highs. A 10-percent rise in food and non-food prices
"will lead to an additional 2.3 million and 1.7 million poor people,
respectively," the ADB study said. Between January 2007 and March
2008, rice prices have risen at an annual pace of 22.9 percent, the
study said, urging Manila to "direct government policies toward
stabilizing food prices." "Monetary policy may not be an effective
tool to combat rising inflation," it said, adding, "such policies
may push the economy into recession, which will hurt the poor even
more." |
Economic Crisis
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World economy on thin ice - U.N.
CNN Money
(May 16, 2008)- The world economy is
"teetering on the brink" of a severe downturn and is expected to grow
only 1.8% in 2008, the United Nations said in its mid-year economic
projections Thursday. That's down from a global growth rate of 3.8% in
2007, and the downturn is expected to continue with only a slightly
higher growth of 2.1% in 2009, the U.N. report said. The mid-year update
of the U.N. World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 blamed the
downturn on further deterioration in the U.S. housing and financial
sectors in the first quarter, which is expected to "continue to be a
major drag for the world economy extending into 2009." But the U.N. said
developing countries will suffer as badly: They should grow by 5% this
year and 4.8% next year, compared to a robust 7.3% in 2007, the report
said. The U.N. economists said the deepening credit crisis in major
market economies triggered by the U.S.-led slump in housing prices, the
declining value of the U.S. dollar, persistent global imbalances and
soaring oil and commodity prices pose considerable risks to economic
growth in both developed and developing countries. "The baseline
forecast projects a pace for world economic growth of 1.8% in 2008," the
U.N. report said. However, it said the final figure will largely depend
on developments in the United States. Global growth this year could fall
to 0.8% if the U.S. subprime mortgage market turmoil has a more serious
impact on developing countries and countries in transition, the U.N.
report said. But if the monetary and fiscal measures the U.S. government
has taken to stimulate the economy - including tax refunds and lower
interest rates - boost consumer spending and restore confidence in the
business and banking sector, the world economy could only slow to 2.8%
growth this year and 2.9% in 2009, it said. The report, prepared by the
U.N. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, forecast that U.S.
economic growth will decline from 2.2% in 2007 to -0.2% this year, with
only slight recovery in 2009 to 0.2% growth. "At issue is how deep and
long this contraction will be," the report said. "As the housing slump
continues and the credit crisis deepens, a broad array of ... indicators
are already hinting at a recession." more...
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Jim
Deeds. Hyperinflation: Are We There Yet?
McAlvany Weekly Commentary
(May 14, 2008) - 65% of
American Dollars are circulating outside of the United States. At
the moment they trust the American Dollar. 85% of the debt in the
last five years has been sold to foreigners like the Russians and
the Chinese. |
America|
Economic Crisis
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Global hyperinflation just
around the corner? How would this affect peace in the earth? What
about combined with increased food problems?
Egypt extends ration cards due to high food prices
Reuters
(May 8, 2008) - Egypt has opened its
ration card system to an extra 17 million people and doubled the amount
of rice that card holders receive in an effort to counter the effects of
rising food prices. The global prices of staple foods have risen more
than 40 percent in the last year causing shortages, hoarding and riots
in many developing countries and prompting the United Nations to warn of
malnutrition and social unrest. In Egypt, inflation has jumped to 16.4
percent and the government is trying to contain growing public
discontent over rising food prices which are accentuated by low wages.
Three people were killed in a Nile Delta town last month in clashes with
police after textile workers tried to strike. Egypt had not added to the
ration card registry since 1988 before opening it up for new
registrations until June 30. "Up to now we have received about 17
million additional citizens... This means we will cover about 55 million
people," Social Solidarity Minister Ali Musailhi told Reuters. Egypt's
population is about 75 million. The poor spend a disproportionate amount
of their income on food and in Tajikistan, an impoverished Central Asian
republic, their problems have been worsened by a locust infestation
which threatens maize and wheat crops. Last month, the U.N. said locusts
had infested an area of 150,000 hectares -- 30 percent more than last
year -- and could damage food supplies in a nation of 7 million. Many
countries have responded to high food prices by imposing taxes and other
restrictions on exports to try to ensure adequate supplies at home.
Export bans by India and Vietnam, the world's second biggest exporter,
have helped rice prices in Asia to treble this year and filled the
coffers of rice exporters in Thailand. Thailand, the world's biggest
rice exporter, is expecting to sell more than 9 million tonnes of rice
overseas this year, about the same as last year, but at far higher
prices. Thai rice prices eased this week from a record level above
$1,000 a tonne. "Everybody turns the spotlight on Thailand and this year
will be the golden year for Thai rice exports," Commerce Minister
Mingkwan Sangsuwan told reporters. more... |
Economic Crisis
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Mogadishu rocked by food demonstrations
News Daily
(May 5, 2008) - A young man was killed
when thousands of Somalis protested in Mogadishu on Monday over food
traders' refusal to take old currency notes blamed for stoking spiraling
inflation, witnesses said. A shopkeeper shot the man dead after dozens
of demonstrators wielding clubs and stones broke into his store. Locals
said police wounded a teenage boy while trying to disperse hundreds of
angry residents. "The shopkeeper fired a pistol at the crowd and it hit
the young man's head," one witness in the Madina district in the
southeast of the capital said, refusing to give his name. Despite still
being a legal currency, many shopkeepers have been refusing to accept
the worn out old notes, saying wholesale traders were also refusing to
take them. The Somali shilling is valued at roughly 34,000 to the dollar
-- more than double what it is was a year ago -- and many blame the fall
in value on counterfeiters. With an interim government focused on
containing islamist insurgency, there is no one to control rampant
counterfeiting of currency which is often exchanged for real dollars
that are then taken out of the country. The problem has been compounded
by sharply rising world food prices, leaving many in the lawless Horn of
Africa nation of 10 million short of money to buy food, triggering
several protests or riots in the past six months. On Monday, thousands
were on the streets of the bombed-out capital, clutching tattered old
notes while shouting "Down with traders" and "We want to buy food." All
shops remained closed and the streets empty as protestors stoned the few
vehicles moving around. more...
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Gulf States May End Dollar Pegs, Kuwait Minister Says (Update4)Bloomberg
(May 1, 2008) - Gulf states are
considering dropping their pegs to the dollar after the U.S. currency's
decline stoked inflation across the region, Kuwaiti Finance Minister
Mustafa al- Shimali said. "Yes, there are some'' Gulf Cooperation
Council states considering dropping their pegs to the dollar, which has
fallen 13 percent against the euro in the last 12 months, al-Shimali
said in an interview in Kuwait late yesterday without naming the
countries. ``Some countries will do what we are doing.'' Al-Shimali's
comments may restoke speculation of a change in Middle East currency
systems that eased after the United Arab Emirates and Qatar last month
ruled out any revaluation or dropping the dollar peg in the short term.
The issue will remain a key issue as long as inflation remains high.
"Inflation is rising in the Gulf to a great extent because of loose
monetary policy,'' said Marios Maratheftis, head of research for
Standard Chartered Plc in the Middle East in a telephone interview from
Dubai. "Tightening monetary policy can only happen if they drop their
currency pegs or strengthen the currency, preferably both.'' The U.A.E.,
Bahrain and Qatar lowered their benchmark interest rates today by a
quarter point, matching a cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve a day earlier.
The move is needed to maintain the dollar pegs. Saudi Arabia is on its
weekend while Oman moves its interest rates in line with the London
Inter Bank Offered Rate. Inflation is running close to 10 percent in
Saudi Arabia and the U.A.E., while Qatar's consumer prices rose 14
percent in the fourth quarter. The Kuwaiti dinar has appreciated 7.9
percent against the dollar since the nation in May became the only Gulf
Arab state to drop its peg to the U.S. currency. Contracts to buy U.A.E.
dirhams in 12 months time are trading at a 2 percent premium and Saudi
riyal forwards are trading at a 1.3 percent premium to the spot price,
suggesting that some traders are betting that those countries will
follow Kuwait in revaluing. The link to the dollar meant that imports in
euros and other currencies that have strengthened against the dollar
became more expensive. The idea of dropping the peg "has been started by
other Gulf countries and they are partially going this way because the
dollar has been going down for some time,'' al-Shimali said yesterday.
more... |
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Economic Crisis
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While listening to this
audio, keep in mind that according to Bible prophecy, there will be
a global cashless economic system. One of the precursors to that,
according to some interpretation of scripture, is an economic and
food crisis, the
third seal, which could lead to the implementation of a new
financial system.
Iran completely stops conducting oil transactions in US dollarsUSA Today
(April 30, 2008) - A top Oil Ministry
official says Iran, OPEC's second-largest producer, has completely
stopped conducting all its oil transactions in U.S. dollars. Iran
has dramatically reduced dependence on the dollar over the past year
in the face of increasing U.S. pressure on its financial system and
the fall in the value of the American currency. Oil is priced in
U.S. dollars on the world market and the currency's depreciation has
concerned producers because it has contributed to rising crude
prices and eroded the value of their dollar reserves. Iran has
already said it was shifting its oil sales out of the dollar into
other currencies. Oil Ministry official Hojjatollah Ghanimifard said
Wednesday all oil transactions are now being carried out in euros
and yen.
|Iran
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Euro dives as wheels fly off eurozone economy
Telegraph UK
(April 26, 2008) - The euro has
suffered its sharpest drop in four years as a blizzard of weak data from
Germany, Belgium, France, and Spain spark fears that economic contagion
may be spreading from the Anglo-Saxon world to Europe. Spain's business
federation warned that Spanish unemployment will rise by 500,000 by the
summer unless the government takes "valiant measures" to offset the
housing and construction crash. "For every dwelling not built, two
workers will lose their jobs," said the group's president, Gerardo Diaz
Ferran. The country's credit group ASNEF said the volume of personal
loans had dropped 30pc in the first quarter, the worst performance since
the country's financial crisis in the early 1990s. Troubling data in
Spain has been building for months, but investors have tended to focus
on Germany as a proxy for the whole eurozone. A shock drop in Germany's
IFO business confidence index yesterday caused an abrupt change of mood
in the currency markets. The euro plunged to $1.5646 against the dollar,
down from its all-time peak of $1.6018 on Tuesday. It is still 27pc
above its level two years ago. The German data follows a slide in the
Belgian index, which captures crucial port activity in Antwerp. The
headline confidence figure fell to -7.4 in April from plus 1.2 in March,
with a dramatic slump in the export order books to -14. This is flashing
near-recession warnings. David Owen, an economist at Dresdner Kleinwort,
said Europe would soon be engulfed by the twin effects of a "collapse in
export volumes" and a slow motion credit squeeze. "The wheels are coming
off the eurozone economy," he said. BNP Paribas warned clients yesterday
that the "decoupling story" was no longer credible. "We see Europe in
the early stage of a credit crunch, and if we are right credit supply
will shut down," it said. Key governors of the European Central Bank
began to back away from their hawkish stance of recent weeks, clearly
disturbed by the market perception that they are mulling a rate rise to
choke off price rises. Inflation has reached a post-EMU high of 3.6pc on
surging oil and food costs. Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, went out
of his way yesterday to brief journalists that "sharp" currency moves
had "possible implications for financial and economic stability", a
coded threat of co-ordinated intervention by world central banks.
more...
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NewWorldOrder|
Economic Crisis
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Keep in mind that while Europe
is the center of power in Bible prophecy, there is going to be a new
global economic system that I believe will replace paper money with
electronic money linked through technology to RFID that will require
a mark to buy or sell. The world central banks seem to be the ones
with the power to bail out anyone and they are some of the greatest
proponents of a global governance scheme. I think its a matter of
time before this comes about and if the timing I've come across is
accurate it could be within a year. Is that possible? Given the
events that are coming about, it just may be but I'm still watching
too.
California foreclosure "surge": Up 327% from '07 levels
Los Angeles Times
(April 22, 2008) - The number of
California homes lost to foreclosure in the first quarter surged
327% from year-ago levels -- reaching an average of more than 500
foreclosures per day -- DataQuick said in a report, warning that the
widening foreclosure problem could "spread beyond the current
categories of dicey mortgages, and into mainstream home loans." From
DataQuick's report on California foreclosures in the first three
months of 2008: "Trustees Deeds recorded, or the actual loss of a
home to foreclosure, totaled 47,171 during the first quarter. ...
Last quarter's total rose 48.9 percent from 31,676 in the previous
quarter, and jumped 327.6 percent from 11,032 in first quarter
2007." That translates into 517 foreclosures every day in the first
quarter of 2008. DataQuick president Marshall Prentice: "The main
factor behind this foreclosure surge remains the decline in home
values. Additionally, a lot of the 'loans-gone-wild' activity
happened in late 2005 and 2006 and that's working its way through
the system. The big 'if' right now is whether or not the economy is
in recession. If it is, the foreclosure problem could spread beyond
the current categories of dicey mortgages, and into mainstream home
loans."
From The L.A. Times' Peter Hong: "Sinking home values and the
collapse of flimsy mortgages sent a record number of California
homes into the foreclosure process in the first three months of this
year, a real estate information service reported today." Default
notices -- which mark the beginning of the foreclosure process --
increased sharply, but not as rapidly as outright foreclosures. From
Bloomberg News: "California mortgage defaults more than doubled in
the first quarter to the highest in 15 years as a drop in sales and
prices prevented some homeowners from selling their properties to
pay debt, DataQuick Information Systems said. More: "Homeowners
received 113,676 default notices in the first quarter, up 143
percent from a year ago, La Jolla, California- based DataQuick said
today in a statement. The level was the highest since at least 1992,
when DataQuick's statistics begin." Despite well publicized federal
efforts to reach out to homeowners in default, the odds that they
will ultimately lose their homes appear to be increasing. DataQuick
reports that, of the homeowners in default, "an estimated 32 percent
emerge from the foreclosure process by bringing their payments
current, refinancing, or selling the home and paying off what they
owe. A year ago it was about 52 percent. |
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Economic Crisis
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Across globe, hunger brings rising anger
International Herald Tribune
(April 18, 2008) - Hunger bashed in the
front gate of Haiti's presidential palace. Hunger poured onto the
streets, burning tires and taking on soldiers and the police. Hunger
sent the country's prime minister packing. Haiti's hunger, that burn
in the belly that so many here feel, has become fiercer than ever in
recent days as global food prices spiral out of reach, spiking as
much as 45 percent since the end of 2006 and turning Haitian staples
like beans, corn and rice into closely guarded treasures. Saint
Louis Meriska's children ate two spoonfuls of rice apiece as their
only meal recently and then went without any food the following day.
His eyes downcast, his own stomach empty, the unemployed father said
forlornly, "They look at me and say, 'Papa, I'm hungry,' and I have
to look away. It's humiliating and it makes you angry." That anger
is palpable across the globe. The food crisis is not only being felt
among the poor but is also eroding the gains of the working and
middle classes, sowing volatile levels of discontent and putting new
pressures on fragile governments. In Cairo, the military is being
put to work baking bread as rising food prices threaten to become
the spark that ignites wider anger at a repressive government. In
Burkina Faso and other parts of sub-Saharan Africa, food riots are
breaking out as never before. In reasonably prosperous Malaysia, the
ruling coalition was nearly ousted by voters who cited food and fuel
price increases as their main concerns. "It's the worst crisis of
its kind in more than 30 years," said Jeffrey Sachs, the economist
and special adviser to the United Nations secretary general, Ban
Ki-moon. "It's a big deal and it's obviously threatening a lot of
governments. There are a number of governments on the ropes, and I
think there's more political fallout to come." Indeed, as it roils
developing nations, the spike in commodity prices — the biggest
since the Nixon administration — has pitted the globe's poorer south
against the relatively wealthy north, adding to demands for reform
of rich nations' farm and environmental policies. But experts say
there are few quick fixes to a crisis tied to so many factors, from
strong demand for food from emerging economies like China's to
rising oil prices to the diversion of food resources to make
biofuels. There are no scripts on how to handle the crisis, either.
In Asia, governments are putting in place measures to limit hoarding
of rice after some shoppers panicked at price increases and bought
up everything they could. Even in Thailand, which produces 10
million more tons of rice than it consumes and is the world's
largest rice exporter, supermarkets have placed signs limiting the
amount of rice shoppers are allowed to purchase. But there is also
plenty of nervousness and confusion about how best to proceed and
just how bad the impact may ultimately be, particularly as already
strapped governments struggle to keep up their food subsidies...
"Why are these riots happening?" asked Arif Husain, senior food
security analyst at the World Food Program, which has issued urgent
appeals for donations. "The human instinct is to survive, and people
are going to do no matter what to survive. And if you're hungry you
get angry quicker." Leaders who ignore the rage do so at their own
risk. President René Préval of Haiti appeared to taunt the populace
as the chorus of complaints about la vie chère — the expensive life
— grew. He said if Haitians could afford cellphones, which many do
carry, they should be able to feed their families. "If there is a
protest against the rising prices," he said, "come get me at the
palace and I will demonstrate with you." When they came, filled with
rage and by the thousands, he huddled inside and his presidential
guards, with United Nations peacekeeping troops, rebuffed them.
Within days, opposition lawmakers had voted out Préval's prime
minister, Jacques-Édouard Alexis, forcing him to reconstitute his
government. Fragile in even the best of times, Haiti's population
and politics are now both simmering. more...
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3rd Seal |
Economic Crisis
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This increased anger and
frustration could also contribute to the peace being taken from the
earth described in the second seal as well, hunger is a powerful
force as is self-preservation. In places with a philosophy of "every
man for himself" and "look out for number one," it could easily get
ugly. And in America as economic woes increase, we could see an
increase in crime as well.
EU: Europe Needs More Say in World Economy Talks As Strong Euro
Gains Ground
Associated Press
(April 11, 2008) - The European Union's
top economy official has said that Europe deserved a greater say in
the global economy as the strong euro gains ground as the world's
second major currency. EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner
Joaquin Almunia said Friday that the rest of the world now sees
the euro currency zone as "a pole of stability" and the currency had
the potential to become even more important. The euro is now
second to the weak U.S. dollar as a reserve currency held by foreign
investors and has risen sharply against the dollar in recent months,
hitting a new all-time high of $1.5912 on Thursday. Almunia said
the euro area is now "playing an increasingly important role in
supporting the stability of the world economy and the global
financial system." "Non-EU countries increasingly perceive the
euro area and the EU as a whole as a pole of stability, a source of
new capital, and also a source of advice and expertise on regulatory
approaches," he said in a speech to the Petersen Institute in
Washington D.C. His prepared remarks were distributed ahead of time
by his Brussels office. The EU official called for the 15 euro
nations to share a single seat when world leaders meet to discuss
the economy at the International Monetary Fund or the G-7 group of
top seven industrialized nations. In the G-7, this would come at the
expense of euro users Germany, France and Italy which now represent
themselves at these talks. The euro's greater role carried some
risks, he warned, because it increased the region's exposure to
shocks from other parts of the world and "disruptive portfolio
shifts" between major currencies. "It is precisely such shocks that
are likely to occur more frequently in a world characterized by
financial and economic globalization," he said. He again signaled
worry about the U.S.' huge current account deficit, saying a sudden
"unwinding" could hit Europe hard, since its currency is still
appreciating against the dollar. The euro now makes up 26 percent of
foreign exchange reserves and is the second most actively traded
currency after the U.S. dollar on global foreign exchange markets.
Euro-dollar trades are the most popular foreign exchange deals,
accounting for more than a quarter of global turnover.
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NewWorldOrder|
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Will Uncle Sam let the dollar collapse?
Telegraph.uk
(April 1, 2008) - The dollar is taking
a pounding. With the US sinking deeper into recession, the greenback
recently hit an all-time low against the euro and a 12-year low
against the yen. Last week, America's currency fell again - dropping
more than 2 per cent in euro terms, to $1.5779. On a trade-weighted
basis, the dollar is now south of its late-70s low point and close
to its historic nadir of the mid-1990s. The markets sense the US
Federal Reserve, having already slashed interest rates by 300 basis
points to 2.25 per cent since the credit crunch erupted last summer,
will soon cut rates even more. The European Central Bank, in stark
contrast, looks determined to keep rates at 4 per cent - where
they've been since sub-prime broke. Eurozone inflation, at 3.3 per
cent, is still way above target. And with ECB Chairman Jean-Claude
Trichet stressing upside price pressures last week, eurozone rate
cuts seem unlikely. In other words, the gap between euro and dollar
rates looks set to get wider - making the US currency even less
attractive. And, last week, just as fresh data showed America's
housing and manufacturing sector weakening further, business
confidence in Germany - the eurozone's largest economy - jumped up.
That suggested an even bigger euro-dollar interest differential,
piling still more pressure on the greenback. But a falling dollar is
not necessarily bad news for the American economy. The underlying
reason for the currency's weakness, beyond the current woes on Wall
Street, is that years of over-consumption have resulted in a massive
US trade deficit - which, in 2006, reached 6 per cent of GDP. The
dollar's decline has lately helped address that - by making US goods
more competitive. Over the last two years, American exports have
risen 17 per cent in value terms, cutting the trade shortfall to 4.7
per cent of national income. In other words, as has often happened
in recent decades, a falling dollar has shoved the burden of
America's adjustment onto the rest of the world. And now - as the
White House knows well - a further dollar slide will play a large
part in rescuing the domestic economy. The US takes a dim view of
other countries - such as China - allowing their currencies to
remain weak against the dollar. But when it comes to old-fashioned
beggar-thy-neighbour exchange rate policy, the Americans are past
masters. There are limits to this process. The euro has risen some
17 per cent against the dollar over the last year, with much of that
rise happening since January. This makes life tough for the
eurozone's exporting economies - which, apart from Germany, are now
suffering badly. That's why Trichet now expresses "concern" at the
drooping dollar. French president Nicolas Sarkozy has gone further -
describing America's ailing currency as "a precursor to economic
war". Elsewhere, too, the complaints are getting louder. Japan's
Finance Minister, Fukushiro Nukaga, says the dollar's decline is now
"excessive". Such statements are preparing the ground for a meeting
in two weeks' time - when finance ministers and central bankers from
the G7 gather in Washington. The headlines will be about post
sub-prime regulation. But the meat of the summit concerns the
dollar. The big question is whether to intervene in foreign exchange
markets to prop up the currency. When co-ordinated among several
large central banks, such initiatives have worked quite well. The
1987 Louvre Accord helped halt a sliding dollar, as did joint
intervention by the US and Japan in 1995. But, if the G7's upcoming
dollar dialogue is conducted in whispered tones, another much bigger
question won't be discussed at all - the dollar's status as the
world's reserve currency. The cracks are now starting to show in the
dollar's reserve currency status. For the first time, Saudi Arabia
now refuses to cut interest rates in line with the Fed - the first
step towards a break in the kingdom's dollar peg. If that break
happened, it would spark a massive flight of Middle Eastern assets
away from the US currency. Chinese exporters are also now shunning
the dollar in non-US transactions. Again, that's a worrying sign for
the States. With its $1,400bn of reserves, China is the biggest
investor in dollar-denominated assets by far. With the Fed expected
to cut rates by at least another 25 basis points at its next meeting
on April 30, the dollar can only get weaker in the coming month. So
the US may be forced into a G7 initiative to strengthen its
currency. The trouble is, since the last joint-intervention, the
balance of world power has changed. Today, around 75 per cent of the
world's foreign exchange reserves are held not by the West, but by
the likes of China, Russia and Brazil. So any initiative will have
to involve them - even though they're not in the G7. And that will
expose the grouping for what it is - an anachronistic hark-back to a
world that no longer exists. more...
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I think the apparent stability
in Europe may signal that being the center of a global cashless
system in the event of global disaster or other emergencies.
According to Bible prophecy,
disaster is coming as is the center of power from the
revived Roman Empire evidenced in the global governance being
developed from there and affecting the Western world.
Free trade and fear of terrorism is harmonizing international law
and Europe is being viewed more and more as the template for success
in that matter given the surface perspective of success since WWII
ended. With the
North American Union (video), we are seeing the same pattern
eating slowly away at our control over our own laws and eventually
currency just as with Europe after WWII. You'll never hear them
admit it in that light though.
Bernanke: Federal Reserve caused Great Depression
WorldNet Daily
(March 19, 2008) - Despite the varied theories espoused by many
establishment economists, it was none other than the Federal Reserve
that caused the Great Depression and the horrific suffering, deprivation
and dislocation America and the world experienced in its wake. At least,
that's the clearly stated view of current Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. The
worldwide economic downturn called the Great Depression, which persisted
from 1929 until about 1939, was the longest and worst depression ever
experienced by the industrialized Western world. While originating in
the U.S., it ended up causing drastic declines in output, severe
unemployment, and acute deflation in virtually every country on earth.
According to the Encyclopedia Britannica, "the Great Depression ranks
second only to the Civil War as the gravest crisis in American history."
What exactly caused this economic tsunami that devastated the U.S. and
much of the world? In "A Monetary History of the United States," Nobel
Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman along with coauthor Anna J.
Schwartz lay the mega-catastrophe of the Great Depression squarely at
the feet of the Federal Reserve. Here's how Friedman summed up his views
on the Fed and the Depression in an Oct. 1, 2000, interview with PBS:
PBS: You've written that what really caused
the Depression was mistakes by the government. Looking back now,
what in your view was the actual cause?
Friedman: Well, we have to distinguish
between the recession of 1929, the early stages, and the conversion
of that recession into a major catastrophe. The recession was an
ordinary business cycle. We had repeated recessions over hundreds of
years, but what converted [this one] into a major depression was bad
monetary policy. The Federal Reserve System had been established to
prevent what actually happened. It was set up to avoid a situation
in which you would have to close down banks, in which you would have
a banking crisis. And yet, under the Federal Reserve System, you had
the worst banking crisis in the history of the United States.
There's no other example I can think of, of a government measure
which produced so clearly the opposite of the results that were
intended. And what happened is that [the Federal Reserve] followed
policies which led to a decline in the quantity of money by a third.
For every $100 in paper money, in deposits, in cash, in currency, in
existence in 1929, by the time you got to 1933 there was only about
$65, $66 left. And that extraordinary collapse in the banking
system, with about a third of the banks failing from beginning to
end, with millions of people having their savings essentially washed
out, that decline was utterly unnecessary. At all times, the Federal
Reserve had the power and the knowledge to have stopped that. And
there were people at the time who were all the time urging them to
do that. So it was, in my opinion, clearly a mistake of policy that
led to the Great Depression.
Although economists have pontificated over the decades
about this or that cause of the Great Depression, even the current Fed
chairman Ben S. Bernanke, agrees with Friedman's assessment that the Fed
caused the Great Depression. At a Nov. 8, 2002, conference to honor
Friedman's 90th birthday, Bernanke, then a Federal Reserve governor,
gave a speech at Friedman's old home base, the University of Chicago.
Here's a bit of what Bernanke, the man who now runs the Fed – and thus,
one of the most powerful people in the world – had to say that day:
I can think of no greater honor than being invited
to speak on the occasion of Milton Friedman's ninetieth birthday.
Among economic scholars, Friedman has no peer. … Today I'd like to
honor Milton Friedman by talking about one of his greatest
contributions to economics, made in close collaboration with his
distinguished coauthor, Anna J. Schwartz. This achievement is
nothing less than to provide what has become the leading and most
persuasive explanation of the worst economic disaster in American
history, the onset of the Great Depression – or, as Friedman and
Schwartz dubbed it, the Great Contraction of 1929-33. … As everyone
here knows, in their "Monetary History" Friedman and Schwartz made
the case that the economic collapse of 1929-33 was the product of
the nation's monetary mechanism gone wrong. Contradicting the
received wisdom at the time that they wrote, which held that money
was a passive player in the events of the 1930s, Friedman and
Schwartz argued that "the contraction is in fact a tragic
testimonial to the importance of monetary forces."
After citing how Friedman and Schwartz documented the
Fed's continual contraction of the money supply during the Depression
and its aftermath – and the subsequent abandonment of the gold standard
by many nations in order to stop the devastating monetary contraction– Bernanke adds:
… Before the creation of the Federal Reserve,
Friedman and Schwartz noted, bank panics were typically handled by
banks themselves – for example, through urban consortiums of private
banks called clearinghouses. If a run on one or more banks in a city
began, the clearinghouse might declare a suspension of payments,
meaning that, temporarily, deposits would not be convertible into
cash. Larger, stronger banks would then take the lead, first, in
determining that the banks under attack were in fact fundamentally
solvent, and second, in lending cash to those banks that needed to
meet withdrawals. Though not an entirely satisfactory solution – the
suspension of payments for several weeks was a significant hardship
for the public – the system of suspension of payments usually
prevented local banking panics from spreading or persisting. Large,
solvent banks had an incentive to participate in curing panics
because they knew that an unchecked panic might ultimately threaten
their own deposits.
It was in large part to improve the management of
banking panics that the Federal Reserve was created in 1913.
However, as Friedman and Schwartz discuss in some detail, in the
early 1930s the Federal Reserve did not serve that function. The
problem within the Fed was largely doctrinal: Fed officials appeared
to subscribe to Treasury Secretary Andrew Mellon's infamous 'liquidationist'
thesis, that weeding out "weak" banks was a harsh but necessary
prerequisite to the recovery of the banking system. Moreover, most
of the failing banks were small banks (as opposed to what we would
now call money-center banks) and not members of the Federal Reserve
System. Thus the Fed saw no particular need to try to stem the
panics. At the same time, the large banks – which would have
intervened before the founding of the Fed – felt that protecting
their smaller brethren was no longer their responsibility. Indeed,
since the large banks felt confident that the Fed would protect them
if necessary, the weeding out of small competitors was a positive
good, from their point of view.
In short, according to Friedman and Schwartz,
because of institutional changes and misguided doctrines, the
banking panics of the Great Contraction were much more severe and
widespread than would have normally occurred during a downturn. …
Let me end my talk by abusing slightly my status
as an official representative of the Federal Reserve. I would like
to say to Milton and Anna: Regarding the Great Depression. You're
right, we did it. We're very sorry. But thanks to you, we won't do
it again. Best wishes for your next ninety years.
Today, the entire Western financial world holds its
breath every time the Fed chairman speaks, so influential are the
central bank's decisions on markets, interest rates and the economy in
general. Yet the Fed, supposedly created to smooth out business cycles
and prevent disruptive economic downswings like the Great Depression,
has actually done the opposite. | NewWorldOrder|America|
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What strikes me about this is
that it is admitted that the Federal Reserve caused the Great
Depression, and one of the results of the Great Depression was the
confiscation of gold by the government in 1933 by Executive order of
President Roosevelt.
Executive order: By virtue of the authority
vested in me by Section 5(B) of The Act of Oct. 6, 1917, as
amended by section 2 of the Act of March 9, 1933, in which
Congress declared that a serious emergency exists, I as
President, do declare that the national emergency still exists;
That the continued private hoarding of gold and silver by
subjects of the United States poses a grave threat to the peace,
equal justice, and well-being of the United States; and that
appropriate measures must be taken immediately to protect the
interests of our people.
"Therefore, pursuant to the above authority, I
herby proclaim that such gold and silver holdings are
prohibited, and that all such coin, bullion or other possessions
of gold and silver be tendered within fourteen days to agents of
the Government of the United States for compensation at the
official price, in the legal tender of the Government. All safe
deposit boxes in banks or financial institutions have been
sealed, pending action in the due course of the law. All sales
or purchases or movements of such gold and silver within the
borders of the United States and its territories, and all
foreign exchange transactions or movements of such metals across
the border are herby prohibited.
"Your possession of these proscribed metals
and/or your maintenance of a safe-deposit box to store them is
known to the Government from bank and insurance records.
Therefore, be advised
that your vault box must remain sealed, and may only be opened
in the presence of an agent of The Internal Revenue Service.
"By lawful Order given this day, the President
of the United States."
This forced the trade of gold
by individuals for paper currency that lost 95% of its value in the
following years. Watch
America: Freedom to Fascism as well as
Monopoly Men,
Money
As Debt, and
Money, Banking & the Federal Reserve for more history on what
our Dollar really is and how unstable it is. In a society living on
credit made from thin air feeding the international bankers, the
system is bound to collapse. Now one could label me a conspiracy
theorist, but I don't mind because there are people with a plan that
is self-serving and takes advantage of the general population. They
are guided by a spirit that God says we are at war with, spiritual
wickedness in high places.
Ephesians 6:11,12 This isn't a war
of traditional weapons, but of spiritual weapons, the Word of God
and the ideas of love expressed in them that we are to live by in
imitation of Christ.
Could it be that a small group
with a big plan could push through a system intended to milk a
nation to feed the bigger plan of a New World Order as foretold in
the Bible? Thinking in terms of just men, the thought is pretty
crazy. However, we must remember that a spiritual force who has been
around from before mankind is working for our destruction and has
great influence over an ignorant mankind and he often uses
generation after generation of initiates into groups keeping
secrets. This is the mystery of iniquity at work today, not always
defined by single men yet evident at times in their actions and the
fruits of their labors. Is this another case of men being tricked
and manipulated for a transfer of wealth and power toward a
globalist end? Time will tell, but the more I study and watch, the
more likely it seems. The way the Federal Reserve came into
existence and what it caused and where we're at now because of it
all seems to point in the same direction and believe it or not,
there are conspiracies out there. What can be done? Nothing if the
Bible is true as it foretells this global control and the man to
whom Lucifer will give it. I believe the Bible is the Word of God
and will come to pass exactly as foretold. What we should do is
build our personal relationship with Yeshua and share the good news
of our salvation with those with ears to hear. The end will come in
God's timing, let us remain faithful to Him in grace and truth
toward others.
Fed Offers $100 Billion More to Banks
News Max (March
28, 2008) - The Federal Reserve announced Friday it will
auction another $100 billion in April to cash-strapped banks as it
continues to combat the effects of a credit crisis. The central bank
said it would make $50 billion available at each of two auctions, on
April 7 and April 21. Through the end of March, the Fed has provided
$260 billion in short-term loans to commercial banks through the
innovative auction process. It also has employed Depression-era
provisions to provide money to investment banks. All the moves have been
designed to cope with a serious financial crisis that has roiled U.S.
and global markets and caused the near-collapse of Bear Stearns Cos.,
the nation's fifth largest investment bank. The Fed has been holding
auctions every two seeks since December to provide short-term loans to
commercial banks. It started with auctions of $20 billion, then pushed
the level to $30 billion, and in early March raised the auction amount
to $50 billion as the credit shortage grew more severe. In announcing
the move to $50 billion last month, the Fed said it would continue the
auctions for at least the next six months, unless credit conditions show
they are no longer needed. The auctions are just one of a series of
unorthodox steps the Fed has taken to battle the current crisis. The
biggest of those moves was an announcement that it was allowing
investment banks to borrow directly from the Fed. Previously, only
commercial banks, which face tighter regulations, had that privilege.
The Fed also said it would make available $30 billion in financing to
support the sale of troubled Bear Stearns to JP Morgan Chase & Co.,
hoping to prevent a bankruptcy that could have rocked Wall Street. The
Fed's auctions have drawn criticism from some that the central bank, and
ultimately U.S. taxpayers, could be financing a bailout for big Wall
Street firms that had engaged in risky lending practices. Fed Chairman
Ben Bernanke will fact questions about the Fed's recent moves when he
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Congress, watchdog probe passport security
The Washington Times
(March
27, 2008) - Three House leaders and the Government Printing
Office's watchdog said yesterday that they are investigating security
concerns about the production of electronic passports highlighted during
an investigation by The Washington Times. Rep. Bennie Thompson,
Mississippi Democrat and chairman of the House Homeland Security
Committee, criticized the GPO for using foreign components in new
electronic passports. "It is just plain irresponsible to jeopardize the
gold standard in document security by outsourcing production when U.S.
companies ought to be able to do the same work here," said Mr. Thompson,
who announced that his panel is investigating the outsourcing. Rep. John
D. Dingell and Rep. Bart Stupak said they also are investigating the
overseas production of electronic passports. The two Michigan Democrats
said they are looking into whether profits made by the GPO through
selling blank passports to the State Department may have violated the
law limiting the GPO's business practices. The Times reported yesterday
that the GPO chose two European computer chip makers over U.S.
manufacturers to make tens of millions of electronic passports. The
passports are being assembled in Thailand by one company that was a
victim of Chinese economic espionage. "If true, these allegations raised
in today's press reports are extremely serious not only to the integrity
of our e-Passport program, but also to our national security," said Mr.
Dingell, chairman of the Committee on Energy and Commerce. Mr. Stupak,
chairman of the subcommittee on oversight and investigations, said,
"Given all of the personal information contained in an e-passport, it is
essential that the entire production chain be secure and free from
potential tampering." Mr. Dingell and Mr. Stupak said in a letter
yesterday to GPO Inspector General J. Anthony Ogden and Public Printer
Robert Tapella that they are investigating the management, production
and distribution of electronic passports. Mr. Thompson, commenting on a
report in yesterday's editions of The Washington Times, said in a
statement that the credibility of U.S. passports is "of the utmost
importance to our homeland security." "Questions alone about the
production and chain of custody of blank U.S. passports can send shock
waves through our homeland security infrastructure," he said. "The
Committee on Homeland Security will use all of the tools available to
determine if American technologies are being overlooked and what
implications there might be for other border security documents and
technologies." Mr. Ogden earlier said his office is conducting an
"end-to-end" review of the agency's production of electronic passports
and will look into the outsourcing of some passport components, such as
computer chips embedded in travel documents. "We do pay close attention
to the issue of passport manufacturing. It is a high priority of this
office," Mr. Ogden said in an interview. Mr. Ogden said his office's
current work plan includes the review "to help improve the process of
manufacturing passports. That's no secret." One of the companies
involved in passport production in Thailand, Smartrac, charged in a
court filing in the Netherlands last year that its technology was stolen
by China. The company issued a statement yesterday saying its passport
assembly plant was secure, CNN reported. The outsourcing has raised
concerns among investigators over the security of passports. GPO and
State Department officials have sought to play down security concerns
and have said they conduct regular checks of overseas manufacturers. Mr.
Ogden said deficiencies in passport manufacturing detailed in an Oct. 12
report cited by the paper were related to older, non-electronic
passports. He declined to specify the deficiencies but said the agency
has been responsive in addressing many of the problems.
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I suppose I'm not really
surprised that European companies using cheaper labor in Thailand
would be making our e-passports since in the end the same basic
system will probably be used for tracking people through the mark of
the beast.
Outsourced passports netting govt. profits, risking national securityThe Washington Times
(March 26, 2008) -
The United States has outsourced the manufacturing of its electronic
passports to overseas companies — including one in Thailand that was
victimized by Chinese espionage — raising concerns that cost savings are
being put ahead of national security, an investigation by The Washington
Times has found. The Government Printing Office's decision to export the
work has proved lucrative, allowing the agency to book more than $100
million in recent profits by charging the State Department more money
for blank passports than it actually costs to make them, according to
interviews with federal officials and documents obtained by The Times.
The profits have raised questions both inside the agency and in Congress
because the law that created GPO as the federal government's official
printer explicitly requires the agency to break even by charging only
enough to recover its costs. Lawmakers said they were alarmed by The
Times' findings and plan to investigate why U.S. companies weren't used
to produce the state-of-the-art passports, one of the crown jewels of
American border security. "I am not only troubled that there may be
serious security concerns with the new passport production system, but
also that GPO officials may have been profiting from producing them,"
said Rep. John D. Dingell, the Michigan Democrat who chairs the House
Energy and Commerce Committee. Officials at GPO, the Homeland Security
Department and the State Department played down such concerns, saying
they are confident that regular audits and other protections already in
place will keep terrorists and foreign spies from stealing or copying
the sensitive components to make fake passports. "Aside from the fact
that we have fully vetted and qualified vendors, we also note that the
materials are moved via a secure transportation means, including armored
vehicles," GPO spokesman Gary Somerset said. But GPO Inspector General
J. Anthony Ogden, the agency's internal watchdog, doesn't share that
confidence. He warned in an internal Oct. 12 report that there are
"significant deficiencies with the manufacturing of blank passports,
security of components, and the internal controls for the process."
more...
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Embassies pay for devalued dollar
The Washington Times
(March
22, 2008) - The State Department is losing millions as a
result of the free-falling dollar, forcing its overseas missions to lay
off local staff, reduce energy consumption, put facility repairs on hold
and cancel travel, officials said. Although the dollar's weakness is
affecting embassies and consulates around the world, the most drastic
measures are being taken in Europe, where the euro has been trading
around $1.54. "It's beginning to hurt — there is no question about it.
It's tough on us," said Christopher R. Hill, assistant secretary of
state for East Asian and Pacific affairs. Another official said that 24
percent of the State Department's main operating account, which is $3.8
billion for 2008, is disbursed in foreign currencies. "We already have a
tight budget, and the buying power of those limited resources is further
affected by the decline of the dollar," the official said. He noted that
the department has a "buying power maintenance account" where it puts
money when the dollar's value goes up, but "there is no money in it
now." "The biggest impact I have seen is our ability to program events,"
a Foreign Service officer in Europe said. "We have had to become very
creative in finding cost-saving measures." Public diplomacy programs are
among the most affected, officials said. The officers spoke on the
condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to
reporters. "The weak dollar has made it much more expensive to do our
work, limiting our ability to travel around the country to monitor
events and engage contacts, limiting the number of representational
events we can organize for visiting U.S. and host-country officials,"
said another officer in Europe. Several officials said the higher cost
of maintaining existing facilities abroad reduces the funds available
for renovations and new construction. "We'd like to put in new embassies
in some places, but the price tag is going up every day," Mr. Hill said.
A third Foreign Service officer in Europe said that at his embassy
"electricity usage is being cut by reducing lighting and turning off hot
water heaters." "We have turned off every other fluorescent light in our
offices and hallways," he said. "We can still work, but it feels like
permanent sunset." Another major expense in foreign currency are the
salaries of thousands of local employees at U.S. embassies and
consulates. The first officer in Europe said that her salary is now
lower than that of her assistant, who is a national of the host country.
Still, the officer said that what the assistant makes is "below the
salary level [it] should be to be competitive on the local market."
While some posts in Europe are limiting or banning overtime for local
employees, others are resorting to freezing pay or even layoffs,
officials there said. Layoffs add to the workload of Foreign Service
officers, they said. American diplomats are protected against a sinking
dollar by an allowance that goes up when the U.S. currency goes down.
That allowance has just been increased in most European countries. In
Paris, it jumped from 80 percent to 90 percent of "spendable income," or
the amount after taxes, contributions and other payments. "Given the
time it takes to make the adjustment in the salary, you do lose out a
bit, but nothing major," an officer in central Europe said. Several
officers said the allowance is less meaningful to junior officers, whose
salaries are relatively low. It is also more difficult for those with
children, because they buy locally more than others. Most officers make
purchases from catalogs that are shipped to them from the United States
for no additional charge. Even though many diplomats said they still
live comfortably, they are cutting back on eating out, personal travel
and other entertainment. The biggest challenge, they said, are events
like weddings, births or other celebrations. One officer said that his
upcoming wedding, with about 100 guests, will easily cost more than
$50,000, while a couple of years ago the price tag would have been about
$30,000. "I don't have that kind of money, and I don't make that kind of
money," he said. "For this once-in-a-lifetime situation, I'm really
struggling." He added that he could have saved thousands of dollars by
having the wedding back home, but he is gay, and gay marriage is illegal
in the United States. It is legal in the western European country where
he is serving, which is also where his partner is from. While the
cost-of-living allowance of American diplomats in Europe is going up,
their European counterparts in Washington said theirs is being reduced.
"At the last adjustment, our 'expatriation bonus' went down about 7.5
percent," one European diplomat said. "We'll lose more money in the
coming months."
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Treasury Department Making Special Agreements With Islam Over Vital U.S.
Investments Bill Koenig News (March
21, 2008) - The U.S. Treasury Department has rushed to secure
agreements with Islamic nations over their bid to take huge ownership
positions in America’s largest financial institutions. The agreements,
although not yet public, seek to allay the concerns that Islamic nations
would use their financial muscle to impose Sharia law over U.S.
investment firms. The agreements lay down precedence for how secretive
sovereign wealth funds will invest their money in U.S. companies. The
agreements, which are outside the laws, call for more transparency in
disclosing purpose, returns and regulatory compliance. They also seek to
prevent political leverage associated with Islamic ownership of U.S.
companies. The entire U.S. government is dangerously off base in
handling the Islamic world. The government is operating under the
concept that by legitimizing Islam through democratic principle and
Western-type agreements that Islam will behave like any other entity
bound by the covenant of agreement and law. For example, the U.S. has
supported the establishing of a Palestinian state in Israel under the
belief that by giving Islamic terrorists their own state, they will
somehow change their behavior to peaceful coexistence with Israel. The
Bush Administration has done the same by recognizing Kosovo and has done
the same in Pakistan by allowing a safe zone area near the Afghanistan
border for the Taliban and al Qaeda. By entering into agreements, as the
Treasury Department has, with Islamic governments, the Treasury
Department is under the false assumption that the Islamists will deal
honestly according to the agreements. Did the United States expect
Hitler to abide by agreements? Did the United States expect the Soviet
Union to abide by agreements? If we did, we were highly disappointed.
Even today, North Korea, Iran, China, Syria, Russia, and many others are
not trustworthy in compliance with agreements. This is because they
operate on a different set of standards than does the United States.
It is folly to think that countries that do not recognize
Judeo-Christian values will abide by laws and agreements based on
honoring Judeo-Christian laws. And moreover, if this nation is at
war with a fascist entity such as Islam, it is foolish to expect that
Islam will honor any agreement with America. Oil prices are at record
levels for one reason—Islam is draining the United States of its middle
class and using the money to buy key United States businesses that
control wealth and wealth distribution.
1st Corinthians 15:33 says, “Be not
deceived: evil companionship corrupts good moral habits.” America
is breaking its covenant with God by supporting and trusting Islam.
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The Wall Street Journal
(March 17, 2008) - Pushed to the brink of
collapse by the mortgage crisis, Bear Stearns Cos. agreed -- after
prodding by the federal government -- to be sold to J.P. Morgan Chase &
Co. for the fire-sale price of $2 a share in stock, or about $236
million. Bear Stearns had a stock-market value of about $3.5 billion as
of Friday -- and was worth $20 billion in January 2007. But the crisis
of confidence that swept the firm and fueled a customer exodus in recent
days left Bear Stearns with a horrible choice: sell the firm -- at any
price -- to a big bank willing to assume its trading obligations or file
for bankruptcy. "At the end of the day, what Bear Stearns was looking at
was either taking $2 a share or going bust," said one person involved in
the negotiations. "Those were the only options." To help facilitate the
deal, the Federal Reserve is taking the extraordinary step of providing
as much as $30 billion in financing for Bear Stearns's less-liquid
assets, such as mortgage securities that the firm has been unable to
sell, in what is believed to be the largest Fed advance on record to a
single company. Fed officials wouldn't describe the exact financing
terms or assets involved. But if those assets decline in value, the Fed
would bear any loss, not J.P. Morgan. The sale of Bear Stearns and
Sunday night's move by the Fed to offer loans to other securities
dealers mark the latest historic turns in what has become the most
pervasive financial crisis in a generation. The issue is no longer
whether it will yield a recession -- that seems almost certain -- but
whether the concerted efforts of Wall Street and Washington can head off
a recession much deeper and more prolonged than the past two, relatively
mild ones. 'Uncharted Waters': Former Treasury Secretary Robert
Rubin last week described the situation as "uncharted waters," a view
echoed privately by top government officials. Those officials have been
scrambling to come up with new tools because the old ones aren't suited
for this 21st-century crisis, in which financial innovation has rendered
many institutions not "too big too fail," but "too interconnected to be
allowed to fail suddenly." Bear Stearns's sudden meltdown forced the
federal government to come to grips with the potential collapse of a
major Wall Street institution for the first time in a decade. In 1998,
about a dozen firms, with encouragement from the Federal Reserve Bank of
New York, provided a $3.6 billion bailout of Long-Term Capital
Management that kept the big hedge fund alive long enough to liquidate
its positions. Bear Stearns famously refused to participate in that
rescue. The scale of the financial system's troubles are even bigger
this time around. Since last summer, the Fed has lowered its target for
the federal-funds rate, charged on low-risk overnight loans between
banks, to 3% from 5.25%, and it is expected to cut the rate again this
week. Last week, the Fed said it would lend Wall Street as much as $200
billion in exchange for a roughly equivalent amount of mortgage-backed
securities. more... |
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Glenn Beck: The $53 trillion asteroid
CNN
(March 14, 2008) - Let's say a giant asteroid was headed toward
Earth right now and experts say it has a good chance of ending
civilization as we know it. Let's also say that we've known about this
asteroid for years but even as it gets closer and closer our leaders do
nothing. "Don't worry," they tell us, "The next administration will
figure something out." With the future of our country at stake, would
Americans really sit back and tolerate that kind of inaction? Of course
not -- we'd be sharpening our pitchforks and demanding answers. Well
there may not be a space asteroid heading toward us, but there is an
economic one -- and the threat to our future is just as severe. You
might think that I'm talking about the recession (sorry: potential
recession) or credit crisis, but I'm thinking bigger. Much, much bigger.
Let me give you three numbers that will put this economic asteroid into
perspective: $200 billion, $14.1 trillion, and $53 trillion.
$200 billion is the approximate total amount of
write-downs announced so far as a result of the current credit
crisis.
$14.1 trillion is the size of the entire U.S.
economy
And $53 trillion is (drum roll please) the
approximate size of this country's bill for the Social Security and
Medicare promises we've made.
While no one will ever mistake me for Alan Greenspan,
it seems to me that the third number is quite a bit larger than the
other two. It also seems very few people care. According to the latest
Social Security and Medicare Trustees report (and I use that term
loosely since it has the word "trust" in it) released earlier this week,
the economic asteroid will first make impact in the year 2019 when the
Medicaid trust fund becomes insolvent. Only an immediate 122 percent
increase in Medicare taxes and a 26 percent increase in Social Security
taxes can prevent (or more likely, delay) its impact. Realizing that
Americans have become pretty much numb to these kinds of ridiculous
sounding proposals, U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson tried to up
the ante this week. "Without change," he said, "Rising costs will drive
government spending to unprecedented levels, consume nearly all
projected federal revenues, and threaten America's future prosperity."
Now, I know we're all worried about important sounding things that none
of us understand, like CDO's, SIV's, and Credit Default Swaps, but did
you hear what our Treasury Secretary just said? "Rising costs will ...
consume nearly all projected federal revenues ..." Translation: Every
single tax dollar that is sent to Washington will be used to pay for
just these two programs. That means no money is left for anything else.
Nothing. No Department of Defense or Homeland Security, no Department of
Energy, no Department of Justice, no Environmental Protection Agency, no
Internal Revenue Service. Actually, knowing our government, they'd
probably keep the IRS going somehow. Of course, none of this is exactly
breaking news. Our leaders have known about this rapidly approaching
asteroid for years now and they've done nothing but debate it. At the
same time, I'm a realist. I understand that this stuff is "the third
rail of politics," but our leaders' negligence on this issue is damn
near criminal. No, correction, it is criminal. Americans aren't afraid
of the truth. In fact, we crave the truth only slightly more than we
crave a leader who will actually give it to us. But part of the problem
with this issue is that numbers followed by 12 zeroes aren't very
relatable to the average American. more... |
America|
Economic Crisis
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Dollar plunges to fresh record euro low
Breitbart.com
(February
27, 2008) - The dollar plunged to another record low against the
European single currency on Wednesday as a stream of negative US data
undermined the greenback, analysts said. In morning deals, the euro
surged as high as 1.5088 dollars, after smashing through the 1.50
barrier for the first ever time in US trade on Tuesday. "The euro is
trading above 1.50 against the dollar for the first time since the
eurozone came into existence in January 1999," said Global Insight
analyst Howard Archer. "This is primarily a consequence of the dollar
being undermined by further weak US data heightening concerns over the
US economy and reinforcing expectations of additional interest rate cuts
by the Federal Reserve."
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EU/UN
/4th Kingdom
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America|
Economic Crisis
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Foreclosures up 57 percent in the past year
MSNBC
(February
26, 2008) - The number of homes facing foreclosure jumped 57
percent in January compared to a year ago, with lenders increasingly
forced to take possession of homes they couldn’t unload at auctions, a
mortgage research firm said Monday. Nationwide, some 233,001 homes
received at least one notice from lenders last month related to overdue
payments, compared with 148,425 a year earlier, according to Irvine,
Calif.-based RealtyTrac Inc. Nearly half of the total involved
first-time default notices. The worsening situation came despite ongoing
efforts by lenders to help borrowers manage their payments by modifying
loan terms, working out long-term repayment plans and other actions “You
have more people going into default and a higher percentage of the
properties going back to the banks,” said Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac’s vice
president of marketing. The U.S. foreclosure rate last month was one
filing for every 534 homes. The Cape Coral-Fort Myers area in Florida
posted the highest foreclosure rate of any metro area in the nation,
with one of every 86 homes in some stage of foreclosure, said RealtyTrac
Inc. Stockton, Calif., was ranked second, with one of every 97 homes
involved in a foreclosure filing, while the Riverside-San Bernardino
metro area in Southern California had the third-highest foreclosure rate
with filings for one of every 101 properties. January’s tally
represented an 8 percent hike from December. RealtyTrac follows default
notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions. Lenders typically
consider borrowers delinquent after they fall three months behind on
mortgage payments. Attempts to help struggling home owners have fallen
short. “The loan workout modification programs aren’t having a
significant material effect on keeping properties from going back to the
banks,” Sharga said. One dramatic trend last month was a 90 percent
spike in the number of properties that were repossessed by banks,
compared to January 2007. “It suggests that there’s little or no equity
in a lot of these homes, because they’re not even being sold to
investors at auctions, and it suggests a continuing weakness in a lot of
markets in terms of real estate sales,” Sharga said. more... | America|
Economic Crisis
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America's economy risks the mother of all meltdowns
Financial Times
(February 19, 2008) - "I would tell
audiences that we were facing not a bubble but a froth - lots of small,
local bubbles that never grew to a scale that could threaten the health
of the overall economy." Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence. That
used to be Mr Greenspan's view of the US housing bubble. He was wrong,
alas. So how bad might this downturn get? To answer this question we
should ask a true bear. My favourite one is Nouriel Roubini of New York
University's Stern School of Business, founder of RGE monitor. Recently,
Professor Roubini's scenarios have been dire enough to make the flesh
creep. But his thinking deserves to be taken seriously. He first
predicted a US recession in July 2006*. At that time, his view was
extremely controversial. It is so no longer. Now he states that there is
"a rising probability of a 'catastrophic' financial and economic
outcome"**. The characteristics of this scenario are, he argues: "A
vicious circle where a deep recession makes the financial losses more
severe and where, in turn, large and growing financial losses and a
financial meltdown make the recession even more severe." Prof Roubini is
even fonder of lists than I am. Here are his 12 - yes, 12 - steps to
financial disaster. Step one is the worst housing recession in US
history. House prices will, he says, fall by 20 to 30 per cent from
their peak, which would wipe out between $4,000bn and $6,000bn in
household wealth. Ten million households will end up with negative
equity and so with a huge incentive to put the house keys in the post
and depart for greener fields. Many more home-builders will be
bankrupted. Step two would be further losses, beyond the $250bn-$300bn
now estimated, for subprime mortgages. About 60 per cent of all mortgage
origination between 2005 and 2007 had "reckless or toxic features",
argues Prof Roubini. Goldman Sachs estimates mortgage losses at $400bn.
But if home prices fell by more than 20 per cent, losses would be
bigger. That would further impair the banks' ability to offer credit.
Step three would be big losses on unsecured consumer debt: credit cards,
auto loans, student loans and so forth. The "credit crunch" would then
spread from mortgages to a wide range of consumer credit. Step four
would be the downgrading of the monoline insurers, which do not deserve
the AAA rating on which their business depends. A further $150bn
writedown of asset-backed securities would then ensue. Step five would
be the meltdown of the commercial property market, while step six would
be bankruptcy of a large regional or national bank. Step seven would be
big losses on reckless leveraged buy-outs. Hundreds of billions of
dollars of such loans are now stuck on the balance sheets of financial
institutions. more... | America|
Economic Crisis
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Banks "quietly" borrow $50 billion from Fed: report
Reuters
(February 19, 2008) - Banks in the United
States have been quietly borrowing "massive amounts" from the U.S.
Federal Reserve in recent weeks, using a new measure the Fed introduced
two months ago to help ease the credit crunch, according to a report on
the web site of The Financial Times. The newspaper said the use of the
Fed's Term Auction Facility (TAF), which allows banks to borrow at
relatively attractive rates against a wide range of their assets, saw
borrowing of nearly $50 billion of one-month funds from the Fed by
mid-February. The Financial Times said the move has sparked unease among
some analysts about the stress developing in opaque corners of the U.S.
banking system and the banks' growing reliance on indirect forms of
government support. | America|
Economic Crisis
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Credit Suisse Shocks With $2.8Bn Mark-Down
Financial Times
(February 19, 2008) - Credit Suisse sent
fresh tremors through the banking sector Tuesday when it revealed
$2.85bn of mark-downs on structured credit positions caused in part by
“pricing errors” by some of the Swiss investment bank’s traders. Credit
Suisse has suspended a number of traders in connection with the
write-down. It said they remained employees of the bank pending the
outcome of a review. |
Economic Crisis
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Global Systemic Crisis / September 2008 - Phase of Collapse of US Real
Economy Global Europe
Anticipation Bulletin GEAP
(February 16,
2008) - According to LEAP/E2020, the end of the third quarter of
2008 will be marked by a new tipping point in the unfolding of the
global systemic crisis. At that time indeed, the cumulated impact of the
various sequences of the crisis (see table below) will reach its maximum
strength and affect decisively the very heart of the systems concerned,
on the frontline of which the United States, epicentre of the current
crisis. In the United States, this new tipping point will translate into
a collapse of the real economy, final socio-economic stage of the serial
bursting of the housing and financial bubbles (1) and of the pursuance
of the US dollar fall. The collapse of US real economy means the virtual
freeze of the American economic machinery: private and public
bankruptcies in large numbers, companies and public services closing
down massively (2),... A revealing harbinger: from March 2008 onward,
the US government will stop a service publishing its economic indicators
due to budget restrictions (3). Those who read the GEAB N°2 (02/2006)
and included Alert certainly keep in mind our anticipation which
connected the upcoming fall of the US dollar with the US Fed's decision
to cease publishing the M3 indicator. This new decision is another clear
sign that US leaders are now anticipating a very bleak economic outlook
for their country. In this 22nd issue of the GEAB, LEAP/E2020's experts
try in particular to anticipate very specifically what will come out of
the collapse of the US real economy for the United States themselves and
for the other regions of the world. Meanwhile our team presents five
sets of strategic and operational recommendations helping to protect
oneself from the upcoming deterioration of the global systemic crisis.
On the occasion of the second anniversary of the publication of our
famous “Global systemic crisis Alert” which toured the world in February
2006 (4), LEAP/E2020 wishes to remind that we are now resolutely
stepping into an era with no historical precedent. Our researchers
insisted on that many times in the last two years: any comparison with
the previous crises of our modern economy would be fallacious. It is
neither a “remake” of the 1929 crisis nor a repetition of the 1970s oil
crises or 1987 stock market crisis. It is truly a global systemic
crisis, that is to say a crisis affecting the entire planet and
questioning the very foundations of the international system upon which
the world was organised in the last decades. According to LEAP/E2020, it
is also instructive to observe that, two years after the release of this
« Alert » which at the time generated both the interest of millions of
readers worldwide and the condescending irony of most « experts » and «
managers » of the economic and financial spheres, everyone is now
convinced that a crisis is truly happening, that it is really global,
and for most people already that it could indeed be systemic. However,
it is always a repeated astonishment for our team to see the degree of
incapacity of these same experts and managers in understanding the
specific nature of the phenomenon currently unfolding. According to
them, this crisis would only be a usual crisis but bigger. As a matter
of fact that's how the financial media reflect the dominant
interpretations of the ongoing crisis. According to our team, this
approach is not only intellectually lazy (5), it is also morally guilty,
because it has for a main consequence to prevent their readers (whether
they are simple citizens, private investors or public or private
organisation managers) from preparing for the upcoming shocks (6). For
this reason, in opposition to all what can be read in the mainstream
media always eager to conceal the truth and serve the interests of those
who rule them, LEAP/E2020 wishes to remind that it is first and foremost
in the United States that the systemic crisis is taking an unprecedented
shape (the « Very Great US Depression » as our team decided to call it
in January 2007 (7)) because it is around this country, and this country
alone, that the world got progressively organised after the second World
War. The various issues of the GEAB extensively described this
situation. In short, it appears to be useful to make clear that
neither Europe nor Asia have a negative saving rate, a full-scale
housing crisis throwing millions of citizens out of their homes, a
free-falling currency, abysmal public and trade deficits, an economic
recession and, on top of all this, a number of costly wars to finance.
Neither Asia nor Europe (or more precisely ‘nor the Eurozone') will
suffer the roughest, the most sustainable and the most negative impact
of the ongoing crisis; but the United States will, as well as all the
countries/economies strongly linked to the US (what our experts have
decided to call “the American risk”) (8). A “decoupling” is indeed
taking place between the US economy and the other large regions of the
world. But “decoupling” does not mean “independence” and it is clear
that, as anticipated by LEAP/E2020 for many months, Asia and Europe will
be affected by the crisis. But « decoupling » entails that the evolution
of the US economy and of the other large regions of the world are no
longer synchronised, that Asia and Europe are now moving along courses
no longer determined by the US economy. The global systemic crisis is in
fact the beginning of an economic « decoupling » between the US and the
rest of the world, knowing that the non « decoupled » economies will be
dragged down the US negative spiral. more... | NewWorldOrder | America|
Economic Crisis
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According to Bible prophecy,
Europe will be the source of power in the world during the great
tribulation. Indeed things are shaping up that way and when you
examine history and our current monetary system, also
here and
here and
here,
this collapse seems tailor made. If America's economic collapse
negatively affects the rest of the world, could we see an emergency
action to create a new global monetary system not dependent upon
printing currency, but rather using current electronic international
banking systems to create a cashless society that is secured through
the use of tattoo
RFID ink and readers? The mystery of
iniquity is hard at work I think. Keep watching and praying!
Luke 21:34-36
AIM Says Media Cover-Up Obama’s Socialist-Oriented Global Tax Bill
Accuracy In Media (February
13, 2008) - Accuracy in Media editor Cliff Kincaid disclosed
today that a hugely expensive bill called the "Global Poverty
Act," sponsored by Democratic Senator Barack Obama, was quickly
passed by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Wednesday and
could result in the imposition of a global tax on the United States.
Kincaid said that the major media's cover-up of the bill, which
makes levels of U.S. foreign aid spending subservient to the
dictates of the United Nations, demonstrates the media's desire to
see Senator Obama elected to the presidency. In a column posted
on the AIM web site, Kincaid noted that Senator Joe Biden, chairman
of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, was trying to rush
Obama's "Global Poverty Act" (S. 2433) through his committee without
hearings. The legislation would commit the U.S. to spending 0.7
percent of gross national product on foreign aid, which amounts to a
phenomenal 13-year total of $845 billion over and above what the
U.S. already spends. It was scheduled for a Thursday vote but
was moved up a day, to Wednesday, and rushed through by voice vote.
Kincaid learned, however, that conservative Senators have now put a
"hold" on the legislation, in order to prevent it from being rushed
to the floor for a full Senate vote. The House version (H.R. 1302)
was suddenly brought up on the House floor last September 25 and was
passed by voice vote. House Republicans were caught off-guard,
unaware that the pro-U.N. measure committed the U.S. to spending
hundreds of billions of dollars. Kincaid's column notes that the
official in charge of making nations comply with the U.N. Millennium
Goals, which are prominently highlighted in the Obama bill, says
a global tax will be necessary to force American taxpayers to
provide the money.
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EU/UN/4th Kingdom
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NewWorldOrder|
America|
Economic Crisis
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World markets lose $5.2trillion
Reuters (February 11,
2008) - Fears of a global slowdown triggered by US housing market
woes wiped $5.2 trillion (£2.7 trillion) off global stock markets in
January, say analysts. According to ratings firm Standard and Poor's, 50
out of 52 share indexes around the world ended the month lower.
Politicians also are concerned about the spiralling US financial
problems. On Sunday, finance ministers from the G7 group of
industrialised nations said losses from the US mortgage crisis could
reach $400bn. The US Federal Reserve has previously estimated losses of
up to $150bn after a surge in the number defaults on sub-prime loans.
Sub-prime loans are made to people with poor or non-existent credit
histories. Over the next two weeks banks are expected to report further
write-offs of bad debt as the banking reporting season kicks off. One of
the major problems facing policymakers and analysts is that new losses
linked to sub-prime problems keep emerging. "The only thing we know is
that it is big and we keep on discovering new dimensions," Italy's
central bank governor Mario Draghi said after the G7 meeting. "House
prices keep falling (in the US) and subprime and mortgage sectors stay
vulnerable." Uncertainty over the financial repercussions of the
sub-prime crisis was reflected in stock market falls in January,
according to Standard and Poor's figures. Just under half of the major
markets lost more than 10% of their value. In London, the main FTSE 100
index lost almost 9% in January and 16.5% in the past three months. In
Paris, the stock market fell 12.3% in January and was down 15.3% in the
three months from November. The falls wiped out all of the index's gains
for the previous 12 months. Emerging markets were hit even harder. China
lost 21.4% in January, while Russia and India both fell 16%. | America|
Economic Crisis
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The Great Depression 2008 - It Can't Happen to Us....Can It?
The Market Oracle
(February 9, 2008) - Webster's defines
complacency as “1.satisfaction or contentment 2. smug self-satisfaction”
There is probably not a better word to describe the current state of
perception with regard to economic and financial malady. I had an
interesting conversation the other night about exactly this topic and
the individual I was speaking with had an overriding belief that we
cannot suffer economically simply because the current generation is not
prepared to deal with it. While I certainly agree with the latter
assertion, the former continues to baffle me. I am certainly not
prepared to deal with a lengthy hospital stay as the result of a
horrific car crash, but that alone doesn't cloak me in immunity from
having an accident. The reasoning is so broken and flawed, yet it is
often all we get in terms of a perception of what is going on. This
disconnect begets a discussion of why exactly it is that society has
chosen to believe itself to be immune from bad things. It is odd in
itself that when you talk to individuals, they seem to be acutely aware
of many of the challenges facing us, but when you put all the
individuals together and create a society, we act as though the party
will indeed last forever. We are certainly dealing with a situation in
which the intelligence of the whole is by far less than the sum of all
its parts. Here's a little bit of déjà vu for you, compliments of
Wikipedia:
“In the 1920s, Americans consumers and businesses
relied on cheap credit, the former to purchase consumer goods such
as automobiles and furniture and the later for capital investment to
increase production. This fueled strong short-term growth but
created consumer and commercial debt. People and businesses who were
deeply in debt when price deflation occurred or demand for their
product decreased often risked default. Many drastically cut current
spending to keep up time payments, thus lowering demand for new
products. Businesses began to fail as construction work and factory
orders plunged.”
Sound familiar anyone? See any price deflation going
on? The Wilshire 5000 has only lost about 2.5 TRILLION dollars in value
in the last two months or so. What about the loss in home equity?
Another trillion or two? Who knows, but I think you get the point. We
are seeing almost to the final utterance the same play we saw unfold in
1929. Were those folks any more prepared for the Great Depression than
we are today? I'd argue that while they were perhaps a bit better
equipped to provide for their own sustenance that American society in
the 1920's was as complacent as we are today. When the realization of
history's coup de grace hits, we will be caught as unaware as our
ancestors were back in 1929. Here are some other examples of what Alan
Greenspan likes to call ‘irrational exuberance' in the 1920's:
“We
will not have any more crashes in our time.” | John Maynard
Keynes in 1927 (The authenticity of this one is a little suspect)
DOW ~ 175
“There
will be no interruption of our permanent prosperity.” | Myron
E. Forbes, President, Pierce Arrow Motor Car Co., January 12, 1928 –
DOW ~ 200
“There
may be a recession in stock prices, but not anything in the nature
of a crash.” | Irving Fisher, leading U.S. economist, New
York Times, Sept. 5, 1929 – DOW ~ 375
“All
safe deposit boxes in banks or financial institutions have been
sealed... and may only be opened in the presence of an agent of the
I.R.S.” | President F.D. Roosevelt, 1933 – DOW ~ 65
Tuesday morning we received news that according to the
Institute of Supply Management, the service portion of our economy
underwent a significant contraction during the month of December. This
is alarming given the fact that December is normally one of the busiest
times of the year. Even still, a trip past the local mall provides a
busy scene. People are streaming in and out, carrying boxes and bags of
imported trinkets to their imported cars. They will then use imported
gasoline to drive to their home, the mortgage of which is likely to be
owned by a foreign investor. Yet the average American citizen sees
nothing wrong with this picture. Or could it be that they don't even see
the picture at all? The media has certainly been playing the role of
absentee informant in recent years, choosing to focus on such insipid
topics as Britney Spears' latest rehab stint rather than the important
business at hand. Here now, are some quotes from this generation's
1929..in 2007 and 2008:
“It is encouraging that
inflation expectations appear to be contained,” | Fed
Chairman Ben S. Bernanke – Testimony to Congress – March 28 th ,
2007 – DOW ~ 12,500, Headline CPI-U ~ 2.8% Y/Y
“As
I think you know, I believe very strongly that a strong dollar is in
our nation's interest, and I'm a big believer in currencies being
set in a competitive, open marketplace,”
| Henry Paulson – Secretary of the Treasury – USDX ~ 81.50
“We are making history. What
has passed the Congress in record time is a gift to the middle class
and those who aspire to it in our country.” | House Speaker
Nancy Pelosi on the $168 Billion tax ‘rebate' while the middle class
is spending their Wal-Mart Christmas gift cards on food and other
necessities.
They're making history all right. Too bad it will end
up being the WRONG kind. How can we ever hope to focus the population on
the urgency of our current predicament when our leaders are willing to
make it worse by handing our freebies, bailing out those who willingly
make poor investment choices and telling us everything can be ‘free' if
we'll only pull their lever on election day? Or am I putting the cart in
front of the horse? Perhaps a contrarian opinion might be that our
leaders are giving the public exactly what it wants. In either case, I
am quite certain that our state of unpreparedness will not constitute a
free pass from the negative effects of a recession or a retraction of
any of the financial excesses we've enjoyed over the past few decades. | NewWorldOrder | America|
Economist: Expect Fed to lower Dow to 8,000
WorldNet Daily
(February 5, 2008) - Consumers should expect a deep recession,
triggered by the "stealth methodology" of the Federal Reserve to
"depress" the market even while lowering interest rates in an ostensible
effort to stimulate economic growth, an economic analyst is charging.
"The Federal Reserve is directly involved in manipulating the stock
market," said economic analyst Mike Bolser in a telephone interview
with WND yesterday. The New York Stock Exchange finished the day down
108.03 points, closing at 12,635.16, much as Bolser predicted, despite
recent emergency Fed rate cuts of 1.25 percentage points aimed at
stimulating the economy. "Fed wants the Dow Jones Industrial Average and
other financial indicators to descend in a managed way," Bolser said.
"The Fed wants to drive the DJIA toward the 8,000 level, or below, in
order to help create a deep recession which will have the effect of
slowing consumption across the board, and dampening the otherwise
harmful effects of inflation. "A falling DOW is only one element of the
recession effects of the excessive Fed-created housing and credit
creation, whose bubbles are now bursting," he added. "Without this
recession, we would be on quick trip to hyper-inflation," Bolser, the
author of an internationally followed newsletter published in
conjunction with his
InterventionalAnalysis.com website, said, "and the Fed wants to
prevent this." In his twice-daily subscription newsletter, Bolser has
devised a quantitative methodology for utilizing Federal Reserve
repurchase agreements to predict upward and downward movements of the
DJIA, measured on a 30-day moving average. Yesterday, Bolser noted
the Fed added $18 billion to repurchase agreements, edging the pool
up to a total of $153.158 billion in unexpired temporary repurchase
agreements. Repurchase agreements involve a sophisticated use of
government securities issued every day by the Fed, but little understood
or followed, even by sophisticated investors. A repurchase agreement,
as defined by the Fed, is a government security offered by the federal
government to a small list of specified primary government securities
dealers, for a limited period of time, usually 28 days or less, with
overnight return being the most common. The government securities
are "rented" by the primary dealers and they can be added to the primary
dealer's portfolio or collateralized and then used in the open market to
implement the Fed's open market policy. At the end of the repurchase
agreement, the Fed obligates itself to take back the government
securities from the primary dealers, effectively canceling the contract.
Meanwhile, while holding the government securities let out by the Fed
in the repo agreement, primary dealers are free to utilize the liquidity
provided by the repurchase agreement to manipulate the economy in
accordance with the Fed's true monetary policy, whether publicly
declared or not. Primary dealers use the funds provided by the
government securities they hold under the repurchase agreements to buy
dollar exchange futures contracts, stock market futures, or to buy
commodities contracts, including gold mining shares, all in accord with
implementing Federal Reserve monetary policy to manipulate currency,
commodity and stock markets up or down, depending what goals the Fed
wants to accomplish at any particular time, the economist alleges.
Over the past several months, however, the Fed has implemented a policy
to issue smaller amounts of daily repurchase agreements, with the goal
of reducing the total pool of repurchase agreements available to the
Fed's short list of 20 banks that are qualified by the Fed to serve as
primary government securities dealers participating in the Fed's Open
Market Operations. Only the 20 banks specified in the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York's list of primary government securities
dealers are allowed to participate in Fed repurchase agreements.
more... | NewWorldOrder | America|
Dozens of U.S. banks will fail by 2010: analyst
Canada.com
(February 1, 2008) - Dozens of U.S. banks will fail in the next
two years as losses from soured loans mount and regulators crack down on
lenders that take too much risk, especially in real estate and
construction, an analyst said. The surge would follow a placid 3-1/2
year period in which just four banks collapsed, all in the last year,
RBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard Cassidy said in a Friday interview.
Between 50 and 150 U.S. banks -- as many as one in 57 -- could fail by
early 2010, mostly those with no more than a couple of billion dollars
of assets, Cassidy said. That rate of failure would be the highest in at
least 15 years, or since the winding down of the savings-and-loan
debacle. "The initial round of failures will come from smaller banks
with limited access to capital and overexposure to commercial real
estate," Cassidy said. "Could banks with $75 billion or $100 billion of
assets fail? That's hard to say, but it depends on the severity of the
economic downturn and the real estate decline," he added. Banks are
under pressure as a slowing economy, the housing crunch, weak job growth
and rising energy costs make it harder for individuals and businesses to
pay their bills. Compounding the problem has been the seizing up of
capital markets that has led to more than $130 billion of write-downs
worldwide, including at lenders such as Citigroup Inc , Bank of America
Corp and Washington Mutual Inc. On Wednesday, Standard & Poor's said
financial industry losses linked to mortgages may reach more than $265
billion. Analyst Tanya Azarchs expects the pain to spread to regional
banks, and especially "some of the smaller players that have yet to feel
the full extent" of the credit crunch. more... | NewWorldOrder | America|
EU blames US spending for market turbulences EU
Observer (January
23, 2008) - The European Commission has pointed to unhealthy
public spending in the US as the main cause of the current global market
turbulences and urged Washington to cut expenditure and boost savings,
while praising Europe's own "solid and sound" economy and the positive
effect of the common currency. The topic dominated a regular meeting of
EU finance ministers in Brussels on Tuesday (22 January), shortly after
the biggest plunge of global stock markets since the terrorist attacks
of 11 September 2001. While evidently concerned about the possible
consequences for the region - mainly if there is a recession in the US,
where most of Europe's exports are heading - both the finance chiefs and
the commission were keen to avoid pessimistic statements. "This is not
about a global recession, but about the risk of a recession in the US,
as during the last years, big imbalances have been created in the US
economy - a big current account deficit, a big fiscal deficit, a lack of
savings," said EU economy commissioner Joaquin Almunia. Mr Almunia
suggested that US policy-makers should tackle the current crisis with
measures that would secure "reducing the external deficit and the fiscal
deficit, and increasing domestic saving in the US both in the public and
the private sectors." He maintained that Europe's own previous reforms
and pressure for cuts in public finances have paid off, leaving the
fundamentals of the bloc's economy - in contrast to the situation across
the Atlantic - as "solid and sound". "So we are well prepared to weather
this situation even if we cannot ignore the risk of our growth rates
being affected by this turmoil," he added. A similar message was echoed
by several ministers and national capitals. "The last forecast shows
that economic reforms that have been implemented in the EU increase the
resilience of the European economy in trying to face such shocks," said
Slovenia's finance minister Andrej Bajuk on behalf of the bloc's
presidency. German chancellor Angela Merkel also urged for calm,
describing Europe as an "anchor of stability for the global economy."
But Berlin is expected on Wednesday (23 January) to announce a downward
revision of the country's economic forecast in 2008 for the third time
in less than a year, down to 1.7 percent from 2.5 percent last year. A
full and clear picture of the impact of the turbulences and recent
development in the global economy is expected to emerge following the
European Commission's quarterly preview, due to be unveiled in February.
"Everybody is concerned, but more than that, everybody is uncertain. We
must wait to see whether the US government interventions will prove to
be effective or not," Dutch finance minister Wouter Bos commented.
more...
|
EU/UN/
4th Kingdom |
America
|
Top Economist Warns Of "Serious Breakdown" In World Financial System
Prison Planet
(January 22, 2008) - Father of Reaganomics and former editor of
the Wall Street Journal Paul Craig Roberts today warned that the Fed's
shock 75 basis points interest rate cut would only succeed in putting
average families through the ringer and could even portend the collapse
of the dollar as the world reserve currency. Speaking on The Alex Jones
Show, Roberts said that average hard working families, and not money
casino cowboy shareholders, would be the biggest victims of the latest
downturn as a recession looms on the back of the surprise rate cut. "The
more important thing is the hardship for the average American family -
many of them have not had any real increase in their income for years
and they've lost jobs to offshoring, they've lost jobs to work visas for
foreigners and now they're confronted with losing jobs to recession,"
said Roberts. "They also are heavily indebted and have used up their
home equity in consumption and many of them now have mortgages that
threaten them with being homeless and so I think the worst part of this
will not be felt by Wall Street and banks and shareholders but by the
average American family - I think they're now going to go through the
ringer," he concluded. Roberts speculated on the impact that today's
rate cut would have on the dollar, further undermining its position as
the world reserve currency. "It is true that in the long run the decline
of the dollar could cause it to lose its reserve currency role and if
another currency has a rythm to take its place, it would be very hard to
conduct international trade on the basis that it is now where you have a
reserve currency that one accepts in payment," said Roberts, adding that
the massive interest rate cut today only signalled more inflation
despite the tax rebate. Roberts said that he expected the economic
decline to be slow and gradual, but that it was inevitable that the
living standards of Americans would drop, similar to when the pound lost
80 per cent of its value during the two world wars and lost its status
as a world reserve currency. Roberts said that the only solution to the
current crisis was to cut the current defense budget in half and halt
the offshoring of jobs by U.S. corporations. "If they can't do anything
about that the world is going to conclude that the dollar is not going
to be the reserve currency forever and they'll start getting out from
under it in larger ways and then that pressure on the dollar will mount
and become stronger and it will completely cancel the ability to do
anything about the domestic economy - whether it's in recession or
depression," said Roberts, adding that a "real serious breakdown," the
likes of which have not been witnessed so far, will occur if these
issues are not addressed. Roberts said that it was difficult for
ordinary people to diversify and find a safe haven because if they
bought gold they would become a target for government theft just as
happened in 1933. Roberts added that a total breakdown of the global
economy would take place, "If the destruction of the dollar's role as
world reserve currency continues and there's not a clear alternative
that arrives to take its place," warning that it was the biggest danger
and there would be "no way to survive" its impact. | NewWorldOrder | America|
Overseas Investors Buy Aggressively in U.S.
NY
Times (January
20, 2008) - Last May, a Saudi Arabian conglomerate bought a
Massachusetts plastics maker. In November, a French company established
a new factory in Adrian, Mich., adding 189 automotive jobs to an area
accustomed to layoffs. In December, a British company bought a New
Jersey maker of cough syrup. For much of the world, the United States is
now on sale at discount prices. With credit tight, unemployment growing
and worries mounting about a potential recession, American business and
government leaders are courting foreign money to keep the economy
growing. Foreign investors are buying aggressively, taking advantage of
American duress and a weak dollar to snap up what many see as bargains,
while making inroads to the world’s largest market. Last year, foreign
investors poured a record $414 billion into securing stakes in American
companies, factories and other properties through private deals and
purchases of publicly traded stock, according to
Thomson Financial, a research firm. That was up 90 percent from the
previous year and more than double the average for the last decade. It
amounted to more than one-fourth of all announced deals for the year,
Thomson said. During the first two weeks of this year, foreign
businesses agreed to invest another $22.6 billion for stakes in American
companies — more than half the value of all announced deals. If a
recession now unfolds and the dollar drops further, the pace could
accelerate, economists say. The surge of foreign money has injected
fresh tension into a running debate about America’s place in the global
economy. It has supplied state governors with a new development strategy
— attracting foreign money. And it has reinvigorated sometimes
jingoistic worries about foreigners securing control of America’s
fortunes, a narrative last heard in the 1980s as Americans bought up
Hondas and Rockefeller Center landed in Japanese hands. With a growing
share of investment coming from so-called
sovereign wealth funds — vast pools of money controlled by
governments from China to the Middle East — lawmakers and regulators are
calling for greater scrutiny to ensure that foreign countries do not
gain influence over the financial system or military-related technology.
On the presidential campaign trail, the Democratic candidates have begun
to focus on these foreign funds, calling for international rules that
would make them more transparent. more... | America|
Economic Crisis |
How long until America is not
owned by Americans? The Federal Reserve (neither 'federal' nor
'reserve') owns our money and now we're so financially unstable and
full of people who don't mind selling out a country for a buck or to
save themselves leading us into an international debt beyond what we
already have. Throw in an emergency or two (natural and man-made),
and America won't have a choice but to join the New World Order's
cashless banking system where a mark is required to buy or sell. The plan all along is to
financially and legally integrate all nations in the name of peace
and security so that at some unknown trigger point (to them - God's
timing), an "emergency state" can be declared wherein the new legal
framework snaps into place and military and civilian forces are
legally under the control of one man. So far the selling out of
America seems to have worked well to the end of America's reign as
Europe takes her place. That's what the Bible has always said.
The Panic Starts Jim
Sinclair's MineSet (January 17, 2008) -
There is no doubt the Fed and the PPT are meeting right now. A drop
of over 300 points on the Dow after the Chairman of the Federal
Reserve speaks publicly presages a 1000 point break in the Dow Jones
Industrial Average coming quite quickly, if not tomorrow. Unless the
equity markets can be calmed, a panic is about to happen, making the
statement "This is it" a horrible reality. If the equity markets
cannot be calmed then:
Recognize this is the Formula
happening like everything else much sooner and much bigger in its
implications than anticipated.
Gold will rise to $1650
as an almost immediate effect of what will be done to attempt to
fend off a total panic starting to take place in general equities,
therein threatening to be followed by all credit markets of all
kinds.
The funds and hotshot
short term traders in gold shares will be killed by the upward
explosion of the gold price about to occur.
The PPT and the Fed will
step out of gold’s way because gold is one of the tools used in 1930
by Roosevelt and in 2000 by Bush. It will be used again now on the
upside.
Gold is the only insurance there is
against what all this means because a panic in equities will blow
the financial system, already coming apart, to smithereens.
All country funds would shut down
on any further investments in "at the wall" financial institutions.
The rollover in credit and
default derivatives would exceed the entire foreign debt of the USA.
The rest of the $450 trillion
dollar mountain of derivatives would start a disintegration like
nothing you have every seen in your lifetime.
Consumer demand would slam shut.
The auto industry might as well
go into liquidation this coming Monday, avoiding the June 2008 rush.
The US dollar would burn a hole
in the floor going directly to .5200 or lower.
As the dollar disintegrates gold
would rocket to and through $1650 in days.
The markets for general equities
would all have to institute total trading halts every 100 points on
the downside for 30 minutes each.
All commercial call loans would
be called.
All debtors one day late on any
payment, lacking grace period, would be liquidated. All debtors over
one day of the grace period would be liquidated.
It is clearly visible to anyone
with eyes or a mind to think that the PPT has lost all semblance of
control in the equity markets and will soon in all remaining
markets.
The commercial paper credit
market which is almost dead will die totally.
Should no emergency action take
place soon, you will see an old fashioned panic of the 1929 variety.
Just as emotional fools sell gold
and gold shares, be assured that more emotional general equity fools
will unload and bring the averages down more than ever in history in
one day.
Recognize this is the Formula
happening like everything else much sooner and much bigger in its
implications than anticipated.
Emergency action will be all
splash and theatrics but truthfully the cat is out of the bag. It
buys some time but corrects nothing. It makes the Formula 100%
correct.
There now must be EMERGENCY
ACTION because the Chairman of the Fed has BOMBED OUT PUBLICLY and a
PANIC is about to occur. Expect EMERGENCY ACTION in days, not weeks.
If you have not protected yourself,
you may only have days to do so now. |
America
|Economic Crisis |
Foreclosures - The Untold Story Rense.com (January
17, 2008) - While we are being distracted with the theatrics of
these long months of presidential canidates theatrics and hollow
rehtoric, the grave issues in our nation (purposefully) are being
ignored. The latest antics has Michigan (in ecomomic free fall) ignored
by the party (Democratic) that once represented the working man. This
because of rules (?) that punished Michigan for holding its primary too
early. Now they are told they cannot send delegates to the National
Convention. That's par for the course - why would the voice of the
dispossessed be represented? Both parties have been complicit over these
past decades in the meltdown we're witnessing. People need to climb down
off their elephants and donkeys. They need to discard their red - white
- and boo attire and enter into the neutral zone. As long as people can
be kept in the arena of elephant dung and donkey drippings they'll
remain ignorant to the facts that will vitally affect their lives and
their children. REAL ESTATE: This problem began in the early 90s. This
is when the Federal Reserve began lowering the costs of funds and banks
encouraged people to borrow at low rates. Mortgage rates were lowered in
1991. This is when credit lines using home equity were created by your
friendly banker. That was when people began going into debt up to their
eyeballs using the inflationary increases in the value of their primary
residence as a personal ATM machine! People forgot that the only true
value in real property is the equity. Market estimates of home values
can drop 50% in one day. Why would the Federal Reserve do something so
harmful to the national economy? When a bank makes a loan of $100,000,
ninety per cent of that amount ( or, $90,000) creates new money out of
thin air. This is called 'fractional - reserve' banking. It is a system
used in most nations worldwide. Most nations have central banks - the
Federal Reserve is a central bank. It is not a federal agency as most
people have been led to believe. It is a cartel of privately owned
bankers and other affluents - much like OPEC is owned by people in oil
producing nations. When Congress are over spending like mindless idiots,
when the cost of war is approximately $245 million a day, one of the
best ways to create money to pay these costs is to encourage American
consumers to borrow. Every time you borrow - ninety percent of that
amount creates new money from thin air. That money is injected into the
economy. As long as we all borrow more and more and more money from
banks more money is created. No wonder borrowing was made so easy - it
gave them the cash they needed for all that spending. Every good thing
comes to an end. Expect an economic upheaval when Washington's cash cow
quits giving milk.
"All of the perplexities,
confusion, and distress in America arises, not from the defects of the
Constitution or Confederation, not from want of honor or virtue, so much as from
downright ignorance of the nature of coin, credit, and circulation." |
John Adams, Founding Father
"Mr. Chairman, we have in this
country one of the most corrupt institutions the world has ever
known. I refer to the Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Reserve
Banks. The Federal Board, has cheated the Government of the United
States and the people of the United States out of enough money to
pay the national debt. This evil institution has impoverished and
ruined the people of the U.S.; has bankrupted itself, and has
practically bankrupted our government. It has done this through the
defects of the law under which it operates, through the
maladministration of that law by the Federal Reserve Board, and
through the corrupt practices of the moneyed vultures who control
it." | Louis T.
McFadden, Congressman and head of
Congressional Banking Committee for 11 years; before Congress June
10, 1932
The chief aim of the money men (assisted by both
Republicans and Democrats) for decades was to roll back FDR's New Deal.
Anti-government rhetoric ( distracting labeling) has hidden this from
public view. The 'Banking Act' of the New Deal was a priority by vested
interests in being repealed. The undoing of this Act took decades and
approximately $200 million in lobbying funds to accomplish. "Billionaire
Sanford Weill made 'Citigroup' into the most powerful financial
institutions since the House of Morgan a century ago. A major trophy of
Sanford's is the pen Bill Clinton used to sign the REPEAL of FDR's
Banking Act - a move which allowed Weill to create Citigroup. " Sanford
Weill called President Clinton to break the deadlock after Senator Phil
Gramm, chairman of the Banking Committee, warned Citigroup LOBBYIST
Roger Levy that Weill has to get the White House moving on the bill or
he would shut down the House-Senate Conference. A deal was announced at
2:45 a.m. Just days after the Clinton administration (including the
Treasury Department) agrees to support the REPEAL, Treasury Secretary
Robert Rubin, the former co-chairman of a major Wall Street investment
bank, Goldman Sachs, raises eyebrows by accepting a top job at Citigroup
as Weill's chief lieutenant. The previous year, Weill had called Rubin
to give him advance notice of the upcoming merger announcement. When
Weill told Rubin he had some important news, the secretary reportedly
quipped, "You're buying the government." Progressive Historian. With
the stroke of a pen, Bill Clinton ended the long saga of
Republicans and Democrats, working in concert, for their puppet masters
(the bankers) with his signing of the 'Financial Modernization
Bill' (Nov 12, 1991). Clinton ended an era that stretched back to
William Jennings Bryan and Woodrow Wilson and reached fruition with FDR
and Harry Truman. As he signed his name, William Jefferson Clinton
symbolically signed the death warrant of a level playing field that had
guided the Democratic Party. Clinton (both parties)
knew better than FDR and our Supreme Court. Nov 12-1999, President
Clinton stated, " Glass- Stegal (FDR Banking Bill) is no longer
appropriate for our economy. This was good for the industrial age. The
(1999) Financial Modernization Bill is the key to rising paycheck and
great security for ordinary Americans". Tell this to Michigan - NH -
California - Georgia etc. The public was distracted from one of the
most important pieces of legislation in this nation's history being
signed by Bill Clinton, with round the clock coverage, of the Monica
debacle. Seeing how Clinton came out of this shameful
episode lauded as heroic - super stud - and a multi-millionaire, why one
one would almost think that the whole sordid affair was contrived?
Most especially with Lieberman acting as the holier than thou apologist
! Missed was Clinton's reason for the undoing of FDR's landmark bill
Press release. What does this repeal mean? The hedge fund
industry and subprime mortgage market is out of control. The New York
Times in a June 2007 profile of Goldman Sachs: "While Wall
Street still mints money advising companies on mergers and taking them
public, real money - staggering money - is made trading and investing
capital through a global array of mind bending products and strategies
unimaginable a decade ago." Goldman Sachs head Lloyd Blankfein
paints the perfect picture of what has happened: "We've come full
circle, because this is exactly what the Rothschild's or J.P. Morgan
the banker were doing in their heyday. What caused an aberration was
the Glass-Steagall Act (FDRs - Banking Act)." Blankfein, like his
cohorts in corporate greed, sees the New Deal as an aberration and
longs for a return to the Gilded Age. In enters a reincarnation of our
old carnival snake oil salesman. Bill Clinton delivered his 'New
Democrat Party' with a lot of the usual scripted rhetoric. Meaningless
made up words. The combination of insurance, investment banking, and
old-line commercial banks, have multiplied the conflicts of interest
within banks, despite so-called 'firewalls'. Much like Enron,
placing some deals in off-balance sheet entries did not insulate
Citigroup from losses in its swollen subprime housing lending. The bank
(Citigroup) has so far written off something like $15 billion and
there's more to come. Ah - but meantime we're going to see these
presidential canidates argue over who loves Blacks the most - or the
miracle of Hillary's tears ! It's interesting that in the Neveda debates
(Nov 15), when Hillary was asked about Citigroup and the subprime
debacle she responded, that that she was concerned over these huge pools
of money, and that Congress and the Federal Reserve need to ask
questions. She went on to remark on how mortgages (subprime and
conventional) were being bundled and sold to foreign investors.
THE 64,000 QUESTION (yet to be addressed in these debates) was not
asked: 'Senator Clinton, its a known fact, that Citigroup would not
exist, except for President Clinton's repeal of FDR's 'Banking Act'.
Would you (other canidates) not agree with the 1971 Supreme
Court ruling, Goldman Sachs, and testimony by economists, that we have
re-enacted the same conflicts of interest that were in place before the
Great Depression and thus are doing the very same things that the
Rothschild's and J.P Morgan were guilty of?' This is the
question that has yet to be asked in any of these 'debates' (Republican
or Democrat). The media and canidates blame the victims or wander off
into some esoteric meaningless gibberish. more...
| NewWorldOrder |
America |Economic Crisis |
Europe 2020
(December 15, 2007) - The rapid
aggravation of the global systemic crisis as its phase of impact unfolds
[1] has brought our researchers to estimate that the contemporary
global financial system will reach a breaking phase in the course of
2008. Crisis follow-up
indicators now show that we should no longer only fear the failure of
some large financial institution (and of many small ones) in the US
first and the in the rest of the world (cf. GEAB N°19), but that
the global financial system itself is structurally hit. The network of global
central banks’ repeated incapacity to control the « credit crunch » when
the two historical pillars of the contemporary global financial system
(a US economy in recession and a US dollar in decay), reflects the
growing surge of centrifugal forces within this very system. Indeed it is no more a
matter of competence or of magnitude of the corrective actions
implemented by central bankers. These times are over since summer 2007
and, according to LEAP/E2020, we are now witnessing an increasing
divergence in economic interests among the different components of the
global financial system. The expected failure of
the Fed’s most recent attempt to coordinate a joint action of the main
central banks in order to feed the banks in US dollars [2] , is
particularly revealing. This action meant to restore confidence in the
financial system by two means:
reinstating the
now moribund inter-banking market, by proving the existence of a «
joint force de frappe (strike force) » of global central banks.
enabling large
financial institutions in distress to anonymously restock in US
dollars, in exchange of their assets being accepted as discount
window collateral (i.e. worth their value some months ago, when they
were still worth something) [3].
Of course the first goal is
predominant, as reinstating of interbanking market is the only means to bailout
banks in distress in a sustainable manner. However, it is already clear that the
target has failed to be reached [4] . The LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate),
a key indicator of the health of the interbank market, has not moved an inch
from its highest levels ever reached [5] . “Psychologically” speaking, the
global stocks decline recorded after the action of the central banks was
announced, proves this if any message went through, it is that the situation for
large US banks is even worse than announced in the past months [6]. According to LEAP/E2020 research
team, it is already a fact that after it lost control over interest rates (cf.
GEAB N°16), the US Federal Reserve has now lost two more of the attributes
that characterized the post-1945 global financial system: its credibility as a
proactive player capable of influencing heavy market trends [8] , and its
capacity to organize and drive global central banks altogether along its own
rhythm and goals. In doing so, it has just lost the ability to steer
by itself the entire global financial system, an ability it has gained
after 1945. Even
though today, financial markets are mostly receptive to the loss of the first
attribute [9] , our researchers estimate that it is the loss of the second
attribute (and the impact on the system’s leadership) which will result in the
global financial system’s break sometime in the course of next year, probably by
summer, when the effects of the ongoing US recession will start being fully
felt and when Asians and Europeans will decisively be compelled to impose their
own priorities to the “Fed-pilot”. In this 20th issue of the
GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (December 2007 issue), our team describes in
detail the characteristics of the growing divergences between the four main
central banks (US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Swiss
national Bank). According
to LEAP/E2020, these crucial trends, coming at a time when the entire magnitude
of the US recession effects has not yet been reached (in Asia and the US in
particular), illustrate the rapid increase of centrifugal forces which,
according to our anticipations, will lead the contemporary global financial
system to a break point by summer 2008. This break point will
entail numerous disastrous effects for the world’s largest financial
institutions, in particular for all those who do not yet fully understand the
meaning of ongoing tendencies and therefore who remain largely involved in the
US dollar system currently imploding. These institutions will
experience, to a much larger degree, what those who failed to anticipate the
subprime crisis experienced, now being on the verge of disaster [10] . Meanwhile, for depositors and
investors, this breaking phase will convey risks of considerable loss comparable
to the two previous breaking periods (1929 and the years that followed [11] ,
and 1973 and the end of the 1970s). According to our researchers, the
ongoing rupture is even more disastrous than the two previous ones due to a
disproportionate importance of the financial sphere in contemporary economy.
For that matter, LEAP/E2020 comes back on this aspect and describes possible
protections further in this 20th issue of the Global Europe Anticipation
Bulletin. US banks
quarterly change in domestic loans (in blue) versus domestic deposits (in red) –
Source FDIC - Comment: There is a historical disconnection between loans and
deposits since 2006, illustrating the dangerous spiral US banks have entered.
By summer 2008, it will be possible to distinguish more clearly the
lines along which the global financial system will
reorganise once the break point has been reached. According
to our team, it is a fact that the Europeans (the Eurozone essentially),
together with Japan and China, will have to compose with Russia and
oil-exporting countries in order to structure a new system. The
evolution will be painful for the US (and for all related operators) as,
inevitably, the new system will no longer be organised along their interest
as it was the case in the past sixty years. The next US
Administration (that will be in charge from January 2009 onward) will have a
task high on their agenda: to handle as well as possible this historic change,
conveying new economic and financial constraints, in a context of economic
recession. Europeans and Asians too will have to keep in mind this aspect if
they want to avoid the break from turning into chaos. | NewWorldOrder |
America |Economic Crisis |
This story I just came across at Fulfilled Prophecy
pretty well lays out my belief from studying the events and timing
of Bible prophecy that the current global financial system must
collapse in order to make way for what the Bible prophesies to come
where a mark of loyalty to the antichrist will be required to buy or
sell. I personally believe technology will supply the means through
tattoo RFID ink that will supply the security that is also desired
and needed in this identity theft era. I believe the shadow rulers
have been building this system behind the scenes to prepare for the
collapse so that when it happens, the New World Order will be able
to offer a way out for the collapsed system. I don't believe America
will be in any position at that time of collapse to remain separate
from the New World Order and the majority of the population will be
ignorant to where the Bible says this is leading us.
Revelation 13:16-18
And he causeth all, both small and great, rich and poor, free
and bond, to receive a mark in their right hand, or in their
foreheads: And that no man might buy or sell, save he that had
the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of his name
[authority]. Here is wisdom. Let
him that hath understanding count the number of the beast: for
it is the number of a man; and his number is Six hundred
threescore and six. (666)
Please read Herb Peters free book,
Recommendation 666 regarding the
emergency authority given to the Secretary-General of the WEU and
the official document number 666 that gives him emergency powers
over the WEU (military arm of the EU).
Inflation rate is worst in 17 years Associated
Press (January 16, 2008) - Higher
costs for energy and food last year pushed inflation up by the largest
amount in 17 years, even though prices generally remained tame outside
of those two areas. Meanwhile, industrial output was flat in December,
more evidence of a significant slowdown in the economy. Consumer prices
rose by 4.1 percent for all of 2007, up sharply from a 2.5 percent
increase in 2006, the Labor Department said Wednesday. Consumers felt
the pain when they filled up their gas tanks or shopped for groceries.
Prices for both energy and food shot up by the largest amount since
1990. In a second report, the Federal Reserve said that output at the
nation's factories, mines and utilities showed no growth in December,
adding to a string of weak economic reports showing that the economy was
slowing at the end of last year. That weakness has shown up in the
biggest one-month jump in unemployment since the 2001 terrorist attacks
and billions of dollars in losses at many of the country's biggest
financial institutions. Citigroup Inc. reported Tuesday it had suffered
a $10 billion loss for the last three months of 2007, reflecting bad
bets on investments backed by subprime mortgages. The Dow Jones
industrial average plunged by 277 points on Tuesday and fell even
further on Wednesday as Intel reported weak earnings for the fourth
quarter. The Dow was down by 26 points in late morning trading. The
unchanged industrial output in December was the poorest showing since
industrial output actually fell by 0.5 percent in October. Output had
been up by 0.3 percent in November. The December weakness reflected flat
output at U.S. factories, a tiny 0.1 percent rise in the mining industry
and a 0.2 percent drop at the nation's utilities. The Consumer Price
Index rose by 0.3 percent in December, slower than the 0.8 percent in
November, as food costs were flat for the month and energy prices rose
by 0.9 percent after an even bigger 5.7 percent jump in November.
Outside of food and energy, inflation rose a more moderate 0.2 percent
in December. This measure of core inflation rose by 2.4 percent for all
of 2007, down slightly from a 2.6 percent increase in 2006. The Federal
Reserve is closely watching to see whether the jump in food and energy
becomes more widespread and starts pushing core inflation higher.
more...
|
America |Economic Crisis |
British Pound Stumbles The
Wall Street Journal (January
11, 2008) - In a sign that the U.S. economic malaise is spreading
to Britain, the pound is fast becoming one of the world's most-disliked
currencies. Since touching a 26-year high against the U.S. dollar in
early November, the pound has lost 7% of its value against the dollar
and nearly 8% versus the euro. The currency suffers because the British
economy's problems look ever more similar to those of the U.S. economy
-- including a deflating housing market, pressures on financial
institutions and weaker consumption.
more...
|Economic Crisis |
ECB, Bank of England holds rates steady Associated
Press (January 10, 2008) - The European
Central Bank and the Bank of England kept their benchmark interest rates on hold
Thursday, both torn between the opposing challenges of higher inflation and
worries about economic growth. Those two factors could put the central banks on
different paths in the coming months, with the ECB striking a hawkish note in
the face of strong Euro-zone inflation while the Bank of England is widely
expected to deliver a cut next month to restore shaky consumer confidence. ECB
President Jean-Claude Trichet said the bank "remains prepared to act
preemptively" to keep inflation in check, a statement economists interpreted as
the bank retaining its holding stance while leaving the door open for a
potential interest rate rise later this year. The ECB is concerned that sharp
rises in food and energy prices will turn into broader and more persistent
inflation if workers obtain higher wages and producers begin to transfer higher
costs to consumers. "We are in the position of total alertness ... and won't
tolerate this risk to materialize," Trichet said in Frankfurt after the bank
announced its decision to keep its key interest unchanged at 4 percent. The
bank's concerns about inflation carry intense weight given that it sets monetary
policy for Germany, France and 13 other countries home to 318 million residents,
which account for more than 15 percent of the world's gross domestic product.
The ECB faces inflation estimated at 3.1 percent — well above its guideline of
just under 2 percent — but it also must contend with sliding business and
consumer confidence thanks to the global credit crisis. Rate increases to rein
in inflation can also restrain economic growth and fears of an economic malaise
could be enough to discourage the bank from lifting rates in the near term. "In
line with the market we expect no change in ECB rates this year, with Trichet,
et al, happy to let further U.S. monetary policy easing prop up global demand,"
said Calyon economist Stuart Bennett. While the ECB has held rates steady for
seven months since it raised borrowing costs in June 2007, the
U.S. Federal Reserve has cut its key rate three
times over recent months to 4.25 percent and analysts there believe another half
a percentage point cut is likely. British policymakers, meanwhile, are dealing
with mirror image of the ECB's concerns.
more...
| NewWorldOrder |
America |Economic Crisis |
Forget oil, the new global crisis is food Financial
Post (January 4, 2008) - BMO
strategist Donald Coxe warns credit crunch and soaring oil prices will
pale in comparison to looming catastrophe. A new crisis is emerging, a
global food catastrophe that will reach further and be more crippling
than anything the world has ever seen. The credit crunch and the
reverberations of soaring oil prices around the world will pale in
comparison to what is about to transpire, Donald Coxe, global portfolio
strategist at BMO Financial Group said at the Empire Club's 14th annual
investment outlook in Toronto on Thursday. "It's not a matter of if, but
when," he warned investors. "It's going to hit this year hard." Mr. Coxe
said the sharp rise in raw food prices in the past year will intensify
in the next few years amid increased demand for meat and dairy products
from the growing middle classes of countries such as China and India as
well as heavy demand from the biofuels industry. "The greatest challenge
to the world is not US$100 oil; it's getting enough food so that the new
middle class can eat the way our middle class does, and that means we've
got to expand food output dramatically," he said. The impact of tighter
food supply is already evident in raw food prices, which have risen 22%
in the past year. Mr. Coxe said in an interview that this surge would
begin to show in the prices of consumer foods in the next six months.
Consumers already paid 6.5% more for food in the past year. Wheat prices
alone have risen 92% in the past year, and yesterday closed at US$9.45 a
bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade. At the centre of the imminent food
catastrophe is corn - the main staple of the ethanol industry. The price
of corn has risen about 44% over the past 15 months, closing at US$4.66
a bushel on the CBOT yesterday - its best finish since June 1996. This
not only impacts the price of food products made using grains, but also
the price of meat, with feed prices for livestock also increasing.
"You're going to have real problems in countries that are food short,
because we're already getting embargoes on food exports from countries,
who were trying desperately to sell their stuff before, but now they're
embargoing exports," he said, citing Russia and India as examples.
"Those who have food are going to have a big edge." With 54% of the
world's corn supply grown in America's mid-west, the U.S. is one of
those countries with an edge. But Mr. Coxe warned U.S. corn exports were
in danger of seizing up in about three years if the country continues to
subsidize ethanol production. Biofuels are expected to eat up about a
third of America's grain harvest in 2007. The amount of U.S. grain
currently stored for following seasons was the lowest on record,
relative to consumption, he said. more...
|
3rd Seal |Economic Crisis |
SWF'S - Saviours or Harbingers of Economic Apocalypse?
Financial Sense University
(January 3, 2008) - Sovereign Wealth Funds
(SWF's) are being hailed as the saviours of the financial world, but in
reality are more akin to harbingers of the economic apocalypse for
countries such as the United States and United Kingdom. The SWF's have
been stepping in of late with tens of billions in financing and
investments into the cash starved US banking and finance sector with
financial institutions such as Citicorp selling off large chunks every
other week to funds such as that to the Abu Dhabi SWF at 4.9% of the
company for $7.5bn on a fixed yield of 11%, the terms are far more
favorable than offered to domestic investors. Most recent speculation is
that Rio Tinto maybe inline for a Chinese SWF bid of as much as $150
billion. As petro and trade dollars flow into these SWF's, we will find
increasingly larger and larger slices of important US and western world
capital producing infrastructure flowing into the hands of asian and the
middle eastern government controlled funds as part of a multi-pronged
strategy. The effect of which is literally to gradually transfer
sovereignty of the United States to these countries. Whilst there are
many arguments as to the value of sovereignty to the average citizen
given the observed quality of the democratic institutions where as
little as 50% actually turn out to vote, and further diminished by
suspected corruption in the voting process such as hanging shads and
denial to thousands of democratic black voters in Florida during 2000.
The transfer of sovereignty has consequences that could be deemed to be
permanent and irreversible. The Multi-pronged strategy towards the
transfer of sovereignty -
1. Transfer of manufacturing base
eastwards.
2. Transfer of service sector industries eastward
3. Securing control of energy and mineral resources.
4. Theft of new technologies through state sponsored espionage
5. Investment in prime western companies in the West via SWF's.
6. Transfer of western commercial and financial expertise eastward.
Whilst trillions of dollars flowed
into US government bonds to support the dollar, the US government and
Fed were able to effectively manage the influence of bond holders via
monetary policy i.e. to maintain the US economy and corporate
infrastructure via foreign financing in the form of lower domestic
taxation, corporate favorable laws and foreign policy. However the SWF's
are invested in assets that are priced to fluctuate inline with
profitability and the value of the underlying assets such as mineral and
energy reserves, therefore are less influenced by monetary policy and
the exchange rates then the bond markets. As SWF's buy up hard assets,
these resource and technology corporations and banks are increasingly
going to come under the influence of the sovereign wealth funds, which
have their own agendas at work based on national self interest. The
amount in SWF's continues to grow at an astonishing rate as the giant US
deficit of $700 billions continues to feed their coffers. Current
estimates put the funds at more than $ 3 trillions and growing as more
of the trade surpluses flow directly into the funds...
What does this mean for the US
and UK?
As part of the multi
pronged strategy of the transfer US based assets and the means of
production. The key to the strategy is to support the US dollar will for
the time being at least, by the likes of China, Arab states and Japan ,
so as these countries can continue to buy US assets and transfer US and
British jobs abroad through outsourcing and maintain supply of goods and
services to the US consumer in exchange for more dollars to buy more US
assets with. However the situation has reached a point that the amount
of sovereignty and manufacturing base transferred to date may be so
great that even the strategy of supporting the dollar is breaking down.
The eventual inevitable outcome is for a sharp fall in the currencies of
the UK and USA as a result of market forces so as to diminish the
ability of these countries to be able assert themselves economically and
militarily across the globe as these countries will no longer have the
economic base to do so. Russia being more immature and a late comer to
the game, is prematurely eager to demonstrate the impact of the trend
towards transfer of sovereignty then China is, hence the increasing
noises emanating from Putin's Kremlin. This should be taken as a strong
warning of what the future holds as sovereignty continues to drain
eastwards. If Russia is this aggressive with a $150 SWF, how will it
behave once currency reserves allow it to create a $1 trillion SWF?
more...
|
Islam | EU/UN/
4th Kingdom | NewWorldOrder |
America |Economic Crisis |
Deuteronomy 28:43-45 The stranger that is within thee shall get up above
thee very high; and thou shalt come down very low. He shall lend
to thee, and thou shalt not lend to him: he shall be the head,
and thou shalt be the tail. Moreover all these curses shall come
upon thee, and shall pursue thee, and overtake thee, till thou
be destroyed; because thou hearkenedst not unto the voice of the
LORD thy God, to keep his commandments and his statutes which he
commanded thee:
The destruction of America
as a power must happen for power to be ceded to
Europe. As I've pointed out before,
Albert Pike's plans for America
have been accomplished in
fomenting chaos between Islam and the West supporting the existence
of Israel, being responsible for Israel's creation. Now those behind
the West do not want Israel to exist either because they are opposed
to the God of Abraham, Isaac and Jacob and are part of the
New World Order that will give their power to the antichrist and
fight God at His return. The first hour of the
January 1, 2008 Coast to Coast AM show
focused on trend watchers
in examining where America is headed. The financial crisis that has
been unfolding was the main focus of the shaky year they predicted
would be coming. Those that own American business and finances own
America. What are you going to do when companies lay off employees,
the banks close and the dollar collapses? What about the mortgages
on houses? The banks own the land and the government can take it if
we don't pay taxes. Can you see how quickly those who don't
participate in the bail-out will be left with nothing? Be aware so
you are not blindsided and trust God.
Borse Dubai to acquire stake in Nasdaq Earth
Times (January 2, 2008) - The US
foreign investment committee has cleared a proposal of Dubai's
state-owned stock exchange Borse Dubai Limited (BDL) to acquire a stake
in Nasdaq, the second largest US equities exchange, WAM news agency
reported Wednesday. According to the plan, the BDL will get Nasdaq's
stake in the London Stock Exchange Group and a 19.9 percent stake in the
US exchange, although its voting stake will be limited to 5 percent. It
will also allow Nasdaq to proceed with its plan to merge with
Stockholm-based OMX exchange. After that deal closes, Nasdaq will be
known as Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. Nasdaq will make an investment in Dubai
International Financial Exchange and enter into certain technology and
trademark licences with Borse Dubai and its subsidiary, Dubai
International Financial Exchange Limited. |
Islam | America
|Economic Crisis |
Dollar's Fall Is Felt Around The Globe
Washington Post (December 24, 2007)
- The sharp decline of the U.S. dollar since 2000 is affecting a broad
swath of the world's population, with its drop on global markets being
blamed at least in part for misfortunes as diverse as labor strikes in
the Middle East, lost jobs in Europe and the end of an era of
globe-trotting rich Americans. It marks a shift for Americans in the
global economy. In times of strength, a mightier dollar allowed
Americans to feed their insatiable appetite for foreign goods at cheap
prices while providing Yankees abroad with virtually unrivaled economic
clout. But now, as the United States struggles to fend off a recession,
observers say the less lofty dollar is having both a tangible and
intangible diminishing effect. "The dollar was the dominant force in
world economics for 100 years -- we had no competition," said C. Fred
Bergsten, an American economist and director of the Washington-based
Peterson Institute for International Economics. "There was no other
economy close to the size of the United States. But all that is now
changing." The dollar is down more than 40 percent against the euro over
the past seven years, taking a particularly sharp drop last month.
Despite a bit of a rebound in recent weeks, the dollar is still off
nearly 12 percent since Jan. 11, when it hit its peak for 2007. For now,
that drop is allowing the U.S. economy to reap rewards. American
products have become exceedingly competitive, boosting exports ranging
from Caterpillar tractors to Boeing jumbo jets that are now relative
blue-light specials in the global marketplace. Using the same logic of
chasing cheaper local production costs that has driven many U.S.
factories to China, a few iconic European companies, including Airbus,
are set to shift some manufacturing lines to the United States. But for
untold millions worldwide, the weak dollar has emerged as a troubling
dark spot. Take Ngengi Mungai, a Nairobi coffee exporter trapped between
the weaker dollar and the rapidly appreciating Kenyan shilling -- which
gained as much as 12 percent against the dollar this year amid an
export-driven economic surge across much of Africa. His coffee sales
overseas, as with the bulk of global commodities, are priced in weaker
dollars. But he must then convert them into stronger shillings to cover
his local costs for local labor, materials, even the clothes on his
back. It has cut sharply into his annual income. "Basically," Mungai
said, "it's bad." more... | America|
Economic Crisis |
According to Bible prophecy,
the antichrist will have a global system in place so that only those
with the mark of his authority can buy or sell anything.
Revelation 13:16-18 A global
economic crash with a bail-out by European financers could be just
another way sovereignty is chipped away for global governance.
Fed: Another $20B auctioned to banks Associated
Press (December 21, 2007) - The
Federal Reserve, working to combat the effects of a severe credit
crunch, announced Friday it had auctioned another $20 billion in funds
to commercial banks at an interest rate of 4.67 percent. Fed officials
pledged to continue with the auctions "for as long as necessary." The
central bank said it had received bids for $57.7 billion worth of loans,
nearly three times the amount being offered, indicating continued strong
interest in the Fed's new approach to providing money to cash-strapped
banks. It was the second of four scheduled auctions. The first auction,
on Monday, of $20 billion resulted in loans being awarded at an interest
rate of 4.65 percent. There were 93 bidders seeking $63.6 billion at the
first auction and 73 at the second. Two more auctions will occur in
early January. In a statement Friday, the central bank said it would
continue with further auctions "for as long as necessary to address
elevated pressures in short-term funding markets." The new auction
process was announced by the Fed last week in a coordinated action with
central banks around the world trying to address a global credit crunch.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues decided to try
the new process because their efforts to inject funds into the banking
system through the Fed's discount window, which makes direct loans to
banks, had proven less successful than Fed officials had hoped. Many
banks had avoided using the Fed's discount window out of concern that
investors would see the move as an indication of underlying problems at
their financial institutions. The auction process was developed as a
second way to get money into the banking system with the hopes that it
would not carry the stigma of the discount window. The Fed said Friday
that it would announce on Jan. 4 the sizes of the next two auctions
which will be held Jan. 14 and Jan. 28. Officials have said the Fed will
evaluate the interest in the auctions after the initial four and
determine whether more auctions will be scheduled. The new auction
results cover short-term loans for 35 days. more...
| NewWorldOrder |
America |Economic Crisis |
Collapse of the Modern Day Banking System - Staring into the Abyss The
Market Oracle (December 19, 2007) -
“In past financial crises... the Fed has been able to wave
its magic wand and make market turmoil disappear. But this time the
magic isn't working. Why not? Because the problem with the markets isn't
just a lack of liquidity — there's also a fundamental problem of
solvency.” Paul Krugman Stocks fell sharply last week on
news of accelerating inflation which will limit the Federal Reserves
ability to continue cutting interest rates. On Tuesday the Dow Jones
Industrials tumbled 294 points following the Fed's announcement of a
quarter point cut to the Fed Funds rate. On Friday, the Dow dipped
another 178 points when government figures showed consumer prices had
risen 0.8% last month after a 0.3% gain in October. The stock market is
now lurching downward into a “primary bear market”. There has been a
steady deterioration in retail sales, commercial real estate, and the
transports. The financial industry is going through a major retrenchment
losing more than 25% in aggregate capitalization since July. The real
estate market is collapsing. California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger
announced on Friday that he will declare a "fiscal emergency" in January
and ask for more power to deal with the $14 billion budget shortfall
from the meltdown in subprime lending. Economists are beginning to
publicly acknowledge what many market analysts have suspected for
months; the nation's economy is going into a tailspin which will
inevitably end in a hard landing. Morgan Stanley's Asia Chairman,
Stephen Roach, made this observation in a New York Times op-ed on
Sunday: “This recession will be deeper than the shallow contraction
earlier in this decade. The dot-com-led downturn was set off by a
collapse in business capital spending, which at its peak in 2000
accounted for only 13 percent of the country's gross domestic product.
The current recession is all about the coming capitulation of the
American consumer — whose spending now accounts for a record 72 percent
of G.D.P.” Most people have no idea how grave the present situation is
or the disaster the country will face if trillions of dollars of
over-leveraged bonds and equities begin to unwind. There's a widespread
belief that the stewards of the system—Bernanke and Paulson—can somehow
steer the economy through this “rough patch” into calm waters. But they
cannot, and the presumption shows a basic misunderstanding of how
markets work. The Fed has no magical powers and will it allow itself to
be crushed by standing in the path of a market-avalanche. As
foreclosures and bankruptcies increase; stocks will crash and the fed
will step aside to safety. That much is certain.
more...
| NewWorldOrder |
America |Economic Crisis |
My guess of what this
will lead to is a transition to a global electronic financial system
rising from the ashes of the collapsing one. There would be a single
currency not printed on paper, but tattooed through RFID ink under
the skin so that one cannot buy or sell without this mark. The fear
of terrorism and the demand for peace and safety from it and the
guidance of powerful people trying to guide society will eventually
lead us there. A collapsing world financial situation would help
that along and those who still have the money and run the financial
systems already have much of the infrastructure in place today. Time
will tell, keep watching!
Morgan Stanley sells stake to China fundReuters (December
19, 2007) - Morgan Stanley (MS.N) on Wednesday posted a stunning
fourth-quarter loss after recording a bigger-than-expected $9.4 billion
of write-downs and said it sold a $5 billion stake to China Investment
Corp to bolster its capital. The second-largest U.S. investment bank
posted a net loss from continuing operations of $3.59 billion, or $3.61
a share, in the quarter ended November 30. A year earlier Morgan had
income from continuing operations of $1.98 billion, or $1.87 a share.
Morgan Stanley's operating results reflect the spin-off of its Discover
Financial Services (DFS.N) in July. Last month Morgan warned that it
would write down its exposure to U.S. subprime mortgages and related
securities by $3.7 billion. But on Wednesday the bank revealed it was
taking an additional $5.7 billion write-down. Combined, the losses
slashed earnings by $5.80 a share. To bolster capital slashed by the
write-downs, Morgan agreed to sell abut $5 billion of equity units
convertible into common stock. The shares equate to a 9.9 percent stake
or less of Morgan Stanley's outstanding shares. CIC, a sovereign
investment fund controlled by China, will be a passive investor and have
no role on the board or in the bank's management. For the quarter net
revenue was a negative $450 million, compared with $7.85 billion last
year. Analysts on average had expected Morgan Stanley to post a loss of
39 cents a share on $4.1 billion of revenue, according to Reuters
Research. The losses are the first setback under Chief Executive John
Mack, who has been widely regarded as a savior since he took the helm in
2005. Mack directed the bank to take on more risk and expand several
businesses, including mortgages, as he tried to close in on archrival
Goldman Sachs Group (GS.N). Earlier this year those efforts were paying
off, and Morgan even reported a mortgage trading profit. Yet shares of
Morgan Stanley have tumbled 29 percent during the past two months as the
mortgage trade backfired and delivered losses. |
America |Economic Crisis |
Financial
Sense (December 12, 2007) -
An avalanche comes in 2008. Its wreckage will hit
both the USEconomy and banking world. The greatest deception in
the bank sector this year has been the misrepresentation of the
mortgage debacle as a subprime problem. That is akin to calling
an iceberg only a problem for what one can see, when 90% of its mass
lies below water. Ice is lighter than water. Most mortgage bonds are
like acidic stones weighing down bank and investor balance sheets.
Wall Street and the USGovt con artists, using tools are fraud and
distortion, prefer the public and investment community to think of
the ‘Subprime Problem’ as the source of distress. On mortgage bonds,
collateralized debt obligation derivatives, structured investment
vehicles, all dominant in the news, reports constantly stress how
the problem is traced to subprime mortgages to all those unworthy
home loan borrowers who never should have been given such loans,
even at higher mortgage rates. The systemic threat, both to the US
banking system and USEconomy, has entered a new stage. The remedy
addressed is sure to force the USDollar lower and the gold price
higher, to occur in the next gear. Breakouts are coming which will
seem to lose control, like what was seen in September and October.
Official policy in reaction to the USEconomic threat of recession
will spill money into every corner and crevice. Gold and mining
stocks will benefit. My forecast stated all summer long is that the
USGovt maestros will gradually introduce increasingly broader rescue
elements, since everything they try at early stages will fail. The
USFed remains badly behind the curve, as yesterday they cut the
official Fed Funds target rate, but did not sufficiently cut the
Discount Window rate that imposes a Stigma Tax. Today, the USFed
announced a much broader bank liquidity policy, focused upon more
auctions at set rates and a swap line with the Euro Central Bank.
They have announced more coordination with the Bank of England, the
Bank of Canada, the Swiss National Bank, and the US Federal Reserve.
This is part of my forecast. They must have been working all night
long. By summertime 2008, the requirements for a grandiose
Resolution Trust platform will be etched more clearly. The key to
the gold price lies in two spots: 1) massive monetary inflation to
treat the banking problems and prevent recession, 2) realized price
inflation in a manner lacking disguise. John Mauldin uses the
metaphor of fire trucks being called to the scene. The USFed has
been amazingly shamefully slow in recognizing the problems. Stuck in
their stupid “inflation versus growth” framework mindset, they miss
both the interbank system seizures and home mortgage avalanche
coming outside the prime mortgage corral. The threat to the banking
system will be staggering. The threat to the economic system will be
broad and deep. The avalanche will expose the combined system as
insolvent, broken, in need to total rescue. The damage will
necessitate rescue platforms to undermine the entire US$-based
monetary system, certainly sufficient to lift gold well past the
$1000 level. By the time 2009 approaches, the system will be
recognized as totally broken. The new question will be whether that
system can indeed be repaired. As measures put in place and debated
for consensus approval, the urgently demanded movement should be the
particulars on the new Resolution Trust Corporation. The
desperation no longer hidden (like on Bernanke’s face) will lift
gold well past the $1000 mark. The impetus behind the gold price
will turn to inflation much more than the US$ counter-lever. All
major currencies will be inflating heavily, as seen in recent
central bank decisions either to cut official interest rates or to
hold steady. Major currencies will begin to be compared in a manner
to judge which ones are weaker as they are undermined during
stimulus to discourage economic recession and credit flow
interruptions. more...
|
America |Economic Crisis |
Bible prophecy speaks of a global system of monetary
control where a mark of the authority of the antichrist will be
the only way to buy and sell, the mark of the beast. It also
tells us that the center of power in the end-times will be
Europe, the
revived Roman Empire. I believe we are heading toward a
global economic collapse where the implementation of a cashless
and global system implementing
RFID tattoo ink to make a mark on the hand or forehead will
be the method of regulating buying and selling while
implementing a global cashless society the excludes those who
don't pledge allegiance to the power in control of that system.
This would create global currency without needing physical
currency, allowing quick implementation. Since the international
banks that control the Federal Reserve and IRS are already in
control, those needing a bailing out would be beholden to those
providing the bucket with which to bail, Europe. Coincidence or
design? Keep watching!
International
Herald Tribune (December 12, 2007)
- Central banks in Europe and North America moved Wednesday to
increase the amount of money they could lend to banks and to make it
more readily available in an attempt to ease the credit squeeze. It
was the first time since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks in
New York and on the Pentagon that these central banks have
coordinated their support of financial markets. Stock markets rose
in Europe and the Americas after the announcement by the U.S.
Federal Reserve, the Bank of Canada, the European Central Bank, the
Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. In the United States,
the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index made up nearly half of its
losses from Tuesday, when stocks fell after the Fed cut interest
rates modestly, but then dipped, closing up 8.94 points at 1,486.59.
The Dow Jones Stoxx 600, a broad measure of European markets, rose
1.20 points to close at 374.75. Fed officials said the united move
was an effort to improve financial markets, not a response to
problems at any individual bank. "This is not about particular
financial institutions with particular problems," a senior Fed
official said in a background briefing for reporters. "It is about
market functioning." Economists and market specialists welcomed the
Fed's intervention but expressed some skepticism whether it would be
enough to allay the biggest problems in the credit markets related
to the sharp drop in the value of U.S. mortgage securities. "We have
a Fed now that seems to understand the liquidity problem of the
marketplace," said William Gross, the chief investment officer of
Pacific Investment Management, the bond management firm. "These
measures, while limited in size and with limitations in acceptance
of collateral, should certainly instill a measure of confidence to
the private market." Gross added, "Now it's up to the private market
to gain a little confidence and turn a little macho and start
performing on its own." more...
| NewWorldOrder |
America |Economic Crisis |
National debt grows $1 million a minute
Associated Press
(December 3, 2007) - Like a ticking time bomb, the national debt
is an explosion waiting to happen. It's expanding by about $1.4 billion
a day — or nearly $1 million a minute. What's that mean to you? It means
almost $30,000 in debt for each man, woman, child and infant in the
United States. Even if you've escaped the recent housing and credit
crunches and are coping with rising fuel prices, you may still be headed
for economic misery, along with the rest of the country. That's because
the government is fast straining resources needed to meet interest
payments on the national debt, which stands at a mind-numbing $9.13
trillion. And like homeowners who took out adjustable-rate mortgages,
the government faces the prospect of seeing this debt — now at
relatively low interest rates — rolling over to higher rates,
multiplying the financial pain. So long as somebody is willing to keep
loaning the U.S. government money, the debt is largely out of sight, out
of mind. But the interest payments keep compounding, and could in time
squeeze out most other government spending — leading to sharply higher
taxes or a cut in basic services like Social Security and other
government benefit programs. Or all of the above. A major economic
slowdown, as some economists suggest may be looming, could hasten the
day of reckoning. The national debt — the total accumulation of annual
budget deficits — is up from $5.7 trillion when President Bush took
office in January 2001 and it will top $10 trillion sometime right
before or right after he leaves in January 2009. | NewWorldOrder | America|
Economic Crisis |
Who will be there to "bail"
U.S. out? We're already beholden to the international bankers. I
believe many things are not truly known by us.
Solana, Zoellick and the World
BankNews With Views:
Constance
Cumbey
(May 31, 2007) - Portfolio
now include Robert Zoellick and
the World Bank. News with views
regular readers may remember my
February 21st article. In it, I
covered Javier Solana's
Valentine's Day speech (February
14, 2007) in New York City. He was
addressing the Arthur F. Burns
Foundation. He was introduced by
Robert F. Zoellick. Today
that same Robert F. Zoellick, “a
friend for many, many years” of
Javier Solana[1] was
nominated by President George W.
Bush to be head of the World
Bank.[2]
Perhaps raising their own expected
opposition so that they may just
as rapidly unilaterally squelch
it, the Bookings Institution,
another confederate, together with
Zoellick for Javier Solana's
Global Governance initiative, most
disingenuously issued a statement
that foreign countries may be
unhappy at the nomination. I
suspect that at least “The Face
and Voice of Europe”[3]
in the form of Javier Solana is
not. I also suspect that the
Brookings Institution itself is
not unhappy! At the February 14th
New York City event, “dear Javier”
was introduced by German
Ambassador to the USA, Klaus
Scharioth as “The Face and Voice
of Europe.” Five weeks later,
Javier Solana would with the
assistance of New York University,
Stanford University and the
Brookings Institution all
apparently acting with the
blessings of the
United States State Department
would launch a new global security
initiative.
[4] Javier Solana has
evidently had a cozy relationship
with both Zoellick and the
Brookings Institution. On January
5th, while in the USA, his busy
itinerary included a meeting with
Brookings Institution
representatives.[5]
Gingerly, like testing the water,
“global constitutionalism” a/k/a
“global governance” is being
advanced. This is not entirely
unlike George H. W. Bush (Bush the
elder) mentioning the New World
Order and his intentions to
advance same in a speech he
auspiciously delivered on
September 11, 1991. Similar
speeches were given other times.[6]
That Robert Zoellick is part of
that scene is clear. In addition
to being a friend of Javier Solana
for many years, Robert Zoellick
has with equal vigor been a friend
and proponent of a “New
World Order,” more recently
and politely known as “global
governance.” As early as March,
1992, Robert Zoellick was speaking
of his World Economic Forum
inspired epiphanies of a New World
Order.[7]
They are calling all of this by
various names these days.
Condoleezza Rice calls it “Transformational
Diplomacy.” Fletcher Law
School Associate Professor Daniel
W. Drezner calls it “the New New
World Order.”[8]
It appears that although Javier
Solana may have his European
migraines as reluctance to
hand him everything appears among
the masses, he has offsetting
advantages of global elitist
support.
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